Cruzeiro vs Botafogo Prediction
Brazil · Regular Season - 20
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
77%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.46
SignalHIGHModel49%SurpriseMediumGap+14.2%
Cruzeiro Rest
3 days
Botafogo Rest
2 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
151%1.75
X27%3.75
222%4.40
Double Chance
1X78%1.20
X249%2.02
Both Teams to Score
Yes53%1.73
No47%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 0.96 = 2.38
Over 1.572%1.25
Over 2.549%1.80
Over 3.526%3.00
Under 1.528%3.90
Under 2.551%2.01
Under 3.574%1.38
Corners
Projected Corners: 7.1 + 4.1 = 11.2
Over 8.577%1.46
Over 9.566%1.79
Over 10.543%2.25
Under 8.523%2.49
Under 9.534%1.91
Under 10.557%1.57
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 3.9 = 6.1
Over 3.581%1.22
Over 4.574%1.45
Under 3.519%3.67
Under 4.526%2.42
Match Events
26'WarlesonDelay of game
35'Huguinho
39'L. Sinisterra INWanderson out
41'G. JustinoAssist: Alex Telles
45+3'Fagner
45+4'N. FerraresiHolding
56'Jonathan JesusTripping
60'Fabricio Bruno INJoao Marcelo out
60'Marquinhos INK. Arroyo out
69'Danilo Santos INKauan Toledo out
77'Fagner INWilliam Furtado out
77'G. Rojas INKaua Moraes out
82'A. Montoro INS. Rodriguez out
82'Arthur Cabral INK. Barria out
88'Alex Telles
90'Alex Telles INMarcal out
90'Matheus Martins INL. M. Villalba Jaume out
90+5'K. Barria
Lineups
CruzeiroBotafogo
4-2-3-1Coach: Franclim CarvalhoAvg ratingAvg rating
81O. Costa
23Fagner
15F. Bruno
34J. Jesus
27G. Rojas
11Marquinhos
C29L. Romero
7M. Henrique
17L. Sinisterra
9B. Rodrigues
19K. Jorge
17Warleson
2Vitinho
34G. Justino
5N. Ferraresi
C13A. Telles
75Huguinho
6C. Medina
10Á. Montoro
8D. Santos
11M. Martins
19A. CabralCruzeiro Substitutes
94Wanderson39'for L. Sinisterra
43João Marcelo60'for Fabricio Bruno
99Keny Arroyo60'for Marquinhos
51Vitor Lamounier
12William Furtado77'for Fagner
25Lucas Villalba
2Kauã Moraes77'for G. Rojas
16Lucas Silva
57Rayan Lelis
5Zé Lucas
38Felipe Morais
40Rhuan Gabriel
Botafogo Substitutes
12Gabriel Batista
21Marçal90'for Alex Telles
4Mateo Ponte
29Paulinho
33Lucas Monzón
23Santiago Rodríguez82'for A. Montoro
14Jordan Barrera
59Kauan Toledo69'for Danilo Santos
77Lucas Villalba90'for Matheus Martins
88Edenilson
79Lucas Emanuel
37Kadir Barría82'for Arthur Cabral90+5'
Match Stats
CruzeiroBotafogo 62%Ball Possession38%
9Corner Kicks1
4Yellow Cards5
16Total Shots8
6Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal2
12Shots Inside Box5
4Shots Outside Box3
6Blocked Shots2
14Fouls18
2Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves6
449Total Passes286
379Passes Accurate210
84%Pass Accuracy73%
Team Comparison
CruzeiroBotafogo1809Elo Rating 1624
2.18Attack 0.81
1.57Defense 1.82
86%Hit Rate 44%
17.0Shots per Game 14.5
7.3Shots on Target 4.6
5.5Corners per Game 5.9
2.5Cards per Game 1.4
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+184 Elo
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Cruzeiro- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Botafogo- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.2 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings, all competitions
Cruzeiro3Wins · 33%Draws556%
Botafogo1Wins · 11%
1Wins · 11%2.7Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored3 of 9
56%3+ goals5 of 9
Previous meetings
30/01/2026BotafogoCruzeiro40
04/12/2025CruzeiroBotafogo22
03/08/2025BotafogoCruzeiro02
28/07/2024BotafogoCruzeiro03
14/04/2024CruzeiroBotafogo32
03/12/2023BotafogoCruzeiro00
06/08/2023CruzeiroBotafogo00
13/10/2021CruzeiroBotafogo00
10/07/2021BotafogoCruzeiro33
Recent Form
Cruzeiro6W4D0L
23/07/2026
InternacionalCruzeiro
InternacionalCruzeiro12
W12/07/2026
GremioCruzeiro
GremioCruzeiro13
W04/07/2026Cruzeiro
Defensor Sporting
CruzeiroDefensor Sporting20
W01/06/2026Cruzeiro
Fluminense
CruzeiroFluminense11
D29/05/2026Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
CruzeiroBarcelona SC40
W20/05/2026
Boca JuniorsCruzeiro
Boca JuniorsCruzeiro11
D17/05/2026
PalmeirasCruzeiro
PalmeirasCruzeiro11
D13/05/2026Cruzeiro
Goias
CruzeiroGoias10
W10/05/2026
BahiaCruzeiro
BahiaCruzeiro12
W07/05/2026
U. CatolicaCruzeiro
U. CatolicaCruzeiro00
DBotafogo5W3D2L
24/07/2026Botafogo
VitoriaBotafogo
Santos
BotafogoVitoria00
D17/07/2026BotafogoSantos21
W30/05/2026BahiaBotafogo
BahiaBotafogo21
L28/05/2026
Caracas FCBotafogo
Caracas FCBotafogo13
W23/05/2026
Sao PauloBotafogo
Sao PauloBotafogo11
D21/05/2026
Independiente PetroleroBotafogo
Independiente PetroleroBotafogo03
W17/05/2026Botafogo
Corinthians
BotafogoCorinthians31
W14/05/2026
Chapecoense-scBotafogo
Chapecoense-scBotafogo20
L10/05/2026
Atletico-MGBotafogo
Atletico-MGBotafogo11
D07/05/2026Botafogo
Racing Club
BotafogoRacing Club21
WReferee Profile
5.13Cards per match
4.92Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
23.0Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.13 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.16).
Cards come from 100 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 71:29 | +42 | 76 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 62:23 | +39 | 73 | WDWWW |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 55:48 | +7 | 60 | WWWWL |
| 4 | Fluminense | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 55:42 | +13 | 57 | WWLLL |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 51:43 | +8 | 54 | LLDLW |
| 6 | Bahia | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 50:45 | +5 | 53 | LWDLW |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 44:40 | +4 | 50 | LLLWW |
| 8 |  RB Bragantino | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44:39 | +5 | 47 | WWLDW |
| 9 | Santos | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 50:49 | +1 | 47 | LDDWL |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 39:39 | 0 | 44 | DLDWW |
| 11 | Botafogo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46:53 | -7 | 42 | WLLWD |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:51 | -11 | 42 | LWLLD |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 41 | WLWLD |
| 14 |  Mirassol | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 39:48 | -9 | 40 | WLDWL |
| 15 | Vitoria | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 35:51 | -16 | 38 | LLDDL |
| 16 | Internacional | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38:42 | -4 | 38 | WLWLD |
| 17 | Corinthians | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:42 | -6 | 37 | DWLDL |
| 18 | Gremio | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38:47 | -9 | 37 | LWWLD |
| 19 |  Remo | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 37:57 | -20 | 29 | LWLDD |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 33:68 | -35 | 21 | LLWLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 34 | 71:29 | 76 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 34 | 62:23 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 34 | 55:48 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 34 | 55:42 | 57 |
| 5 | Atletico Paranaense | 34 | 51:43 | 54 |
| 6 | Bahia | 34 | 50:45 | 53 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 34 | 44:40 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 44:39 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos | 34 | 50:49 | 47 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 34 | 39:39 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 34 | 46:53 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 34 | 40:51 | 42 |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 33 | 43:50 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 34 | 39:48 | 40 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 34 | 35:51 | 38 |
| 16 | Internacional | 34 | 38:42 | 38 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 34 | 36:42 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio | 34 | 38:47 | 37 |
| 19 | Remo | 34 | 37:57 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 33 | 33:68 | 21 |
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About the Cruzeiro vs Botafogo forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Cruzeiro and Botafogo in the Serie A table
In the Serie A table, Cruzeiro are 3rd and Botafogo 11th, 18 points apart. League goal record so far: Cruzeiro 55-48, Botafogo 46-53. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.