Benfica vs Lech Poznan Prediction
World · League Stage - 4
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.23
SignalHIGHModel83%SurpriseMediumGap-2.6%
Benfica Rest
2 days
Lech Poznan Rest
5 days
Benfica vs Lech Poznan: result, form and history
Benfica beat Lech Poznan 3-1 in the UEFA Europa League on 5 Nov 2026. It was in line with recent form: Benfica had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 3 for Lech Poznan.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
183%1.12
X13%9.55
24%18.50
Double Chance
1X96%1.02
X216%6.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes50%1.85
No50%1.87
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.2 + 0.87 = 3.07
Over 1.587%1.06
Over 2.573%1.23
Over 3.553%1.62
Under 1.513%8.50
Under 2.527%4.05
Under 3.547%2.29
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 3.5 = 9.4
Over 8.557%1.40
Over 9.546%1.64
Over 10.535%2.00
Under 8.543%2.75
Under 9.554%2.12
Under 10.565%1.71
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.4 = 4.5
Over 3.565%1.84
Over 4.546%2.81
Under 3.535%1.83
Under 4.554%1.40
Match Events
6'Rafa Silva
27'Y. AgneroFoul
42'Daniel BanjaquiFoul
60'Manuel SilvaFoul
62'Daniel Håkans INLuis Palma out
62'Rafa Silva INGianluca Prestianni out
62'Manuel Silva INEnzo Barrenechea out
62'Claudio Echeverri INFredrik Aursnes out
67'Gianluca PrestianniAssist: Heorhii Sudakov
69'Tomás Araújo INJoão Palhinha out
71'Pablo Rodriguez Delgado INFilip Jagiełło out
71'Patrick Walemark INLeo Bengtsson out
71'antoni kozubal INGustav Berggren out
72'Leo Bengtsson
79'Joel Pereira INRobert Gumny out
82'Andreas Schjelderup INDodi Lukebakio out
90'Heorhii SudakovAssist: Enzo Barrenechea
Lineups
BenficaLech Poznan
4-2-3-1Coach: N. FrederiksenAvg ratingAvg rating
1A. Trubin
58D. Banjaqui
3A. Circati
44T. Araújo
34S. El Karouani
10H. Sudakov
16Manu
27Rafa
30C. Echeverri
21A. Schjelderup
22J. Durán
1M. Lis
2J. Pereira
72M. Skrzypczak
59T. Yegbe
15M. Gurgul
22R. Murawski
43A. Kozubal
10P. Wålemark
21P. Rodríguez
11D. Håkans
7Y. AgneroBenfica Substitutes
8F. Aursnes62'for Claudio Echeverri
72A. Cabral
6A. Bah
5E. Barrenechea62'for Manuel Silva
26S. Dahl
33Gabriel Indio
13J. Kamiński
11D. Lukebakio82'for Andreas Schjelderup
36João Palhinha69'for Tomás Araújo
14V. Pavlidis
25G. Prestianni62'for Rafa Silva67'
24Samuel Soares
Lech Poznan Substitutes
56W. Szymczak
33M. Pruchniewski
77L. Palma62'for Daniel Håkans
31Wiktor Obremski
90H. Janyszka
24F. Jagiełło71'for Pablo Rodriguez Delgado
20R. Gumny79'for Joel Pereira
5G. Berggren71'for antoni kozubal
14L. Bengtsson71'for Patrick Walemark72'
55Piotr Bartczak
44Eryk Śledziński
Match Stats
BenficaLech Poznan 56%Ball Possession44%
6Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards1
24Total Shots6
12Shots on Goal5
8Shots off Goal1
18Shots Inside Box3
6Shots Outside Box3
4Blocked Shots0
15Fouls11
1Offsides3
4Goalkeeper Saves9
518Total Passes398
456Passes Accurate320
11Free Kicks15
Team Comparison
BenficaLech Poznan1888Elo Rating 1741
2.71Attack 1.43
2.23Defense 1.46
100%Hit Rate 39%
19.0Shots per Game 12.5
7.2Shots on Target 6.0
5.8Corners per Game 4.5
2.9Cards per Game 0.7
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+147 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.07 goals
📈BTTS Trend
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Benfica- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.8 in first half)
Lech Poznan- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Head to Head
Last 2 meetings, all competitions
Benfica2Wins · 100%Draws00%
Lech Poznan0Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%5.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2
Previous meetings
03/12/2020BenficaLech Poznan40
22/10/2020Lech PoznanBenfica24
Recent Form
Benfica9W0D1L
02/11/2026Benfica
Alverca
Santa ClaraBenfica
Omonia NicosiaBenficaBenfica
CelticBenfica
Vitória SC
AC MilanBenfica
MoreirenseBenfica
BenficaAlverca10
W29/10/2026Benfica
GIL Vicente
26/10/2026BenficaGIL Vicente41
WSanta ClaraBenfica12
W22/10/2026Omonia NicosiaBenfica14
W15/10/2026BenficaCeltic41
W11/10/2026BenficaVitória SC20
W20/09/2026
FC PortoBenfica
16/09/2026FC PortoBenfica31
LAC MilanBenfica02
W13/09/2026BenficaGIL Vicente
09/09/2026BenficaGIL Vicente31
WMoreirenseBenfica04
WLech Poznan5W2D3L
31/10/2026Lech Poznan
Wisla Krakow
Legia WarszawaLech PoznanLech Poznan
SunderlandLech Poznan
Korona KielceLech Poznan
Bayer Leverkusen
Slask WroclawLech PoznanLech Poznan
Radomiak Radom
Crystal PalaceLech Poznan
Lech PoznanWisla Krakow31
W28/10/2026
Siarka TarnobrzegLech Poznan
25/10/2026Siarka TarnobrzegLech Poznan10
LLegia WarszawaLech Poznan12
W22/10/2026Lech PoznanSunderland11
D18/10/2026Lech PoznanKorona Kielce61
W15/10/2026Lech PoznanBayer Leverkusen04
L10/10/2026Slask WroclawLech Poznan14
W03/10/2026Lech Poznan
Energie Cottbus
20/09/2026Lech PoznanEnergie Cottbus22
DLech PoznanRadomiak Radom51
W17/09/2026Crystal PalaceLech Poznan40
LReferee Profile
4.30Cards per match
4.20Yellow cards per match
0.10Red cards per match
26.9Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.30 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.27).
Cards come from 10 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:3 | +10 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 |  Bournemouth | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:2 | +9 | 12 | WWWW |
| 3 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:3 | +8 | 12 | WWWW |
| 4 |  Union St. Gilloise | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:2 | +8 | 10 | WWDW |
| 5 |  Juventus | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | +7 | 10 | WDWW |
| 6 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | +3 | 10 | DWWW |
| 7 | Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:1 | +7 | 9 | LWWW |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:8 | +3 | 7 | LDWW |
| 9 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | +1 | 7 | WLWD |
| 10 |  Levski Sofia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 7 | WWDL |
| 11 | Sunderland | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 | LDWW |
| 12 |  NEC Nijmegen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 | WWDL |
| 13 |  Lyon | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 7 | DLWW |
| 14 |  AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | +3 | 6 | LWWL |
| 15 |  Anderlecht | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:3 | +3 | 6 | WWLL |
| 16 |  OFI | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | +1 | 6 | WLLW |
| 17 |  Rennes | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | +1 | 6 | DDWD |
| 18 | Omonia Nicosia | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 | LLWW |
| 19 |  Torreense | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 6 | WLLW |
| 20 |  Real Sociedad | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | +5 | 5 | DWDL |
| 21 | Crystal Palace | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | +3 | 5 | DDLW |
| 22 |  Sparta Praha | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 | LLDW |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 | DWLL |
| 24 |  Sturm Graz | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 | LWLD |
| 25 |  Celje | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 | WDLL |
| 26 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 4 | LDLW |
| 27 |  Celta Vigo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 | LWLL |
| 28 | AC Milan | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 | LLWL |
| 29 |  Jagiellonia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 | LLWL |
| 30 |  Plzen | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 | WLLL |
| 31 |  Marseille | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 | WLLL |
| 32 | Celtic | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 | WLLL |
| 33 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:8 | -7 | 1 | LLLD |
| 34 |  Lillestrom | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:10 | -8 | 1 | LLDL |
| 35 | Lech Poznan | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:12 | -10 | 1 | LDLL |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4:14 | -10 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica | 4 | 13:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Bournemouth | 4 | 11:2 | 12 |
| 3 | Ferencvarosi TC | 4 | 11:3 | 12 |
| 4 | Union St. Gilloise | 4 | 10:2 | 10 |
| 5 | Juventus | 4 | 11:4 | 10 |
| 6 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 4 | 4:1 | 10 |
| 7 | Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 8 | Beşiktaş | 4 | 11:8 | 7 |
| 9 | Dinamo Zagreb | 4 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 10 | Levski Sofia | 4 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 11 | Sunderland | 4 | 4:4 | 7 |
| 12 | NEC Nijmegen | 4 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 13 | Lyon | 4 | 6:7 | 7 |
| 14 | AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 15 | Anderlecht | 4 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 16 | OFI | 4 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 17 | Rennes | 4 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 18 | Omonia Nicosia | 4 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 19 | Torreense | 4 | 7:9 | 6 |
| 20 | Real Sociedad | 4 | 9:4 | 5 |
| 21 | Crystal Palace | 4 | 9:6 | 5 |
| 22 | Sparta Praha | 4 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 23 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 24 | Sturm Graz | 4 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 25 | Celje | 4 | 5:9 | 4 |
| 26 | Red Bull Salzburg | 4 | 3:8 | 4 |
| 27 | Celta Vigo | 4 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 | AC Milan | 4 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 | Jagiellonia | 4 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 30 | Plzen | 4 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 31 | Marseille | 4 | 2:6 | 3 |
| 32 | Celtic | 4 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 33 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 4 | 1:8 | 1 |
| 34 | Lillestrom | 4 | 2:10 | 1 |
| 35 | Lech Poznan | 4 | 2:12 | 1 |
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | 4 | 4:14 | 0 |
Europa League
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This match
More UEFA Europa League matches
About the Benfica vs Lech Poznan forecast
This is a UEFA Europa League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Benfica and Lech Poznan in the UEFA Europa League table
The table shows a wide gap: Benfica are 1st in the UEFA Europa League, while Lech Poznan sit 35th, 11 points behind. League goal record so far: Benfica 13-3, Lech Poznan 2-12. The full standings are on the UEFA Europa League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Benfica and Lech Poznan have met only 2 times recently, averaging 5.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.