Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna Prediction

Botev Vratsa
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Spartak Varna
Hristo Botev Stadium, Vratsa·Stoyanov·Georgi 10/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.18
SignalHIGHModel54%SurpriseMediumGap-5.1%
Botev Vratsa Rest
7 days
Spartak Varna Rest
19 days

Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna: the result in context

Spartak Varna beat Botev Vratsa 1-0 in the First League on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 8 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.81
X
28%3.32
2
19%4.39
Double Chance
1X
81%1.18
X2
48%1.92
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.97
No
51%1.73
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.31 + 1.16 = 2.47
Over 1.5
70%1.36
Over 2.5
45%2.14
Over 3.5
25%4.00
Under 1.5
30%2.90
Under 2.5
55%1.65
Under 3.5
75%1.22
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

44'David Valverde
46'anton ivanov INboris ivanov out
58'Boubacar Hanne
61'Angel Granchov
62'Joao Lopes INEdson Martinho Silva out
67'Martin Detelinov Petkov
74'Vladislav Naydenov INDaniel Genov out
74'Jose Gallegos INsamuil mechev out
74'David Valverde INDeyan Lozev out
74'Okoh chidera INTsvetelin Chunchukov out
84'ricardo sousa INVasco Oliveira out
86'Buchkov INBoyanov out

Lineups

Botev Vratsa
4-2-3-1Coach: Todor Simov
Spartak Varna
4-2-3-1Coach: V. Petrov
M. Orlinov94M. Orlinov
S. Sanyang3S. Sanyang
I. Goranov4I. Goranov
M. Stoev36M. Stoev
A. Buchkov25A. Buchkov
R. Tsonev7R. Tsonev
I. Yurukov12I. Yurukov
M. Smolenski24M. Smolenski
J. Gallegos10J. Gallegos
V. Naydenov97V. Naydenov
M. Petkov79M. Petkov
P. Iliev23P. Iliev
David Valverde76D. Valverde
A. Granchov44A. Granchov
D. Krastev5D. Krastev
Z. Tindano29Z. Tindano
S. Major19S. Major
José Ricardo Gomes Sousa6J. Ricardo Gomes Sousa
Boubacar Hanne11B. Hanne
J. Lopes10J. Lopes
A. Ivanov77A. Ivanov
C. Okoh90C. Okoh

Botev Vratsa Substitutes

17S. Mechev74'for Jose Gallegos
6A. Kichukov
90F. Gigov
9D. Genov74'for Vladislav Naydenov
21M. Dimitrov
88L. Boyanov86'for Buchkov
11M. Achkov
8A. Stoyanov
98L. Vasilev

Spartak Varna Substitutes

1Pedro Victor
7Bua
9T. Chunchukov74'for Okoh chidera
4B. Ivanov46'for anton ivanov
20D. Lozev74'for David Valverde
72Vasco Oliveira84'for ricardo sousa
14Daniel Pavlov
16Edson Silva62'for Joao Lopes
45J. Tshitoku

Match Stats

Botev VratsaSpartak Varna
42%Ball Possession58%
8Corner Kicks7
2Yellow Cards2
22Total Shots11
10Shots on Goal4
12Shots off Goal7
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa
Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna
1467Elo Rating 1462
1.01Attack 1.11
1.66Defense 1.84
23%Hit Rate 42%
12.5Shots per Game 12.0
5.5Shots on Target 4.0
4.4Corners per Game 5.4
2.2Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend63% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa3Wins · 38%
Draws337%
Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna2Wins · 25%
2.0Avg Goals
63%Both teams scored5 of 8
25%3+ goals2 of 8

Previous meetings

First League02/05/2026
Botev VratsaSpartak Varna
21
First League04/12/2025
Botev VratsaSpartak Varna
20
First League01/08/2025
Spartak VarnaBotev Vratsa
11
First League01/04/2025
Spartak VarnaBotev Vratsa
10
First League13/09/2024
Botev VratsaSpartak Varna
11
First League13/05/2023
Botev VratsaSpartak Varna
11
First League25/02/2023
Spartak VarnaBotev Vratsa
21
First League15/08/2022
Botev VratsaSpartak Varna
10

Recent Form

Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa
2W2D6L
03/10/2026
Slavia SofiaBotev Vratsa
21
L
19/09/2026
Dunav RuseBotev Vratsa
22
D
13/09/2026
Botev VratsaLevski Sofia
00
D
04/09/2026
Septemvri SofiaBotev Vratsa
23
W
31/08/2026
Arda KardzhaliBotev Vratsa
20
L
24/08/2026
Botev VratsaBotev Plovdiv
10
W
16/08/2026
CSKA SofiaBotev Vratsa
50
L
10/08/2026
Botev VratsaSlavia Sofia
03
L
02/08/2026
LudogoretsBotev Vratsa
21
L
25/07/2026
CSKA 1948Botev Vratsa
21
L

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1293029:9+2030WWDWW
2Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1091023:4+1928WDWWW
3LudogoretsLudogorets1182121:9+1226LWWWD
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481281325:13+1225WLWWL
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1261517:18-119LWWWW
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1152415:17-217LDLLW
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1234511:17-613LWLDD
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia122649:9012DLLDW
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1232715:21-611WWDLL
10Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1224610:21-1110DLDDW
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv122376:14-89DDDLW
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1216513:20-79DDWLD
13Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1223713:22-99WLDDL
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1222810:23-138LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1229:930
2Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1023:428
3LudogoretsLudogorets1121:926
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481225:1325
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1217:1819
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1115:1717
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1211:1713
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia129:912
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1215:2111
10Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1210:2110
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv126:149
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1213:209
13Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1213:229
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1210:238
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna forecast

The forecasts for this First League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Botev Vratsa and Spartak Varna in the First League table

In the First League table, Spartak Varna are 7th and Botev Vratsa 10th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Botev Vratsa 10-21, Spartak Varna 11-17. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.