Penarol vs Central Espanol Prediction
Uruguay · Clausura - 2
E. Guerra 16/08/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.73
SignalSOLIDModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+4.8%
Penarol Rest
10 days
Central Espanol Rest
8 days
Penarol vs Central Espanol: the result in context
Penarol beat Central Espanol 2-1 in the Primera División on 16 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Penarol had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Central Espanol.
Their history points to a close game: 3 previous meetings produced 1.3 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
162%1.41
X22%4.00
216%7.40
Double Chance
1X84%1.07
X238%2.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes48%2.25
No52%1.57
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.58 + 0.81 = 2.39
Over 1.566%1.33
Over 2.541%2.02
Over 3.522%3.58
Under 1.534%3.04
Under 2.559%1.73
Under 3.578%1.26
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
25'F. Munoz
27'M. Lemos
46'F. Munoz INL. Pino out
55'M. Olivera
63'I. Mendez INM. Aguilera out
63'J. Dellarossa INF. Camarda out
68'A. Hernandez INL. Umpierrez out
69'C. Jaime
74'M. Gonzalez
76'E. Darias INLucas Hernandez out
76'C. Jaime INI. Alegre out
76'J. Cabrera INL. Angulo out
77'N. Fernandez
80'G. Gandolfo
81'I. Alegre
82'M. Arezo INF. Batista out
85'N. Fernandez
85'N. Fernandez
87'M. Gonzalez INE. Mereles out
87'I. Rodriguez INM. Alonso out
90+1'A. Villoldo
Team Comparison
Penarol
Central Espanol1635Elo Rating 1456
0.41Attack 0.77
1.97Defense 0.71
0%Hit Rate 27%
10.8Shots per Game 5.9
3.0Shots on Target 3.3
4.6Corners per Game 3.3
4.5Cards per Game 2.2
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+179 Elo
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Penarol- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.4 vs 0 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Central Espanol- No tendency data available
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings, all competitions
Penarol0Wins · 0%Draws133%
Central Espanol2Wins · 67%
2Wins · 67%1.3Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored1 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3
Previous meetings
02/06/2026PenarolCentral Espanol01
16/02/2026Central EspanolPenarol21
13/01/2026PenarolCentral Espanol5030
Recent Form
Penarol6W2D2L
06/08/2026Penarol
Wanderers
01/08/2026PenarolWanderers51
WPenarol
Cerro Largo30
W18/07/2026Penarol
Boston River30
W12/07/2026
Racing MontevideoPenarol11
D07/06/2026
CerroPenarol01
W02/06/2026PenarolCentral Espanol
PenarolCentral Espanol01
L28/05/2026Penarol
Santa Fe
PenarolSanta Fe01
L24/05/2026
Defensor SportingPenarol
Defensor SportingPenarol02
W22/05/2026Penarol
Corinthians
PenarolCorinthians11
D16/05/2026Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
PenarolLiverpool Montevideo21
WCentral Espanol4W3D3L
08/08/2026Central Espanol
ProgresoCentral EspanolCerro LargoBoston RiverCentral Espanol
Central EspanolProgreso10
W02/08/2026Central EspanolLiverpool Montevideo
25/07/2026Central EspanolLiverpool Montevideo00
DCentral EspanolCerro Largo01
L12/07/2026Boston RiverCentral Espanol00
D06/06/2026Central EspanolRacing Montevideo
Central EspanolRacing Montevideo11
D02/06/2026PenarolCentral Espanol
PenarolCentral Espanol01
W24/05/2026CerroCentral Espanol
CerroCentral Espanol10
L17/05/2026Central EspanolDefensor Sporting
Central EspanolDefensor Sporting21
W09/05/2026Central EspanolRacing Montevideo
Central EspanolRacing Montevideo20
W03/05/2026Boston RiverCentral Espanol
Boston RiverCentral Espanol21
LLeague Table
Primera: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 52:28 | +24 | 65 | LDLWL |
| 2 |  Deportivo Maldonado | 35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 54:32 | +22 | 63 | LDWWL |
| 3 |  Atletico Torque | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 59:41 | +18 | 63 | WDLDL |
| 4 |  Club Nacional | 35 | 19 | 4 | 12 | 53:42 | +11 | 61 | LWLLW |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 35 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 45:31 | +14 | 60 | WDWWW |
| 6 | Liverpool Montevideo | 35 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 47:31 | +16 | 59 | DLWLD |
| 7 | Wanderers | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 42:44 | -2 | 51 | WLLLW |
| 8 |  Albion FC | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 47:44 | +3 | 47 | WWWDD |
| 9 |  Juventud | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 37:43 | -6 | 41 | DDWLL |
| 10 | Central Espanol | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 35:48 | -13 | 41 | WLDWW |
| 11 | Defensor Sporting | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 35:43 | -8 | 39 | WDWLD |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 33:41 | -8 | 37 | LLDDW |
| 13 | Boston River | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 34:47 | -13 | 37 | LWLWW |
| 14 | Cerro | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 29:53 | -24 | 37 | LDDWL |
| 15 | Progreso | 35 | 10 | 5 | 20 | 31:49 | -18 | 35 | LWLLD |
| 16 |  Danubio | 35 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 29:45 | -16 | 32 | WDDDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 35 | 52:28 | 65 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 35 | 54:32 | 63 |
| 3 | Atletico Torque | 35 | 59:41 | 63 |
| 4 | Club Nacional | 35 | 53:42 | 61 |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 35 | 45:31 | 60 |
| 6 | Liverpool Montevideo | 35 | 47:31 | 59 |
| 7 | Wanderers | 35 | 42:44 | 51 |
| 8 | Albion FC | 35 | 47:44 | 47 |
| 9 | Juventud | 35 | 37:43 | 41 |
| 10 | Central Espanol | 35 | 35:48 | 41 |
| 11 | Defensor Sporting | 35 | 35:43 | 39 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 35 | 33:41 | 37 |
| 13 | Boston River | 35 | 34:47 | 37 |
| 14 | Cerro | 35 | 29:53 | 37 |
| 15 | Progreso | 35 | 31:49 | 35 |
| 16 | Danubio | 35 | 29:45 | 32 |
Primera: Promedios
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 72 | 43 | 15 | 14 | 118:62 | +56 | 144 | LDLWL |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 72 | 43 | 14 | 15 | 129:75 | +54 | 140 | LWLLW |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 54:32 | +22 | 63 | LDWWL |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 72 | 34 | 22 | 16 | 98:68 | +30 | 124 | DLWLD |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 72 | 30 | 23 | 19 | 84:69 | +15 | 113 | WDWWW |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 72 | 32 | 16 | 24 | 113:92 | +21 | 112 | WDLDL |
| 7 | Juventud | 72 | 28 | 18 | 26 | 82:82 | 0 | 102 | DDWLL |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 72 | 27 | 19 | 26 | 77:81 | -4 | 100 | WDWLD |
| 9 | Albion FC | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 47:44 | +3 | 47 | WWWDD |
| 10 | Boston River | 72 | 24 | 20 | 28 | 84:86 | -2 | 92 | LWLWW |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 72 | 21 | 23 | 28 | 74:82 | -8 | 86 | LLDDW |
| 12 | Central Espanol | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 35:48 | -13 | 41 | WLDWW |
| 13 | Cerro | 72 | 22 | 18 | 32 | 62:95 | -33 | 83 | LDDWL |
| 14 | Wanderers | 72 | 20 | 22 | 30 | 67:91 | -24 | 82 | WLLLW |
| 15 | Danubio | 72 | 16 | 27 | 29 | 70:86 | -16 | 75 | WDDDL |
| 16 | Progreso | 72 | 20 | 14 | 38 | 69:109 | -40 | 74 | LWLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 72 | 118:62 | 144 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 72 | 129:75 | 140 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 35 | 54:32 | 63 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 72 | 98:68 | 124 |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 72 | 84:69 | 113 |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 72 | 113:92 | 112 |
| 7 | Juventud | 72 | 82:82 | 102 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 72 | 77:81 | 100 |
| 9 | Albion FC | 35 | 47:44 | 47 |
| 10 | Boston River | 72 | 84:86 | 92 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 72 | 74:82 | 86 |
| 12 | Central Espanol | 35 | 35:48 | 41 |
| 13 | Cerro | 72 | 62:95 | 83 |
| 14 | Wanderers | 72 | 67:91 | 82 |
| 15 | Danubio | 72 | 70:86 | 75 |
| 16 | Progreso | 72 | 69:109 | 74 |
Primera: Torneo Intermedio — Group 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:3 | +9 | 16 | LDLWL |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | +2 | 11 | LLDDW |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 10 | WDWWW |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 9 | DLWLD |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 9 | WLDWW |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 9 | LDDWL |
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 | WDWLD |
| 8 | Boston River | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 | LWLWW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 12:3 | 16 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 4:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 7 | 5:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 7 | 4:4 | 9 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 6:10 | 9 |
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 7 | 6:9 | 6 |
| 8 | Boston River | 7 | 5:10 | 5 |
Primera: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23:14 | +9 | 31 | WDWWW |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:16 | +8 | 29 | LDWWL |
| 3 | Albion FC | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26:16 | +10 | 28 | WWWDD |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23:16 | +7 | 27 | LDLWL |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:22 | +1 | 24 | WLDWW |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | +6 | 23 | WDLDL |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26:21 | +5 | 22 | LWLLW |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13:11 | +2 | 21 | WDWLD |
| 9 | Liverpool Montevideo | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20:18 | +2 | 20 | DLWLD |
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16:21 | -5 | 20 | WLLLW |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 18 | WDDDL |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16:19 | -3 | 17 | LLDDW |
| 13 | Boston River | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 | LWLWW |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17:22 | -5 | 15 | DDWLL |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12:23 | -11 | 10 | LWLLD |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8:24 | -16 | 10 | LDDWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 23:14 | 31 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 24:16 | 29 |
| 3 | Albion FC | 15 | 26:16 | 28 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 23:16 | 27 |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 15 | 23:22 | 24 |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 15 | 22:16 | 23 |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 26:21 | 22 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 15 | 13:11 | 21 |
| 9 | Liverpool Montevideo | 15 | 20:18 | 20 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 16:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 17:21 | 18 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 16:19 | 17 |
| 13 | Boston River | 15 | 14:20 | 17 |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 17:22 | 15 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 12:23 | 10 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 8:24 | 10 |
Primera: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool Montevideo | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 22:8 | +14 | 30 | DLWLD |
| 2 | Atletico Torque | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 26:14 | +12 | 28 | WDLDL |
| 3 | Club Nacional | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:13 | +6 | 26 | LWLLW |
| 4 | Deportivo Maldonado | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:10 | +8 | 22 | LDWWL |
| 5 | Penarol | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17:9 | +8 | 22 | LDLWL |
| 6 | Racing Montevideo | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:14 | +4 | 19 | WDWWW |
| 7 | Progreso | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 19 | LWLLD |
| 8 | Juventud | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 12:10 | +2 | 18 | DDWLL |
| 9 | Cerro | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 18 | LDDWL |
| 10 | Wanderers | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14:19 | -5 | 16 | WLLLW |
| 11 | Boston River | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15:17 | -2 | 15 | LWLWW |
| 12 | Albion FC | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 13 | WWWDD |
| 13 | Defensor Sporting | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16:23 | -7 | 12 | WDWLD |
| 14 | Danubio | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 7:15 | -8 | 10 | WDDDL |
| 15 | Cerro Largo | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 9 | LLDDW |
| 16 | Central Espanol | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8:22 | -14 | 8 | WLDWW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool Montevideo | 13 | 22:8 | 30 |
| 2 | Atletico Torque | 13 | 26:14 | 28 |
| 3 | Club Nacional | 13 | 19:13 | 26 |
| 4 | Deportivo Maldonado | 13 | 18:10 | 22 |
| 5 | Penarol | 13 | 17:9 | 22 |
| 6 | Racing Montevideo | 13 | 18:14 | 19 |
| 7 | Progreso | 13 | 13:15 | 19 |
| 8 | Juventud | 13 | 12:10 | 18 |
| 9 | Cerro | 13 | 15:19 | 18 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 13 | 14:19 | 16 |
| 11 | Boston River | 13 | 15:17 | 15 |
| 12 | Albion FC | 13 | 15:20 | 13 |
| 13 | Defensor Sporting | 13 | 16:23 | 12 |
| 14 | Danubio | 13 | 7:15 | 10 |
| 15 | Cerro Largo | 13 | 10:17 | 9 |
| 16 | Central Espanol | 13 | 8:22 | 8 |
PromotionRelegation
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This match
More Primera División matches
- Defensor Sporting vs Wanderers 09/08/26
- Deportivo Maldonado vs Racing Montevideo 11/08/26
- Cerro vs Albion FC 15/08/26
- Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado 16/08/26
- Albion FC vs Boston River 21/08/26
- Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting 22/08/26
- Danubio vs Racing Montevideo 23/08/26
- Atletico Torque vs Wanderers 23/08/26
About the Penarol vs Central Espanol forecast
The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Penarol and Central Espanol in the Primera División table
In the Primera División table, Penarol are 1st and Central Espanol 10th, 24 points apart. League goal record so far: Penarol 52-28, Central Espanol 35-48. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.