AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus Prediction

AZ Alkmaar
1-2
Finished
HT 0-2
Juventus
AFAS Stadion(Alkmaar), Alkmaar·Damian Sylwestrzak 05/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.25
SignalSOLIDModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-13.0%
AZ Alkmaar Rest
5 days
Juventus Rest
4 days

AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus: result, form and history

Juventus beat AZ Alkmaar 2-1 in the UEFA Europa League on 5 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Damian Sylwestrzak averages 4.96 cards a game, 0.62 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
30%3.83
X
26%3.74
2
44%1.92
Double Chance
1X
56%1.91
X2
70%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.66
No
46%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.47 + 1.12 = 2.59
Over 1.5
76%1.24
Over 2.5
53%1.80
Over 3.5
31%2.95
Under 1.5
24%3.92
Under 2.5
47%2.05
Under 3.5
69%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 3.7 = 8.6
Over 8.5
48%1.45
Over 9.5
37%1.80
Over 10.5
27%2.23
Under 8.5
52%2.50
Under 9.5
63%1.93
Under 10.5
73%1.57
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.2 = 4.4
Over 3.5
63%1.62
Over 4.5
44%2.29
Under 3.5
37%2.21
Under 4.5
56%1.59

Match Events

19'Teun KoopmeinersAssist: Randal Kolo Muani
23'Lewis Schouten INWesley Hoedt out
28'Wesley HoedtFoul
37'Randal Kolo MuaniAssist: Nick Woltemade
48'Andrea CambiasoFoul
60'Kerim Alajbegovic INJérémie Boga out
60'Andrea Cambiaso INJuan Cabal out
63'Valdemar Byskov Andreasen INKees Smit out
63'Denso Kasius INElijah Dijkstra out
63'Wouter Goes INJordy Clasie out
73'Calvin Stengs INAyoub Oufkir out
78'Nick Woltemade INJeff Ekhator out
79'Federico Gatti INGleison Bremer out
85'Jeff EkhatorFoul
85'Randal Kolo Muani INDouglas Luiz Soares out
88'Mexx MeerdinkAssist: Elijah Dijkstra
90+4'Juan CabalFoul

Lineups

AZ Alkmaar
4-3-3Coach: L. Echteld
Juventus
3-4-2-1Coach: L. Spalletti
Avg rating6.48
Avg rating6.65
J. De Busser6.228J. De Busser
D. Kasius6.430D. Kasius
W. Goes6.93W. Goes
L. Schouten6.64L. Schouten
M. de Wit6.534M. de Wit
D. Kwakman6.921D. Kwakman
V. Byskov6.417V. Byskov
P. Koopmeiners6.56P. Koopmeiners
C. Stengs6.114C. Stengs
M. Meerdink7.39M. Meerdink
R. Daal5.911R. Daal
G. Vicario6.825G. Vicario
F. Gatti6.74F. Gatti
J. Lucumí6.926J. Lucumí
L. Kelly6.36L. Kelly
P. Kalulu6.315P. Kalulu
P. Sarr6.529P. Sarr
T. Koopmeiners8.28T. Koopmeiners
A. Cambiaso6.220A. Cambiaso
R. Kolo Muani8.69R. Kolo Muani
Kerim-Sam Alajbegović5.717K. Alajbegović
N. Woltemade7.027N. Woltemade

AZ Alkmaar Substitutes

8J. Clasie63'for Wouter Goes6.0
5M. Chávez
22E. Dijkstra63'for Denso Kasius6.3
29W. Hoedt23'for Lewis Schouten28'6.2
31R. Ichihara
18B. Kovacs
2S. Maikuma
24A. Oufkir73'for Calvin Stengs6.7
1R. Owusu-Oduro
10K. Smit63'for Valdemar Byskov Andreasen6.8
12H. Verhulst
27Wassim bouziane

Juventus Substitutes

13J. Boga60'for Kerim Alajbegovic6.5
3Bremer79'for Federico Gatti6.3
32J. Cabal60'for Andrea Cambiaso90+4'6.0
12Douglas Luiz85'for Randal Kolo Muani6.1
18J. Ekhator78'for Nick Woltemade85'6.4
48D. Elimoghale
51A. Merola
33Neto
41A. Owusu
43F. Pagnucco
23C. Pinsoglio

Match Stats

AZ AlkmaarJuventus
56%Ball Possession44%
4Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards3
18Total Shots9
3Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal3
9Shots Inside Box6
9Shots Outside Box3
11Blocked Shots3
13Fouls20
3Offsides0
0Goalkeeper Saves2
582Total Passes453
523Passes Accurate378
18Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
JuventusJuventus
1797Elo Rating 1876
1.21Attack 1.61
1.56Defense 2.06
17%Hit Rate 66%
15.8Shots per Game 13.2
5.0Shots on Target 3.1
5.3Corners per Game 6.8
1.6Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
JuventusJuventus
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Referee Profile

Damian Sylwestrzak204 matches

4.96Cards per match
4.71Yellow cards per match
0.25Red cards per match
26.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Damian Sylwestrzak4.96
Other referees4.34

4.96 cards a match, 0.62 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.34).

Cards come from 154 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Europa League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BenficaBenfica440013:3+1012WWWW
2BournemouthBournemouth440011:2+912WWWW
3Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC440011:3+812WWWW
4Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise431010:2+810WWDW
5JuventusJuventus431011:4+710WDWW
6Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus43104:1+310DWWW
7Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen43018:1+79LWWW
8BeşiktaşBeşiktaş421111:8+37LDWW
9Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb42115:4+17WLWD
10Levski SofiaLevski Sofia42114:3+17WWDL
11SunderlandSunderland42114:407LDWW
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen42118:9-17WWDL
13LyonLyon42116:7-17DLWW
14AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar42027:4+36LWWL
15AnderlechtAnderlecht42026:3+36WWLL
16OFIOFI42025:4+16WLLW
17RennesRennes41304:3+16DDWD
18Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia42026:7-16LLWW
19TorreenseTorreense42027:9-26WLLW
20Real SociedadReal Sociedad41219:4+55DWDL
21Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace41219:6+35DDLW
22Sparta PrahaSparta Praha41126:604LLDW
231899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim41126:604DWLL
24Sturm GrazSturm Graz41123:6-34LWLD
25CeljeCelje41125:9-44WDLL
26Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg41123:8-54LDLW
27Celta VigoCelta Vigo41034:6-23LWLL
28AC MilanAC Milan41034:7-33LLWL
29JagielloniaJagiellonia41034:7-33LLWL
30PlzenPlzen41033:7-43WLLL
31MarseilleMarseille41032:6-43WLLL
32CelticCeltic41036:11-53WLLL
33Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva40131:8-71LLLD
34LillestromLillestrom40132:10-81LLDL
35Lech PoznanLech Poznan40132:12-101LDLL
36Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia40044:14-100LLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BenficaBenfica413:312
2BournemouthBournemouth411:212
3Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC411:312
4Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise410:210
5JuventusJuventus411:410
6Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus44:110
7Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen48:19
8BeşiktaşBeşiktaş411:87
9Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb45:47
10Levski SofiaLevski Sofia44:37
11SunderlandSunderland44:47
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen48:97
13LyonLyon46:77
14AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar47:46
15AnderlechtAnderlecht46:36
16OFIOFI45:46
17RennesRennes44:36
18Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia46:76
19TorreenseTorreense47:96
20Real SociedadReal Sociedad49:45
21Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace49:65
22Sparta PrahaSparta Praha46:64
231899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim46:64
24Sturm GrazSturm Graz43:64
25CeljeCelje45:94
26Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg43:84
27Celta VigoCelta Vigo44:63
28AC MilanAC Milan44:73
29JagielloniaJagiellonia44:73
30PlzenPlzen43:73
31MarseilleMarseille42:63
32CelticCeltic46:113
33Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva41:81
34LillestromLillestrom42:101
35Lech PoznanLech Poznan42:121
36Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia44:140
Europa League

About the AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus forecast

This is a UEFA Europa League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

AZ Alkmaar and Juventus in the UEFA Europa League table

In the UEFA Europa League table, Juventus are 5th and AZ Alkmaar 14th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: AZ Alkmaar 7-4, Juventus 11-4. The full standings are on the UEFA Europa League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

AZ Alkmaar and Juventus have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.