Roda vs De Graafschap Prediction

Roda
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
De Graafschap
Parkstad Limburg Stadion, Kerkrade 27/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.33
SignalGOODModel47%SurpriseHighGap-4.6%
Roda Rest
4 days
De Graafschap Rest
4 days

Roda vs De Graafschap: the result in context

Roda beat De Graafschap 1-0 in the KNVB Beker on 27 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Roda tend to win more corners, 8.3 a game to 5.4 for De Graafschap.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.12
X
28%3.47
2
31%3.00
Double Chance
1X
70%1.33
X2
59%1.66
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.55
No
46%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.53 + 1.08 = 2.61
Over 1.5
74%1.20
Over 2.5
54%1.66
Over 3.5
34%2.57
Under 1.5
26%4.22
Under 2.5
46%2.10
Under 3.5
66%1.46
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

43'K. SymonsFoul
46'L. Beerten INL. Verheij out
46'C. Seedorf INJ. Sleegers out
55'J. WieckhoffFoul
60'K. Symons INN. Martens out
60'J. Wieckhoff INT. Kok out
68'J. Mensah INM. Paulissen out
69'A. van den Hurk INF. Schenten out
70'N. AhmetiFoul
71'N. Ahmeti INM. Diemers out
82'D. Van den Buijs INM. Bentoumi out
84'M. Bentoumi
86'J. Kania INK. Kwint out
86'N. Kaninda INB. van Zijl out
90'G. BolkFoul
90+5'R. BesselinkUnsportsmanlike conduct

Lineups

Roda
3-4-3
De Graafschap
4-2-3-1
Avg rating6.97
Avg rating6.84
Justin Treichel9.21J. Treichel
Marco Tol6.63M. Tol
Dario Van Den Buijs7.033D. Van Den Buijs
Lucas Beerten6.915L. Beerten
Guilherme Peixoto6.917G. Peixoto
Jerome Deom7.224J. Deom
Joshua Nisbet7.04J. Nisbet
Bram Marsman6.325B. Marsman
Jeremiah Mensah6.68J. Mensah
Anthony van den HurkC6.99A. van den Hurk
Cain Seedorf6.57C. Seedorf
Paul Reverson6.922P. Reverson
Jannes Wieckhoff7.52J. Wieckhoff
Rowan Besselink7.53R. Besselink
Joran HardemanC6.74J. Hardeman
Gijs Bolk6.914G. Bolk
Nart Ahmeti6.527N. Ahmeti
Kaya Symons6.321K. Symons
Nathan Kaninda6.717N. Kaninda
Donny Warmerdam7.08D. Warmerdam
Toivo Mero6.911T. Mero
Julian Kania7.69J. Kania

Roda Substitutes

2Luuk Verheij46'for L. Beerten7.2
26Joey Sleegers46'for C. Seedorf6.2
6Mitchell Paulissen68'for J. Mensah6.7
10Fynn Schenten69'for A. van den Hurk6.7
28Jay-Jay van Damme
21Martin Stojcevic
27Keanu Van Mieghem
14Xander van den Berg
5Koen Jansen
32Nadir Maoujoudi
19Noah Crabu
20Mokrane Bentoumi7.6

De Graafschap Substitutes

16Nolan Martens60'for K. Symons6.5
15Thomas Kok60'for J. Wieckhoff6.5
23Mark Diemers71'for N. Ahmeti6.3
33Rick Jonkers
1Ties Wieggers
34Nic Hartgers
25Mark Pabai
18Denzel Eijken
6Clint Leemans
7Bjorn van Zijl86'for N. Kaninda
40Kyano Kwint86'for J. Kania
37Timo Meijles

Match Stats

RodaDe Graafschap
50%Ball Possession50%
7Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards3
12Total Shots16
3Shots on Goal7
6Shots off Goal5
7Shots Inside Box11
5Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots4
12Fouls15
1Offsides1
8Goalkeeper Saves2
430Total Passes438
363Passes Accurate391
84%Pass Accuracy89%

Team Comparison

RodaRoda
De GraafschapDe Graafschap
1591Elo Rating 1510
1.74Attack 1.36
1.71Defense 1.75
64%Hit Rate 34%
15.1Shots per Game 13.8
5.9Shots on Target 4.5
8.3Corners per Game 5.4
1.1Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

RodaRoda
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
De GraafschapDe Graafschap
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

RodaRoda5Wins · 50%
Draws220%
De GraafschapDe Graafschap3Wins · 30%
2.7Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Eerste Divisie12/12/2025
De GraafschapRoda
23
Eerste Divisie15/08/2025
RodaDe Graafschap
10
Eerste Divisie06/04/2025
De GraafschapRoda
20
Eerste Divisie01/09/2024
RodaDe Graafschap
14
Eerste Divisie19/04/2024
RodaDe Graafschap
11
Eerste Divisie29/09/2023
De GraafschapRoda
00
Eerste Divisie19/02/2023
De GraafschapRoda
20
Eerste Divisie12/09/2022
RodaDe Graafschap
32
Eerste Divisie14/03/2022
RodaDe Graafschap
20
Eerste Divisie07/08/2021
De GraafschapRoda
03

Recent Form

De GraafschapDe Graafschap
3W2D5L
23/10/2026
De GraafschapWaalwijk
11
D
19/10/2026
Jong AjaxDe Graafschap
21
L
09/10/2026
De GraafschapJong Utrecht
21
W
03/10/2026
FC EindhovenDe Graafschap
22
D
27/09/2026
De GraafschapDen Bosch
10
W
20/09/2026
De GraafschapNAC Breda
12
L
11/09/2026
EmmenDe Graafschap
12
W
04/09/2026
HeraclesDe Graafschap
50
L
29/08/2026
De GraafschapAlmere City FC
14
L
23/08/2026
VVV VenloDe Graafschap
21
L

Bracket

Round of 64
Excelsior '3116
ADO Den Haag15
On penalties
VVV Venlo-
Vitesse-
28/10/2026
JOS Watergraafsmeer-
NAC Breda-
28/10/2026
Quick Boys-
Eemdijk-
28/10/2026
Kozakken Boys-
Utrecht-
29/10/2026
RKAV Volendam-
ROHDA Raalte-
29/10/2026
Purmersteijn-
Gemert-
29/10/2026
Hoek-
Sparta Nijkerk-
29/10/2026
GVVV Veenendaal-
Noordwijk-
29/10/2026
De Treffers-
Heracles-
29/10/2026
ACV-
AFC Amsterdam-
29/10/2026
Groningen-
Emmen-
29/10/2026
Excelsior '3116
ADO Den Haag15
On penalties
VVV Venlo-
Vitesse-
28/10/2026
JOS Watergraafsmeer-
NAC Breda-
28/10/2026
Quick Boys-
Eemdijk-
28/10/2026
Kozakken Boys-
Utrecht-
29/10/2026
RKAV Volendam-
ROHDA Raalte-
29/10/2026
Purmersteijn-
Gemert-
29/10/2026
Hoek-
Sparta Nijkerk-
29/10/2026
GVVV Veenendaal-
Noordwijk-
29/10/2026
De Treffers-
Heracles-
29/10/2026
ACV-
AFC Amsterdam-
29/10/2026
Groningen-
Emmen-
29/10/2026

About the Roda vs De Graafschap forecast

As a knockout tie in the KNVB Beker, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About KNVB Beker

More KNVB Beker fixtures and forecasts are on the KNVB Beker Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.