Cambuur vs Twente Prediction

Cambuur
1-4
Finished
HT 0-2
Twente
Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden·Erwin Blank, Netherlands 30/08/2026
CambuurCambuur
1-4
Finished
TwenteTwente

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
55%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Over 5.5
1.87
SignalNEUTRALModel58%SurpriseMediumGap+6.4%
Cambuur Rest
7 days
Twente Rest
3 days

Cambuur vs Twente: the result in context

Twente beat Cambuur 4-1 in the Eredivisie on 30 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Twente had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Cambuur.

Twente have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 2.0 goals a game. Twente tend to win more corners, 7.7 a game to 5.0 for Cambuur.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
17%7.60
X
23%5.50
2
60%1.34
Double Chance
1X
40%3.24
X2
83%1.08
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.61
No
44%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.25 + 1.66 = 2.91
Over 1.5
83%1.10
Over 2.5
60%1.38
Over 3.5
34%1.99
Under 1.5
17%6.25
Under 2.5
40%2.92
Under 3.5
66%1.82
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.1 + 6.3 = 10.4
Over 8.5
66%1.49
Over 9.5
53%1.77
Over 10.5
42%2.20
Under 8.5
34%2.49
Under 9.5
47%1.95
Under 10.5
58%1.59
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2 = 3.9
Over 3.5
51%2.40
Over 4.5
31%2.65
Under 3.5
49%1.47
Under 4.5
69%1.40

Match Events

22'R. NijstadAssist: B. van Rooij
26'W. WeghorstAssist: J. Drommel
39'N. SourenHolding
40'S. OrjasaeterHolding
46'S. Bouhoudane INN. Binder out
46'M. Costarelli INF. Kvam out
47'M. PjacaAssist: S. Orjasaeter
60'S. Orjasaeter INF. Thorvaldsen out
60'D. Weidmann INT. van den Belt out
65'J. Amofa IND. Bouah out
77'M. Pjaca INK. Kurowski out
77'J. Berkhout INS. Vink out
82'Y. Taha
85'B. van Rooij INM. Bruns out
85'A. Adelgaard ING. Peixoto out
85'I. Henstra INI. Hamache out
88'I. Hamache

Lineups

Cambuur
5-4-1Coach: Johan Plat
Twente
4-2-3-1Coach: John van den Brom
Avg rating6.54
Avg rating6.95
Thijs Jansen6.31T. Jansen
Lucas Jetten6.223L. Jetten
Jamal AmofaC5.96J. Amofa
Ismaël Baouf6.54I. Baouf
Billy van Duijl7.314B. van Duijl
Morgan Costarelli6.228M. Costarelli
Iwan Henstra6.329I. Henstra
Jorn Berkhout6.33J. Berkhout
Nicky Souren6.38N. Souren
Rafik El Arguioui6.510R. El Arguioui
Sami Bouhoudane6.77S. Bouhoudane
Joël Drommel6.916J. Drommel
Bart van Rooij7.228B. van Rooij
Robin PröpperC6.33R. Pröpper
Ruud Nijstad7.643R. Nijstad
Aske Adelgaard7.229A. Adelgaard
Ramiz Zerrouki6.96R. Zerrouki
Daouda Weidmann7.042D. Weidmann
Sondre Ørjasæter7.027S. Ørjasæter
Younes Taha7.319Y. Taha
Marko Pjaca7.77M. Pjaca
Wout Weghorst7.29W. Weghorst

Cambuur Substitutes

15Fabian Kvam46'for M. Costarelli6.9
13Nicolas Binder46'for S. Bouhoudane6.5
2Devid Bouah65'for J. Amofa6.7
24Matthijs Kalisvaart
21Jasper Meijster
16Rik Mulders
11Ilyes Hamache85'for I. Henstra88'7.7
48Damian Westerhof
17Ethan Apkakou
27Wiebe Kooistra
9Skye Vink77'for J. Berkhout6.3
33Mathieu Maertens

Twente Substitutes

17Filip Thorvaldsen60'for S. Orjasaeter6.9
20Thomas Van den Belt60'for D. Weidmann6.2
1Lars Unnerstall
22Remko Pasveer
24Krzysztof Kurowski77'for M. Pjaca5.9
38Max Bruns85'for B. van Rooij
12Guilherme Peixoto85'for A. Adelgaard
11Daan Rots
26Benjamin Nagel
25Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink

Match Stats

CambuurTwente
36%Ball Possession64%
2Corner Kicks9
1Yellow Cards1
10Total Shots23
3Shots on Goal10
7Shots off Goal9
5Shots Inside Box13
5Shots Outside Box10
0Blocked Shots4
6Fouls14
2Offsides2
6Goalkeeper Saves2
338Total Passes599
274Passes Accurate533
81%Pass Accuracy89%

Team Comparison

CambuurCambuur
TwenteTwente
1683Elo Rating 1877
3.18Attack 4.06
2.47Defense 2.28
83%Hit Rate 86%
14.8Shots per Game 23.4
7.2Shots on Target 9.7
5.0Corners per Game 7.7
1.9Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.91 goals
📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

CambuurCambuur
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (2 vs 1.2 in second half)
TwenteTwente
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.4 vs 1.6 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

CambuurCambuur1Wins · 25%
Draws00%
TwenteTwente3Wins · 75%
2.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4

Previous meetings

Eredivisie09/04/2023
TwenteCambuur
40
Eredivisie23/10/2022
CambuurTwente
01
Eredivisie06/03/2022
TwenteCambuur
10
Eredivisie28/08/2021
CambuurTwente
20

Recent Form

CambuurCambuur
3W0D7L
23/08/2026
CambuurFeyenoord
25
L
15/08/2026
Fortuna SittardCambuur
31
L
07/08/2026
CambuurExcelsior
04
L
01/08/2026
BolognaCambuur
31
L
28/07/2026
CambuurVolos NFC
12
L
24/07/2026
CambuurUtrecht
10
W
10/07/2026
CambuurRoda
21
W
04/07/2026
ExcelsiorCambuur
32
L
24/04/2026
CambuurVitesse
21
W
17/04/2026
De GraafschapCambuur
31
L

Referee Profile

Erwin Blank158 matches

3.70Cards per match
3.55Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
23.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Erwin Blank3.70
Other referees3.24

3.70 cards a match, 0.46 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.24).

Cards come from 148 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1282240:15+2526WWDLW
2FeyenoordFeyenoord1274136:17+1925LDDWW
3AjaxAjax1274132:15+1725DWWWD
4TwenteTwente1273230:12+1824DWWLD
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1272324:16+823WLLDL
6HeerenveenHeerenveen1263324:16+821WWWWL
7Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1255220:20020DDWDD
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1245324:27-317WLWLD
9GroningenGroningen1243529:28+115LLDLW
10CambuurCambuur1243525:27-215LWWDW
11UtrechtUtrecht1133519:31-1212LDWWL
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1233621:29-812LWLWD
13PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1233613:24-1112DWDWL
14NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1125417:19-211LDDDD
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1232716:29-1311LLLLL
16TelstarTelstar1224618:25-710DWLLD
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1223716:25-99WLLWD
18Willem IIWillem II1203911:40-293DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1240:1526
2FeyenoordFeyenoord1236:1725
3AjaxAjax1232:1525
4TwenteTwente1230:1224
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1224:1623
6HeerenveenHeerenveen1224:1621
7Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1220:2020
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1224:2717
9GroningenGroningen1229:2815
10CambuurCambuur1225:2715
11UtrechtUtrecht1119:3112
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1221:2912
13PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1213:2412
14NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1117:1911
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1216:2911
16TelstarTelstar1218:2510
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1216:259
18Willem IIWillem II1211:403
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About the Cambuur vs Twente forecast

The forecasts for this Eredivisie match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Cambuur and Twente in the Eredivisie table

In the Eredivisie table, Twente are 4th and Cambuur 10th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Cambuur 25-27, Twente 30-12. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Cambuur have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Twente have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.