Ceara vs Criciuma Prediction
Brazil · Regular Season - 32
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.42
SignalSOLIDModel41%SurpriseMediumGap-3.4%
Ceara Rest
5 days
Criciuma Rest
5 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
138%2.65
X29%3.10
233%2.64
Double Chance
1X67%1.42
X262%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes49%1.92
No51%1.79
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.33 + 0.97 = 2.30
Over 1.567%1.40
Over 2.542%2.27
Over 3.521%4.33
Under 1.533%2.75
Under 2.558%1.58
Under 3.579%1.17
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 5 = 10.3
Over 8.570%1.31
Over 9.558%1.58
Over 10.547%1.98
Under 8.530%2.97
Under 9.542%2.21
Under 10.553%1.74
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.5 = 4.8
Over 3.571%-
Over 4.553%1.75
Under 3.529%-
Under 4.547%2.02
Match Events
44'Marcelo HermesFoul
48'Rodrigo FagundesFoul
54'Rómulo Otero INRomarinho out
63'Enzo Lodovico INRian Santana out
63'Renzo López INLenny Ivo Lobato Romanelli out
67'RonaldFoul
68'Yuri Jonathan INCaue out
69'Fellipe Mateus INWillean Bernardo out
75'Ronald INEduardo Biasi out
75'Jhonata Robert Alves da Silva INJoão Carlos Barros Lopes out
78'ViníciusPersistent infringement
78'Vinícius INLucca Holanda Sampaio Tavares out
78'Julio Cesar INRafael Ramos out
84'Matheus Araujo INLucas Mugni out
88'Lenny Ivo Lobato RomanelliAssist: Vinicius Zanocelo
Lineups
CearaCriciuma
4-3-3Coach: Umberto LouzerAvg ratingAvg rating
1Richard
18Júlio
4L. Otávio
13L. Otávio
12Sanchez
25V. Zanocelo
81J. Gabriel6060E. Lodovico
29Vina
8M. Araújo
94R. López
32Airton
6Marcinho
3Rodrigo
4L. Castán
22M. Hermes
14Ronald
41J. Irmer
7F. Mateus
10J. Robert
33Yuri
91R. OteroCeara Substitutes
26Richardson
23Caíque França
33Éder
11N. Ferreira
7Giovanni Pavani
77Lenny Lobato63'for Renzo López88'
10L. Mugni84'for Matheus Araujo
99Lucca78'for Vinícius
22Matheus Nogueira
78Janderson Gabriel De Oliveira Martins
16Rian Santana63'replaced by Enzo Lodovico
2Rafael Ramos78'for Julio Cesar
Criciuma Substitutes
5Eduardo75'for Ronald
37César Martins
88Cauê68'for Yuri Jonathan
34Bruno Alves
1Alisson
21João Carlos75'for Jhonata Robert Alves da Silva
11Romarinho54'for Rómulo Otero
50Thiaguinho
97Willean Lepo69'for Fellipe Mateus
70Pedro
31Hiago Accinelli da Roza
Match Stats
CearaCriciuma 56%Ball Possession44%
5Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards3
16Total Shots15
3Shots on Goal1
9Shots off Goal6
9Shots Inside Box3
7Shots Outside Box12
4Blocked Shots8
16Fouls17
1Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves2
443Total Passes445
383Passes Accurate386
16Free Kicks14
Team Comparison
CearaCriciuma1611Elo Rating 1645
1.18Attack 1.25
1.95Defense 2.81
36%Hit Rate 81%
13.1Shots per Game 14.5
3.9Shots on Target 2.6
5.2Corners per Game 5.1
2.2Cards per Game 2.0
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Ceara- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Criciuma- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.3 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings, all competitions
Ceara2Wins · 67%Draws133%
Criciuma0Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%2.0Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3
Previous meetings
Recent Form
Ceara4W2D4L
Criciuma4W1D5L
03/10/2026
LondrinaCriciumaCriciuma
AvaiCriciuma
Operario-PR
Atletico GoianienseCriciumaCriciuma
Juventude
Botafogo SPCriciumaCriciuma
Goias
LondrinaCriciuma02
W27/09/2026CriciumaAvai30
W23/09/2026CriciumaOperario-PR02
L13/09/2026Atletico GoianienseCriciuma40
L09/09/2026CriciumaJuventude02
L05/09/2026Criciuma
Cuiaba
CriciumaCuiaba20
W30/08/2026
CRBCriciuma
CRBCriciuma21
L23/08/2026Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
20/08/2026CriciumaFortaleza EC02
LBotafogo SPCriciuma11
D15/08/2026CriciumaGoias10
WReferee Profile
5.19Cards per match
4.94Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
27.3Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.19 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.08).
Cards come from 31 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vila Nova | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 48:33 | +15 | 62 | DWDWW |
| 2 |  Novorizontino | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 61:30 | +31 | 61 | DWWWD |
| 3 | Juventude | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 41:23 | +18 | 61 | DDWWW |
| 4 | Fortaleza EC | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 41:29 | +12 | 60 | WDWDD |
| 5 | Criciuma | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 35:28 | +7 | 59 | WWLWW |
| 6 | Atletico Goianiense | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 42:32 | +10 | 54 | DDLWW |
| 7 | CRB | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 51:48 | +3 | 52 | LDWLW |
| 8 |  Sport Recife | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 45:37 | +8 | 51 | LDWWL |
| 9 | Goias | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 34:40 | -6 | 49 | DWWLL |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:46 | -2 | 48 | LLLLD |
| 11 | Cuiaba | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 32:27 | +5 | 47 | LLDWL |
| 12 |  São Bernardo | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 46:37 | +9 | 46 | LDLWD |
| 13 | Botafogo SP | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:38 | 0 | 44 | WWWLW |
| 14 |  Athletic Club | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 40:39 | +1 | 44 | DDLLD |
| 15 |  Nautico Recife | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 43 | DLLDW |
| 16 | Ceara | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 37:42 | -5 | 43 | DLWWD |
| 17 | Avai | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 33:43 | -10 | 37 | DWWLL |
| 18 | Londrina | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 43:49 | -6 | 32 | WDLLL |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 22:54 | -32 | 20 | WLLLL |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 19:74 | -55 | 14 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova | 34 | 48:33 | 62 |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 34 | 61:30 | 61 |
| 3 | Juventude | 34 | 41:23 | 61 |
| 4 | Fortaleza EC | 34 | 41:29 | 60 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 34 | 35:28 | 59 |
| 6 | Atletico Goianiense | 34 | 42:32 | 54 |
| 7 | CRB | 34 | 51:48 | 52 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 34 | 45:37 | 51 |
| 9 | Goias | 34 | 34:40 | 49 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 34 | 44:46 | 48 |
| 11 | Cuiaba | 34 | 32:27 | 47 |
| 12 | São Bernardo | 34 | 46:37 | 46 |
| 13 | Botafogo SP | 34 | 38:38 | 44 |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 34 | 40:39 | 44 |
| 15 | Nautico Recife | 34 | 39:42 | 43 |
| 16 | Ceara | 34 | 37:42 | 43 |
| 17 | Avai | 34 | 33:43 | 37 |
| 18 | Londrina | 34 | 43:49 | 32 |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 34 | 22:54 | 20 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 34 | 19:74 | 14 |
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This match
About the Ceara vs Criciuma forecast
The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Ceara and Criciuma in the Serie B table
In the Serie B table, Criciuma are 5th and Ceara 16th, 16 points apart. League goal record so far: Ceara 37-42, Criciuma 35-28. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.