Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction

Cambuur
3-0
Finished
HT 1-0
NEC Nijmegen
Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden·I. Oostrom 12/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 1.5
1.82
SignalSOLIDModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+7.3%
Cambuur Rest
6 days
NEC Nijmegen Rest
4 days

Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen: the result in context

Cambuur beat NEC Nijmegen 3-0 in the Eredivisie on 12 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 8 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game. NEC Nijmegen tend to win more corners, 7.3 a game to 5.0 for Cambuur.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
26%4.79
X
22%4.60
2
52%1.57
Double Chance
1X
48%2.31
X2
74%1.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.44
No
45%2.60
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.26 + 1.5 = 2.76
Over 1.5
79%1.10
Over 2.5
54%1.36
Over 3.5
33%2.00
Under 1.5
21%6.50
Under 2.5
46%2.95
Under 3.5
67%1.82
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.4 + 5.8 = 10.2
Over 8.5
65%1.41
Over 9.5
53%1.77
Over 10.5
44%2.17
Under 8.5
35%2.56
Under 9.5
47%1.98
Under 10.5
56%1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 1.5 = 2.9
Over 3.5
32%2.25
Over 4.5
16%3.20
Under 3.5
68%1.54
Under 4.5
84%1.23

Match Events

21'Ilyes HamacheAssist: Billy van Duijl
32'Devid Eugene BouahPersistent infringement
35'Tobias StormFoul
37'Philippe SandlerFoul
45'Gonzalo Alejandro Crettaz Ortega INNikolas Polster out
54'Ilyes Hamache
58'Adam Tahaui INEmre Mor out
58'Dennis Geiger INJamiro Monteiro out
58'Philippe Sandler INBryan Linssen out
64'Mathieu Maertens INJamal Amofa out
71'Nicolas Binder INSami Bouhoudane out
72'Fabian Kvam INIwan Henstra out
73'Emre Mor INKevin Kers out
84'Ilyes Hamache INSkye Vink out
84'Devid Eugene Bouah INWiebe Kooistra out
87'Noe LebretonArgument
90+2'Iwan HenstraAssist: Jamal Amofa
90+5'Almugera KabarArgument
90+5'Iwan HenstraArgument

Lineups

Cambuur
4-2-3-1Coach: J. Plat
NEC Nijmegen
3-4-2-1Coach: Dick Schreuder
Avg rating7.09
Avg rating5.95
T. Jansen6.11T. Jansen
D. Bouah6.82D. Bouah
I. Baouf7.64I. Baouf
B. van Duijl7.314B. van Duijl
M. Costarelli7.528M. Costarelli
M. Maertens6.733M. Maertens
N. Souren7.18N. Souren
F. Kvam6.915F. Kvam
R. El Arguioui7.210R. El Arguioui
I. Hamache9.811I. Hamache
N. Binder6.413N. Binder
G. Crettaz5.91G. Crettaz
T. Storm5.621T. Storm
P. Sandler6.13P. Sandler
Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar6.466A. Raouf Mohammed Kabar
Adam Tahaui5.419A. Tahaui
D. Nejašmić5.76D. Nejašmić
D. Geiger5.818D. Geiger
Clement Bischoff5.599C. Bischoff
T. Chery7.29T. Chery
N. Lebreton5.120N. Lebreton
K. Sierhuis6.514K. Sierhuis

Cambuur Substitutes

17Ethan Apkakou
6J. Amofa64'for Mathieu Maertens7.1
3J. Berkhout
7S. Bouhoudane71'for Nicolas Binder6.7
29Iwan Henstra72'for Fabian Kvam90+2'90+5'7.3
23L. Jetten
27W. Kooistra84'for Devid Eugene Bouah6.5
21J. Meijster
16R. Mulders
22L. Plogmann
9S. Vink84'for Ilyes Hamache6.5
30J. Çeka

NEC Nijmegen Substitutes

77A. Thomas
10D. Tadić
12N. Polster45'for Gonzalo Alejandro Crettaz Ortega5.1
17B. Nuytinck
42Y. Moslih
7E. Mor58'for Adam Tahaui73'for Kevin Kers6.3
35Jamiro Monteiro58'for Dennis Geiger5.8
30B. Linssen58'for Philippe Sandler6.3
34Kevin Kers73'replaced by Emre Mor6.4
8I. Hansen-Aarøen
73Gabriel Brás
11W. Willumsson

Match Stats

CambuurNEC Nijmegen
37%Ball Possession63%
4Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards4
16Total Shots10
7Shots on Goal1
6Shots off Goal7
11Shots Inside Box5
5Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots2
16Fouls18
2Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves4
257Total Passes428
172Passes Accurate336
67%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

CambuurCambuur
NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen
1683Elo Rating 1718
3.18Attack 2.14
2.47Defense 1.50
83%Hit Rate 44%
14.8Shots per Game 19.9
7.2Shots on Target 6.2
5.0Corners per Game 7.3
1.9Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

CambuurCambuur
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (2 vs 1.2 in second half)
NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

CambuurCambuur2Wins · 25%
Draws338%
NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen3Wins · 37%
2.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored4 of 8
38%3+ goals3 of 8

Previous meetings

KNVB Beker27/02/2024
CambuurNEC Nijmegen
1121
Eredivisie11/02/2023
NEC NijmegenCambuur
00
Eredivisie04/11/2022
CambuurNEC Nijmegen
01
Eredivisie03/04/2022
CambuurNEC Nijmegen
12
KNVB Beker16/12/2021
CambuurNEC Nijmegen
12
Eredivisie26/11/2021
NEC NijmegenCambuur
23
Eerste Divisie17/01/2021
NEC NijmegenCambuur
00
Eerste Divisie28/08/2020
CambuurNEC Nijmegen
20

Recent Form

CambuurCambuur
2W1D7L
06/09/2026
TelstarCambuur
22
D
30/08/2026
CambuurTwente
14
L
23/08/2026
CambuurFeyenoord
25
L
15/08/2026
Fortuna SittardCambuur
31
L
07/08/2026
CambuurExcelsior
04
L
01/08/2026
BolognaCambuur
31
L
28/07/2026
CambuurVolos NFC
12
L
24/07/2026
CambuurUtrecht
10
W
10/07/2026
CambuurRoda
21
W
04/07/2026
ExcelsiorCambuur
32
L

Referee Profile

I. Oostrom158 matches

3.26Cards per match
3.16Yellow cards per match
0.10Red cards per match
23.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

I. Oostrom3.26
Other referees3.24

3.26 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.24).

Cards come from 151 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1282240:15+2526WWDLW
2FeyenoordFeyenoord1274136:17+1925LDDWW
3AjaxAjax1274132:15+1725DWWWD
4TwenteTwente1273230:12+1824DWWLD
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1272324:16+823WLLDL
6HeerenveenHeerenveen1263324:16+821WWWWL
7Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1255220:20020DDWDD
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1245324:27-317WLWLD
9GroningenGroningen1243529:28+115LLDLW
10CambuurCambuur1243525:27-215LWWDW
11NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1235420:21-114WLDDD
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1233621:29-812LWLWD
13PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1233613:24-1112DWDWL
14UtrechtUtrecht1233621:34-1312LLDWW
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1232716:29-1311LLLLL
16TelstarTelstar1224618:25-710DWLLD
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1223716:25-99WLLWD
18Willem IIWillem II1203911:40-293DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1240:1526
2FeyenoordFeyenoord1236:1725
3AjaxAjax1232:1525
4TwenteTwente1230:1224
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1224:1623
6HeerenveenHeerenveen1224:1621
7Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1220:2020
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1224:2717
9GroningenGroningen1229:2815
10CambuurCambuur1225:2715
11NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1220:2114
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1221:2912
13PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1213:2412
14UtrechtUtrecht1221:3412
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1216:2911
16TelstarTelstar1218:2510
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1216:259
18Willem IIWillem II1211:403
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen forecast

The forecasts for this Eredivisie match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Cambuur and NEC Nijmegen in the Eredivisie table

Cambuur and NEC Nijmegen are close in the Eredivisie table, 10th and 11th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Cambuur 25-27, NEC Nijmegen 20-21. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Cambuur have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.