Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps Prediction
USA · Regular Season - 16
Soldier Field, Chicago·Serhiy Boiko 07/10/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.43
SignalSOLIDModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-1.6%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.57
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+3.2%
Chicago Fire Rest
10 days
Vancouver Whitecaps Rest
9 days
Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps: the result in context
Chicago Fire beat Vancouver Whitecaps 3-1 in the Major League Soccer on 7 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 3 meetings, with both teams scoring in 2.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
134%2.88
X25%3.85
241%2.25
Double Chance
1X59%1.62
X266%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes68%1.38
No32%2.81
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.5 + 1.68 = 3.18
Over 1.584%1.13
Over 2.566%1.43
Over 3.544%2.10
Under 1.516%5.75
Under 2.534%2.70
Under 3.556%1.72
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.6 = 10.2
Over 8.565%1.57
Over 9.554%2.00
Over 10.544%2.60
Under 8.535%2.25
Under 9.546%1.73
Under 10.556%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.5 = 4.6
Over 3.568%1.56
Over 4.549%2.19
Under 3.532%2.36
Under 4.551%1.64
Match Events
9'Jonathan BambaAssist: Anton Saletros
19'Philip ZinckernagelFoul
27'Philip Zinckernagel(Penalty missed)
45'Aleksa Cvetkovic INThomas Müller out
45'Anton Saletros INMauricio Pineda out
50'Philip ZinckernagelAssist: Maren Haile-Selassie
55'Jonathan DeanFoul
57'Emmanuel Sabbi INBruno Caicedo out
58'Cheikh Sabaly INYadaly Diaby out
61'Tate JohnsonFoul
73'Mathías LabordaAssist: Oliver Love Larraz
73'Tate Johnson INSam Adekugbe out
76'Philip Zinckernagel INPuso Dithejane out
76'Jonathan Bamba INRobert Lewandowski out
88'Maren Haile-SelassieAssist: Robert Lewandowski
89'Oliver Love Larraz INRayan Elloumi out
90+3'Johan Arath Gomez INDavid Poreba out
Lineups
Chicago FireVancouver Whitecaps
4-2-3-1Coach: J. SørensenAvg ratingAvg rating
44J. Cohen
24J. Dean
3J. Elliott
4M. Mbokazi
2L. Barroso
11P. Zinckernagel
6A. Salétros
42T. D'Avilla
19J. Bamba
7M. Haile-Selassie
18J. Gómez
1Y. Takaoka
70R. Modesto
2M. Laborda
33T. Blackmon
28T. Johnson
8O. Larraz
23A. Cvetković
7C. Sabaly
25R. Gauld
11E. Sabbi
24B. WhiteChicago Fire Substitutes
5S. Rogers
15A. Gutman
25J. Gal
12P. Dithejane76'for Philip Zinckernagel
21A. Hanche-Olsen
9R. Lewandowski76'for Jonathan Bamba
35S. Oregel
22M. Pineda45'for Anton Saletros
29D. Poręba90+3'for Johan Arath Gomez
Vancouver Whitecaps Substitutes
32I. Boehmer
14Bruno Steven Caicedo Quiñonez57'for Emmanuel Sabbi
77Y. Diaby58'for Cheikh Sabaly
41N. Djordjevic
19R. Elloumi89'for Oliver Love Larraz
13T. Müller45'for Aleksa Cvetkovic
15S. Ramíirez
3S. Adekugbe73'for Tate Johnson
4R. Veselinović
Match Stats
Chicago FireVancouver Whitecaps 48%Ball Possession52%
2Corner Kicks8
2Yellow Cards1
22Total Shots15
7Shots on Goal2
9Shots off Goal6
15Shots Inside Box12
7Shots Outside Box3
6Blocked Shots7
8Fouls11
3Offsides5
1Goalkeeper Saves3
445Total Passes473
357Passes Accurate371
10Free Kicks6
Team Comparison
Chicago FireVancouver Whitecaps1643Elo Rating 1669
1.26Attack 1.32
1.68Defense 1.62
50%Hit Rate 27%
15.9Shots per Game 13.1
5.6Shots on Target 3.0
5.1Corners per Game 6.6
2.4Cards per Game 2.0
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.18 goals
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Chicago Fire- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Vancouver Whitecaps- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings, all competitions
Chicago Fire2Wins · 67%Draws00%
Vancouver Whitecaps1Wins · 33%
1Wins · 33%3.0Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3
Previous meetings
23/03/2025Vancouver WhitecapsChicago Fire13
31/08/2023Chicago FireVancouver Whitecaps01
24/07/2022Vancouver WhitecapsChicago Fire13
Recent Form
Chicago Fire3W4D3L
27/09/2026
CharlotteChicago Fire
Nashville SCChicago FireChicago Fire
New England RevolutionChicago Fire
Inter Miami
Toronto FCChicago Fire
Seattle SoundersChicago Fire
New York Red BullsChicago Fire
CharlotteChicago Fire01
W20/09/2026Nashville SCChicago Fire30
L13/09/2026Chicago FireNew England Revolution12
L10/09/2026Chicago FireInter Miami11
D06/09/2026Toronto FCChicago Fire44
D29/08/2026Seattle SoundersChicago Fire22
D26/08/2026
MonterreyChicago Fire
23/08/2026MonterreyChicago Fire21
LNew York Red BullsChicago Fire11
D20/08/2026
Orlando City SCChicago Fire
Orlando City SCChicago Fire12
W17/08/2026Chicago Fire
Portland Timbers
Chicago FirePortland Timbers21
WVancouver Whitecaps4W2D4L
27/09/2026Vancouver Whitecaps
DC United
Real Salt LakeVancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
AustinVancouver Whitecaps
Los Angeles Galaxy
Sporting Kansas CityVancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
FC DallasVancouver Whitecaps
Houston Dynamo
Vancouver WhitecapsDC United33
D20/09/2026Real Salt LakeVancouver Whitecaps03
W17/09/2026
CF MontrealVancouver Whitecaps
14/09/2026CF MontrealVancouver Whitecaps21
LVancouver WhitecapsAustin12
L10/09/2026Vancouver WhitecapsLos Angeles Galaxy30
W06/09/2026Vancouver Whitecaps
St. Louis City
Vancouver WhitecapsSt. Louis City13
L03/09/2026Vancouver WhitecapsCF Montreal
30/08/2026Vancouver WhitecapsCF Montreal11
DSporting Kansas CityVancouver Whitecaps03
W23/08/2026Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas50
W20/08/2026Vancouver WhitecapsHouston Dynamo01
LReferee Profile
4.63Cards per match
4.45Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
24.5Fouls per match
Strictness
Stricter than 59% of referees analysed
Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.
League Table
Western Conference
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 63:31 | +32 | 55 | WDDLD |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 56:41 | +15 | 51 | LDWWW |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 55:47 | +8 | 51 | DWLWD |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 52:42 | +10 | 48 | DDDWD |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41:39 | +2 | 47 | DDDLD |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 48:33 | +15 | 46 | DWDLD |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 39:37 | +2 | 42 | DLWWW |
| 8 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 43:52 | -9 | 40 | DWLWW |
| 9 |  Colorado Rapids | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 41:41 | 0 | 39 | DDDLD |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 45:48 | -3 | 36 | WDLWL |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 51:56 | -5 | 34 | DLDLL |
| 12 |  San Diego | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 53:56 | -3 | 34 | DDLDD |
| 13 |  Minnesota United FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 47:55 | -8 | 34 | WDDLL |
| 14 | Austin | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 38:56 | -18 | 31 | LLLDD |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 36:75 | -39 | 22 | LLDLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 63:31 | 55 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 30 | 56:41 | 51 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 30 | 55:47 | 51 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | 52:42 | 48 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 30 | 41:39 | 47 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 31 | 48:33 | 46 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 30 | 39:37 | 42 |
| 8 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 31 | 43:52 | 40 |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 30 | 41:41 | 39 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 30 | 45:48 | 36 |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 30 | 51:56 | 34 |
| 12 | San Diego | 30 | 53:56 | 34 |
| 13 | Minnesota United FC | 30 | 47:55 | 34 |
| 14 | Austin | 30 | 38:56 | 31 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 30 | 36:75 | 22 |
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 30 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 64:23 | +41 | 67 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 73:51 | +22 | 55 | WWWLD |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 49:41 | +8 | 52 | WWLLW |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 52:44 | +8 | 48 | LLWWW |
| 5 | Charlotte | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 53:45 | +8 | 47 | DLWLW |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 61:48 | +13 | 46 | DWWWW |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 58:70 | -12 | 41 | WDWLL |
| 8 |  FC Cincinnati | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 62:71 | -9 | 39 | WLLWL |
| 9 | New York Red Bulls | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 39:56 | -17 | 36 | LLWLW |
| 10 | Toronto FC | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 46:55 | -9 | 36 | WDWLL |
| 11 |  Columbus Crew | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 46:47 | -1 | 35 | WWLWW |
| 12 |  New York City FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 43:41 | +2 | 34 | DLLDL |
| 13 | DC United | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 38:53 | -15 | 33 | LLWLD |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 37:51 | -14 | 30 | LWLDW |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 36:60 | -24 | 25 | DLLWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 30 | 64:23 | 67 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 30 | 73:51 | 55 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 30 | 49:41 | 52 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 30 | 52:44 | 48 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 30 | 53:45 | 47 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 30 | 61:48 | 46 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 30 | 58:70 | 41 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 30 | 62:71 | 39 |
| 9 | New York Red Bulls | 30 | 39:56 | 36 |
| 10 | Toronto FC | 30 | 46:55 | 36 |
| 11 | Columbus Crew | 30 | 46:47 | 35 |
| 12 | New York City FC | 30 | 43:41 | 34 |
| 13 | DC United | 30 | 38:53 | 33 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 30 | 37:51 | 30 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 30 | 36:60 | 25 |
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About the Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps forecast
The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Major League Soccer
More Major League Soccer fixtures and forecasts are on the Major League Soccer Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.