Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise Prediction
World · League Stage - 4
Municipal de Balaídos, Vigo·Aliyar Agayev 05/11/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.4 / 10
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Over 3.5
1.54
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+5.3%
Celta Vigo Rest
5 days
Union St. Gilloise Rest
5 days
Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise: result, form and history
Union St. Gilloise beat Celta Vigo 2-1 in the UEFA Europa League on 5 Nov 2026. It was in line with recent form: Union St. Gilloise had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Celta Vigo.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
139%2.38
X29%3.38
232%3.00
Double Chance
1X68%1.36
X261%1.58
Both Teams to Score
Yes53%1.70
No47%2.03
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.28 + 1.42 = 2.70
Over 1.574%1.30
Over 2.550%1.99
Over 3.529%3.35
Under 1.526%3.40
Under 2.550%1.85
Under 3.571%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.2 + 4.6 = 8.8
Over 8.550%1.95
Over 9.539%2.55
Over 10.529%3.52
Under 8.550%1.81
Under 9.561%1.50
Under 10.571%1.25
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.6 = 4.6
Over 3.567%1.54
Over 4.548%2.10
Under 3.533%2.38
Under 4.552%1.67
Match Events
11'Pablo Durán FernándezAssist: Sergio Carreira Vilarino
35'Besfort ZeneliAssist: Adem Zorgane
49'Besfort ZeneliAssist: Kevin Rodriguez
60'Aleix Febas INIago Aspas out
60'Hugo Alvarez Antunez INIlaix Moriba out
66'Adem Zorgane INDylan Aquino out
66'Kevin Rodriguez INDenzel De Roeve out
71'Guilherme SmithFoul
71'Williot Swedberg INCouhaib Driouech out
78'Penalty confirmedRelebohile Mofokeng
80'Besfort Zeneli(Penalty missed)
81'Javier Rueda García INFerran Jutglà out
81'Hugo Burcio INAndrés Antañón Vieites out
81'Guilherme Smith INIlan Hurtevent out
81'Nikki Havenaar INRoss Sykes out
86'Relebohile Mofokeng INDarius Olaru out
90+5'Pablo Durán FernándezFoul
Lineups
Celta VigoUnion St. Gilloise
3-4-2-1Coach: D. HubertAvg ratingAvg rating
13I. Radu
20J. Rodríguez
18Y. Lago
3M. Alonso
17J. Rueda
14A. Febas
30H. Burcio
5S. Carreira
23H. Álvarez
11P. Durán
19W. Swedberg
12H. Koffi
4N. Chibani
29M. Sylla
55N. Havenaar
27L. Patris
6K. Van de Perre
8A. Zorgane
11G. Henriques da Silva Carvalho
38R. Mofokeng
23B. Zeneli
13K. RodríguezCelta Vigo Substitutes
6I. Moriba60'for Hugo Alvarez Antunez
35G. Miller
9Ferran Jutglà81'for Javier Rueda García
22Javi Galán
28Andrés Antañón81'for Hugo Burcio
4A. Faye
31Ángel Arcos
10Iago Aspas60'for Aleix Febas
1A. Bayındır
21S. Cáceres
24C. Driouech71'for Williot Swedberg
16Hugo González
Union St. Gilloise Substitutes
26R. Sykes81'for Nikki Havenaar
17R. Schoofs
28D. Olaru86'for Relebohile Mofokeng
25I. Hurtevent81'for Guilherme Smith
39youssef hamoutahar
30R. Florucz
21D. De Roeve66'for Kevin Rodriguez
1V. Chambaere
20D. Aquino66'for Adem Zorgane
43Daniel Tshilanda Kabongo
32S. Keita
Match Stats
Celta VigoUnion St. Gilloise 58%Ball Possession42%
11Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards1
13Total Shots15
4Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal8
8Shots Inside Box10
5Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots4
17Fouls11
1Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves3
600Total Passes417
527Passes Accurate346
10Free Kicks15
Team Comparison
Celta VigoUnion St. Gilloise1734Elo Rating 1905
0.88Attack 3.06
1.47Defense 2.11
31%Hit Rate 100%
13.1Shots per Game 18.2
2.9Shots on Target 7.6
5.2Corners per Game 4.8
1.0Cards per Game 1.5
Game State Tendencies
Celta Vigo- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Union St. Gilloise- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (2.4 vs 0.7 in first half)
Recent Form
Celta Vigo3W4D3L
31/10/2026
Rayo VallecanoCelta VigoCelta Vigo
Real Betis
CelticCelta VigoCelta Vigo
AlavesCelta Vigo
Juventus
ElcheCelta VigoCelta Vigo
Racing Santander
Omonia NicosiaCelta VigoCelta Vigo
Malaga
GetafeCelta Vigo
Rayo VallecanoCelta Vigo30
L25/10/2026Celta VigoReal Betis00
D22/10/2026CelticCelta Vigo12
W18/10/2026Celta VigoAlaves21
W15/10/2026Celta VigoJuventus12
L11/10/2026ElcheCelta Vigo00
D19/09/2026Celta VigoRacing Santander50
W16/09/2026Omonia NicosiaCelta Vigo10
L13/09/2026Celta VigoMalaga11
D07/09/2026GetafeCelta Vigo11
DUnion St. Gilloise8W2D0L
31/10/2026
SK BeverenUnion St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise
Cercle BruggeUnion St. Gilloise
Hapoel Beer ShevaUnion St. Gilloise
Real SociedadUnion St. Gilloise
OH Leuven
AntwerpUnion St. Gilloise
PlzenUnion St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise
Lommel United
CharleroiUnion St. Gilloise
SK BeverenUnion St. Gilloise12
W25/10/2026Union St. GilloiseCercle Brugge52
W22/10/2026Union St. GilloiseHapoel Beer Sheva40
W18/10/2026Union St. Gilloise
Nijlen
15/10/2026Union St. GilloiseNijlen30
WUnion St. GilloiseReal Sociedad11
D11/10/2026Union St. GilloiseOH Leuven11
D20/09/2026AntwerpUnion St. Gilloise02
W17/09/2026PlzenUnion St. Gilloise03
W12/09/2026Union St. GilloiseLommel United50
W05/09/2026CharleroiUnion St. Gilloise23
WLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:3 | +10 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 |  Bournemouth | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:2 | +9 | 12 | WWWW |
| 3 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:3 | +8 | 12 | WWWW |
| 4 | Union St. Gilloise | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:2 | +8 | 10 | WWDW |
| 5 | Juventus | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | +7 | 10 | WDWW |
| 6 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | +3 | 10 | DWWW |
| 7 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:1 | +7 | 9 | LWWW |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:8 | +3 | 7 | LDWW |
| 9 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | +1 | 7 | WLWD |
| 10 |  Levski Sofia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 7 | WWDL |
| 11 |  Sunderland | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 | LDWW |
| 12 |  NEC Nijmegen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 | WWDL |
| 13 |  Lyon | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 7 | DLWW |
| 14 |  AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | +3 | 6 | LWWL |
| 15 |  Anderlecht | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:3 | +3 | 6 | WWLL |
| 16 |  OFI | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | +1 | 6 | WLLW |
| 17 |  Rennes | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | +1 | 6 | DDWD |
| 18 | Omonia Nicosia | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 | LLWW |
| 19 |  Torreense | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 6 | WLLW |
| 20 | Real Sociedad | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | +5 | 5 | DWDL |
| 21 |  Crystal Palace | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | +3 | 5 | DDLW |
| 22 |  Sparta Praha | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 | LLDW |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 | DWLL |
| 24 |  Sturm Graz | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 | LWLD |
| 25 |  Celje | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 | WDLL |
| 26 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 4 | LDLW |
| 27 | Celta Vigo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 | LWLL |
| 28 |  AC Milan | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 | LLWL |
| 29 |  Jagiellonia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 | LLWL |
| 30 | Plzen | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 | WLLL |
| 31 |  Marseille | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 | WLLL |
| 32 | Celtic | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 | WLLL |
| 33 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:8 | -7 | 1 | LLLD |
| 34 |  Lillestrom | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:10 | -8 | 1 | LLDL |
| 35 |  Lech Poznan | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:12 | -10 | 1 | LDLL |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4:14 | -10 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica | 4 | 13:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Bournemouth | 4 | 11:2 | 12 |
| 3 | Ferencvarosi TC | 4 | 11:3 | 12 |
| 4 | Union St. Gilloise | 4 | 10:2 | 10 |
| 5 | Juventus | 4 | 11:4 | 10 |
| 6 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 4 | 4:1 | 10 |
| 7 | Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 8 | Beşiktaş | 4 | 11:8 | 7 |
| 9 | Dinamo Zagreb | 4 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 10 | Levski Sofia | 4 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 11 | Sunderland | 4 | 4:4 | 7 |
| 12 | NEC Nijmegen | 4 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 13 | Lyon | 4 | 6:7 | 7 |
| 14 | AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 15 | Anderlecht | 4 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 16 | OFI | 4 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 17 | Rennes | 4 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 18 | Omonia Nicosia | 4 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 19 | Torreense | 4 | 7:9 | 6 |
| 20 | Real Sociedad | 4 | 9:4 | 5 |
| 21 | Crystal Palace | 4 | 9:6 | 5 |
| 22 | Sparta Praha | 4 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 23 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 24 | Sturm Graz | 4 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 25 | Celje | 4 | 5:9 | 4 |
| 26 | Red Bull Salzburg | 4 | 3:8 | 4 |
| 27 | Celta Vigo | 4 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 | AC Milan | 4 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 | Jagiellonia | 4 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 30 | Plzen | 4 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 31 | Marseille | 4 | 2:6 | 3 |
| 32 | Celtic | 4 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 33 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 4 | 1:8 | 1 |
| 34 | Lillestrom | 4 | 2:10 | 1 |
| 35 | Lech Poznan | 4 | 2:12 | 1 |
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | 4 | 4:14 | 0 |
Europa League
Explore more predictions
This match
- Celta Vigo Predictions
- Union St. Gilloise Predictions
- UEFA Europa League Predictions
- UEFA Europa League Standings
- UEFA Europa League Stats 2026
- UEFA Europa League top scorers
- UEFA Europa League Knockout Rounds
- UEFA Europa League Winners and Finals History
- Football Tournaments: Predictions, Brackets and History
More UEFA Europa League matches
About the Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise forecast
This is a UEFA Europa League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Celta Vigo and Union St. Gilloise in the UEFA Europa League table
In the UEFA Europa League table, Union St. Gilloise are 4th and Celta Vigo 27th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Celta Vigo 4-6, Union St. Gilloise 10-2. The full standings are on the UEFA Europa League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Celta Vigo and Union St. Gilloise have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.