AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II Prediction
Netherlands · Regular Season - 6
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II: the result in context
AZ Alkmaar and Willem II drew 1-1 in the Eredivisie on 11 Sep 2026. AZ Alkmaar had gone in with the better form, having won 5 of their previous five against 1 for Willem II.
AZ Alkmaar have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 3.8 goals a game. Referee M. van den Kerkhof averages 2.65 cards a game, 0.58 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
AZ Alkmaar
Avg ratingAvg rating
28J. De Busser
22E. Dijkstra
3W. Goes
4L. Schouten
5M. Chávez
8J. Clasie
6P. Koopmeiners
14C. Stengs
21D. Kwakman
11R. Daal
9M. Meerdink
26M. Delanghe
5H. ter Avest
3F. Stam
23M. Dekker
24N. Tjoe-A-On
6C. Twigt
52T. Vilhena
22P. van Loon
19U. van Aalst
7J. Slory
9D. HaenAZ Alkmaar Substitutes
Willem II Substitutes
Match Stats
AZ AlkmaarWillem II Team Comparison
AZ AlkmaarWillem IIAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
AZ Alkmaar- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Willem II- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.5 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Head to Head
Last 6 meetings, all competitions
AZ Alkmaar4Wins · 66%1Wins · 17%Previous meetings
02/02/2025Willem IIAZ Alkmaar10/11/2024AZ AlkmaarWillem II20/03/2022Willem IIAZ Alkmaar18/12/2021AZ AlkmaarWillem II03/04/2021Willem IIAZ Alkmaar20/12/2020AZ AlkmaarWillem IIRecent Form
AZ Alkmaar
HeerenveenAZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
GO Ahead Eagles
Fortuna SittardAZ Alkmaar
UtrechtAZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
ADO Den Haag
PSV EindhovenAZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
Olympiakos PiraeusAZ Alkmaar
Genk
Zulte WaregemAZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
Almere City FCWillem IIWillem II
ExcelsiorWillem IIHeerenveenWillem II
NEC NijmegenGO Ahead EaglesWillem IIWillem II
OFIWillem II
KV MechelenWillem II
FC EindhovenWillem II
Quick Boys
FC VolendamWillem IIWillem IIFC VolendamReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
2.65 cards a match, 0.58 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.23).
Cards come from 168 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV Eindhoven | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 40:15 | +25 | 26 | WWDLW |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 36:17 | +19 | 25 | LDDWW |
| 3 |  Ajax | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 32:15 | +17 | 25 | DWWWD |
| 4 |  Twente | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 30:12 | +18 | 24 | DWWLD |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 24:16 | +8 | 23 | WLLDL |
| 6 | Heerenveen | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 24:16 | +8 | 21 | WWWWL |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:20 | 0 | 20 | DDWDD |
| 8 | GO Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 24:27 | -3 | 17 | WLWLD |
| 9 |  Groningen | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 29:28 | +1 | 15 | LLDLW |
| 10 |  Cambuur | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 25:27 | -2 | 15 | LWWDW |
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 14 | WLDDD |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 21:29 | -8 | 12 | LWLWD |
| 13 |  PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:24 | -11 | 12 | DWDWL |
| 14 | Utrecht | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 21:34 | -13 | 12 | LLDWW |
| 15 | Excelsior | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16:29 | -13 | 11 | LLLLL |
| 16 |  Telstar | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 18:25 | -7 | 10 | DWLLD |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16:25 | -9 | 9 | WLLWD |
| 18 | Willem II | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11:40 | -29 | 3 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV Eindhoven | 12 | 40:15 | 26 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 12 | 36:17 | 25 |
| 3 | Ajax | 12 | 32:15 | 25 |
| 4 | Twente | 12 | 30:12 | 24 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 12 | 24:16 | 23 |
| 6 | Heerenveen | 12 | 24:16 | 21 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 20:20 | 20 |
| 8 | GO Ahead Eagles | 12 | 24:27 | 17 |
| 9 | Groningen | 12 | 29:28 | 15 |
| 10 | Cambuur | 12 | 25:27 | 15 |
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 12 | 20:21 | 14 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 21:29 | 12 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 13:24 | 12 |
| 14 | Utrecht | 12 | 21:34 | 12 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 12 | 16:29 | 11 |
| 16 | Telstar | 12 | 18:25 | 10 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | 16:25 | 9 |
| 18 | Willem II | 12 | 11:40 | 3 |
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This match
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About the AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II forecast
The forecasts for this Eredivisie match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
AZ Alkmaar and Willem II in the Eredivisie table
In the Eredivisie table, AZ Alkmaar are 5th and Willem II 18th, 20 points apart. League goal record so far: AZ Alkmaar 24-16, Willem II 11-40. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.