Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Cambuur
2-2
Finished
HT 2-1
AZ Alkmaar
Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden·Stan Teuben 18/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.36
SignalGOODModel69%SurpriseMediumGap-1.3%
Cambuur Rest
7 days
AZ Alkmaar Rest
2 days

Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar: result, form and history

Cambuur and AZ Alkmaar drew 2-2 in the Eredivisie on 18 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

AZ Alkmaar have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 2.0 goals a game. AZ Alkmaar tend to win more corners, 5.5 a game to 3.5 for Cambuur.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
17%6.00
X
21%4.80
2
62%1.46
Double Chance
1X
38%2.65
X2
84%1.12
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.50
No
37%2.46
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.09 + 2.12 = 3.21
Over 1.5
87%1.08
Over 2.5
69%1.36
Over 3.5
48%1.98
Under 1.5
13%6.33
Under 2.5
31%2.90
Under 3.5
52%1.80
Corners
Projected Corners: 4 + 6.3 = 10.2
Over 8.5
67%1.44
Over 9.5
56%1.75
Over 10.5
44%2.19
Under 8.5
33%2.65
Under 9.5
44%2.01
Under 10.5
56%1.62
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.8 + 2.4 = 5.3
Over 3.5
77%-
Over 4.5
60%-
Under 3.5
23%-
Under 4.5
40%-

Match Events

7'Nicolas BinderAssist: Jason Ceka
10'Lewis SchoutenFoul
24'Devid Eugene BouahFoul
26'Ro Zangelo DaalAssist: Peer Koopmeiners
39'Ilyes HamacheAssist: Billy van Duijl
53'Devid Eugene Bouah
57'Jason Ceka INRik Mulders out
59'Ayoub OufkirFoul
63'Mateo Chávez INMees de Wit out
63'Ayoub Oufkir INBendegúz Kovács out
64'Jordy Clasie INValdemar Byskov Andreasen out
64'Wouter Goes INDave Kwakman out
74'Nicolas Binder INSami Bouhoudane out
81'Penalty confirmedMees de Wit
81'Johan PlatDissent
82'Thijs JansenFoul
83'Mexx Meerdink(Penalty)
84'Mathieu Maertens INJorn Berkhout out
84'Rafik El Arguioui INWiebe Kooistra out
84'Ilyes Hamache INIwan Henstra out
89'Calvin Stengs INJerolldino Bergraaf out

Lineups

Cambuur
4-2-3-1Coach: J. Plat
AZ Alkmaar
4-2-3-1Coach: L. Echteld
Avg rating6.55
Avg rating6.48
T. Jansen6.01T. Jansen
D. Bouah5.22D. Bouah
I. Baouf6.44I. Baouf
B. van Duijl6.514B. van Duijl
M. Costarelli6.528M. Costarelli
M. Maertens6.133M. Maertens
N. Souren6.78N. Souren
J. Çeka7.430J. Çeka
R. El Arguioui6.410R. El Arguioui
I. Hamache7.511I. Hamache
N. Binder8.213N. Binder
J. De Busser6.728J. De Busser
E. Dijkstra6.422E. Dijkstra
W. Goes6.73W. Goes
L. Schouten6.34L. Schouten
M. Chávez6.05M. Chávez
J. Clasie6.18J. Clasie
P. Koopmeiners7.76P. Koopmeiners
A. Oufkir5.624A. Oufkir
C. Stengs6.514C. Stengs
R. Daal7.511R. Daal
M. Meerdink7.09M. Meerdink

Cambuur Substitutes

24M. Kalisvaart
23L. Jetten
29Iwan Henstra84'for Ilyes Hamache6.6
7S. Bouhoudane74'for Nicolas Binder6.4
3J. Berkhout84'for Mathieu Maertens6.2
27W. Kooistra84'for Rafik El Arguioui6.6
15F. Kvam
16R. Mulders57'for Jason Ceka6.2
22L. Plogmann
9S. Vink
48D. Westerhof
17Ethan Apkakou

AZ Alkmaar Substitutes

27Wassim bouziane
17V. Byskov64'for Jordy Clasie6.0
34M. de Wit63'for Mateo Chávez6.2
29W. Hoedt
31R. Ichihara
30D. Kasius
18B. Kovacs63'for Ayoub Oufkir6.4
21D. Kwakman64'for Wouter Goes6.1
2S. Maikuma
1R. Owusu-Oduro
7Weslley Patati
54Jerolldino Bergraaf89'replaced by Calvin Stengs

Match Stats

CambuurAZ Alkmaar
36%Ball Possession64%
3Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
11Total Shots7
6Shots on Goal4
0Shots off Goal2
8Shots Inside Box7
3Shots Outside Box0
5Blocked Shots1
11Fouls15
2Goalkeeper Saves4
294Total Passes535
219Passes Accurate451
14Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

CambuurCambuur
AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
1612Elo Rating 1838
1.74Attack 1.16
1.98Defense 1.70
39%Hit Rate 39%
11.3Shots per Game 12.0
4.7Shots on Target 4.7
3.5Corners per Game 5.5
2.8Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.21 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CambuurCambuur
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

CambuurCambuur0Wins · 0%
Draws125%
AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar3Wins · 75%
2.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

Eredivisie25/02/2023
AZ AlkmaarCambuur
21
Eredivisie28/08/2022
CambuurAZ Alkmaar
01
Eredivisie22/01/2022
AZ AlkmaarCambuur
00
Eredivisie03/10/2021
CambuurAZ Alkmaar
13

Referee Profile

Stan Teuben138 matches

3.47Cards per match
3.33Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
24.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Stan Teuben3.47
Other referees3.39

3.47 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.39).

Cards come from 109 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FeyenoordFeyenoord972031:10+2123WWWWW
2AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar962120:10+1020DLWDW
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven961227:12+1519LWLWW
4AjaxAjax953127:12+1518WDDWW
5TwenteTwente952217:10+717LDWWW
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard943216:17-115DDWLW
7GroningenGroningen942322:19+314LWWDD
8HeerenveenHeerenveen933315:11+412WLWDL
9GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles925220:21-111LDDDD
10ExcelsiorExcelsior932416:18-211LLDLD
11UtrechtUtrecht932416:26-1011WWLWD
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen924315:16-110DDDLD
13Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam923416:22-69WDLLD
14CambuurCambuur923413:21-89DWDWD
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle921610:22-127WLLLD
16TelstarTelstar913510:18-86LDLDL
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag913511:20-96WDDLL
18Willem IIWillem II90279:26-172LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1FeyenoordFeyenoord931:1023
2AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar920:1020
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven927:1219
4AjaxAjax927:1218
5TwenteTwente917:1017
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard916:1715
7GroningenGroningen922:1914
8HeerenveenHeerenveen915:1112
9GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles920:2111
10ExcelsiorExcelsior916:1811
11UtrechtUtrecht916:2611
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen915:1610
13Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam916:229
14CambuurCambuur913:219
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle910:227
16TelstarTelstar910:186
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag911:206
18Willem IIWillem II99:262
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Cambuur and AZ Alkmaar in the Eredivisie table

In the Eredivisie table, AZ Alkmaar are 2nd and Cambuur 14th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Cambuur 13-21, AZ Alkmaar 20-10. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Cambuur have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.