Flamengo vs Sao Paulo Prediction
Brazil · Regular Season - 20
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Flamengo vs Sao Paulo: the result in context
Flamengo and Sao Paulo drew 1-1 in the Serie A on 26 Jul 2026. Flamengo had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 1 for Sao Paulo.
Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game. Referee Anderson Daronco averages 4.49 cards a game, 0.71 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Flamengo
Avg ratingAvg rating
1A. Rossi
22E. Royal
44Vitão
4L. Pereira
26A. Sandro
5E. Pulgar
21Jorginho
99Lorran
16S. Lino
C27B. Henrique
9Pedro
23Rafael
19L. Ramon
5R. Arboleda
54L. Osorio
18Wendell
37Artur
29P. Maia
94Danielzinho
8M. Antônio
C9J. Calleri
10LucianoFlamengo Substitutes
Sao Paulo Substitutes
Match Stats
FlamengoSao Paulo Team Comparison
FlamengoSao PauloAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Flamengo- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.7 vs 1.1 in second half)
Sao Paulo- Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.3 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Flamengo3Wins · 30%4Wins · 40%Previous meetings
29/01/2026Sao PauloFlamengo06/11/2025Sao PauloFlamengo12/07/2025FlamengoSao Paulo04/08/2024Sao PauloFlamengo18/04/2024FlamengoSao Paulo07/12/2023Sao PauloFlamengo
24/09/2023Sao PauloFlamengo17/09/2023FlamengoSao Paulo13/08/2023FlamengoSao Paulo15/09/2022FlamengoSao PauloRecent Form
Flamengo
Chapecoense-scFlamengoFlamengo
Olimpia
BenficaFlamengoFlamengo
LausanneFlamengo
River PlateFlamengo
CoritibaFlamengo
CuscoFlamengo
PalmeirasFlamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
Atletico ParanaenseFlamengoSao PauloSao PauloAtletico Paranaense
RemoSao PauloSao Paulo
Boston RiverSao Paulo
BotafogoSao Paulo
Millonarios
FluminenseSao Paulo
JuventudeSao Paulo
CorinthiansSao Paulo
O'HigginsSao PauloSao Paulo
BahiaReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.49 cards a match, 0.71 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.20).
Cards come from 240 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 71:29 | +42 | 76 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 62:23 | +39 | 73 | WDWWW |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 55:48 | +7 | 60 | WWWWL |
| 4 | Fluminense | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 55:42 | +13 | 57 | WWLLL |
| 5 | Atletico Paranaense | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 51:43 | +8 | 54 | LLDLW |
| 6 | Bahia | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 50:45 | +5 | 53 | LWDLW |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 44:40 | +4 | 50 | LLLWW |
| 8 |  RB Bragantino | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44:39 | +5 | 47 | WWLDW |
| 9 |  Santos | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 50:49 | +1 | 47 | LDDWL |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 39:39 | 0 | 44 | DLDWW |
| 11 | Botafogo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46:53 | -7 | 42 | WLLWD |
| 12 | Coritiba | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:51 | -11 | 42 | LWLLD |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 41 | WLWLD |
| 14 |  Mirassol | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 39:48 | -9 | 40 | WLDWL |
| 15 |  Vitoria | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 35:51 | -16 | 38 | LLDDL |
| 16 |  Internacional | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38:42 | -4 | 38 | WLWLD |
| 17 | Corinthians | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:42 | -6 | 37 | DWLDL |
| 18 |  Gremio | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38:47 | -9 | 37 | LWWLD |
| 19 | Remo | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 37:57 | -20 | 29 | LWLDD |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 33:68 | -35 | 21 | LLWLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 34 | 71:29 | 76 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 34 | 62:23 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 34 | 55:48 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 34 | 55:42 | 57 |
| 5 | Atletico Paranaense | 34 | 51:43 | 54 |
| 6 | Bahia | 34 | 50:45 | 53 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 34 | 44:40 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 44:39 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos | 34 | 50:49 | 47 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 34 | 39:39 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 34 | 46:53 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 34 | 40:51 | 42 |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 33 | 43:50 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 34 | 39:48 | 40 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 34 | 35:51 | 38 |
| 16 | Internacional | 34 | 38:42 | 38 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 34 | 36:42 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio | 34 | 38:47 | 37 |
| 19 | Remo | 34 | 37:57 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 33 | 33:68 | 21 |
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This match
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About the Flamengo vs Sao Paulo forecast
The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Flamengo and Sao Paulo in the Serie A table
In the Serie A table, Flamengo are 1st and Sao Paulo 10th, 32 points apart. League goal record so far: Flamengo 71-29, Sao Paulo 39-39. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Flamengo have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.