Vila Nova vs Ceara Prediction
Brazil · Regular Season - 25
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalHIGHModel63%SurpriseMediumGap-2.4%
Vila Nova Rest
7 days
Ceara Rest
8 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
155%1.92
X28%3.25
217%4.10
Double Chance
1X83%1.22
X245%1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes56%2.03
No44%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.7 + 0.95 = 2.65
Over 1.577%1.43
Over 2.553%2.31
Over 3.530%4.26
Under 1.523%2.69
Under 2.547%1.59
Under 3.570%1.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.6 + 4.3 = 10.9
Over 8.569%1.34
Over 9.557%1.60
Over 10.546%1.98
Under 8.531%2.98
Under 9.543%2.22
Under 10.554%1.76
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.5 = 4.6
Over 3.561%1.36
Over 4.545%1.67
Under 3.539%2.77
Under 4.555%2.07
Match Events
16'Breno AugustoAssist: Tiago Pagnussat
45+2'Breno Augusto INWillian Formiga out
46'Richardson INVinicius Zanocelo out
46'Lucas Mugni INMatheus Araujo out
53'Dudu
54'Julio CesarFoul
72'Julio Cesar INVina out
72'M. N. Ferreira Berrondo INLenny Lobato out
73'Marquinhos Gabriel INDodo out
73'Everton Galdino INEmerson Urso out
75'Andre LuisAssist: Janderson
79'Joao Vieira
79'Dudu INWillian Maranhao out
80'Joao Vieira INNathan Camargo out
84'Enzo Lodovico INAloisio out
90'Vinicius ZanoceloFoul
90+2'
Lineups
Vila NovaCeara
4-2-3-1Coach: Paulista DanielAvg ratingAvg rating
1H. Leite
22Hayner
3T. Pagnussat
23Breno
6Higor
5J. Vieira
15D. Dos Santos
17E. Galdino
C10M. Gabriel
99Janderson
7A. Luís
1Richard
18J. César
4L. Otávio
71G. Silva Rocha
12Sánchez
C26Richardson
81J. Gabriel
60E. Valentim Lodovico
11L. Mugni
20N. Ferreira
99LuccaVila Nova Substitutes
13Willian Formiga45+2'for Breno Augusto
29Dalberson
16Igor Cariús
33Bruno Xavier
21Higor Meritão
70Emerson Urso73'for Everton Galdino
11Ryan Lima
20Nathan Camargo80'for Joao Vieira
8Willian Maranhão79'for Dudu
18Enzo
31Dodô73'for Marquinhos Gabriel
9Gustavo Puskas
Ceara Substitutes
22Matheus Nogueira
86Aloísio Barbosa de Abreu Neto84'for Enzo Lodovico
2Rafael Ramos
13Luiz Otávio
8Matheus Araújo46'for Lucas Mugni
40Melk
25Vinicius Zanocelo46'for Richardson90'
21Giovanni Pavani
29Vina72'for Julio Cesar
83Gabriel Amaral
77Lenny Lobato72'for M. N. Ferreira Berrondo
Match Stats
Vila NovaCeara 46%Ball Possession54%
5Corner Kicks7
2Yellow Cards3
16Total Shots7
7Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal4
10Shots Inside Box5
6Shots Outside Box2
3Blocked Shots0
18Fouls10
1Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves5
293Total Passes334
241Passes Accurate265
82%Pass Accuracy79%
Team Comparison
Vila NovaCeara1661Elo Rating 1591
1.53Attack 0.76
1.73Defense 1.81
34%Hit Rate 31%
11.0Shots per Game 13.7
4.2Shots on Target 3.8
4.4Corners per Game 4.6
2.9Cards per Game 2.6
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Vila Nova- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Ceara- Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 5 meetings, all competitions
Vila Nova2Wins · 40%Draws120%
Ceara2Wins · 40%
2Wins · 40%4.0Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored3 of 5
80%3+ goals4 of 5
Previous meetings
26/04/2026CearaVila Nova33
22/09/2024CearaVila Nova40
11/06/2024Vila NovaCeara32
18/11/2023Vila NovaCeara31
20/07/2023CearaVila Nova10
Recent Form
Vila Nova4W1D5L
23/08/2026
Operario-PRVila Nova
20/08/2026Operario-PRVila Nova00
DVila Nova
Ponte Preta60
W15/08/2026
Atletico GoianienseVila Nova
08/08/2026Atletico GoianienseVila Nova02
WVila Nova
Sport Recife01
L28/07/2026
CRBVila Nova20
L22/07/2026Vila Nova
Fortaleza EC21
W18/07/2026
CriciumaVila Nova
11/07/2026CriciumaVila Nova20
L
JuventudeVila Nova10
L07/07/2026Vila Nova
São Bernardo
27/06/2026Vila NovaSão Bernardo21
W
NovorizontinoVila Nova21
LReferee Profile
5.18Cards per match
4.64Yellow cards per match
0.55Red cards per match
28.2Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.18 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.12).
Cards come from 11 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 64:31 | +33 | 67 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Juventude | 36 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 47:25 | +22 | 65 | DWDDW |
| 3 | Vila Nova | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 52:38 | +14 | 63 | DLDWD |
| 4 | Criciuma | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 38:30 | +8 | 62 | WLWWL |
| 5 | Fortaleza EC | 36 | 16 | 14 | 6 | 43:31 | +12 | 62 | DDWDW |
| 6 | CRB | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 54:51 | +3 | 55 | LWLDW |
| 7 |  Goias | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 38:41 | -3 | 55 | WWDWW |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 48:39 | +9 | 55 | DWLDW |
| 9 | Atletico Goianiense | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 42:33 | +9 | 55 | DLDDL |
| 10 | São Bernardo | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 51:40 | +11 | 52 | WWLDL |
| 11 |  Botafogo SP | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 45:39 | +6 | 51 | WDWWW |
| 12 | Operario-PR | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 46:48 | -2 | 51 | LWLLL |
| 13 |  Cuiaba | 36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 33:30 | +3 | 47 | LLLLD |
| 14 |  Athletic Club | 36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 42:41 | +1 | 47 | WLDDL |
| 15 |  Nautico Recife | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 40:46 | -6 | 46 | WLDLL |
| 16 | Ceara | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 38:46 | -8 | 43 | LLDLW |
| 17 |  Avai | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 33:46 | -13 | 37 | LLDWW |
| 18 |  Londrina | 37 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 45:58 | -13 | 32 | LLLWD |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 36 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 26:55 | -29 | 26 | WWWLL |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 36 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 21:78 | -57 | 15 | LDDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 36 | 64:31 | 67 |
| 2 | Juventude | 36 | 47:25 | 65 |
| 3 | Vila Nova | 36 | 52:38 | 63 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 36 | 38:30 | 62 |
| 5 | Fortaleza EC | 36 | 43:31 | 62 |
| 6 | CRB | 36 | 54:51 | 55 |
| 7 | Goias | 36 | 38:41 | 55 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 36 | 48:39 | 55 |
| 9 | Atletico Goianiense | 36 | 42:33 | 55 |
| 10 | São Bernardo | 36 | 51:40 | 52 |
| 11 | Botafogo SP | 37 | 45:39 | 51 |
| 12 | Operario-PR | 36 | 46:48 | 51 |
| 13 | Cuiaba | 36 | 33:30 | 47 |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 36 | 42:41 | 47 |
| 15 | Nautico Recife | 36 | 40:46 | 46 |
| 16 | Ceara | 36 | 38:46 | 43 |
| 17 | Avai | 36 | 33:46 | 37 |
| 18 | Londrina | 37 | 45:58 | 32 |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 36 | 26:55 | 26 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 36 | 21:78 | 15 |
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About the Vila Nova vs Ceara forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Vila Nova and Ceara in the Serie B table
In the Serie B table, Vila Nova are 3rd and Ceara 16th, 20 points apart. League goal record so far: Vila Nova 52-38, Ceara 38-46. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.