Atletico Grau vs ADT Prediction

Atletico Grau
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
ADT
Estadio Municipal Ambrosio Maco Arroyo, Piura·Daniel Ureta 23/10/2026
Atletico GrauAtletico Grau
1-1
Finished
ADTADT

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.19
SignalHIGHModel57%SurpriseMediumGap-4.5%
Atletico Grau Rest
5 days
ADT Rest
6 days

Atletico Grau vs ADT: the result in context

Atletico Grau and ADT drew 1-1 in the Primera División on 23 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 9 meetings, with both teams scoring in 6.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
56%1.83
X
25%3.50
2
19%4.16
Double Chance
1X
81%1.19
X2
44%1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.75
No
47%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.63 + 1.05 = 2.68
Over 1.5
76%1.25
Over 2.5
52%1.86
Over 3.5
30%3.17
Under 1.5
24%3.46
Under 2.5
48%1.88
Under 3.5
70%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.4 = 9.8
Over 8.5
63%1.78
Over 9.5
51%2.28
Over 10.5
39%3.08
Under 8.5
37%1.91
Under 9.5
49%1.54
Under 10.5
61%1.28
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 3 = 5.2
Over 3.5
77%-
Over 4.5
60%1.67
Under 3.5
23%-
Under 4.5
40%2.07

Match Events

6'Christian VasquezFoul
22'Penalty confirmedAldair Vásquez
23'Alejandro RamosFoul
26'Patricio Álvarez(Penalty)
27'Christian Vasquez
45'Aldair Vásquez IND. Rodríguez out
45+2'Gabriel AlfaroFoul
58'Ignacio TapiaFoul
61'Horacio BenincasaAssist: Aldair Rodríguez
68'Adrián Fernández INMauro Da Luz out
69'Diego Barreto INPaulo De La Cruz out
69'Juan ValenciaHandball
73'Aldair RodríguezNot retreating
76'Said Peralta INJonathan Bauman out
77'Said PeraltaDissent
82'Freddy Oncoy INEslyn Imanol Correa Vilela out
82'Gabriel Alfaro INPablo Lavandeira out
88'Goal cancelledJonathan Bauman
88'Jonathan BaumanViolent conduct
89'Joao RojasDissent
89'Angel Ojeda INJ. Alvino out
89'Aldair Rodríguez INAylton Mazzo out
90+6'D. RodríguezFoul

Lineups

Atletico Grau
5-4-1Coach: G. Ameli
ADT
4-2-3-1Coach: V. Rivera
Avg rating6.57
Avg rating6.79
P. Álvarez8.81P. Álvarez
C. Vásquez5.68C. Vásquez
R. Tapia6.727R. Tapia
L. Acevedo6.82L. Acevedo
I. Tapia6.13I. Tapia
G. Alfaro6.225G. Alfaro
D. Barreto7.07D. Barreto
F. Oncoy6.913F. Oncoy
R. Guarderas6.45R. Guarderas
A. Vásquez6.320A. Vásquez
A. Fernández6.699A. Fernández
J. Valencia6.730J. Valencia
A. Ramos6.398A. Ramos
J. Pereyra7.199J. Pereyra
J. Soto7.128J. Soto
H. Benincasa7.444H. Benincasa
Á. Ojeda7.26Á. Ojeda
L. Pérez7.516L. Pérez
Juan David Lucumí Cuero6.677J. David Lucumí Cuero
J. Rojas6.97J. Rojas
A. Rodríguez7.622A. Rodríguez
S. Peralta6.324S. Peralta

Atletico Grau Substitutes

21E. Correa82'for Freddy Oncoy6.5
33J. Calderón
96L. Benítes
16J. Ataupillco
15P. Lavandeira82'for Gabriel Alfaro6.5
4D. Rodríguez45'for Aldair Vásquez90+6'6.1
24Yamir Ruidíaz Misitich
77M. da Luz68'for Adrián Fernández6.4
10P. de la Cruz69'for Diego Barreto6.4

ADT Substitutes

33C. Solís
15Josué Alvino89'for Angel Ojeda6.2
32J. Bauman76'for Said Peralta88'5.7
26Jhojan Garcilazo
25S. García
27A. Hidalgo
18Aylton Mazzo89'for Aldair Rodríguez6.6
31J. Navarro
3L. Rugel

Match Stats

Atletico GrauADT
25%Ball Possession75%
3Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards5
1Red Cards1
10Total Shots21
3Shots on Goal8
4Shots off Goal4
7Shots Inside Box10
3Shots Outside Box11
3Blocked Shots9
8Fouls12
2Offsides2
7Goalkeeper Saves2
160Total Passes487
110Passes Accurate433
10Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

Atletico GrauAtletico Grau
ADTADT
1548Elo Rating 1472
1.09Attack 0.50
1.41Defense 1.30
14%Hit Rate 0%
11.0Shots per Game 19.1
4.6Shots on Target 6.6
3.9Corners per Game 4.6
2.8Cards per Game 4.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Atletico GrauAtletico Grau
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
ADTADT
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

Atletico GrauAtletico Grau3Wins · 34%
Draws333%
ADTADT3Wins · 33%
3.0Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored6 of 9
44%3+ goals4 of 9

Previous meetings

Primera División02/05/2026
ADTAtletico Grau
10
Primera División31/08/2025
Atletico GrauADT
20
Primera División15/02/2025
ADTAtletico Grau
43
Primera División04/08/2024
ADTAtletico Grau
12
Primera División25/02/2024
Atletico GrauADT
22
Primera División23/07/2023
ADTAtletico Grau
10
Primera División19/02/2023
Atletico GrauADT
11
Primera División04/09/2022
ADTAtletico Grau
11
Primera División16/04/2022
Atletico GrauADT
41

Referee Profile

Daniel Ureta106 matches

5.39Cards per match
4.96Yellow cards per match
0.42Red cards per match
24.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Daniel Ureta5.39
Other referees5.24

5.39 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.24).

Cards come from 85 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026

Primera Division: Tabla Anual

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima30198350:20+3065WWWWL
2UniversitarioUniversitario30168652:34+1856WLWLW
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar30158753:34+1953WLWWL
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso30156945:30+1551WWLLW
5CuscoCusco301531245:43+248DWWLW
6CiencianoCienciano301451150:43+747WDLWW
7Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas301371039:50-1146LLWWW
8Sporting CristalSporting Cristal301351254:45+944DLLWL
9Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo311351344:48-444WLLWD
10Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico301271145:44+143WWLLD
11Sport BoysSport Boys301181134:33+141LDWLL
12Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College311181247:56-941LLDDL
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos308101241:44-334LWWDD
14Atletico GrauAtletico Grau30971428:35-734LLWLD
15ADTADT31791533:45-1230DWWDL
16FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca30771643:57-1428WLLDL
17UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua31771725:46-2128DLWLW
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca30481833:54-2115LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima3050:2065
2UniversitarioUniversitario3052:3456
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar3053:3453
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso3045:3051
5CuscoCusco3045:4348
6CiencianoCienciano3050:4347
7Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas3039:5046
8Sporting CristalSporting Cristal3054:4544
9Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo3144:4844
10Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico3045:4443
11Sport BoysSport Boys3034:3341
12Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College3147:5641
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos3041:4434
14Atletico GrauAtletico Grau3028:3534
15ADTADT3133:4530
16FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca3043:5728
17UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua3125:4628
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca3033:5415

Primera Division: Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima17124130:8+2240WWWWL
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas17104325:21+434LLWWW
3CiencianoCienciano17103434:22+1233WDLWW
4UniversitarioUniversitario1785424:15+929WLWLW
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1784529:20+928WLWWL
6CuscoCusco1783621:24-327DWWLW
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1775521:18+326WWLLW
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1756620:18+221WWLLD
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1756618:20-221LWWDD
10ADTADT1755722:21+120DWWDL
11Sport BoysSport Boys1755715:19-420LDWLL
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1754828:30-219DLLWL
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1746721:26-518LDLDL
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1753917:24-718DLWLW
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1745823:28-517WLLDL
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1744912:18-616LLWLD
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1744921:31-1016WLLWD
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1744922:40-1816LLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1730:840
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1725:2134
3CiencianoCienciano1734:2233
4UniversitarioUniversitario1724:1529
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1729:2028
6CuscoCusco1721:2427
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1721:1826
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1720:1821
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1718:2021
10ADTADT1722:2120
11Sport BoysSport Boys1715:1920
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1728:3019
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1721:2618
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1717:2418
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1723:2817
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1712:1816
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1721:3116
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1722:4016

Primera Division: Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1491423:17+628WLLWD
2UniversitarioUniversitario1383228:19+927WLWLW
3Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1381424:12+1225WWLLW
4Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1381426:15+1125DLLWL
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1374224:14+1025WLWWL
6Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1474325:16+925LLDDL
7Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1374220:12+825WWWWL
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1371525:26-122WWLLD
9CuscoCusco1370624:19+521DWWLW
10Sport BoysSport Boys1363419:14+521LDWLL
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1353516:17-118LLWLD
12CiencianoCienciano1342716:21-514WDLWW
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1334623:24-113LWWDD
14Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1333714:29-1512LLWWW
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1332820:29-911WLLDL
16ADTADT1424811:24-1310DWWDL
17UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua142488:22-1410DLWLW
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca13021112:28-162LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1423:1728
2UniversitarioUniversitario1328:1927
3Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1324:1225
4Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1326:1525
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1324:1425
6Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1425:1625
7Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1320:1225
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1325:2622
9CuscoCusco1324:1921
10Sport BoysSport Boys1319:1421
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1316:1718
12CiencianoCienciano1316:2114
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1323:2413
14Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1314:2912
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1320:2911
16ADTADT1411:2410
17UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua148:2210
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1312:282
PromotionRelegation

About the Atletico Grau vs ADT forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Atletico Grau and ADT in the Primera División table

Atletico Grau and ADT are close in the Primera División table, 14th and 15th, with 4 points between them. League goal record so far: Atletico Grau 28-35, ADT 33-45. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.