Bahia vs Corinthians Prediction
Brazil · Regular Season - 20
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalSOLIDModel46%SurpriseMediumGap-4.4%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.58
SignalSOLIDModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+7.3%
Bahia Rest
4 days
Corinthians Rest
2 days
Bahia vs Corinthians: result, form and history
Bahia and Corinthians drew 1-1 in the Serie A on 26 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
140%2.38
X29%3.30
231%3.00
Double Chance
1X69%1.36
X260%1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes53%1.74
No47%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.31 + 1.05 = 2.36
Over 1.571%1.30
Over 2.548%1.99
Over 3.526%3.50
Under 1.529%3.30
Under 2.552%1.81
Under 3.574%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.3 + 4.4 = 10.7
Over 8.566%1.44
Over 9.553%1.80
Over 10.537%2.20
Under 8.534%2.58
Under 9.547%1.95
Under 10.563%1.61
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.4 = 4.6
Over 3.569%1.32
Over 4.550%1.68
Under 3.531%2.90
Under 4.550%2.01
Match Events
8'F. AngileriAssist: Andre
11'Goal Disallowed - offsideA. Veliz
16'F. AngileriTripping
19'David Duarte
28'Ze Guilherme
35'RanieleHolding
45+4'David DuarteAssist: Rodrigo
45+9'Rogerio Ceni
67'Breno BidonTripping
69'Ademir INWillian Jose out
69'A. Veliz INKaue Junior out
69'Ze Guilherme INLuciano Juba out
69'F. Angileri INP. Milans out
70'Breno Bidon INZ. Labyad out
77'Andre INAllan out
77'Raniele INM. Pereira out
77'Jean Lucas INEverton Ribeiro out
85'Yuri Alberto INA. Carrillo out
86'Erick Pulga INM. Sanabria out
89'Kaue
90+6'AllanRoughing
Lineups
BahiaCorinthians
4-2-3-1Coach: Fernando DinizAvg ratingAvg rating
1Ronaldo
31R. Gómez
33D. Duarte
21S. Ramos Mingo
C5N. Acevedo
7Ademir
11R. Nestor
6J. Lucas
66J. Guilherme
9A. Véliz
16E. Pulga
1H. Souza
2Matheuzinho
3G. Paulista
13G. Henrique
26F. Angileri
14Raniele
49A. Luiz
37K. César
C8R. Garro
7B. Bidon
9Y. AlbertoBahia Substitutes
17Guido Herrera
4Kanu
44Marcos Victor
46Luciano Juba69'for Ze Guilherme
77Ruan Pablo
10Everton Ribeiro77'for Jean Lucas
15Michel Araújo
23Mateo Sanabria86'for Erick Pulga
57Kauê Furquim69'for A. Veliz
63David Martins
27Everaldo
12Willian José69'for Ademir
Corinthians Substitutes
51Kauê89'
4João Pedro Tchoca
20Pedro Milans69'for F. Angileri
5André Ramalho
29Allan77'for Andre90+6'
23Matheus Pereira77'for Raniele
19André Carrillo85'for Yuri Alberto
61Dieguinho
52Zakaria Labyad70'for Breno Bidon
35Charles
77Jesse Lingard
18Pedro Raul
Match Stats
BahiaCorinthians 60%Ball Possession40%
7Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards5
13Total Shots5
2Shots on Goal2
8Shots off Goal1
9Shots Inside Box2
4Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots2
17Fouls18
2Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves1
474Total Passes323
414Passes Accurate258
87%Pass Accuracy80%
Team Comparison
BahiaCorinthians1713Elo Rating 1629
1.56Attack 1.15
1.04Defense 1.69
37%Hit Rate 23%
13.1Shots per Game 20.4
3.2Shots on Target 5.1
6.6Corners per Game 5.6
2.2Cards per Game 3.1
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend56% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Bahia- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.5 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Corinthians- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings, all competitions
Bahia3Wins · 34%Draws333%
Corinthians3Wins · 33%
3Wins · 33%2.4Avg Goals
56%Both teams scored5 of 9
56%3+ goals5 of 9
Previous meetings
29/01/2026CorinthiansBahia12
17/08/2025CorinthiansBahia12
31/03/2025BahiaCorinthians11
04/12/2024CorinthiansBahia30
21/07/2024BahiaCorinthians01
25/11/2023CorinthiansBahia15
22/07/2023BahiaCorinthians00
06/10/2021CorinthiansBahia31
20/06/2021BahiaCorinthians00
Recent Form
Bahia2W4D4L
22/07/2026
Atletico-MGBahiaBahia
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico-MGBahia11
D18/07/2026BahiaChapecoense-sc20
W12/07/2026
FluminenseBahia
FluminenseBahia20
L30/05/2026Bahia
Botafogo
BahiaBotafogo21
W26/05/2026
CoritibaBahia
CoritibaBahia32
L17/05/2026Bahia
Gremio
BahiaGremio11
D14/05/2026
RemoBahia
RemoBahia21
L10/05/2026Bahia
Cruzeiro
BahiaCruzeiro12
L03/05/2026
Sao PauloBahia
Sao PauloBahia22
D25/04/2026Bahia
Santos
BahiaSantos22
DCorinthians5W3D2L
24/07/2026CorinthiansRemo
CorinthiansRemo30
W12/07/2026
CascavelCorinthians
CascavelCorinthians11
D30/05/2026GremioCorinthians
GremioCorinthians13
W28/05/2026Corinthians
Platense
CorinthiansPlatense02
L24/05/2026CorinthiansAtletico-MG
CorinthiansAtletico-MG10
W22/05/2026
PenarolCorinthians
PenarolCorinthians11
D17/05/2026BotafogoCorinthians
BotafogoCorinthians31
L15/05/2026Corinthians
Barra
CorinthiansBarra10
W10/05/2026CorinthiansSao Paulo
CorinthiansSao Paulo32
W07/05/2026
Santa FeCorinthians
Santa FeCorinthians11
DReferee Profile
4.76Cards per match
4.50Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
29.4Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.76 cards a match, 0.35 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.11).
Cards come from 183 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 71:29 | +42 | 76 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 62:23 | +39 | 73 | WDWWW |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 55:48 | +7 | 60 | WWWWL |
| 4 | Fluminense | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 55:42 | +13 | 57 | WWLLL |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 51:43 | +8 | 54 | LLDLW |
| 6 | Bahia | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 50:45 | +5 | 53 | LWDLW |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 44:40 | +4 | 50 | LLLWW |
| 8 |  RB Bragantino | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44:39 | +5 | 47 | WWLDW |
| 9 | Santos | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 50:49 | +1 | 47 | LDDWL |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 39:39 | 0 | 44 | DLDWW |
| 11 | Botafogo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46:53 | -7 | 42 | WLLWD |
| 12 | Coritiba | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:51 | -11 | 42 | LWLLD |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 41 | WLWLD |
| 14 |  Mirassol | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 39:48 | -9 | 40 | WLDWL |
| 15 |  Vitoria | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 35:51 | -16 | 38 | LLDDL |
| 16 |  Internacional | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38:42 | -4 | 38 | WLWLD |
| 17 | Corinthians | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:42 | -6 | 37 | DWLDL |
| 18 | Gremio | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38:47 | -9 | 37 | LWWLD |
| 19 | Remo | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 37:57 | -20 | 29 | LWLDD |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 33:68 | -35 | 21 | LLWLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 34 | 71:29 | 76 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 34 | 62:23 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 34 | 55:48 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 34 | 55:42 | 57 |
| 5 | Atletico Paranaense | 34 | 51:43 | 54 |
| 6 | Bahia | 34 | 50:45 | 53 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 34 | 44:40 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 44:39 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos | 34 | 50:49 | 47 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 34 | 39:39 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 34 | 46:53 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 34 | 40:51 | 42 |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 33 | 43:50 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 34 | 39:48 | 40 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 34 | 35:51 | 38 |
| 16 | Internacional | 34 | 38:42 | 38 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 34 | 36:42 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio | 34 | 38:47 | 37 |
| 19 | Remo | 34 | 37:57 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 33 | 33:68 | 21 |
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About the Bahia vs Corinthians forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Bahia and Corinthians in the Serie A table
In the Serie A table, Bahia are 6th and Corinthians 17th, 16 points apart. League goal record so far: Bahia 50-45, Corinthians 36-42. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.