Bahia vs Corinthians Prediction

Bahia
1-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Corinthians
Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador· Ramon Abatti Abel, Brazil 26/07/2026
BahiaBahia
1-1
Finished
CorinthiansCorinthians

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalSOLIDModel46%RiskMediumGap-4.4%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.59
SignalSOLIDModel43%RiskMediumGap+7.3%
Bahia Rest
4 days
Corinthians Rest
2 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.38
X
29%3.30
2
31%3.00
Double Chance
1X
69%1.36
X2
60%1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.74
No
47%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.31 + 1.05 = 2.36
Over 1.5
71%1.30
Over 2.5
48%1.98
Over 3.5
26%3.50
Under 1.5
29%3.33
Under 2.5
52%1.83
Under 3.5
74%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.3 + 4.4 = 10.7
Over 8.5
66%1.43
Over 9.5
53%1.75
Over 10.5
37%2.20
Under 8.5
34%2.56
Under 9.5
47%1.98
Under 10.5
63%1.61
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.4 = 4.6
Over 3.5
69%1.32
Over 4.5
50%1.67
Under 3.5
31%2.90
Under 4.5
50%2.06

Match Events

8'F. AngileriAssist: Andre
11'Goal Disallowed - offsideA. Veliz
16'F. AngileriTripping
19'David Duarte
28'Ze Guilherme
35'RanieleHolding
45+4'David DuarteAssist: Rodrigo
45+9'Rogerio Ceni
67'Breno BidonTripping
69'Ademir INWillian Jose out
69'A. Veliz INKaue Junior out
69'Ze Guilherme INLuciano Juba out
69'F. Angileri INP. Milans out
70'Breno Bidon INZ. Labyad out
77'Andre INAllan out
77'Raniele INM. Pereira out
77'Jean Lucas INEverton Ribeiro out
85'Yuri Alberto INA. Carrillo out
86'Erick Pulga INM. Sanabria out
89'Kaue
90+6'AllanRoughing

Lineups

Bahia
3-1-4-2Coach: Ceni Rogerio
Corinthians
4-2-3-1Coach: Fernando Diniz
Ronaldo1RonaldoRonaldo
Román Gómez31R. GómezRomán Gómez
David Duarte33D. DuarteDavid Duarte
Santiago Ramos Mingo21S. Ramos MingoSantiago Ramos Mingo
Nicolás Acevedo5N. AcevedoNicolás Acevedo
Ademir7AdemirAdemir
Rodrigo Nestor11R. NestorRodrigo Nestor
Jean Lucas6J. LucasJean Lucas
José Guilherme66J. GuilhermeJosé Guilherme
Alejo Véliz9A. VélizAlejo Véliz
Erick Pulga16E. PulgaErick Pulga
Hugo Souza1H. SouzaHugo Souza
Matheuzinho2MatheuzinhoMatheuzinho
Gabriel Paulista3G. PaulistaGabriel Paulista
Gustavo Henrique13G. HenriqueGustavo Henrique
Fabrizio Angileri26F. AngileriFabrizio Angileri
Raniele14RanieleRaniele
André Luiz49A. LuizAndré Luiz
Kaio César37K. CésarKaio César
Rodrigo Garro8R. GarroRodrigo Garro
Breno Bidon7B. BidonBreno Bidon
Yuri Alberto9Y. AlbertoYuri Alberto

Bahia Substitutes

17Guido HerreraG
4KanuD
44Marcos VictorD
46Luciano JubaD
77Ruan PabloF
10Everton RibeiroM
15Michel AraújoM
23Mateo SanabriaF
57Kauê FurquimM
63David MartinsM
27EveraldoF
12Willian JoséF

Corinthians Substitutes

51KauêG
4João Pedro TchocaD
20Pedro MilansD
5André RamalhoD
29AllanM
23Matheus PereiraM
19André CarrilloM
61DieguinhoM
52Zakaria LabyadF
35CharlesM
77Jesse LingardM
18Pedro RaulF

Match Stats

BahiaCorinthians
60%Ball Possession40%
6Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards4
12Total Shots5
2Shots on Goal2
8Shots off Goal1
8Shots Inside Box2
4Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots2
17Fouls17
2Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves1
464Total Passes318
409Passes Accurate256
88%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

BahiaBahia
CorinthiansCorinthians
1735Elo Rating 1672
2.56Attack 0.83
1.46Defense 1.39
86%Hit Rate 0%
15.6Shots per Game 10.4
6.6Shots on Target 2.7
5.8Corners per Game 4.5
1.7Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend69% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

BahiaBahia
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 1 in second half)
CorinthiansCorinthians
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Bahia 50%Draw 19%31% Corinthians
2.52Avg Goals
69%BTTS Rate
66%Over 2.5

Recent Form

BahiaBahia
2W1D2L
22/07/2026
Atletico-MGBahia
11
D
18/07/2026
BahiaChapecoense-sc
20
W
12/07/2026
FluminenseBahia
20
L
30/05/2026
BahiaBotafogo
21
W
26/05/2026
CoritibaBahia
32
L
CorinthiansCorinthians
3W1D1L
24/07/2026
CorinthiansRemo
30
W
12/07/2026
CascavelCorinthians
11
D
30/05/2026
GremioCorinthians
13
W
28/05/2026
CorinthiansPlatense
02
L
24/05/2026
CorinthiansAtletico-MG
10
W

Referee Profile

Ramon Abatti Abel, Brazil · 15 matches analysed

5.0Avg Yellows
5.3Avg Cards
26.8Avg Fouls
Stricter than 87% of referees analysed

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo27176453:22+3157WWWWL
2PalmeirasPalmeiras27168347:21+2656WDDWL
3Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense27137741:31+1046DLDWD
4BahiaBahia271210542:33+946WWWWD
5FluminenseFluminense27129641:35+645LWDWW
6CruzeiroCruzeiro27126939:39042LWLWW
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG26116935:31+439WLWDW
8CoritibaCoritiba27108937:38-138DLWWD
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino261061032:29+336DLLWD
10SantosSantos2698939:39035WWWDW
11BotafogoBotafogo27981041:43-235WDDLL
12Sao PauloSao Paulo26961131:30+133LWWLD
13VitoriaVitoria27961227:39-1233DWLLW
14CorinthiansCorinthians27881128:29-132LLLLL
15MirassolMirassol27781231:42-1129DWLDD
16GremioGremio27771330:38-828LLLWL
17Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama26771229:41-1228WLWLL
18InternacionalInternacional276101130:35-528WLLDD
19RemoRemo27581431:45-1423LLLLD
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc26381528:52-2417LWLWD
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo2753:2257
2PalmeirasPalmeiras2747:2156
3Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense2741:3146
4BahiaBahia2742:3346
5FluminenseFluminense2741:3545
6CruzeiroCruzeiro2739:3942
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG2635:3139
8CoritibaCoritiba2737:3838
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino2632:2936
10SantosSantos2639:3935
11BotafogoBotafogo2741:4335
12Sao PauloSao Paulo2631:3033
13VitoriaVitoria2727:3933
14CorinthiansCorinthians2728:2932
15MirassolMirassol2731:4229
16GremioGremio2730:3828
17Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama2629:4128
18InternacionalInternacional2730:3528
19RemoRemo2731:4523
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc2628:5217
PromotionRelegation

Bahia vs Corinthians Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Serie A fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Serie A

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Key Factors for This Match

Bahia have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Bahia and Corinthians have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.52 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.