Ceara vs America Mineiro Prediction

Ceara
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
America Mineiro
Estadio Castelão, Fortaleza·Edina Alves Batista 08/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Ceara Rest
6 days
America Mineiro Rest
7 days

Ceara vs America Mineiro: result, form and history

America Mineiro beat Ceara 1-0 in the Serie B on 8 Nov 2026. It was in line with recent form: America Mineiro had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Ceara.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 2.0 goals a game across 7 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
57%1.69
X
25%3.45
2
18%5.09
Double Chance
1X
82%1.17
X2
44%2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.94
No
51%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.69 + 0.92 = 2.61
Over 1.5
73%1.33
Over 2.5
48%2.02
Over 3.5
28%3.53
Under 1.5
27%3.08
Under 2.5
52%1.75
Under 3.5
72%1.24
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 3.8 = 9.3
Over 8.5
57%1.21
Over 9.5
45%1.41
Over 10.5
34%1.70
Under 8.5
43%3.63
Under 9.5
55%2.61
Under 10.5
66%2.06
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.5 = 4.8
Over 3.5
71%-
Over 4.5
53%1.83
Under 3.5
29%-
Under 4.5
47%1.83

Match Events

30'Renzo López INLucca Holanda Sampaio Tavares out
45'Sávio António Alves INJanderson Gabriel De Oliveira Martins out
45'Paulo Victor·Ferreira de Jesus INEduardo Person out
50'Rian SantanaFoul
51'Matías SegoviaAssist: Eduardo Person
59'Richardson INMatheus Araujo out
59'Rian Santana INLenny Ivo Lobato Romanelli out
66'Tobias Ostchega INLuidy Montes Carneiro out
73'Bryan Borges Mascarenhas INLucas Mugni out
76'Lenny Ivo Lobato RomanelliFoul
79'Luidy Montes CarneiroFoul
83'Matías SegoviaFoul
89'Otavio Goncalves INGabriel De Oliveira Da Silva out
90+2'BarretoFoul
90+3'Matías Segovia INFelipe out
90+3'Willian INMarcelo Enrique Maçola Filho out
90+4'Lucca Holanda Sampaio TavaresFoul
90+7'RichardFoul

Lineups

Ceara
4-2-3-1Coach: Daniel Paulista
America Mineiro
4-2-3-1Coach: Moacir Júnior
Avg rating6.92
Avg rating7.15
Richard7.01Richard
Bryan6.831Bryan
Luiz Otávio7.113L. Otávio
7171G. Silva Rocha
Sávio6.96Sávio
Richardson7.526Richardson
Joao Gabriel7.481J. Gabriel
6060E. Lodovico
Richard7.040Richard
1616R. Santana
R. López6.494R. López
Bruno Brígido7.991B. Brígido
5555O. Goncalves
Ricardo Silva7.845R. Silva
Emerson Santos7.12E. Santos
T. Ostchega7.425T. Ostchega
J. Jiménez6.693J. Jiménez
Barreto6.888Barreto
Paulo Victor6.820P. Victor
M. Segovia8.277M. Segovia
Guilherme Parede6.67G. Parede
Willian6.59Willian

Ceara Substitutes

10L. Mugni73'for Bryan Borges Mascarenhas6.7
77Lenny Lobato59'replaced by Rian Santana76'6.8
99Lucca30'for Renzo López90+4'6.3
23Caíque França
11N. Ferreira
2Rafael Ramos
80P. Esli
22Matheus Nogueira
44Kaiky Cabral Leão
78Janderson Gabriel De Oliveira Martins45'replaced by Sávio António Alves
18Júlio
8Matheus Araújo59'for Richardson7.2

America Mineiro Substitutes

27Cássio
21Eduardo Person45'for Paulo Victor·Ferreira de Jesus7.5
8Felipe Amaral90+3'for Matías Segovia
71Cristian Do Espirito Santo Rodrigues
61G. Oliveira89'replaced by Otavio Goncalves7.0
80Pedro Paranhos
30L. Montes66'for Tobias Ostchega79'6.5
99Marcelo Macola90+3'for Willian
37Cesar Leme Do Nascimento Julio
19William

Match Stats

CearaAmerica Mineiro
64%Ball Possession36%
9Corner Kicks1
4Yellow Cards3
31Total Shots11
6Shots on Goal6
18Shots off Goal3
20Shots Inside Box7
11Shots Outside Box4
7Blocked Shots2
16Fouls10
2Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves6
524Total Passes316
468Passes Accurate255
10Free Kicks16

Team Comparison

CearaCeara
America MineiroAmerica Mineiro
1579Elo Rating 1489
0.80Attack 1.23
1.45Defense 2.42
14%Hit Rate 69%
14.7Shots per Game 9.9
4.0Shots on Target 3.2
4.0Corners per Game 3.9
2.5Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CearaCeara
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
America MineiroAmerica Mineiro
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

CearaCeara2Wins · 29%
Draws343%
America MineiroAmerica Mineiro2Wins · 28%
2.0Avg Goals
43%Both teams scored3 of 7
29%3+ goals2 of 7

Previous meetings

Serie B18/07/2026
America MineiroCeara
11
Serie B19/11/2024
CearaAmerica Mineiro
10
Serie B28/07/2024
America MineiroCeara
22
Serie A01/10/2022
CearaAmerica Mineiro
12
Serie A09/06/2022
America MineiroCeara
02
Serie A05/12/2021
CearaAmerica Mineiro
00
Serie A29/08/2021
America MineiroCeara
20

Referee Profile

Edina Alves Batista138 matches

5.02Cards per match
4.80Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
27.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Edina Alves Batista5.02
Other referees4.97

5.02 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.97).

Cards come from 129 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino372010766:32+3470WWWDW
2JuventudeJuventude371911749:26+2368WDWDD
3Vila NovaVila Nova37199953:38+1566WDLDW
4CriciumaCriciuma371881138:31+762LWLWW
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC371614744:33+1162LDDWD
6CRBCRB371771357:51+658WLWLD
7GoiasGoias371771339:41-258WWWDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense371513945:35+1058WDLDD
9Operario-PROperario-PR381691351:50+157WWLWL
10Sport RecifeSport Recife3714131050:42+855LDWLD
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3814111354:44+1053DLWWL
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP371491445:39+651WDWWW
13Athletic ClubAthletic Club3811151246:46048DLWLD
14CuiabaCuiaba3711141234:32+247LLLLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3812101641:51-1046LLWLD
16CearaCeara3711101638:47-943LLLDL
17AvaiAvai371171935:47-1240WLLDW
18LondrinaLondrina38982147:59-1235WLLLW
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro37852427:55-2829WWWWL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta38362921:81-6015LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3766:3270
2JuventudeJuventude3749:2668
3Vila NovaVila Nova3753:3866
4CriciumaCriciuma3738:3162
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3744:3362
6CRBCRB3757:5158
7GoiasGoias3739:4158
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3745:3558
9Operario-PROperario-PR3851:5057
10Sport RecifeSport Recife3750:4255
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3854:4453
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3745:3951
13Athletic ClubAthletic Club3846:4648
14CuiabaCuiaba3734:3247
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3841:5146
16CearaCeara3738:4743
17AvaiAvai3735:4740
18LondrinaLondrina3847:5935
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3727:5529
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3821:8115
PromotionRelegation

About the Ceara vs America Mineiro forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Ceara and America Mineiro in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Ceara are 16th and America Mineiro 19th, 14 points apart. League goal record so far: Ceara 38-47, America Mineiro 27-55. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.