Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 8
Estadio Campeones del 36, Sullana 04/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
63%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.57SignalSOLIDModel63%RiskMediumGap-0.8%
Value Analysis
60%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.85SignalHIGHModel60%RiskMediumGap+8.9%
Alianza Atletico Rest
5 days
UTC Cajamarca Rest
5 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
166%1.57
X23%3.90
211%5.25
Double Chance
1X89%1.14
X234%2.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes56%1.87
No44%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.06 + 0.78 = 2.84
Over 1.578%1.25
Over 2.559%1.85
Over 3.535%3.12
Under 1.522%3.50
Under 2.541%1.90
Under 3.565%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4.2 = 9.9
Over 8.566%1.61
Over 9.553%1.95
Over 10.539%2.54
Under 8.534%2.15
Under 9.547%1.75
Under 10.561%1.42
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.5 = 4.4
Over 3.564%-
Over 4.545%-
Under 3.536%-
Under 4.555%-
Match Events
2'Hernan LupuAssist: Cristian Penilla
7'Cristian PenillaAssist: Guillermo Larios
21'Arquímedes FigueraFoul
24'Goal cancelledHernan Lupu
29'Carlos Junior Huerto INJoshua Cantt out
29'Manuel GanozaAssist: Luis Arce
37'Jose LujanArgument
37'Manuel GanozaArgument
59'Luis ArceAssist: David Camacho
63'Guillermo LariosFoul
65'José María Ingratti INAriel Muñoz out
65'Jairo Molina INJorge del Castillo out
68'David Camacho INMarlon de Jesús out
82'Abdiel Arroyo INAdolfo Muñoz out
83'Luis Arce INDavid Dioses out
84'Marcos Lliuya INJhosep Nunez out
84'Guillermo Larios INValentin Robaldo out
89'Cristian Penilla INFranchesco Flores out
90+2'Francesco CavagnaFoul
90+5'Anthony GordilloFoul
90+6'Ariel Muñoz
Lineups
Alianza AtleticoUTC Cajamarca
5-3-2Coach: C. Paulucci
31S. RivadeneyraS. Rivadeneyra
16S. FernándezS. Fernández
2R. SuarezR. Suarez
6J. LujánJ. Luján
24A. GordilloA. Gordillo
11G. LariosG. Larios
10G. DíazGermán Díaz
15H. LupúH. Lupú
27J. IngrattiJ. Ingratti
29J. MolinaJ. Molina
17C. PenillaC. Penilla
21R. BettocchiR. Bettocchi
17L. GarroL. Garro
3M. GanozaM. Ganoza
6F. CavagnaF. Cavagna
5J. HuertoJ. Huerto
35G. ParedesG. Paredes
88L. ArceL. Arce
16A. FigueraA. Figuera
10M. LliuyaM. Lliuya
22D. CamachoD. Camacho
11A. ArroyoA. ArroyoAlianza Atletico Substitutes
20Jimmy PérezM
95D. PrietoG
23A. MuñozM
19J. MendietaD
25W. GuzmánD
9V. RobaldoF
37J. DelgadoM
22J. del CastilloM
8F. FloresM
UTC Cajamarca Substitutes
1Á. CamposG
8D. DiosesM
18S. GálvezF
19A. MuñozF
7J. NunezF
9M. de JesúsF
15J. CerroM
Match Stats
Alianza AtleticoUTC Cajamarca 57%Ball Possession43%
5Corner Kicks2
3Yellow Cards3
23Total Shots8
8Shots on Goal3
10Shots off Goal4
16Shots Inside Box2
7Shots Outside Box6
5Blocked Shots1
14Fouls18
1Offsides4
1Goalkeeper Saves5
324Total Passes259
275Passes Accurate204
18Free Kicks14
Team Comparison
Alianza AtleticoUTC Cajamarca1628Elo Rating 1431
2.16Attack 1.42
1.35Defense 0.41
63%Hit Rate 0%
19.5Shots per Game 12.3
5.3Shots on Target 5.0
5.6Corners per Game 3.4
2.4Cards per Game 4.4
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+197 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.84 goals
📈BTTS Trend64% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Alianza Atletico- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
UTC Cajamarca- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.5 in second half)
Head to Head
Based on 5 historical meetings
Alianza Atletico 19%Draw 81%0% UTC Cajamarca
1.67Avg Goals
64%BTTS Rate
0%Over 2.5
Recent Form
Alianza Atletico4W1D0L
30/08/2026
UCV MoqueguaAlianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico
Sporting Cristal
ADTAlianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico
Cienciano
UCV MoqueguaAlianza Atletico14
W25/08/2026Alianza AtleticoUTC Cajamarca
21/08/2026Alianza AtleticoUTC Cajamarca5141
WAlianza AtleticoSporting Cristal31
W15/08/2026ADTAlianza Atletico11
D06/08/2026Alianza AtleticoCienciano10
WUTC Cajamarca0W1D4L
29/08/2026UTC Cajamarca
UniversitarioUTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes UnidosUTC CajamarcaADT
UTC CajamarcaUniversitario24
L25/08/2026Alianza AtleticoUTC Cajamarca
22/08/2026Alianza AtleticoUTC Cajamarca5141
LUTC CajamarcaComerciantes Unidos13
L16/08/2026
Alianza LimaUTC Cajamarca
08/08/2026Alianza LimaUTC Cajamarca10
LUTC CajamarcaADT11
DLeague Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 44:18 | +26 | 56 | WLWDW |
| 2 | Universitario | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 43:27 | +16 | 49 | WDWLW |
| 3 |  FBC Melgar | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 44:28 | +16 | 45 | LDDLL |
| 4 |  Deportivo Garcilaso | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 35:24 | +11 | 45 | WDDLL |
| 5 |  Cusco | 27 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 40:38 | +2 | 45 | LWWLW |
| 6 |  Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 35:44 | -9 | 41 | WWWWW |
| 7 | Cienciano | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 44:37 | +7 | 40 | WWWWD |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40:35 | +5 | 40 | LDDWL |
| 9 | Sporting Cristal | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 48:40 | +8 | 38 | WLLWW |
| 10 |  Sport Boys | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 28:25 | +3 | 37 | LWLLD |
| 11 |  Atletico Grau | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 26:31 | -5 | 32 | LDDDW |
| 12 |  Sport Huancayo | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34:42 | -8 | 32 | DLLLW |
| 13 |  Juan Pablo II College | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:52 | -14 | 31 | WLLWW |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 30 | DDDWL |
| 15 |  FC Cajamarca | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 41:52 | -11 | 27 | DLLLL |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 | WLLWD |
| 17 | ADT | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 27:41 | -14 | 22 | LDWLD |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 30:47 | -17 | 15 | LDLWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 27 | 44:18 | 56 |
| 2 | Universitario | 26 | 43:27 | 49 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 26 | 44:28 | 45 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 26 | 35:24 | 45 |
| 5 | Cusco | 27 | 40:38 | 45 |
| 6 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 26 | 35:44 | 41 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 25 | 44:37 | 40 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 27 | 40:35 | 40 |
| 9 | Sporting Cristal | 27 | 48:40 | 38 |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 26 | 28:25 | 37 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 27 | 26:31 | 32 |
| 12 | Sport Huancayo | 26 | 34:42 | 32 |
| 13 | Juan Pablo II College | 26 | 38:52 | 31 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 27 | 35:38 | 30 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 27 | 41:52 | 27 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 26 | 24:37 | 25 |
| 17 | ADT | 26 | 27:41 | 22 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 26 | 30:47 | 15 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | WLWDW |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | WWWWD |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | WDWLW |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | LDDLL |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | LWWLW |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | WDDLL |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | LDDWL |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | DDDWL |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | LDWLD |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | LWLLD |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | WLLWW |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | LDLWL |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | WLLWD |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | DLLLL |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | LDDDW |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | DLLLW |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | WLLWW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitario | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:12 | +7 | 20 | WDWLW |
| 2 | Sporting Cristal | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:10 | +10 | 19 | WLLWW |
| 3 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:6 | +8 | 19 | WDDLL |
| 4 | Alianza Atletico | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | +3 | 19 | LDDWL |
| 5 | Cusco | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19:14 | +5 | 18 | LWWLW |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:8 | +7 | 17 | LDDLL |
| 7 | Sport Boys | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:6 | +7 | 17 | LWLLD |
| 8 | Alianza Lima | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | +4 | 16 | WLWDW |
| 9 | Sport Huancayo | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:11 | +2 | 16 | DLLLW |
| 10 | Atletico Grau | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:13 | +1 | 16 | LDDDW |
| 11 | Juan Pablo II College | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | +4 | 15 | WLLWW |
| 12 | FC Cajamarca | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18:24 | -6 | 10 | DLLLL |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 9 | DDDWL |
| 14 | Cienciano | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 | WWWWD |
| 15 | UCV Moquegua | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 7 | WLLWD |
| 16 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:23 | -13 | 7 | WWWWW |
| 17 | UTC Cajamarca | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9:21 | -12 | 2 | LDLWL |
| 18 | ADT | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5:20 | -15 | 2 | LDWLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitario | 9 | 19:12 | 20 |
| 2 | Sporting Cristal | 10 | 20:10 | 19 |
| 3 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 14:6 | 19 |
| 4 | Alianza Atletico | 10 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 5 | Cusco | 10 | 19:14 | 18 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 9 | 15:8 | 17 |
| 7 | Sport Boys | 9 | 13:6 | 17 |
| 8 | Alianza Lima | 10 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 9 | Sport Huancayo | 9 | 13:11 | 16 |
| 10 | Atletico Grau | 10 | 14:13 | 16 |
| 11 | Juan Pablo II College | 9 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 12 | FC Cajamarca | 10 | 18:24 | 10 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 10 | 17:18 | 9 |
| 14 | Cienciano | 8 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 15 | UCV Moquegua | 9 | 7:13 | 7 |
| 16 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 17 | UTC Cajamarca | 9 | 9:21 | 2 |
| 18 | ADT | 9 | 5:20 | 2 |
PromotionRelegation
Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca Prediction
Our AI model has analysed this Primera División fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Primera División
ScorePredicts covers Peru football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.
Key Factors for This Match
Alianza Atletico and UTC Cajamarca have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.67 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.