Cruzeiro vs Botafogo Prediction

Cruzeiro
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Botafogo
Governador Magalhães Pinto, Belo Horizonte· Davi de Oliveira Lacerda, Brazil 26/07/2026
CruzeiroCruzeiro
0-1
Finished
BotafogoBotafogo

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
77%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.45
SignalGOODModel49%RiskMediumGap+14.2%
Cruzeiro Rest
3 days
Botafogo Rest
2 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%1.75
X
27%3.75
2
22%4.40
Double Chance
1X
78%1.20
X2
49%2.02
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.73
No
47%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 0.96 = 2.38
Over 1.5
72%1.25
Over 2.5
49%1.80
Over 3.5
26%2.98
Under 1.5
28%3.90
Under 2.5
51%2.02
Under 3.5
74%1.39
Corners
Projected Corners: 7.1 + 4.1 = 11.2
Over 8.5
77%1.45
Over 9.5
66%1.80
Over 10.5
43%2.25
Under 8.5
23%2.48
Under 9.5
34%1.91
Under 10.5
57%1.57
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 3.9 = 6.1
Over 3.5
81%1.22
Over 4.5
74%1.48
Under 3.5
19%3.67
Under 4.5
26%2.44

Match Events

26'WarlesonDelay of game
35'Huguinho
39'L. Sinisterra INWanderson out
41'G. JustinoAssist: Alex Telles
45+3'Fagner
45+4'N. FerraresiHolding
56'Jonathan JesusTripping
60'Fabricio Bruno INJoao Marcelo out
60'Marquinhos INK. Arroyo out
69'Danilo Santos INKauan Toledo out
77'Fagner INWilliam Furtado out
77'G. Rojas INKaua Moraes out
82'A. Montoro INS. Rodriguez out
82'Arthur Cabral INK. Barria out
88'Alex Telles
90'Alex Telles INMarcal out
90'Matheus Martins INL. M. Villalba Jaume out
90+5'K. Barria

Lineups

Cruzeiro
4-4-2Coach: Jorge Artur
Botafogo
4-2-3-1Coach: Franclim Carvalho
Otávio Costa81O. CostaOtávio Costa
Fagner23FagnerFagner
Fabrício Bruno15F. BrunoFabrício Bruno
Jonathan Jesus34J. JesusJonathan Jesus
Gabriel Rojas27G. RojasGabriel Rojas
Marquinhos11MarquinhosMarquinhos
Lucas Romero29L. RomeroLucas Romero
Matheus Henrique7M. HenriqueMatheus Henrique
Luis Sinisterra17L. SinisterraLuis Sinisterra
Bruno Rodrigues9B. RodriguesBruno Rodrigues
Kaio Jorge19K. JorgeKaio Jorge
Warleson17WarlesonWarleson
Vitinho2VitinhoVitinho
Gabriel Justino34G. JustinoGabriel Justino
Nahuel Ferraresi5N. FerraresiNahuel Ferraresi
Alex Telles13A. TellesAlex Telles
Huguinho75HuguinhoHuguinho
Cristian Medina6C. MedinaCristian Medina
Álvaro Montoro10Á. MontoroÁlvaro Montoro
Danilo Santos8D. SantosDanilo Santos
Matheus Martins11M. MartinsMatheus Martins
Arthur Cabral19A. CabralArthur Cabral

Cruzeiro Substitutes

94WandersonF
43João MarceloD
99Keny ArroyoF
51Vitor LamounierG
12William FurtadoD
25Lucas VillalbaD
2Kauã MoraesD
16Lucas SilvaM
57Rayan LelisF
5Zé LucasM
38Felipe MoraisM
40Rhuan GabrielM

Botafogo Substitutes

12Gabriel BatistaG
21MarçalD
4Mateo PonteD
29PaulinhoD
33Lucas MonzónD
23Santiago RodríguezM
14Jordan BarreraM
59Kauan ToledoM
77Lucas VillalbaF
88EdenilsonM
79Lucas EmanuelF
37Kadir BarríaF

Match Stats

CruzeiroBotafogo
61%Ball Possession39%
9Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards5
15Total Shots8
6Shots on Goal4
3Shots off Goal2
11Shots Inside Box5
4Shots Outside Box3
6Blocked Shots2
14Fouls18
2Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves6
448Total Passes285
378Passes Accurate210
84%Pass Accuracy74%

Team Comparison

CruzeiroCruzeiro
BotafogoBotafogo
1752Elo Rating 1660
1.46Attack 0.74
1.20Defense 1.65
23%Hit Rate 14%
12.6Shots per Game 20.2
4.4Shots on Target 6.0
3.7Corners per Game 6.1
2.4Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CruzeiroCruzeiro
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)
BotafogoBotafogo
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.1 in first half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Cruzeiro 50%Draw 23%27% Botafogo
3.59Avg Goals
37%BTTS Rate
81%Over 2.5

Recent Form

CruzeiroCruzeiro
4W1D0L
23/07/2026
InternacionalCruzeiro
12
W
12/07/2026
GremioCruzeiro
13
W
04/07/2026
CruzeiroDefensor Sporting
20
W
01/06/2026
CruzeiroFluminense
11
D
29/05/2026
CruzeiroBarcelona SC
40
W
BotafogoBotafogo
2W2D1L
24/07/2026
BotafogoVitoria
00
D
17/07/2026
BotafogoSantos
21
W
30/05/2026
BahiaBotafogo
21
L
28/05/2026
Caracas FCBotafogo
13
W
23/05/2026
Sao PauloBotafogo
11
D

Referee Profile

Davi de Oliveira Lacerda, Brazil · 34 matches analysed

4.6Avg Yellows
4.8Avg Cards
23.9Avg Fouls
Stricter than 69% of referees analysed

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo27176453:22+3157WWWWL
2PalmeirasPalmeiras27168347:21+2656WDDWL
3Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense27137741:31+1046DLDWD
4BahiaBahia271210542:33+946WWWWD
5FluminenseFluminense27129641:35+645LWDWW
6CruzeiroCruzeiro27126939:39042LWLWW
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG26116935:31+439WLWDW
8CoritibaCoritiba27108937:38-138DLWWD
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino261061032:29+336DLLWD
10SantosSantos2698939:39035WWWDW
11BotafogoBotafogo27981041:43-235WDDLL
12Sao PauloSao Paulo26961131:30+133LWWLD
13VitoriaVitoria27961227:39-1233DWLLW
14CorinthiansCorinthians27881128:29-132LLLLL
15MirassolMirassol27781231:42-1129DWLDD
16GremioGremio27771330:38-828LLLWL
17Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama26771229:41-1228WLWLL
18InternacionalInternacional276101130:35-528WLLDD
19RemoRemo27581431:45-1423LLLLD
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc26381528:52-2417LWLWD
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo2753:2257
2PalmeirasPalmeiras2747:2156
3Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense2741:3146
4BahiaBahia2742:3346
5FluminenseFluminense2741:3545
6CruzeiroCruzeiro2739:3942
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG2635:3139
8CoritibaCoritiba2737:3838
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino2632:2936
10SantosSantos2639:3935
11BotafogoBotafogo2741:4335
12Sao PauloSao Paulo2631:3033
13VitoriaVitoria2727:3933
14CorinthiansCorinthians2728:2932
15MirassolMirassol2731:4229
16GremioGremio2730:3828
17Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama2629:4128
18InternacionalInternacional2730:3528
19RemoRemo2731:4523
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc2628:5217
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Cruzeiro vs Botafogo Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Serie A fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Serie A

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Key Factors for This Match

Cruzeiro and Botafogo have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.59 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.