Barendrecht vs Waalwijk Prediction

Barendrecht
2-2
After Penalties
HT 0-0AET 1-1PEN 1-4
Waalwijk
Sports Centre de Bongerd 27/10/2026
BarendrechtBarendrecht
2-2
After Penalties
WaalwijkWaalwijk

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.33
SignalHIGHModel69%SurpriseHighGap0.0%
Barendrecht Rest
3 days
Waalwijk Rest
4 days

Barendrecht vs Waalwijk: the result in context

Waalwijk beat Barendrecht on penalties (4-1) after a 2-2 draw in the KNVB Beker on 27 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Barendrecht had won 4 of their previous five, compared with none for Waalwijk.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
9%7.50
X
18%4.95
2
73%1.33
Double Chance
1X
28%3.05
X2
91%1.08
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.67
No
50%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.09 + 1.45 = 2.54
Over 1.5
78%1.11
Over 2.5
59%1.40
Over 3.5
40%2.06
Under 1.5
22%5.45
Under 2.5
41%2.56
Under 3.5
60%1.67
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

43'R. OualiUnsportsmanlike conduct
43'F. HooremanUnsportsmanlike conduct
43'Y. van der VeenUnsportsmanlike conduct
46'F. Stokkers INR. Fage out
60'B. VugtsFoul
65'Y. van der Veen INH. van Gemert out
65'A. Dkidak INK. Varela out
66'F. Hooreman INE. Fortes out
66'R. Ouali INM. Bakour out
67'R. FageAssist: J. Nap
73'R. van Hedel INL. Postma out
76'L. PostmaHandling
78'T. Bayram INC. Schop out
82'A. SerghiniAssist: J. Brand
84'C. SchopFoul
86'T. de GraafFoul
86'J. Nap INJ. Familia-Castillo out

Extra Time1 - 1

91'R. Fage INR. Kuijpers out
91'K. Rook INJ. Kieboom out
97'J. van de HaarAssist: R. Kuijpers
98'B. Vugts INO. Stewart out
102'J. van de HaarFoul
109'Meer BradleyUnsportsmanlike conduct
110'A. Serghini INV. Knol out
115'T. de GraafAssist: J. Kieboom

Penalty Shootout1 - 4

1R. Kuijpers(Penalty)
1J. Kieboom(Penalty missed)
2H. van Gemert(Penalty)
2J. Brand(Penalty missed)
3L. van Gelderen(Penalty)
3Meer Bradley(Penalty)
4L. Postma(Penalty)

Lineups

Barendrecht
4-4-2
Waalwijk
4-4-2
Avg rating6.82
Avg rating6.80
Bradley van der Meer6.21B. van der Meer
Jay Brand6.22J. Brand
Timo de Graaf7.73T. de Graaf
Danny MonsterC6.97D. Monster
Kevin Rook6.615K. Rook
Olek Mrowicki6.621O. Mrowicki
Taner  Bayram6.96T. Bayram
Redouan Omar Ouali6.924R. Omar Ouali
Aness Serghini7.311A. Serghini
Brent Vugts6.59B. Vugts
2323F. Hooreman
Mark Spenkelink6.316M. Spenkelink
Navajo Bakboord6.525N. Bakboord
Sven van der Plas6.33S. van der Plas
Liam Van GelderenC6.24L. Van Gelderen
Nazjir Held6.355N. Held
Azzedine Dkidak6.524A. Dkidak
Jochem Nap7.28J. Nap
Rein van Hedel6.518R. van Hedel
Yoram van der Veen7.311Y. van der Veen
Jesse van de Haar8.29J. van de Haar
Finn Stokkers6.527F. Stokkers

Barendrecht Substitutes

10Eric Fortes
26Marouane Bakour66'for R. Ouali7.0
12Constantijn Schop78'for T. Bayram84'6.6
17Joshua Kieboom91'for K. Rook6.9
8Orlano Stewart
4Veron Knol
20Wouter van der Borch
5Nadir Jouhri
16Mikhail El Mahdioui
18Tom Van Oost
25RyniƱo Rimon
30Nigel Keehnen

Waalwijk Substitutes

7Ryan Fage46'for F. Stokkers67'91'for R. Kuijpers7.6
19Haye Van Gemert65'for Y. van der Veen6.7
20Keyan Varela65'for A. Dkidak7.5
6Loek Postma73'for R. van Hedel76'6.2
5Juan Familia-Castillo86'for J. Nap6.5
17Roy Kuijpers91'replaced by R. Fage7.3
13Xander Mulder
1Niek Schiks
30Jordy de Wijs
42Bart Kemmeren
33Faissal Al Mazyani

Match Stats

BarendrechtWaalwijk
52%Ball Possession48%
6Corner Kicks5
5Yellow Cards2
10Total Shots13
2Shots on Goal3
3Shots off Goal9
3Shots Inside Box9
7Shots Outside Box4
5Blocked Shots2
14Fouls16
2Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves1
373Total Passes431
284Passes Accurate341
79%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

BarendrechtBarendrecht
WaalwijkWaalwijk
1577Elo Rating 1596
2.25Attack 0.66
1.52Defense 1.47
81%Hit Rate 0%
-Shots per Game 15.9
-Shots on Target 4.1
-Corners per Game 7.4
-Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

šŸ“‰Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

BarendrechtBarendrecht
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
WaalwijkWaalwijk
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

BarendrechtBarendrecht
6W2D2L

Bracket

Round of 64
Excelsior '3116
ADO Den Haag15
On penalties
VVV Venlo-
Vitesse-
28/10/2026
JOS Watergraafsmeer-
NAC Breda-
28/10/2026
Kozakken Boys-
Utrecht-
29/10/2026
RKAV Volendam-
ROHDA Raalte-
29/10/2026
Purmersteijn-
Gemert-
29/10/2026
Hoek-
Sparta Nijkerk-
29/10/2026
GVVV Veenendaal-
Noordwijk-
29/10/2026
De Treffers-
Heracles-
29/10/2026
ACV-
AFC Amsterdam-
29/10/2026
Groningen-
Emmen-
29/10/2026
Excelsior '3116
ADO Den Haag15
On penalties
VVV Venlo-
Vitesse-
28/10/2026
JOS Watergraafsmeer-
NAC Breda-
28/10/2026
Kozakken Boys-
Utrecht-
29/10/2026
RKAV Volendam-
ROHDA Raalte-
29/10/2026
Purmersteijn-
Gemert-
29/10/2026
Hoek-
Sparta Nijkerk-
29/10/2026
GVVV Veenendaal-
Noordwijk-
29/10/2026
De Treffers-
Heracles-
29/10/2026
ACV-
AFC Amsterdam-
29/10/2026
Groningen-
Emmen-
29/10/2026

About the Barendrecht vs Waalwijk forecast

As a knockout tie in the KNVB Beker, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About KNVB Beker

More KNVB Beker fixtures and forecasts are on the KNVB Beker Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Barendrecht and Waalwijk have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.