Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SC Prediction

Soldier Field, Chicago·Marcos De Oliveira

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
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Chicago Fire Rest
4 days
Orlando City SC Rest
4 days

Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SC in numbers

On form this looks evenly balanced, with Chicago Fire on 3 wins from their last five and Orlando City SC on 2. They meet in the Major League Soccer on 29 Oct 2026.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 7 of them. Referee Marcos De Oliveira averages 3.83 cards a game, 0.55 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
1.50
X
5.00
2
5.00
Double Chance
1X
1.15
X2
2.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
1.31
No
3.25
Goals
Over 1.5
1.05
Over 2.5
1.21
Over 3.5
1.58
Under 1.5
9.65
Under 2.5
4.15
Under 3.5
2.32
Corners
Over 8.5
1.40
Over 9.5
1.66
Over 10.5
2.10
Under 8.5
2.80
Under 9.5
2.10
Under 10.5
1.67
Cards
Over 3.5
1.67
Over 4.5
2.33
Under 3.5
2.10
Under 4.5
1.59
Predictions for this match are lockedA free account opens the match result market. Pro opens every goal market.

Team Comparison

Chicago FireChicago Fire
Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
1643Elo Rating 1633
1.26Attack 2.96
1.68Defense 0.43
50%Hit Rate 46%
15.9Shots per Game 13.8
5.6Shots on Target 5.4
5.1Corners per Game 3.4
2.4Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

Chicago FireChicago Fire
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 1.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Chicago FireChicago Fire3Wins · 30%
Draws330%
Orlando City SCOrlando City SC4Wins · 40%
2.8Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer20/08/2026
Orlando City SCChicago Fire
12
Major League Soccer23/10/2025
Chicago FireOrlando City SC
31
Major League Soccer01/06/2025
Orlando City SCChicago Fire
13
Major League Soccer04/05/2025
Chicago FireOrlando City SC
00
Major League Soccer23/06/2024
Orlando City SCChicago Fire
42
Major League Soccer30/05/2024
Chicago FireOrlando City SC
11
Major League Soccer21/08/2023
Chicago FireOrlando City SC
13
Major League Soccer02/07/2023
Orlando City SCChicago Fire
31
Major League Soccer09/04/2022
Orlando City SCChicago Fire
10
Major League Soccer06/03/2022
Chicago FireOrlando City SC
00

Referee Profile

Marcos De Oliveira113 matches

3.83Cards per match
3.76Yellow cards per match
0.07Red cards per match
25.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Marcos De Oliveira3.83
Other referees4.38

3.83 cards a match, 0.55 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.38).

Cards come from 108 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC31217366:23+4370WDWWW
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution311741051:42+955WWWLL
3Inter MiamiInter Miami311510673:53+2055LWWWL
4Chicago FireChicago Fire311561055:46+951WLLWW
5CharlotteCharlotte311381055:48+747LDLWL
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union311371162:50+1246LDWWW
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC311261360:72-1242DWDWL
8FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati311191164:71-742WWLLW
9New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls311161441:56-1539WLLWL
10Columbus CrewColumbus Crew311151550:49+138WWWLW
11Toronto FCToronto FC318121148:59-1136LWDWL
12New York City FCNew York City FC318111245:43+235DDLLD
13DC UnitedDC United317121238:55-1733LLLWL
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC31861739:54-1530LLWLD
15CF MontrealCF Montreal31671836:62-2625LDLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC3166:2370
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution3151:4255
3Inter MiamiInter Miami3173:5355
4Chicago FireChicago Fire3155:4651
5CharlotteCharlotte3155:4847
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union3162:5046
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC3160:7242
8FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3164:7142
9New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls3141:5639
10Columbus CrewColumbus Crew3150:4938
11Toronto FCToronto FC3148:5936
12New York City FCNew York City FC3145:4335
13DC UnitedDC United3138:5533
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC3139:5430
15CF MontrealCF Montreal3136:6225
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About the Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SC forecast

The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Chicago Fire and Orlando City SC in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, Chicago Fire are 4th and Orlando City SC 7th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Chicago Fire 55-46, Orlando City SC 60-72. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.