Moreirense vs Benfica Prediction
Portugal · Regular Season - 3
Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Conegos 09/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.56
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+6.5%
Moreirense Rest
5 days
Benfica Rest
4 days
Moreirense vs Benfica: result, form and history
Benfica beat Moreirense 4-0 in the Primeira Liga on 9 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Benfica had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Moreirense.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 7 of them. Benfica tend to win more corners, 5.8 a game to 2.7 for Moreirense.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
13%15.00
X16%8.13
281%1.15
Double Chance
1X19%5.40
X297%1.02
Both Teams to Score
Yes51%2.22
No49%1.60
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.81 + 2.23 = 3.04
Over 1.583%1.11
Over 2.560%1.40
Over 3.536%2.08
Under 1.517%6.00
Under 2.540%2.77
Under 3.564%1.73
Corners
Projected Corners: 2.9 + 7.1 = 10.1
Over 8.565%1.67
Over 9.554%2.05
Over 10.543%2.63
Under 8.535%2.10
Under 9.546%1.68
Under 10.557%1.41
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 1.5 = 3.9
Over 3.554%1.66
Over 4.535%2.27
Under 3.546%2.13
Under 4.565%1.56
Match Events
42'Gilberto BatistaFoul
45'Penalty confirmedClément Lenglet
45+3'Alexandre ParsemainFoul
45+4'Vangelis Pavlidis(Penalty)
52'Landerson Costa AraújoDissent
55'Andreas SchjelderupAssist: Gianluca Prestianni
56'Alexandre Parsemain INYan Maranhão out
56'Landerson Costa Araújo INTiago Andrade out
59'Gianluca PrestianniAssist: Andreas Schjelderup
66'Dinis Pinto INLeandro Santos out
66'Nile John INKiko Bondoso out
66'Vangelis Pavlidis INJhon Durán out
66'Leandro Barreiro INFredrik Aursnes out
66'Gianluca Prestianni INDodi Lukebakio out
72'Fredrik AursnesAssist: Andreas Schjelderup
75'João PalhinhaFoul
78'Samuel Dahl INSouffian El Karouani out
79'Jóbson de Brito Gonzaga INKevyn Monteiro out
86'Rafa Silva INHeorhii Sudakov out
87'Mateja StjepanovićFoul
90+1'Jhon DuránFoul
Lineups
MoreirenseBenfica
4-2-3-1Coach: Marco SilvaAvg ratingAvg rating
13A. Ferreira
76D. Pinto
66G. Batista
26Maracás
27Kiko
23N. John
8M. Stjepanović
7M. Ascenção Bebiano Mendonça
21R. Alonso
11Landerson
9A. Duville-Parsemain
24S. Soares
58D. Banjaqui
44T. Araújo
2C. Lenglet
26S. Dahl
36J. Palhinha
18L. Barreiro
27Rafa
25G. Prestianni
21A. Schjelderup
14V. PavlidisMoreirense Substitutes
1Aranha
19Tiago Andrade56'for Landerson Costa Araújo
25Afonso Assis
99Maranhão56'for Alexandre Parsemain
17Álvaro Martínez
4Kevyn Monteiro79'for Jóbson de Brito Gonzaga
10Kiko Bondoso66'for Nile John
28Chipyoka Songa
79L. Vonić
32Janderson
2Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos66'for Dinis Pinto
Benfica Substitutes
3A. Circati
5E. Barrenechea
22J. Durán66'for Vangelis Pavlidis90+1'
30C. Echeverri
34S. El Karouani78'for Samuel Dahl
72A. Cabral
13J. Kamiński
11D. Lukebakio66'for Gianluca Prestianni
16Manu
10H. Sudakov86'for Rafa Silva
1A. Trubin
8F. Aursnes66'for Leandro Barreiro72'
Match Stats
MoreirenseBenfica 26%Ball Possession74%
3Corner Kicks7
4Yellow Cards2
8Total Shots21
1Shots on Goal9
6Shots off Goal9
5Shots Inside Box16
3Shots Outside Box5
1Blocked Shots3
17Fouls10
0Offsides3
5Goalkeeper Saves1
243Total Passes701
167Passes Accurate629
69%Pass Accuracy90%
Team Comparison
MoreirenseBenfica1604Elo Rating 1888
1.37Attack 2.71
2.00Defense 2.23
50%Hit Rate 100%
11.1Shots per Game 19.0
3.4Shots on Target 7.2
2.7Corners per Game 5.8
0.9Cards per Game 2.9
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.03 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Moreirense- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Benfica- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.8 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Moreirense0Wins · 0%Draws550%
Benfica5Wins · 50%
5Wins · 50%2.8Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10
Previous meetings
25/04/2026BenficaMoreirense41
14/12/2025MoreirenseBenfica04
08/02/2025BenficaMoreirense32
30/08/2024MoreirenseBenfica11
14/04/2024BenficaMoreirense30
03/12/2023MoreirenseBenfica00
17/12/2022MoreirenseBenfica11
15/01/2022BenficaMoreirense11
07/08/2021MoreirenseBenfica12
14/02/2021MoreirenseBenfica11
Recent Form
Moreirense2W4D4L
04/09/2026
FC PortoMoreirense
30/08/2026FC PortoMoreirense21
L
Casa PiaMoreirense01
W16/08/2026
AroucaMoreirense
09/08/2026AroucaMoreirense40
LMoreirense
SC Braga22
D01/08/2026Moreirense
Amarante
MoreirenseAmarante20
W25/07/2026
GIL VicenteMoreirense
GIL VicenteMoreirense22
D22/07/2026
Santa ClaraMoreirense
Santa ClaraMoreirense21
L18/07/2026Moreirense
AVS
MoreirenseAVS22
D16/05/2026MoreirenseAVS
MoreirenseAVS00
D11/05/2026
TondelaMoreirense
TondelaMoreirense20
LBenfica8W2D0L
05/09/2026
MaritimoBenficaBenfica
Estoril
AarhusBenfica
Heart Of MidlothianBenficaBenficaHeart Of MidlothianBenfica
FC ST. Gallen
MaritimoBenfica03
W31/08/2026BenficaEstoril21
W27/08/2026AarhusBenfica13
W20/08/2026BenficaAarhus
BenficaAarhus31
W17/08/2026Casa PiaBenfica
13/08/2026Casa PiaBenfica07
WHeart Of MidlothianBenfica11
D09/08/2026Benfica
Academico Viseu
06/08/2026BenficaAcademico Viseu22
DBenficaHeart Of Midlothian61
W30/07/2026BenficaFC ST. Gallen50
W24/07/2026Benfica
CF Os Belenenses
BenficaCF Os Belenenses51
WLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 27:5 | +22 | 33 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Benfica | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 30:10 | +20 | 28 | WWWWL |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24:11 | +13 | 24 | WWLWD |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16:8 | +8 | 21 | LWLWD |
| 5 | Arouca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 13:8 | +5 | 20 | LWWWD |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:13 | +2 | 20 | LWWWW |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 10:8 | +2 | 18 | WDLWW |
| 8 | SC Braga | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | +2 | 17 | WWLLL |
| 9 | Moreirense | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 14 | LWWLD |
| 10 |  Famalicao | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:14 | +1 | 13 | WLWLW |
| 11 |  Alverca | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 12 | DLLWW |
| 12 |  Estrela | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | -5 | 10 | LLLLL |
| 13 |  Nacional | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11:19 | -8 | 10 | WLWLL |
| 14 |  Vitória SC | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:12 | -1 | 9 | LDWLD |
| 15 | Maritimo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:21 | -12 | 8 | LLLDL |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6:20 | -14 | 8 | DLWLW |
| 17 |  Rio Ave | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9:24 | -15 | 7 | LLLWL |
| 18 | Estoril | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5:19 | -14 | 2 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 11 | 27:5 | 33 |
| 2 | Benfica | 11 | 30:10 | 28 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 11 | 24:11 | 24 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 11 | 16:8 | 21 |
| 5 | Arouca | 11 | 13:8 | 20 |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 11 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 11 | 10:8 | 18 |
| 8 | SC Braga | 11 | 13:11 | 17 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 11 | 13:18 | 14 |
| 10 | Famalicao | 11 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 11 | Alverca | 11 | 14:15 | 12 |
| 12 | Estrela | 11 | 17:22 | 10 |
| 13 | Nacional | 11 | 11:19 | 10 |
| 14 | Vitória SC | 11 | 11:12 | 9 |
| 15 | Maritimo | 10 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 11 | 6:20 | 8 |
| 17 | Rio Ave | 11 | 9:24 | 7 |
| 18 | Estoril | 10 | 5:19 | 2 |
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primeira Liga matches
About the Moreirense vs Benfica forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Moreirense and Benfica in the Primeira Liga table
In the Primeira Liga table, Benfica are 2nd and Moreirense 9th, 14 points apart. League goal record so far: Moreirense 13-18, Benfica 30-10. The full standings are on the Primeira Liga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.