MVV vs Excelsior Prediction

MVV
-
28/10/2026
20:00
Excelsior
De Geusselt, Maastricht·A. Bos
MVVMVV
28/10/202620:00
ExcelsiorExcelsior

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
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MVV Rest
5 days
Excelsior Rest
3 days

MVV vs Excelsior in numbers

Neither MVV nor Excelsior arrives in good form, with no more than one win each from their last five. It is a knockout tie in the KNVB Beker, played on 28 Oct 2026.

Excelsior have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 3.3 goals a game. MVV tend to win more corners, 4.5 a game to 2.3 for Excelsior.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
6.23
X
4.75
2
1.40
Double Chance
1X
2.70
X2
1.11
Both Teams to Score
Yes
1.53
No
2.31
Goals
Over 1.5
1.09
Over 2.5
1.36
Over 3.5
1.99
Under 1.5
6.17
Under 2.5
2.83
Under 3.5
1.77
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Predictions for this match are lockedA free account opens the match result market. Pro opens every goal market.

Team Comparison

MVVMVV
ExcelsiorExcelsior
1454Elo Rating 1643
1.22Attack 1.07
0.46Defense 0.00
14%Hit Rate 0%
9.8Shots per Game 9.4
2.8Shots on Target 2.5
4.5Corners per Game 2.3
1.3Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

MVVMVV
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
ExcelsiorExcelsior
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

MVVMVV1Wins · 13%
Draws225%
ExcelsiorExcelsior5Wins · 62%
3.3Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored6 of 8
63%3+ goals5 of 8

Previous meetings

Eerste Divisie04/04/2025
MVVExcelsior
12
Eerste Divisie18/10/2024
ExcelsiorMVV
32
KNVB Beker19/10/2022
ExcelsiorMVV
51
Eerste Divisie15/04/2022
MVVExcelsior
11
Eerste Divisie10/12/2021
ExcelsiorMVV
21
Eerste Divisie20/02/2021
MVVExcelsior
10
KNVB Beker19/01/2021
MVVExcelsior
4252
Eerste Divisie16/10/2020
ExcelsiorMVV
20

Recent Form

Referee Profile

A. Bos166 matches

3.01Cards per match
2.87Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
22.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

A. Bos3.01
Other referees3.23

3.01 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.23).

Cards come from 156 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Round of 64
Excelsior '3116
ADO Den Haag15
On penalties
VVV Venlo-
Vitesse-
28/10/2026
JOS Watergraafsmeer-
NAC Breda-
28/10/2026
Kozakken Boys-
Utrecht-
29/10/2026
RKAV Volendam-
ROHDA Raalte-
29/10/2026
Purmersteijn-
Gemert-
29/10/2026
Hoek-
Sparta Nijkerk-
29/10/2026
GVVV Veenendaal-
Noordwijk-
29/10/2026
De Treffers-
Heracles-
29/10/2026
ACV-
AFC Amsterdam-
29/10/2026
Groningen-
Emmen-
29/10/2026
Excelsior '3116
ADO Den Haag15
On penalties
VVV Venlo-
Vitesse-
28/10/2026
JOS Watergraafsmeer-
NAC Breda-
28/10/2026
Kozakken Boys-
Utrecht-
29/10/2026
RKAV Volendam-
ROHDA Raalte-
29/10/2026
Purmersteijn-
Gemert-
29/10/2026
Hoek-
Sparta Nijkerk-
29/10/2026
GVVV Veenendaal-
Noordwijk-
29/10/2026
De Treffers-
Heracles-
29/10/2026
ACV-
AFC Amsterdam-
29/10/2026
Groningen-
Emmen-
29/10/2026

About the MVV vs Excelsior forecast

As a knockout tie in the KNVB Beker, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About KNVB Beker

More KNVB Beker fixtures and forecasts are on the KNVB Beker Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.