Lokomotiv Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Prediction

Lokomotiv Stadium, Sofia·Piskov·Gero 10/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-8.8%
Lokomotiv Sofia Rest
20 days
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Rest
8 days

Lokomotiv Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv: result, form and history

Lokomotiv Sofia and Lokomotiv Plovdiv drew 1-1 in the First League on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.3 goals a game. Lokomotiv Sofia tend to win more corners, 6.1 a game to 3.1 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.05
X
30%3.25
2
28%3.55
Double Chance
1X
72%1.25
X2
58%1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.92
No
50%1.79
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.12 + 1.11 = 2.23
Over 1.5
70%1.36
Over 2.5
42%2.18
Over 3.5
22%4.00
Under 1.5
30%2.90
Under 2.5
58%1.65
Under 3.5
78%1.22
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

7'Ryan LeijtenAssist: Christ Longville
27'Angel Lyaskov
33'Mohamed MedfaiAssist: Spas Delev
45+5'Efe Ali INParvizdzhon Umarbaev out
53'Christ Longville
58'Christ Longville INali dalil out
59'Ryan Leijten INJulien Lamy out
59'Ante Aralica INJoyce Kati Katulondi out
59'Mohamed Medfai INIvan Yordanov out
63'Ivan Yordanov
64'Todor Pavlov
72'Kaloyan Kostov
74'Todor Pavlov INAnton Fase out
74'Julian Iliev INMiha·Trdan out
79'Adil Taoui
81'Krasimir Stanoev INErol Dost out
81'Kaloyan Kostov INReyan Daskalov out

Lineups

Lokomotiv Sofia
4-2-3-1Coach: L. Penev
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
4-2-3-1Coach: D. Kosič
M. Velichkov99M. Velichkov
A. Lyaskov14A. Lyaskov
K. Kostov3K. Kostov
R. Bidounga91R. Bidounga
Eirô6Eirô
K. Stanoev31K. Stanoev
D. Kostadinov20D. Kostadinov
S. Delev7S. Delev
A. Taoui11A. Taoui
M. Medfai16M. Medfai
A. Aralica29A. Aralica
B. Milosavljevic1B. Milosavljevic
Adrián Cova2A. Cova
A. Chindriş4A. Chindriş
9494b. matheus
T. Pavlov5T. Pavlov
I. Ivanov22I. Ivanov
E. Ali12E. Ali
Christ Longville29C. Longville
J. Iliev10J. Iliev
R. Leijten11R. Leijten
1919j. burban

Lokomotiv Sofia Substitutes

22R. Daskalov81'for Kaloyan Kostov
5E. Dost81'for Krasimir Stanoev
44B. Katsarov
24A. Lyubenov
26K. Miloshev
9G. Minchev
23O. Oduko
17M. Papazov
71N. Penev
8I. Yordanov59'for Mohamed Medfai63'
18Joyce Kati Katulondi59'replaced by Ante Aralica

Lokomotiv Plovdiv Substitutes

33Yoan Dzhelepov
17A. Fase74'for Todor Pavlov
26D. Kirashki
99J. Lamy59'for Ryan Leijten
31D. Mrankov
44M. Petrović
6M. Trdan74'for Julian Iliev
39P. Umarbayev45+5'for Efe Ali
9A. Velev
40P. Zovko
3D. Ali58'for Christ Longville

Match Stats

Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Plovdiv
64%Ball Possession36%
10Corner Kicks2
5Yellow Cards2
11Total Shots8
4Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal5
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv
1459Elo Rating 1508
1.09Attack 1.09
2.02Defense 2.36
39%Hit Rate 50%
8.9Shots per Game 8.0
3.8Shots on Target 2.7
6.1Corners per Game 3.1
4.0Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia0Wins · 0%
Draws440%
Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv6Wins · 60%
2.3Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

First League03/04/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Sofia
10
First League24/10/2025
Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Plovdiv
22
First League02/05/2025
Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Sofia
11
First League23/02/2025
Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Plovdiv
01
First League01/09/2024
Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Sofia
11
First League10/11/2023
Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Sofia
21
First League23/07/2023
Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Plovdiv
24
First League25/02/2023
Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Sofia
10
First League15/08/2022
Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Plovdiv
00
First League21/11/2021
Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Sofia
21

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1293029:9+2030WWDWW
2Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1091023:4+1928WDWWW
3LudogoretsLudogorets1182121:9+1226LWWWD
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481281325:13+1225WLWWL
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1261517:18-119LWWWW
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1152415:17-217LDLLW
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1234511:17-613LWLDD
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia122649:9012DLLDW
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1232715:21-611WWDLL
10Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1224610:21-1110DLDDW
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv122376:14-89DDDLW
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1216513:20-79DDWLD
13Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1223713:22-99WLDDL
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1222810:23-138LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1229:930
2Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1023:428
3LudogoretsLudogorets1121:926
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481225:1325
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1217:1819
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1115:1717
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1211:1713
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia129:912
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1215:2111
10Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1210:2110
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv126:149
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1213:209
13Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1213:229
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1210:238
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Lokomotiv Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Lokomotiv Sofia and Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the First League table

In the First League table, Lokomotiv Sofia (12th) and Lokomotiv Plovdiv (11th) are level on 9 points. League goal record so far: Lokomotiv Sofia 13-20, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 6-14. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.