Cerro vs Albion FC Prediction

Primera DivisiónUruguay Uruguay · Clausura - 2
Cerro
2-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Albion FC
J. Burgos 15/08/2026
CerroCerro
2-1
Finished
Albion FCAlbion FC

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.50
SignalGOODModel31%SurpriseHighGap+5.1%
Cerro Rest
5 days
Albion FC Rest
6 days

Cerro vs Albion FC: the result in context

Cerro beat Albion FC 2-1 in the Primera División on 15 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Cerro had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Albion FC.

Their 3 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 1 of them. Referee J. Burgos averages 6.1 cards a game, stricter than 99% of the referees we track.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
30%3.30
X
29%2.88
2
41%2.25
Double Chance
1X
59%1.57
X2
70%1.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%2.06
No
49%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.16 + 1.28 = 2.44
Over 1.5
67%1.50
Over 2.5
43%2.48
Over 3.5
23%4.90
Under 1.5
33%2.48
Under 2.5
57%1.49
Under 3.5
77%1.16
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

8'A. Lopez
12'A. Miranda INR. Mederos out
41'B. Aleman
46'A. Vera INF. Puente out
46'A. Severo INLeonardo Pais out
64'C. Barros INA. Cambon out
77'S. Costa INB. Acosta out
77'H. Toledo INN. Neira out
88'A. Cambon
89'B. Aleman INE. Sosa out
89'J. Alvarez INT. Figueroa out

Team Comparison

CerroCerro
Albion FCAlbion FC
1469Elo Rating 1520
1.10Attack 2.05
1.60Defense 1.44
23%Hit Rate 81%
9.5Shots per Game 8.9
4.5Shots on Target 5.0
2.9Corners per Game 3.0
4.5Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CerroCerro
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.3 in first half)
Albion FCAlbion FC
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

CerroCerro2Wins · 67%
Draws00%
Albion FCAlbion FC1Wins · 33%
2.3Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored1 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3

Previous meetings

Primera División - Apertura16/02/2026
Albion FCCerro
30
Segunda División17/09/2021
CerroAlbion FC
10
Segunda División02/06/2021
Albion FCCerro
12

Recent Form

CerroCerro
4W0D6L
09/08/2026
DanubioCerro
01
W
04/08/2026
Defensor SportingCerro
21
L
26/07/2026
CerroRacing Montevideo
10
W
12/07/2026
Liverpool MontevideoCerro
12
W07/06/2026
CerroPenarol
01
L
30/05/2026
Cerro LargoCerro
20
L
24/05/2026
CerroCentral Espanol
10
W
16/05/2026
Boston RiverCerro
41
L
11/05/2026
Club NacionalCerro
40
L
02/05/2026
CerroDeportivo Maldonado
01
L
Albion FCAlbion FC
3W3D4L
08/08/2026
Liverpool MontevideoAlbion FC
10
L
01/08/2026
Albion FCDanubio
22
D17/07/2026
Albion FCJuventud
01
L11/07/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoAlbion FC
11
D
07/06/2026
ProgresoAlbion FC
12
W
31/05/2026
Albion FCAtletico Torque
12
L
23/05/2026
Club NacionalAlbion FC
10
L
17/05/2026
Albion FCWanderers
00
D
09/05/2026
DanubioAlbion FC
01
W
04/05/2026
Albion FCClub Nacional
32
W

Referee Profile

J. Burgos20 matches analysed

6.06Cards per match
5.66Yellow cards per match
0.40Red cards per match
24.5Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 99% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

League Table

Primera División 2026

Primera: Tabla Anual

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PenarolPenarol34198751:27+2464DLWLW
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado34188854:32+2262DWWLW
3Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque341861057:40+1760DLDLL
4Club NacionalClub Nacional331841151:40+1158LLWWL
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo341512742:30+1257DWWWD
6Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo331411844:31+1353WLDDL
7WanderersWanderers341481241:43-250LLLWL
8Albion FCAlbion FC341371447:44+346WWDDW
9JuventudJuventud3410111337:41-441DWLLL
10Central EspanolCentral Espanol341081633:47-1438LDWWD
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo349101532:38-637LDDWL
12Boston RiverBoston River341071733:45-1237WLWWL
13CerroCerro341071728:51-2337DDWLW
14Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting348121433:43-1036DWLDD
15ProgresoProgreso341051931:47-1635WLLDD
16DanubioDanubio346141428:43-1532DDDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1PenarolPenarol3451:2764
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado3454:3262
3Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque3457:4060
4Club NacionalClub Nacional3351:4058
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo3442:3057
6Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo3344:3153
7WanderersWanderers3441:4350
8Albion FCAlbion FC3447:4446
9JuventudJuventud3437:4141
10Central EspanolCentral Espanol3433:4738
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo3432:3837
12Boston RiverBoston River3433:4537
13CerroCerro3428:5137
14Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting3433:4336
15ProgresoProgreso3431:4735
16DanubioDanubio3428:4332

Primera: Promedios

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PenarolPenarol71431414117:61+56143DLWLW
2Club NacionalClub Nacional70421414127:73+54137LLWWL
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado34188854:32+2262DWWLW
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo7032221695:68+27118WLDDL
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo7129231981:68+13110DWWWD
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque71311624111:91+20109DLDLL
7JuventudJuventud7128182582:80+2102DWLLL
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting7126192675:81-697DWLDD
9Albion FCAlbion FC341371447:44+346WWDDW
10Boston RiverBoston River7124202783:84-192WLWWL
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo7121232773:79-686LDDWL
12CerroCerro7122183161:93-3283DDWLW
13WanderersWanderers7120213066:90-2481LLLWL
14Central EspanolCentral Espanol341081633:47-1438LDWWD
15DanubioDanubio7116272869:84-1575DDDLD
16ProgresoProgreso7120143769:107-3874WLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1PenarolPenarol71117:61143
2Club NacionalClub Nacional70127:73137
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado3454:3262
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo7095:68118
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo7181:68110
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque71111:91109
7JuventudJuventud7182:80102
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting7175:8197
9Albion FCAlbion FC3447:4446
10Boston RiverBoston River7183:8492
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo7173:7986
12CerroCerro7161:9383
13WanderersWanderers7166:9081
14Central EspanolCentral Espanol3433:4738
15DanubioDanubio7169:8475
16ProgresoProgreso7169:10774

Primera: Torneo Intermedio — Group 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PenarolPenarol751112:3+916DLWLW
2Cerro LargoCerro Largo73227:5+211LDDWL
3Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo72414:3+110DWWWD
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo72325:509WLDDL
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol72324:409LDWWD
6CerroCerro73046:10-49DDWLW
7Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting71336:9-36DWLDD
8Boston RiverBoston River71245:10-55WLWWL
#TeamMPGPts
1PenarolPenarol712:316
2Cerro LargoCerro Largo77:511
3Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo74:310
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo75:59
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol74:49
6CerroCerro76:109
7Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting76:96
8Boston RiverBoston River75:105

Primera: Torneo Intermedio — Group 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1WanderersWanderers743012:4+815LLLWL
2Club NacionalClub Nacional74128:8013LLWWL
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado733112:6+612DWWLW
4Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque740311:11012DLDLL
5JuventudJuventud72238:11-38DWLLL
6Albion FCAlbion FC71336:8-26WWDDW
7ProgresoProgreso72056:11-56WLLDD
8DanubioDanubio70435:9-44DDDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1WanderersWanderers712:415
2Club NacionalClub Nacional78:813
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado712:612
4Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque711:1112
5JuventudJuventud78:118
6Albion FCAlbion FC76:86
7ProgresoProgreso76:116
8DanubioDanubio75:94

Primera: Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1594223:14+931DWWWD
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1592424:16+829DWWLW
3Albion FCAlbion FC1584326:16+1028WWDDW
4PenarolPenarol1583423:16+727DLWLW
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol1573523:22+124LDWWD
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1565422:16+623DLDLL
7Club NacionalClub Nacional1571726:21+522LLWWL
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1556413:11+221DWLDD
9Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1555520:18+220WLDDL
10WanderersWanderers1562716:21-520LLLWL
11DanubioDanubio1546517:21-418DDDLD
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo1552816:19-317LDDWL
13Boston RiverBoston River1552814:20-617WLWWL
14JuventudJuventud1543817:22-515DWLLL
15ProgresoProgreso1524912:23-1110WLLDD
16CerroCerro152498:24-1610DDWLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1523:1431
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1524:1629
3Albion FCAlbion FC1526:1628
4PenarolPenarol1523:1627
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol1523:2224
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1522:1623
7Club NacionalClub Nacional1526:2122
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1513:1121
9Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1520:1820
10WanderersWanderers1516:2120
11DanubioDanubio1517:2118
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo1516:1917
13Boston RiverBoston River1514:2017
14JuventudJuventud1517:2215
15ProgresoProgreso1512:2310
16CerroCerro158:2410

Primera: Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1281324:13+1125DLDLL
2Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1173119:8+1124WLDDL
3Club NacionalClub Nacional1172217:11+623LLWWL
4Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1263318:10+821DWWLW
5PenarolPenarol1264216:8+821DLWLW
6ProgresoProgreso1261513:13019WLLDD
7JuventudJuventud1246212:8+418DWLLL
8CerroCerro1253414:17-318DDWLW
9Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1244415:13+216DWWWD
10Boston RiverBoston River1243514:15-115WLWWL
11WanderersWanderers1243513:18-515LLLWL
12Albion FCAlbion FC1240815:20-512WWDDW
13DanubioDanubio122466:13-710DDDLD
14Cerro LargoCerro Largo121659:14-59LDDWL
15Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1223714:23-99DWLDD
16Central EspanolCentral Espanol121296:21-155LDWWD
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1224:1325
2Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1119:824
3Club NacionalClub Nacional1117:1123
4Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1218:1021
5PenarolPenarol1216:821
6ProgresoProgreso1213:1319
7JuventudJuventud1212:818
8CerroCerro1214:1718
9Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1215:1316
10Boston RiverBoston River1214:1515
11WanderersWanderers1213:1815
12Albion FCAlbion FC1215:2012
13DanubioDanubio126:1310
14Cerro LargoCerro Largo129:149
15Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1214:239
16Central EspanolCentral Espanol126:215
PromotionRelegation

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About the Cerro vs Albion FC forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Cerro and Albion FC in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, Albion FC are 8th and Cerro 13th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Cerro 28-51, Albion FC 47-44. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.