Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 8
Estadio Campeones del 36, Sullana 04/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
63%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.57
SignalNEUTRALModel63%SurpriseMediumGap-0.8%
Value Analysis
60%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.85
SignalSOLIDModel60%SurpriseMediumGap+8.9%
Alianza Atletico Rest
5 days
UTC Cajamarca Rest
5 days
Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca: result, form and history
Alianza Atletico beat UTC Cajamarca 3-2 in the Primera División on 4 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Alianza Atletico had won 4 of their previous five, compared with none for UTC Cajamarca.
Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.8 goals a game across 10 matches.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
166%1.57
X23%3.90
211%5.25
Double Chance
1X89%1.14
X234%2.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes56%1.87
No44%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.06 + 0.78 = 2.84
Over 1.578%1.25
Over 2.559%1.85
Over 3.535%3.12
Under 1.522%3.50
Under 2.541%1.90
Under 3.565%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4.2 = 9.9
Over 8.566%1.61
Over 9.553%1.95
Over 10.539%2.54
Under 8.534%2.15
Under 9.547%1.75
Under 10.561%1.42
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.5 = 4.4
Over 3.564%-
Over 4.545%-
Under 3.536%-
Under 4.555%-
Match Events
2'Hernan LupuAssist: Cristian Penilla
7'Cristian PenillaAssist: Guillermo Larios
21'Arquímedes FigueraFoul
24'Goal cancelledHernan Lupu
29'Carlos Junior Huerto INJoshua Cantt out
29'Manuel GanozaAssist: Luis Arce
37'Jose LujanArgument
37'Manuel GanozaArgument
59'Luis ArceAssist: David Camacho
63'Guillermo LariosFoul
65'José María Ingratti INAriel Muñoz out
65'Jairo Molina INJorge del Castillo out
68'David Camacho INMarlon de Jesús out
82'Abdiel Arroyo INAdolfo Muñoz out
83'Luis Arce INDavid Dioses out
84'Marcos Lliuya INJhosep Nunez out
84'Guillermo Larios INValentin Robaldo out
89'Cristian Penilla INFranchesco Flores out
90+2'Francesco CavagnaFoul
90+5'Anthony GordilloFoul
90+6'Ariel Muñoz
Lineups
Alianza AtleticoUTC Cajamarca
5-3-2Coach: C. PaulucciAvg ratingAvg rating
31S. Rivadeneyra
16S. Fernández
2R. Suarez
6J. Luján
24A. Gordillo
11G. Larios
10G. Díaz
15H. Lupú
27J. Ingratti
29J. Molina
17C. Penilla
21R. Bettocchi
17L. Garro
3M. Ganoza
6F. Cavagna
5J. Huerto
35G. Paredes
88L. Arce
16A. Figuera
10M. Lliuya
22D. Camacho
11A. ArroyoAlianza Atletico Substitutes
20Jimmy Pérez
95D. Prieto
23A. Muñoz65'for José María Ingratti90+6'
19J. Mendieta
25W. Guzmán
9V. Robaldo84'for Guillermo Larios
37J. Delgado
22J. del Castillo65'for Jairo Molina
8F. Flores89'for Cristian Penilla
UTC Cajamarca Substitutes
1Á. Campos
8D. Dioses83'for Luis Arce
18S. Gálvez
19A. Muñoz82'for Abdiel Arroyo
7J. Nunez84'for Marcos Lliuya
9M. de Jesús68'for David Camacho
15J. Cerro29'for Carlos Junior Huerto
Match Stats
Alianza AtleticoUTC Cajamarca 57%Ball Possession43%
5Corner Kicks2
3Yellow Cards3
23Total Shots8
8Shots on Goal3
10Shots off Goal4
16Shots Inside Box2
7Shots Outside Box6
5Blocked Shots1
14Fouls18
1Offsides4
1Goalkeeper Saves5
324Total Passes259
275Passes Accurate204
85%Pass Accuracy79%
Team Comparison
Alianza AtleticoUTC Cajamarca1632Elo Rating 1425
1.74Attack 1.42
0.96Defense 1.27
64%Hit Rate 23%
17.1Shots per Game 12.6
5.1Shots on Target 4.8
5.7Corners per Game 4.2
1.5Cards per Game 3.0
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+207 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.84 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Alianza Atletico- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.7 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
UTC Cajamarca- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Alianza Atletico4Wins · 40%Draws550%
UTC Cajamarca1Wins · 10%
1Wins · 10%1.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
10%3+ goals1 of 10
Previous meetings
25/08/2026Alianza AtleticoUTC Cajamarca5141
22/03/2026UTC CajamarcaAlianza Atletico11
11/08/2025Alianza AtleticoUTC Cajamarca20
08/03/2025UTC CajamarcaAlianza Atletico00
01/08/2024UTC CajamarcaAlianza Atletico11
16/02/2024Alianza AtleticoUTC Cajamarca20
14/07/2023UTC CajamarcaAlianza Atletico11
12/02/2023Alianza AtleticoUTC Cajamarca20
18/07/2022UTC CajamarcaAlianza Atletico21
12/02/2022Alianza AtleticoUTC Cajamarca10
Recent Form
Alianza Atletico7W1D2L
30/08/2026
UCV MoqueguaAlianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico
Sporting Cristal
ADTAlianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico
Cienciano
Alianza LimaAlianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
CuscoAlianza Atletico
UCV MoqueguaAlianza Atletico14
W25/08/2026Alianza AtleticoUTC Cajamarca
21/08/2026Alianza AtleticoUTC Cajamarca5141
WAlianza AtleticoSporting Cristal31
W15/08/2026ADTAlianza Atletico11
D06/08/2026Alianza AtleticoCienciano10
W02/08/2026Alianza LimaAlianza Atletico31
L24/07/2026Alianza AtleticoClub Deportivo Los Chankas31
W19/07/2026CuscoAlianza Atletico41
L10/07/2026Alianza Atletico
Molinos El Pirata
Alianza AtleticoMolinos El Pirata32
W28/06/2026Alianza LimaAlianza Atletico
Alianza LimaAlianza Atletico12
WUTC Cajamarca2W2D6L
29/08/2026UTC Cajamarca
UniversitarioUTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes UnidosUTC CajamarcaADTCuscoUTC CajamarcaUTC CajamarcaUCV Moquegua
Atletico GrauUTC Cajamarca
UTC CajamarcaUniversitario24
L25/08/2026Alianza AtleticoUTC Cajamarca
22/08/2026Alianza AtleticoUTC Cajamarca5141
LUTC CajamarcaComerciantes Unidos13
L16/08/2026Alianza LimaUTC Cajamarca
08/08/2026Alianza LimaUTC Cajamarca10
LUTC CajamarcaADT11
D02/08/2026CuscoUTC Cajamarca41
L26/07/2026UTC CajamarcaUCV Moquegua00
D18/07/2026Atletico GrauUTC Cajamarca31
L12/07/2026UTC Cajamarca
Deportiva Agropecuaria
UTC CajamarcaDeportiva Agropecuaria41
W26/06/2026UTC Cajamarca
FC Cajamarca
UTC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca31
WLeague Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 54:24 | +30 | 69 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Universitario | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 59:39 | +20 | 61 | DLDWL |
| 3 |  FBC Melgar | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 56:38 | +18 | 57 | DWDWL |
| 4 |  Deportivo Garcilaso | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 50:35 | +15 | 55 | DWWWW |
| 5 | Sporting Cristal | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 63:48 | +15 | 51 | WLDDL |
| 6 | Cusco | 33 | 16 | 3 | 14 | 46:47 | -1 | 51 | WLDDW |
| 7 | Cienciano | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 54:46 | +8 | 50 | DLWWD |
| 8 |  Sport Huancayo | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 48:49 | -1 | 50 | DLWLL |
| 9 | Alianza Atletico | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 49:48 | +1 | 49 | DWLWW |
| 10 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 40:52 | -12 | 48 | LWDLL |
| 11 |  Sport Boys | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 37:35 | +2 | 42 | DWDLD |
| 12 |  Juan Pablo II College | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 48:59 | -11 | 41 | DLLLD |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 33 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 44:47 | -3 | 37 | DLDLW |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 32:41 | -9 | 37 | LWLLL |
| 15 | ADT | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36:48 | -12 | 31 | LWDWW |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 27:48 | -21 | 30 | DLDLW |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 46:65 | -19 | 29 | DWWWL |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 33 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 38:58 | -20 | 14 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 33 | 54:24 | 69 |
| 2 | Universitario | 33 | 59:39 | 61 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 33 | 56:38 | 57 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 33 | 50:35 | 55 |
| 5 | Sporting Cristal | 33 | 63:48 | 51 |
| 6 | Cusco | 33 | 46:47 | 51 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 33 | 54:46 | 50 |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 33 | 48:49 | 50 |
| 9 | Alianza Atletico | 33 | 49:48 | 49 |
| 10 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 33 | 40:52 | 48 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 33 | 37:35 | 42 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 33 | 48:59 | 41 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 33 | 44:47 | 37 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 33 | 32:41 | 37 |
| 15 | ADT | 33 | 36:48 | 31 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 33 | 27:48 | 30 |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 33 | 46:65 | 29 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 33 | 38:58 | 14 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | LWDLL |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | DLWWD |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | DLDWL |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | DWDWL |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | WLDDW |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | DWWWW |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | DWLWW |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | DLDLW |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | LWDWW |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | DWDLD |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | WLDDL |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | DLLLD |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | DLDLW |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | DWWWL |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | DLWLL |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Huancayo | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 27:18 | +9 | 34 | DLWLL |
| 2 | Sporting Cristal | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 35:18 | +17 | 32 | WLDDL |
| 3 | Universitario | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 35:24 | +11 | 32 | DLDWL |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 29:17 | +12 | 29 | DWWWW |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 27:18 | +9 | 29 | DWDWL |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24:16 | +8 | 29 | WWDWW |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 29:30 | -1 | 28 | DWLWW |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | +6 | 26 | DWDLD |
| 9 | Juan Pablo II College | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 26:19 | +7 | 25 | DLLLD |
| 10 | Cusco | 16 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 25:23 | +2 | 24 | WLDDW |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 | LWLLL |
| 12 | Cienciano | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 20:24 | -4 | 17 | DLWWD |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 26:27 | -1 | 16 | DLDLW |
| 14 | FC Cajamarca | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 23:37 | -14 | 14 | DWWWL |
| 15 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:31 | -16 | 14 | LWDLL |
| 16 | ADT | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14:27 | -13 | 12 | LWDWW |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 10:24 | -14 | 12 | DLDLW |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17:32 | -15 | 6 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Huancayo | 16 | 27:18 | 34 |
| 2 | Sporting Cristal | 16 | 35:18 | 32 |
| 3 | Universitario | 16 | 35:24 | 32 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 16 | 29:17 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 16 | 27:18 | 29 |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 16 | 24:16 | 29 |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 16 | 29:30 | 28 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 16 | 22:16 | 26 |
| 9 | Juan Pablo II College | 16 | 26:19 | 25 |
| 10 | Cusco | 16 | 25:23 | 24 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 16 | 20:23 | 21 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 16 | 20:24 | 17 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 16 | 26:27 | 16 |
| 14 | FC Cajamarca | 16 | 23:37 | 14 |
| 15 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 16 | 15:31 | 14 |
| 16 | ADT | 16 | 14:27 | 12 |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 16 | 10:24 | 12 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 16 | 17:32 | 6 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera División matches
- Sport Boys vs Sporting Cristal 30/08/26
- Cienciano vs Cusco 31/08/26
- Atletico Grau vs FBC Melgar 01/09/26
- FC Cajamarca vs Cienciano 04/09/26
- Universitario vs Comerciantes Unidos 06/09/26
- Sporting Cristal vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas 06/09/26
- Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atletico Grau 06/09/26
- Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Lima 06/09/26
About the Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Alianza Atletico and UTC Cajamarca in the Primera División table
In the Primera División table, Alianza Atletico are 9th and UTC Cajamarca 18th, 35 points apart. League goal record so far: Alianza Atletico 49-48, UTC Cajamarca 38-58. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.