Cienciano vs UTC Cajamarca Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 12
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.21
SignalHIGHModel75%SurpriseMediumGap-6.4%
Cienciano Rest
10 days
UTC Cajamarca Rest
7 days
Cienciano vs UTC Cajamarca: result, form and history
Cienciano beat UTC Cajamarca 1-0 in the Primera División on 19 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Cienciano had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for UTC Cajamarca.
Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.7 goals, and both sides scored in 8 of them. Referee Augusto Alfredo Menendez Laos averages 5.86 cards a game, 0.55 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
174%1.21
X17%6.10
29%11.13
Double Chance
1X91%1.04
X226%3.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes53%1.84
No47%1.84
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.4 + 0.82 = 3.22
Over 1.584%1.10
Over 2.567%1.40
Over 3.546%1.98
Under 1.516%5.65
Under 2.533%2.80
Under 3.554%1.74
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.9 + 3.6 = 10.5
Over 8.570%1.40
Over 9.559%1.73
Over 10.547%2.15
Under 8.530%2.63
Under 9.541%2.00
Under 10.553%1.59
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.7 + 3.2 = 5.9
Over 3.584%-
Over 4.570%-
Under 3.516%-
Under 4.530%-
Match Events
45'Ray Sandoval INMatias Succar out
45'Claudio Nuñez INCarlos Cabello out
55'Cristian SouzaAssist: Carlos Garcés
57'Marcos MartinichFoul
61'Carlos GarcésArgument
61'Arquímedes FigueraArgument
65'Cristián MolinsDissent
69'Joshua Cantt INLuis Arce out
69'Gerson Barreto INHenry Caparo out
70'Santiago AriasFoul
74'Goal cancelledCristian Souza
75'Marlon de Jesús INAbdiel Arroyo out
78'Arquímedes Figuera
81'Santiago Arias INGonzalo Aguirre out
81'Carlos Garcés INDidier La Torre out
87'Adolfo Muñoz INJhosep Nunez out
88'Francesco Cavagna INDylan Caro out
Lineups
CiencianoUTC Cajamarca
4-2-3-1Coach: C. MolinsAvg ratingAvg rating
1G. Falcón
13C. Núñez
4M. Amondarain
3K. Becerra
16M. Martinich
88G. Barreto
5S. Arias
11N. Bandiera
17R. Sandoval
7C. Souza
21C. Garcés
1Á. Campos
17L. Garro
3M. Ganoza
2B. Duarte
6F. Cavagna
15J. Cerro
16A. Figuera
22D. Camacho
10M. Lliuya
19A. Muñoz
9M. de JesúsCienciano Substitutes
22C. Cabello45'for Claudio Nuñez
8G. Aguirre81'for Santiago Arias
26R. Aguilar
39H. Caparó69'for Gerson Barreto
14S. Cavero
31Í. Espinoza
18D. La Torre81'for Carlos Garcés
19M. Succar45'for Ray Sandoval
27A. Yovera
UTC Cajamarca Substitutes
18S. Gálvez
8D. Dioses
13D. Caro88'for Francesco Cavagna
21R. Bettocchi
29I. Barrios
11A. Arroyo75'for Marlon de Jesús
88L. Arce69'for Joshua Cantt
7J. Nunez87'for Adolfo Muñoz
Match Stats
CiencianoUTC Cajamarca 56%Ball Possession44%
5Corner Kicks1
3Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards1
25Total Shots12
6Shots on Goal5
13Shots off Goal6
16Shots Inside Box5
9Shots Outside Box7
6Blocked Shots1
18Fouls6
0Offsides2
5Goalkeeper Saves5
346Total Passes303
283Passes Accurate218
6Free Kicks16
Team Comparison
CiencianoUTC Cajamarca1615Elo Rating 1403
1.09Attack 0.74
2.05Defense 1.26
50%Hit Rate 0%
19.0Shots per Game 14.7
6.0Shots on Target 6.0
7.2Corners per Game 2.9
3.4Cards per Game 3.3
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+213 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.23 goals
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Cienciano- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
UTC Cajamarca- Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Cienciano4Wins · 40%Draws440%
UTC Cajamarca2Wins · 20%
2Wins · 20%3.7Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10
Previous meetings
26/04/2026UTC CajamarcaCienciano22
13/10/2025UTC CajamarcaCienciano02
25/05/2025CiencianoUTC Cajamarca61
13/09/2024UTC CajamarcaCienciano12
07/04/2024CiencianoUTC Cajamarca11
08/07/2023CiencianoUTC Cajamarca22
04/02/2023UTC CajamarcaCienciano30
07/10/2022UTC CajamarcaCienciano21
21/05/2022CiencianoUTC Cajamarca32
21/09/2021CiencianoUTC Cajamarca22
Recent Form
Cienciano3W2D5L
08/10/2026
UCV MoqueguaCienciano
30/09/2026UCV MoqueguaCienciano02
WCienciano
Club Deportivo Los Chankas11
D23/09/2026
ADTCienciano21
L18/09/2026
Atletico TorqueCienciano30
L11/09/2026CiencianoAtletico Torque20
W04/09/2026
FC CajamarcaCienciano25
W31/08/2026Cienciano
Cusco12
L23/08/2026
Sport BoysCienciano51
L21/08/2026
BotafogoCienciano
BotafogoCienciano10
L17/08/2026Cienciano
Deportivo Garcilaso
CiencianoDeportivo Garcilaso00
DUTC Cajamarca0W1D9L
11/10/2026UTC Cajamarca
Sporting Cristal
20/09/2026UTC CajamarcaSporting Cristal01
L
Sport HuancayoUTC Cajamarca32
L11/09/2026UTC Cajamarca
Juan Pablo II College12
L04/09/2026
Alianza AtleticoUTC Cajamarca32
L29/08/2026UTC Cajamarca
Universitario24
L25/08/2026Alianza AtleticoUTC Cajamarca
22/08/2026Alianza AtleticoUTC Cajamarca5141
LUTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos13
L16/08/2026
Alianza LimaUTC Cajamarca
08/08/2026Alianza LimaUTC Cajamarca10
LUTC CajamarcaADT11
D02/08/2026CuscoUTC Cajamarca41
LReferee Profile
5.86Cards per match
5.34Yellow cards per match
0.52Red cards per match
26.0Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.86 cards a match, 0.55 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.31).
Cards come from 116 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 50:20 | +30 | 65 | WWWWL |
| 2 | Universitario | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 52:34 | +18 | 56 | WLWLW |
| 3 |  FBC Melgar | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 53:34 | +19 | 53 | WLWWL |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 45:30 | +15 | 51 | WWLLW |
| 5 | Cusco | 30 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 45:43 | +2 | 48 | DWWLW |
| 6 | Cienciano | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 50:43 | +7 | 47 | WDLWW |
| 7 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39:50 | -11 | 46 | LLWWW |
| 8 | Sporting Cristal | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 54:45 | +9 | 44 | DLLWL |
| 9 | Sport Huancayo | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 44:46 | -2 | 44 | LLWDD |
| 10 | Alianza Atletico | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 45:44 | +1 | 43 | WWLLD |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 34:33 | +1 | 41 | LDWLL |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 45:56 | -11 | 38 | LDDLW |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 41:44 | -3 | 34 | LWWDD |
| 14 |  Atletico Grau | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 28:35 | -7 | 34 | LLWLD |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 43:57 | -14 | 28 | WLLDL |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 25:44 | -19 | 28 | LWLWW |
| 17 | ADT | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 31:45 | -14 | 27 | WWDLL |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 30 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 33:54 | -21 | 15 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 30 | 50:20 | 65 |
| 2 | Universitario | 30 | 52:34 | 56 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 30 | 53:34 | 53 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 30 | 45:30 | 51 |
| 5 | Cusco | 30 | 45:43 | 48 |
| 6 | Cienciano | 30 | 50:43 | 47 |
| 7 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 30 | 39:50 | 46 |
| 8 | Sporting Cristal | 30 | 54:45 | 44 |
| 9 | Sport Huancayo | 30 | 44:46 | 44 |
| 10 | Alianza Atletico | 30 | 45:44 | 43 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 30 | 34:33 | 41 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 30 | 45:56 | 38 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 30 | 41:44 | 34 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 30 | 28:35 | 34 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 30 | 43:57 | 28 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 30 | 25:44 | 28 |
| 17 | ADT | 30 | 31:45 | 27 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 30 | 33:54 | 15 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | WWWWL |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | LLWWW |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | WDLWW |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | WLWLW |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | WLWWL |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | DWWLW |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | WWLLW |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | WWLLD |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | LWWDD |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | WWDLL |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | LDWLL |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | DLLWL |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | LDLDL |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | LWLWW |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | WLLDL |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | LLWLD |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | LLWDD |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | LDDLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Huancayo | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 23:15 | +8 | 28 | LLWDD |
| 2 | Universitario | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 28:19 | +9 | 27 | WLWLW |
| 3 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 24:12 | +12 | 25 | WWLLW |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 26:15 | +11 | 25 | DLLWL |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 24:14 | +10 | 25 | WLWWL |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 20:12 | +8 | 25 | WWWWL |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II College | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23:16 | +7 | 22 | LDDLW |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 25:26 | -1 | 22 | WWLLD |
| 9 | Cusco | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 24:19 | +5 | 21 | DWWLW |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19:14 | +5 | 21 | LDWLL |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 18 | LLWLD |
| 12 | Cienciano | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16:21 | -5 | 14 | WDLWW |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 23:24 | -1 | 13 | LWWDD |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14:29 | -15 | 12 | LLWWW |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 20:29 | -9 | 11 | WLLDL |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 8:20 | -12 | 10 | LWLWW |
| 17 | ADT | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9:24 | -15 | 7 | WWDLL |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12:28 | -16 | 2 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Huancayo | 13 | 23:15 | 28 |
| 2 | Universitario | 13 | 28:19 | 27 |
| 3 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 13 | 24:12 | 25 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 13 | 26:15 | 25 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 13 | 24:14 | 25 |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 13 | 20:12 | 25 |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II College | 13 | 23:16 | 22 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 13 | 25:26 | 22 |
| 9 | Cusco | 13 | 24:19 | 21 |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 13 | 19:14 | 21 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 13 | 16:17 | 18 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 13 | 16:21 | 14 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 13 | 23:24 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 13 | 14:29 | 12 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 13 | 20:29 | 11 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 13 | 8:20 | 10 |
| 17 | ADT | 13 | 9:24 | 7 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 13 | 12:28 | 2 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera División matches
- FBC Melgar vs Deportivo Garcilaso 18/10/26
- Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau 18/10/26
- Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos 18/10/26
- FC Cajamarca vs UCV Moquegua 18/10/26
- UTC Cajamarca vs FBC Melgar 23/10/26
- Atletico Grau vs ADT 23/10/26
- Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Atletico 24/10/26
- Cusco vs Sporting Cristal 24/10/26
About the Cienciano vs UTC Cajamarca forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Cienciano and UTC Cajamarca in the Primera División table
In the Primera División table, Cienciano are 6th and UTC Cajamarca 18th, 32 points apart. League goal record so far: Cienciano 50-43, UTC Cajamarca 33-54. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.