Esenler Erokspor vs Mardin 1969 Prediction

Esenler Stadium, Istanbul·Burak Kamalak 19/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.24
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-7.5%
Esenler Erokspor Rest
4 days
Mardin 1969 Rest
4 days

Esenler Erokspor vs Mardin 1969: result, form and history

Esenler Erokspor beat Mardin 1969 4-2 in the 1. Lig on 19 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Mardin 1969 had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Esenler Erokspor.

Esenler Erokspor tend to win more corners, 5.7 a game to 3.6 for Mardin 1969.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%2.00
X
28%3.30
2
28%3.50
Double Chance
1X
73%1.24
X2
56%1.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.75
No
46%1.98
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.58 + 1.05 = 2.63
Over 1.5
74%1.29
Over 2.5
50%1.92
Over 3.5
29%3.30
Under 1.5
26%3.30
Under 2.5
50%1.80
Under 3.5
71%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 3.8 = 8.9
Over 8.5
52%1.70
Over 9.5
40%2.14
Over 10.5
29%2.83
Under 8.5
48%2.01
Under 9.5
60%1.61
Under 10.5
71%1.33
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.7 + 2.7 = 5.5
Over 3.5
79%-
Over 4.5
63%-
Under 3.5
21%-
Under 4.5
37%-

Match Events

6'Mikail OkyarAssist: Furkan Orak
28'Burak CobanFoul
34'Nafican YardimciAssist: Zdravko Dimitrov
39'Eray KorkmazOG
45'Muammer Denizhan Taskan INMallik Wilks out
45'Đorđe Denić INEmre Taşdemir out
45'Burak Coban INYusuf Erdoğan out
51'Mallik WilksAssist: Zdravko Dimitrov
56'Mame Mor FayeFoul
58'Mikail Okyar INRecep Niyaz out
58'Enes Alıç INAltin Zeqiri out
58'Guélor Kanga INFerhat Yazgan out
75'Kubilay Kanatsızkuş INErkan Kaş out
77'Mame Mor FayeAssist: Furkan Orak
82'Eray Korkmaz INO. Yıldırım out
85'Ferhat YazganFoul
90'Furkan OrakFoul
90+3'Altin ZeqiriAssist: Yusuf Erdoğan

Lineups

Esenler Erokspor
4-1-4-1Coach: H. Karaman
Mardin 1969
4-2-3-1Coach: Ivaylo Petev
Avg rating6.63
Avg rating6.14
E. Canpolat6.422E. Canpolat
F. Orak7.870F. Orak
B. Öztürk6.721B. Öztürk
Luccas Claro6.64L. Claro
E. Alić6.233E. Alić
N. Janvier6.77N. Janvier
M. Faye7.811M. Faye
G. Kanga6.98G. Kanga
M. Okyar7.35M. Okyar
B. Çoban5.917B. Çoban
K. Kanatsızkuş6.49K. Kanatsızkuş
E. Kardeşler5.81E. Kardeşler
E. Korkmaz4.817E. Korkmaz
M. Şengül6.025M. Şengül
U. Gezer5.815U. Gezer
N. Yardımcı6.83N. Yardımcı
A. Kabak5.916A. Kabak
B. Alhassan5.742B. Alhassan
D. Taşkan5.477D. Taşkan
Đ. Denić5.68Đ. Denić
Z. Dimitrov7.210Z. Dimitrov
O. Kayode6.39O. Kayode

Esenler Erokspor Substitutes

34E. Çetin
99P. Guèye
53Y. Erdoğan45'for Burak Coban6.8
20M. Buljubašić
77H. Bilazer
6T. Kaçar
39E. Kaş75'for Kubilay Kanatsızkuş5.7
10R. Niyaz58'for Mikail Okyar6.1
27F. Yazgan58'for Guélor Kanga85'6.1
88A. Zeqiri58'for Enes Alıç90+3'6.8

Mardin 1969 Substitutes

64B. Doğan
70Enes Erol
29Ö. Kahveci
4O. Karslioglu
33E. Taşdemir45'for Đorđe Denić6.0
47M. Wilks45'for Muammer Denizhan Taskan51'8.0
45O. Yıldırım82'replaced by Eray Korkmaz
7Ş. Çetin
19A. Ülük
11B. Balat

Match Stats

Esenler EroksporMardin 1969
62%Ball Possession38%
6Corner Kicks4
5Yellow Cards0
17Total Shots12
5Shots on Goal4
8Shots off Goal5
14Shots Inside Box8
3Shots Outside Box4
4Blocked Shots3
18Fouls8
0Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves2
541Total Passes320
470Passes Accurate233
8Free Kicks17

Team Comparison

Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor
Mardin 1969Mardin 1969
1656Elo Rating 1638
1.78Attack 1.16
1.62Defense 1.42
46%Hit Rate 42%
11.1Shots per Game 8.1
3.0Shots on Target 2.0
5.7Corners per Game 3.6
3.1Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
Mardin 1969Mardin 1969
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor1Wins · 50%
Draws150%
Mardin 1969Mardin 19690Wins · 0%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

3. Lig - Group 326/02/2022
Esenler EroksporMardin 1969
30
3. Lig - Group 313/10/2021
Mardin 1969Esenler Erokspor
11

Recent Form

Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor
1W6D3L
15/10/2026
Manisa F.K.Esenler Erokspor
11
D
10/10/2026
İstanbulsporEsenler Erokspor
01
W
19/09/2026
Esenler EroksporFatih Karagümrük
02
L
13/09/2026
BursasporEsenler Erokspor
22
D
07/09/2026
Esenler EroksporKayserispor
03
L
03/09/2026
Bodrum FKEsenler Erokspor
00
D
30/08/2026
Esenler EroksporIğdır FK
01
L
22/08/2026
ÜmraniyesporEsenler Erokspor
11
D
14/08/2026
Esenler EroksporSarıyer
11
D
08/08/2026
SivassporEsenler Erokspor
00
D
Mardin 1969Mardin 1969
5W3D2L
15/10/2026
Mardin 1969Fatih Karagümrük
10
W
11/10/2026
BursasporMardin 1969
12
W
20/09/2026
Mardin 1969Kayserispor
01
L
13/09/2026
Iğdır FKMardin 1969
10
L
07/09/2026
Mardin 1969Bodrum FK
10
W
02/09/2026
SivassporMardin 1969
22
D
29/08/2026
Mardin 1969Vanspor FK
11
D
23/08/2026
BolusporMardin 1969
03
W
16/08/2026
Mardin 1969Antalyaspor
20
W
08/08/2026
ÜmraniyesporMardin 1969
00
D

League Table

1. Lig 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BursasporBursaspor1291226:11+1528WWWLW
2KayserisporKayserispor1283126:9+1727DDWWW
3Iğdır FKIğdır FK1282217:9+826WWDWD
4Batman PetrolsporBatman Petrolspor1272325:21+423WDWLL
5Mardin 1969Mardin 19691263316:11+521WLWWL
6KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü1255223:15+820LWDWD
7MuğlasporMuğlaspor1246218:14+418WWLDD
8AntalyasporAntalyaspor1260618:19-118LWLWW
9Bodrum FKBodrum FK1245315:11+417WWWLD
10Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük1244416:15+116WLLDW
11SarıyerSarıyer1244414:17-316LDLDW
12BandırmasporBandırmaspor1235417:10+714LLDWL
13ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor1134413:10+313WLDWL
14SivassporSivasspor1227315:18-313LDDWD
15Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor1226412:16-412LWDWL
16PendiksporPendikspor1225514:23-911DLLLD
17Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.1224619:22-310LLDLL
18Vanspor FKVanspor FK1233613:22-910WLWLL
19İstanbulsporİstanbulspor121299:31-225LLLLW
20BolusporBoluspor1101103:25-221LWLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1BursasporBursaspor1226:1128
2KayserisporKayserispor1226:927
3Iğdır FKIğdır FK1217:926
4Batman PetrolsporBatman Petrolspor1225:2123
5Mardin 1969Mardin 19691216:1121
6KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü1223:1520
7MuğlasporMuğlaspor1218:1418
8AntalyasporAntalyaspor1218:1918
9Bodrum FKBodrum FK1215:1117
10Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük1216:1516
11SarıyerSarıyer1214:1716
12BandırmasporBandırmaspor1217:1014
13ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor1113:1013
14SivassporSivasspor1215:1813
15Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor1212:1612
16PendiksporPendikspor1214:2311
17Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.1219:2210
18Vanspor FKVanspor FK1213:2210
19İstanbulsporİstanbulspor129:315
20BolusporBoluspor113:251
PromotionRelegation

About the Esenler Erokspor vs Mardin 1969 forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Esenler Erokspor and Mardin 1969 in the 1. Lig table

In the 1. Lig table, Mardin 1969 are 5th and Esenler Erokspor 15th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Esenler Erokspor 12-16, Mardin 1969 16-11. The full standings are on the 1. Lig Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Esenler Erokspor and Mardin 1969 have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.