Bursaspor vs Pendikspor Prediction
Turkey · Regular Season - 11
Bursa Büyükşehir Stadyumu, Bursa·Melek Dakan 19/10/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.17
SignalSTRONGModel72%SurpriseMediumGap-3.8%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.42
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Bursaspor Rest
4 days
Pendikspor Rest
6 days
Bursaspor vs Pendikspor: the result in context
Bursaspor beat Pendikspor 2-0 in the 1. Lig on 19 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Bursaspor had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Pendikspor.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
166%1.42
X20%4.37
214%6.00
Double Chance
1X86%1.09
X234%2.55
Both Teams to Score
Yes55%1.73
No45%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.91 + 0.97 = 2.88
Over 1.580%1.17
Over 2.558%1.58
Over 3.536%2.47
Under 1.520%4.50
Under 2.542%2.25
Under 3.564%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 3.3 = 8.7
Over 8.550%1.72
Over 9.538%2.15
Over 10.527%2.83
Under 8.550%2.01
Under 9.562%1.62
Under 10.573%1.33
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.6 = 4.4
Over 3.564%-
Over 4.544%-
Under 3.536%-
Under 4.556%-
Match Events
10'Halil Akbunar
45'Halil Akbunar INHüseyin Maldar out
59'Kerem KalafatFoul
62'Kelechi IheanachoAssist: Lincoln Henrique Oliveira dos Santos
63'Burak Gultekin INY. Sönmez out
65'Taha Emre İnceFoul
69'Soner Aydoğdu INLewis Baker out
73'Kerem Kalafat INErdem Gokce out
73'Efehan Pekdemir INMirko susak out
75'Juergen ElitimFoul
77'B. Gök INTural Bayramov out
80'Vinko SoldoFoul
84'Emrah Başsan INOnuralp Cakiroglu out
84'Thuram INdamir hrelja out
84'Zeki Yavru INRahmetullah Berisbek out
84'Amine Boutrah INEmir Kaan Gultekin out
85'Lewis BakerArgument
Lineups
BursasporPendikspor
4-1-4-1Coach: Umut EskiköyAvg ratingAvg rating
98K. Matisli
18Z. Yavru
4E. Ersoy
5E. Başyiğit
93B. Gök
6J. Elitim
8S. Aydoğdu
7H. Akbunar
10Lincoln
73A. Boutrah
14K. Ịheanachọ
78E. Dadük
22K. Kalafat
2T. İnce
6V. Soldo
17S. Abifade
93B. Gültekin
7E. Başsan
14H. Yeşil
28E. Pekdemir
34Thuram
9J. Clarke-HarrisBursaspor Substitutes
34E. Akcan
9E. Gültekin84'for Amine Boutrah
39A. Kıvanç
66H. Maldar45'for Halil Akbunar
57B. Yayıkcı
20B. Başyiğit
27T. Bayramov77'for B. Gök
42L. Baker69'for Soner Aydoğdu85'
52T. Aydoğan
77R. Berişbek84'for Zeki Yavru
Pendikspor Substitutes
25Favour Agingy Fomujang
23E. Gökçe73'for Kerem Kalafat
88D. Hrelja84'for Thuram
99M. Kiprit
30E. Koyuncu
50Mirko Šušak73'for Efehan Pekdemir
20Y. Sönmez63'for Burak Gultekin
77A. Uğur
61O. ÃakıroÄlu84'for Emrah Başsan
66F. Doğan
Match Stats
BursasporPendikspor 67%Ball Possession33%
7Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards3
16Total Shots8
9Shots on Goal0
5Shots off Goal4
10Shots Inside Box1
6Shots Outside Box7
2Blocked Shots4
11Fouls18
4Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves7
602Total Passes287
545Passes Accurate215
17Free Kicks11
Team Comparison
BursasporPendikspor1746Elo Rating 1570
2.03Attack 0.73
2.16Defense 0.92
66%Hit Rate 0%
16.5Shots per Game 11.5
5.9Shots on Target 2.3
5.2Corners per Game 4.6
2.0Cards per Game 3.0
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+176 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.89 goals
Game State Tendencies
Bursaspor- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.6 in first half)
Pendikspor- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Recent Form
Bursaspor7W1D2L
15/10/2026
MuğlasporBursasporBursaspor
Mardin 1969
Batman PetrolsporBursasporBursaspor
Esenler Erokspor
Manisa F.K.Bursaspor
Bodrum FKBursaspor
MuğlasporBursaspor03
W11/10/2026BursasporMardin 196912
L19/09/2026Batman PetrolsporBursaspor12
W13/09/2026BursasporEsenler Erokspor22
D07/09/2026Manisa F.K.Bursaspor12
W03/09/2026Bursaspor
İstanbulspor
Bursasporİstanbulspor40
W29/08/2026
KayserisporBursaspor
KayserisporBursaspor12
W21/08/2026
Fatih KaragümrükBursaspor
Fatih KaragümrükBursaspor21
L15/08/2026Bursaspor
Iğdır FK
09/08/2026BursasporIğdır FK10
WBodrum FKBursaspor02
WPendikspor2W4D4L
13/10/2026Pendikspor
Vanspor FK
SivassporPendiksporPendiksporBodrum FK
AntalyasporPendikspor
PendiksporVanspor FK12
L09/10/2026SivassporPendikspor41
L02/10/2026Pendikspor
Galatasaray
20/09/2026PendiksporGalatasaray33
DPendiksporBodrum FK11
D12/09/2026
BolusporPendikspor
BolusporPendikspor11
D05/09/2026Pendikspor
Ümraniyespor
PendiksporÜmraniyespor10
W01/09/2026
SarıyerPendikspor
SarıyerPendikspor20
L28/08/2026Pendikspor
Bandırmaspor
22/08/2026PendiksporBandırmaspor11
DAntalyasporPendikspor23
W16/08/2026
KeçiörengücüPendikspor
KeçiörengücüPendikspor41
LLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bursaspor | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 26:11 | +15 | 28 | WWWLW |
| 2 | Kayserispor | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 26:9 | +17 | 27 | DDWWW |
| 3 | Iğdır FK | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 17:9 | +8 | 26 | WWDWD |
| 4 | Batman Petrolspor | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 23 | WDWLL |
| 5 | Mardin 1969 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16:11 | +5 | 21 | WLWWL |
| 6 | Keçiörengücü | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23:15 | +8 | 20 | LWDWD |
| 7 | Muğlaspor | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 18:14 | +4 | 18 | WWLDD |
| 8 | Antalyaspor | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 18 | LWLWW |
| 9 | Bodrum FK | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15:11 | +4 | 17 | WWWLD |
| 10 | Fatih Karagümrük | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | +1 | 16 | WLLDW |
| 11 | Sarıyer | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 | LDLDW |
| 12 | Bandırmaspor | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17:10 | +7 | 14 | LLDWL |
| 13 | Ümraniyespor | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13:10 | +3 | 13 | WLDWL |
| 14 | Sivasspor | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 15:18 | -3 | 13 | LDDWD |
| 15 | Esenler Erokspor | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 12 | LWDWL |
| 16 | Pendikspor | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 | DLLLD |
| 17 | Manisa F.K. | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 19:22 | -3 | 10 | LLDLL |
| 18 | Vanspor FK | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:22 | -9 | 10 | WLWLL |
| 19 | İstanbulspor | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9:31 | -22 | 5 | LLLLW |
| 20 | Boluspor | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3:25 | -22 | 1 | LWLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bursaspor | 12 | 26:11 | 28 |
| 2 | Kayserispor | 12 | 26:9 | 27 |
| 3 | Iğdır FK | 12 | 17:9 | 26 |
| 4 | Batman Petrolspor | 12 | 25:21 | 23 |
| 5 | Mardin 1969 | 12 | 16:11 | 21 |
| 6 | Keçiörengücü | 12 | 23:15 | 20 |
| 7 | Muğlaspor | 12 | 18:14 | 18 |
| 8 | Antalyaspor | 12 | 18:19 | 18 |
| 9 | Bodrum FK | 12 | 15:11 | 17 |
| 10 | Fatih Karagümrük | 12 | 16:15 | 16 |
| 11 | Sarıyer | 12 | 14:17 | 16 |
| 12 | Bandırmaspor | 12 | 17:10 | 14 |
| 13 | Ümraniyespor | 11 | 13:10 | 13 |
| 14 | Sivasspor | 12 | 15:18 | 13 |
| 15 | Esenler Erokspor | 12 | 12:16 | 12 |
| 16 | Pendikspor | 12 | 14:23 | 11 |
| 17 | Manisa F.K. | 12 | 19:22 | 10 |
| 18 | Vanspor FK | 12 | 13:22 | 10 |
| 19 | İstanbulspor | 12 | 9:31 | 5 |
| 20 | Boluspor | 11 | 3:25 | 1 |
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About the Bursaspor vs Pendikspor forecast
The forecasts for this 1. Lig match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Bursaspor and Pendikspor in the 1. Lig table
In the 1. Lig table, Bursaspor are 1st and Pendikspor 16th, 17 points apart. League goal record so far: Bursaspor 26-11, Pendikspor 14-23. The full standings are on the 1. Lig Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Bursaspor and Pendikspor have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.