Vila Nova vs Criciuma Prediction

Vila Nova
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Criciuma
Estadio Onesio Brasileiro Alvarenga, Goiania·Bruno Arleu 08/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.17
SignalHIGHModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-8.4%
Vila Nova Rest
7 days
Criciuma Rest
8 days

Vila Nova vs Criciuma: result, form and history

Vila Nova beat Criciuma 1-0 in the Serie B on 7 Nov 2026. That went against recent form: Criciuma had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Vila Nova.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.1 goals a game across 7 matches. Referee Bruno Arleu averages 5.66 cards a game, 0.50 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.51
X
30%3.00
2
31%2.89
Double Chance
1X
69%1.36
X2
60%1.49
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.92
No
51%1.79
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.44 + 0.96 = 2.40
Over 1.5
67%1.40
Over 2.5
42%2.29
Over 3.5
23%4.33
Under 1.5
33%2.75
Under 2.5
58%1.57
Under 3.5
77%1.17
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 5.1 = 10.4
Over 8.5
69%1.36
Over 9.5
57%1.65
Over 10.5
46%2.04
Under 8.5
31%2.70
Under 9.5
43%2.13
Under 10.5
54%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2.8 = 5.5
Over 3.5
79%-
Over 4.5
63%-
Under 3.5
21%-
Under 4.5
37%-

Match Events

9'Nicolas Godinho Johann INJhonata Robert Alves da Silva out
11'Marquinhos GabrielAssist: Janderson
45'Rodrigo Fagundes INYuri Jonathan out
45'Diego Gonçalves INEduardo Biasi out
47'Eduardo BiasiFoul
68'André Luís INLincoln out
68'Raphael Guimarães de Paula INHigor Meritão out
73'Fellipe Mateus INWaguininho out
73'Igor Cariús INHayner out
80'Higor Luiz de Souza INWillian Prado Camargo out
80'Douglas Mendes INTiago Pagnussat out
83'Willean Bernardo INRomarinho out
87'RomarinhoFoul
88'Higor MeritãoFoul
89'Marcelo HermesFoul

Lineups

Vila Nova
4-2-3-1Coach: Guto Ferreira
Criciuma
3-4-2-1Coach: Umberto Louzer
Avg rating6.98
Avg rating6.41
Helton Leite6.71H. Leite
Igor Cariús6.816I. Cariús
Jonathan Costa7.023J. Costa
Douglas Mendes7.44D. Mendes
Higor7.56Higor
Dudu6.215Dudu
Dodô7.231Dodô
Everton Galdino6.617E. Galdino
Marquinhos Gabriel8.110M. Gabriel
Janderson7.799Janderson
André Luís6.27A. Luís
Airton6.732Airton
César Martins7.037C. Martins
Rodrigo6.73Rodrigo
Luciano Castán6.44L. Castán
Willean Lepo6.697W. Lepo
Ronald6.414Ronald
Fellipe Mateus6.07F. Mateus
Marcelo Hermes6.822M. Hermes
R. Otero5.991R. Otero
Diego Gonçalves5.977D. Gonçalves
Nicolas6.69Nicolas

Vila Nova Substitutes

13Willian Formiga80'for Higor Luiz de Souza7.0
14Anderson
29Dalberson
49Dellatorre
70Emerson Urso
18Enzo
22Hayner73'for Igor Cariús7.1
21Higor Meritão68'for Raphael Guimarães de Paula88'6.6
9Lincoln68'for André Luís6.5
20Nathan Camargo
3Tiago Pagnussat80'for Douglas Mendes7.1
11Ryan Lima

Criciuma Substitutes

6Marcinho
34Bruno Alves
10Jhonata Robert9'for Nicolas Godinho Johann6.3
21João Carlos
33Yuri45'for Rodrigo Fagundes6.2
5Eduardo45'for Diego Gonçalves47'6.5
70Pedro
11Romarinho83'for Willean Bernardo87'6.1
13Waguininho73'for Fellipe Mateus6.4
41Jean Irmer
31Hiago Accinelli da Roza

Match Stats

Vila NovaCriciuma
39%Ball Possession61%
8Corner Kicks7
3Yellow Cards3
14Total Shots4
3Shots on Goal1
5Shots off Goal1
7Shots Inside Box1
7Shots Outside Box3
6Blocked Shots2
14Fouls17
1Offsides5
1Goalkeeper Saves2
311Total Passes480
222Passes Accurate386
17Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

Vila NovaVila Nova
CriciumaCriciuma
1661Elo Rating 1637
1.72Attack 1.13
1.38Defense 2.40
17%Hit Rate 63%
14.1Shots per Game 21.1
5.1Shots on Target 3.8
6.1Corners per Game 7.5
2.6Cards per Game 3.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend14% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Vila NovaVila Nova
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CriciumaCriciuma
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

Vila NovaVila Nova1Wins · 14%
Draws229%
CriciumaCriciuma4Wins · 57%
1.1Avg Goals
14%Both teams scored1 of 7
0%3+ goals0 of 7

Previous meetings

Serie B18/07/2026
CriciumaVila Nova
20
Serie B03/10/2025
Vila NovaCriciuma
11
Serie B10/06/2025
CriciumaVila Nova
10
Serie B23/08/2023
CriciumaVila Nova
10
Serie B13/05/2023
Vila NovaCriciuma
00
Serie B05/10/2022
Vila NovaCriciuma
10
Serie B25/06/2022
CriciumaVila Nova
10

Referee Profile

Bruno Arleu244 matches

5.66Cards per match
5.44Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
28.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Bruno Arleu5.66
Other referees5.16

5.66 cards a match, 0.50 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.16).

Cards come from 201 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino372010766:32+3470WWWDW
2JuventudeJuventude371911749:26+2368WDWDD
3Vila NovaVila Nova37199953:38+1566WDLDW
4CriciumaCriciuma371881138:31+762LWLWW
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC371614744:33+1162LDDWD
6CRBCRB371771357:51+658WLWLD
7Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense371513945:35+1058WDLDD
8GoiasGoias361671338:41-355WWDWW
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3714131050:42+855LDWLD
10Operario-PROperario-PR371591349:50-154WLWLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3714101352:42+1052LWWLD
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP371491445:39+651WDWWW
13CuiabaCuiaba3711141234:32+247LLLLL
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3711141244:44047LWLDD
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3712101540:49-946LWLDL
16CearaCeara3611101538:46-843LLDLW
17AvaiAvai371171935:47-1240WLLDW
18LondrinaLondrina37882145:58-1332LLLWD
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro36752426:55-2926WWWLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta36362721:78-5715LDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3766:3270
2JuventudeJuventude3749:2668
3Vila NovaVila Nova3753:3866
4CriciumaCriciuma3738:3162
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3744:3362
6CRBCRB3757:5158
7Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3745:3558
8GoiasGoias3638:4155
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3750:4255
10Operario-PROperario-PR3749:5054
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3752:4252
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3745:3951
13CuiabaCuiaba3734:3247
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3744:4447
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3740:4946
16CearaCeara3638:4643
17AvaiAvai3735:4740
18LondrinaLondrina3745:5832
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3626:5526
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3621:7815
PromotionRelegation

About the Vila Nova vs Criciuma forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Vila Nova and Criciuma in the Serie B table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Vila Nova are 3rd in the Serie B, 4 points ahead of Criciuma in 4th. League goal record so far: Vila Nova 53-38, Criciuma 38-31. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.