Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew Prediction

Chicago Fire
3-4
Finished
HT 3-2
Columbus Crew
SeatGeek Stadium, Bridgeview·Rosendo Mendoza 07/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalHIGHModel51%SurpriseMediumGap-4.4%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.42
SignalGOODModel71%SurpriseMediumGap+2.0%
Chicago Fire Rest
6 days
Columbus Crew Rest
7 days

Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew: result, form and history

Columbus Crew beat Chicago Fire 4-3 in the Major League Soccer on 7 Nov 2026. It was in line with recent form: Columbus Crew had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Chicago Fire.

Columbus Crew have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.8 goals a game. Referee Rosendo Mendoza averages 4.81 cards a game, 0.53 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.80
X
24%4.20
2
24%3.75
Double Chance
1X
76%1.25
X2
49%1.94
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%1.42
No
33%2.69
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.72 + 1.44 = 3.16
Over 1.5
85%1.11
Over 2.5
67%1.42
Over 3.5
46%2.10
Under 1.5
15%6.00
Under 2.5
33%2.79
Under 3.5
54%1.73
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.3 = 9.8
Over 8.5
63%1.56
Over 9.5
51%2.00
Over 10.5
40%2.58
Under 8.5
37%2.26
Under 9.5
49%1.75
Under 10.5
60%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2.3 = 4.9
Over 3.5
73%1.65
Over 4.5
55%2.33
Under 3.5
27%2.15
Under 4.5
45%1.56

Match Events

8'Robert Lewandowski(Penalty)
11'Noah AllenFoul
16'Gonzalo TapiaAssist: Taha Habroune
22'Robert Lewandowski(Penalty)
23'Anass Zaroury
27'Mbekezeli MbokaziFoul
45'Sekou Tidiany Bangoura INBrais Méndez out
45'Djé D'Avilla INAnzor Mekvabishvili out
45'Noah Allen INAndrew Gutman out
45+4'Maren Haile-Selassie
53'Jonathan BambaFoul
62'Gonzalo TapiaAssist: Malte Amundsen
62'Gonzalo Tapia
68'Mbekezeli Mbokazi INJack Elliott out
69'Jonathan Bamba INAndré Franco out
74'Anzor MekvabishviliFoul
78'Dylan Chambost INAndré Gomes out
79'Santiago RodriguezFoul
83'Philip Zinckernagel INPuso Dithejane out
83'Mohamed Farsi INBrooks Lennon out
83'Anass Zaroury INMarcelo Andrés Herrera out
90+1'Gonzalo Tapia INJamal Thiare out
90+3'Brais Méndez

Lineups

Chicago Fire
4-4-2Coach: G. Berhalter
Columbus Crew
3-4-3Coach: L. Courtois
Avg rating6.14
Avg rating6.54
C. Brady5.81C. Brady
J. Dean6.324J. Dean
A. Hanche-Olsen6.421A. Hanche-Olsen
M. Mbokazi6.14M. Mbokazi
N. Allen5.432N. Allen
P. Zinckernagel6.611P. Zinckernagel
A. Salétros6.66A. Salétros
T. D'Avilla6.342T. D'Avilla
J. Bamba5.119J. Bamba
R. Lewandowski7.49R. Lewandowski
M. Haile-Selassie7.07M. Haile-Selassie
P. Schulte6.028P. Schulte
S. Moreira6.131S. Moreira
S. Zawadzki6.525S. Zawadzki
M. Amundsen6.618M. Amundsen
M. Farsi6.323M. Farsi
D. Chambost6.17D. Chambost
S. Bangoura6.217S. Bangoura
A. Zaroury7.021A. Zaroury
T. Habroune7.316T. Habroune
G. Tapia8.933G. Tapia
S. Rodríguez6.58S. Rodríguez

Chicago Fire Substitutes

10André Franco69'for Jonathan Bamba5.9
12P. Dithejane83'for Philip Zinckernagel6.2
44J. Cohen
2Leonardo Barroso
3J. Elliott68'for Mbekezeli Mbokazi5.9
15A. Gutman45'for Noah Allen5.6
18J. Gómez
23A. Mekvabishvili45'for Djé D'Avilla74'5.6
35S. Oregel

Columbus Crew Substitutes

26L. Giaccone
1N. Hagen
2M. Herrera83'for Anass Zaroury5.9
11B. Lennon83'for Mohamed Farsi5.8
77Josef Martínez
10Brais Méndez45'for Sekou Tidiany Bangoura90+3'7.0
20André Gomes78'for Dylan Chambost5.9
3E. Bailly
19J. Thiaré90+1'for Gonzalo Tapia

Match Stats

Chicago FireColumbus Crew
53%Ball Possession47%
6Corner Kicks4
4Yellow Cards2
14Total Shots11
6Shots on Goal6
4Shots off Goal4
12Shots Inside Box9
2Shots Outside Box2
4Blocked Shots1
14Fouls14
3Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves3
505Total Passes444
439Passes Accurate371
12Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

Chicago FireChicago Fire
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
1674Elo Rating 1699
2.26Attack 2.33
1.02Defense 2.61
46%Hit Rate 83%
15.7Shots per Game 9.8
5.1Shots on Target 3.9
6.4Corners per Game 3.1
2.5Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.16 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Chicago FireChicago Fire
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.6 in first half)
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Chicago FireChicago Fire1Wins · 10%
Draws220%
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew7Wins · 70%
2.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer08/03/2026
Columbus CrewChicago Fire
00
Major League Soccer28/09/2025
Chicago FireColumbus Crew
20
Major League Soccer23/02/2025
Columbus CrewChicago Fire
42
Major League Soccer19/05/2024
Chicago FireColumbus Crew
13
Major League Soccer10/03/2024
Columbus CrewChicago Fire
21
Major League Soccer21/09/2023
Columbus CrewChicago Fire
30
Major League Soccer11/06/2023
Chicago FireColumbus Crew
12
Major League Soccer03/09/2022
Columbus CrewChicago Fire
00
Major League Soccer10/07/2022
Chicago FireColumbus Crew
23
Major League Soccer07/11/2021
Columbus CrewChicago Fire
20

Referee Profile

Rosendo Mendoza130 matches

4.81Cards per match
4.58Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
24.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Rosendo Mendoza4.81
Other referees4.28

4.81 cards a match, 0.53 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.28).

Cards come from 127 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC34238371:25+4677WWDWD
2Inter MiamiInter Miami341612680:59+2160DWDLW
3New England RevolutionNew England Revolution341841255:47+858LLWWW
4Chicago FireChicago Fire341671164:54+1055LWDWL
5CharlotteCharlotte341591066:51+1554DWWLD
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union341481266:52+1450WLDLD
7Columbus CrewColumbus Crew341451559:52+747WWWWW
8Orlando City SCOrlando City SC341371463:78-1546WLDDW
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3412101267:75-846LWDWW
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls341261648:62-1442WLLWL
11New York City FCNew York City FC3410121249:45+442WDWDD
12Toronto FCToronto FC349121352:67-1539LLWLW
13Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC34961943:60-1733LWLLL
14DC UnitedDC United347121539:61-2233LLLLL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal34682037:69-3226LDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC3471:2577
2Inter MiamiInter Miami3480:5960
3New England RevolutionNew England Revolution3455:4758
4Chicago FireChicago Fire3464:5455
5CharlotteCharlotte3466:5154
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union3466:5250
7Columbus CrewColumbus Crew3459:5247
8Orlando City SCOrlando City SC3463:7846
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3467:7546
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls3448:6242
11New York City FCNew York City FC3449:4542
12Toronto FCToronto FC3452:6739
13Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC3443:6033
14DC UnitedDC United3439:6133
15CF MontrealCF Montreal3437:6926
Promotion

About the Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Chicago Fire and Columbus Crew in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, Chicago Fire are 4th and Columbus Crew 7th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Chicago Fire 64-54, Columbus Crew 59-52. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Columbus Crew have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.