Helmond Sport vs Willem II Prediction

Helmond Sport
3-4
Finished
HT 1-3
Willem II
MySteel Stadion, Helmond 27/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.29
SignalSOLIDModel50%SurpriseHighGap-9.5%
Helmond Sport Rest
4 days
Willem II Rest
3 days

Helmond Sport vs Willem II: the result in context

Willem II beat Helmond Sport 4-3 in the KNVB Beker on 27 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Willem II have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 3.7 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
31%3.30
X
23%3.70
2
46%1.97
Double Chance
1X
54%1.78
X2
69%1.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.45
No
40%2.55
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.34 + 1.35 = 2.69
Over 1.5
79%1.14
Over 2.5
58%1.47
Over 3.5
38%2.23
Under 1.5
21%4.95
Under 2.5
42%2.40
Under 3.5
62%1.60
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

2'B. KoglinFoul
9'M. LudwigAssist: T. Essakkati
28'D. HaenAssist: E. Gurbuz
40'E. GurbuzAssist: F. Stam
42'E. GurbuzAssist: D. Haen
46'T. Poll INJ. van der Sluijs out
46'A. Zarrouk INT. Vilhena out
53'T. VilhenaAssist: H. ter Avest
56'T. Essakkati INH. Ingason out
56'D. Huiberts INL. Bajrami out
58'H. ter Avest INA. Et Taibi out
58'J. Schuurman INJ. Slory out
62'E. GurbuzFoul
66'D. Haen INC. Obi out
72'L. BajramiAssist: M. Ludwig
73'J. van der SluijsUnsportsmanlike conduct
73'M. LemmensUnsportsmanlike conduct
74'B. Koglin INF. Van Den Eynden out
78'J. SlorySerious foul
83'E. Gurbuz INP. van Loon out
85'L. Bajrami

Lineups

Helmond Sport
3-4-3
Willem II
4-2-3-1
Avg rating6.66
Avg rating6.96
Menno Bergsen4.61M. Bergsen
Brian KoglinC5.24B. Koglin
Lovro Golič6.314L. Golič
Tijn Landheer6.043T. Landheer
Sem Dekkers6.720S. Dekkers
Michel Ludwig9.06M. Ludwig
Xander van der Velde6.744X. van der Velde
Thomas Poll6.95T. Poll
Dean Huiberts6.910D. Huiberts
Mauro Lenaerts6.394M. Lenaerts
Tarik Essakkati6.634T. Essakkati
Maxime Delanghe6.626M. Delanghe
Hidde ter AvestC6.95H. ter Avest
Finn Stam7.53F. Stam
Mats Lemmens6.783M. Lemmens
Nathan Tjoe-A-On6.524N. Tjoe-A-On
Calvin Twigt7.56C. Twigt
Anass Zarrouk6.618A. Zarrouk
Eser Gürbüz8.950E. Gürbüz
Jari Schuurman6.510J. Schuurman
Vito van Crooij6.332V. van Crooij
Devin Haen8.39D. Haen

Helmond Sport Substitutes

7Joep van der Sluijs46'for T. Poll73'6.7
19Helgi Fróði Ingason56'for T. Essakkati6.7
9Labinot Bajrami56'for D. Huiberts72'85'8.7
21Ward van Sleeuwen
23Adam El Maach
2Rayen van Bree
3Flor Van Den Eynden74'for B. Koglin6.6
8Pol Llonch
47Dayen Geerts
35Nico Meissner
30Kiton Ekoli
11Livio Cicero

Willem II Substitutes

52Tonny Vilhena46'for A. Zarrouk53'7.6
15Amine Et-Taïbi58'for H. ter Avest6.3
7Jaden Slory58'for J. Schuurman78'5.7
17Chido Obi-Martin66'for D. Haen6.5
21Wouter Van der Steen
31Karst de Leeuw
14Jens Mathijsen
22Per van Loon83'for E. Gurbuz
2Alessandro Ciranni
8Kasper Boogaard
11Armin Ćulum
28Thomas Verheydt

Match Stats

Helmond SportWillem II
41%Ball Possession59%
1Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
13Total Shots13
5Shots on Goal4
7Shots off Goal7
10Shots Inside Box10
3Shots Outside Box3
1Blocked Shots2
7Fouls12
4Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves2
394Total Passes565
329Passes Accurate486
84%Pass Accuracy86%

Team Comparison

Helmond SportHelmond Sport
Willem IIWillem II
1427Elo Rating 1506
1.60Attack 1.06
0.00Defense 0.00
0%Hit Rate 0%
14.3Shots per Game 11.8
6.0Shots on Target 2.9
4.6Corners per Game 6.1
1.7Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Helmond SportHelmond Sport
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.7 in second half)
Willem IIWillem II
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Helmond SportHelmond Sport0Wins · 0%
Draws117%
Willem IIWillem II5Wins · 83%
3.7Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored4 of 6
67%3+ goals4 of 6

Previous meetings

Eerste Divisie21/12/2025
Helmond SportWillem II
22
Eerste Divisie30/09/2025
Willem IIHelmond Sport
10
Eerste Divisie29/03/2024
Helmond SportWillem II
02
Eerste Divisie15/12/2023
Willem IIHelmond Sport
41
Eerste Divisie03/02/2023
Willem IIHelmond Sport
51
Eerste Divisie14/10/2022
Helmond SportWillem II
13

Bracket

About the Helmond Sport vs Willem II forecast

As a knockout tie in the KNVB Beker, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About KNVB Beker

More KNVB Beker fixtures and forecasts are on the KNVB Beker Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.