Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction

Dick's Sporting Goods Park, Trade City·Filip Dujic 11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalGOODModel49%SurpriseMediumGap-9.6%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Over 1.5
1.51
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap+6.1%
Colorado Rapids Rest
13 days
San Jose Earthquakes Rest
13 days

Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes: result, form and history

Colorado Rapids and San Jose Earthquakes drew 1-1 in the Major League Soccer on 11 Oct 2026. San Jose Earthquakes had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Colorado Rapids.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%1.90
X
25%3.75
2
28%3.70
Double Chance
1X
72%1.25
X2
53%1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%1.50
No
38%2.42
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.61 + 1.27 = 2.88
Over 1.5
80%1.16
Over 2.5
58%1.58
Over 3.5
37%2.46
Under 1.5
20%4.96
Under 2.5
42%2.30
Under 3.5
63%1.52
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.5 = 9.8
Over 8.5
60%1.33
Over 9.5
48%1.63
Over 10.5
36%1.91
Under 8.5
40%3.15
Under 9.5
52%2.15
Under 10.5
64%1.80
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.3 = 4.8
Over 3.5
71%1.45
Over 4.5
53%2.09
Under 3.5
29%2.63
Under 4.5
47%1.73

Match Events

14'Goal cancelledPreston Judd
27'Donavan PhillipAssist: Paxten Aaronson
44'Jack JasinskiFoul
45+3'Loïc Williams Ntambue Kayumba GironésTime wasting
57'Dave RomneyAssist: Ronaldo Vieira
59'Donavan Phillip INGeorgi Minoungou out
59'Timo Werner INOusseni Bouda out
59'Vitor Costa INJamar Ricketts out
73'Reggie Cannon INKeegan Rosenberry out
73'Paul Marie INNick Fernandez out
74'Jack Jasinski INMax Floriani out
83'Sayd Abu Farhi INDarren Yapi out
83'Joshua Atencio INIbrahim Sadiq out
83'Georgi Minoungou INHamzat Ojediran out
90+4'Beau Leroux INIan Harkes out
90+4'Matthew Elliott WellsDissent

Lineups

Colorado Rapids
4-3-3Coach: Matt Wells
San Jose Earthquakes
5-3-2Coach: B. Arena
Avg rating6.79
Avg rating6.57
N. Defreitas7.041N. Defreitas
R. Cannon6.74R. Cannon
R. Holding7.26R. Holding
Loïc Williams6.65L. Williams
M. Navarro7.329M. Navarro
J. Atencio6.612J. Atencio
M. Whittaker6.27M. Whittaker
W. Frederick II6.313W. Frederick II
D. Phillip8.232D. Phillip
S. Farhi6.19S. Farhi
P. Aaronson7.710P. Aaronson
E. Edwards7.836E. Edwards
P. Marie6.53P. Marie
Jack Jasinski6.317J. Jasinski
D. Munie6.75D. Munie
D. Romney7.34D. Romney
Vítor Costa6.087V. Costa
E. Löwen6.823E. Löwen
R. Vieira7.114R. Vieira
Beau Leroux6.134B. Leroux
P. Judd6.219P. Judd
T. Werner6.111T. Werner

Colorado Rapids Substitutes

77D. Yapi83'for Sayd Abu Farhi6.5
93G. Minoungou59'for Donavan Phillip83'for Hamzat Ojediran6.8
11I. Sadiq83'for Joshua Atencio6.9
99J. Travis
2K. Rosenberry73'for Reggie Cannon6.4
24N. Cobb
31A. Beaudry
8H. Ojediran83'replaced by Georgi Minoungou6.4
33K. Thompson

San Jose Earthquakes Substitutes

20N. Fernandez73'for Paul Marie6.4
25M. Floriani74'for Jack Jasinski6.3
6I. Harkes90+4'for Beau Leroux
9L. Jovanović
28B. Kikanovic
31Francesco Montali
2J. Ricketts59'for Vitor Costa6.4
7O. Bouda59'for Timo Werner6.6
21N. Buck

Match Stats

Colorado RapidsSan Jose Earthquakes
63%Ball Possession37%
6Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards1
13Total Shots9
10Shots on Goal3
3Shots off Goal5
11Shots Inside Box5
2Shots Outside Box4
0Blocked Shots1
16Fouls12
5Offsides7
2Goalkeeper Saves9
438Total Passes250
378Passes Accurate183
12Free Kicks16

Team Comparison

Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids
San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
1556Elo Rating 1616
1.41Attack 1.47
1.43Defense 1.86
0%Hit Rate 17%
12.4Shots per Game 14.3
4.8Shots on Target 4.2
5.4Corners per Game 5.7
2.5Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.88 goals
📈BTTS Trend30% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids5Wins · 50%
Draws110%
San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes4Wins · 40%
2.1Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

US Open Cup21/05/2026
Colorado RapidsSan Jose Earthquakes
20
Major League Soccer11/05/2025
Colorado RapidsSan Jose Earthquakes
02
Major League Soccer16/03/2025
San Jose EarthquakesColorado Rapids
12
Major League Soccer12/05/2024
Colorado RapidsSan Jose Earthquakes
23
Major League Soccer14/04/2024
San Jose EarthquakesColorado Rapids
03
Major League Soccer04/06/2023
Colorado RapidsSan Jose Earthquakes
00
Major League Soccer12/03/2023
San Jose EarthquakesColorado Rapids
10
Major League Soccer15/09/2022
Colorado RapidsSan Jose Earthquakes
21
Major League Soccer08/05/2022
San Jose EarthquakesColorado Rapids
10
Major League Soccer05/09/2021
San Jose EarthquakesColorado Rapids
01

Referee Profile

Filip Dujic120 matches

4.08Cards per match
3.81Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
24.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Filip Dujic4.08
Other referees4.34

4.08 cards a match, 0.26 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.34).

Cards come from 91 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps30167763:31+3255WDDLD
2St. Louis CitySt. Louis City30149756:41+1551LDWWW
3FC DallasFC Dallas30149755:47+851DWLWD
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes30139852:42+1048DDDWD
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo30138941:39+247DDDLD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC311210948:33+1546DWDLD
7Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders301191039:37+242DLWWW
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3110101143:52-940DWLWW
9Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids301161341:41039DDDLD
10Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake301061445:48-336WDLWL
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers30971451:56-534DLDLL
12San DiegoSan Diego308101253:56-334DDLDD
13Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC308101247:55-834WDDLL
14AustinAustin307101338:56-1831LLLDD
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City30642036:75-3922LLDLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3063:3155
2St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3056:4151
3FC DallasFC Dallas3055:4751
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3052:4248
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3041:3947
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3148:3346
7Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3039:3742
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3143:5240
9Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3041:4139
10Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3045:4836
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3051:5634
12San DiegoSan Diego3053:5634
13Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3047:5534
14AustinAustin3038:5631
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3036:7522
Promotion

About the Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Colorado Rapids and San Jose Earthquakes in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, San Jose Earthquakes are 4th and Colorado Rapids 9th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Colorado Rapids 41-41, San Jose Earthquakes 52-42. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Colorado Rapids have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.