Austin vs Colorado Rapids Prediction

Austin
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Colorado Rapids
Q2 Stadium, Austin·Sergii Demianchuk, USA 10/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
63%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.62
SignalNEUTRALModel42%SurpriseMediumGap+1.0%
Value Analysis
57%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.91
SignalNEUTRALModel57%SurpriseMediumGap+7.5%
Austin Rest
4 days
Colorado Rapids Rest
4 days

Austin vs Colorado Rapids: result, form and history

Austin and Colorado Rapids drew 1-1 in the Major League Soccer on 10 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.46
X
28%3.40
2
33%2.70
Double Chance
1X
67%1.44
X2
61%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
70%1.62
No
30%2.19
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.53 + 1.27 = 2.80
Over 1.5
78%1.25
Over 2.5
55%1.81
Over 3.5
34%3.00
Under 1.5
22%3.80
Under 2.5
45%2.00
Under 3.5
66%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.7 = 9.5
Over 8.5
55%1.46
Over 9.5
43%1.75
Over 10.5
33%2.15
Under 8.5
45%2.55
Under 9.5
57%2.00
Under 10.5
67%1.66
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.2 = 4.3
Over 3.5
62%1.36
Over 4.5
43%1.79
Under 3.5
38%2.83
Under 4.5
57%1.91

Match Events

22'Paxten Aaronson
27'Youssef Maziz INJoshua Atencio out
45'Ilie Sánchez INJorge Alastuey out
45+4'Joshua AtencioFoul
58'Brandon Vazquez INChristian Ramirez out
58'Jon Gallagher INŽan Kolmanič out
62'Reggie CannonFoul
69'Donavan Phillip INGeorgi Minoungou out
79'Facundo Daniel Torres PerezAssist: Žan Kolmanič
82'Besard Sabovic INPrzemyslaw Płacheta out
86'Darren Yapi INAlexander Dean Harris out
86'Miguel Navarro INJackson Travis out

Lineups

Austin
3-4-3Coach: D. Arnaud
Colorado Rapids
4-3-3Coach: Matt Wells
Avg rating6.66
Avg rating6.74
B. Stuver6.71B. Stuver
M. Desler6.53M. Desler
J. Bell7.015J. Bell
Guilherme Biro6.629G. Biro
J. Rosales6.430J. Rosales
Ilie Sánchez6.26I. Sánchez
B. Šabović6.414B. Šabović
J. Gallagher6.917J. Gallagher
F. Torres7.911F. Torres
B. Vázquez6.69B. Vázquez
Ervin Torres6.338E. Torres
N. Defreitas7.241N. Defreitas
R. Cannon6.74R. Cannon
R. Holding6.96R. Holding
Loïc Williams6.95L. Williams
M. Navarro6.829M. Navarro
H. Ojediran6.68H. Ojediran
Y. Maziz6.888Y. Maziz
W. Frederick II6.513W. Frederick II
D. Phillip6.532D. Phillip
D. Yapi6.277D. Yapi
P. Aaronson8.210P. Aaronson

Austin Substitutes

24Jorge Alastuey45'for Ilie Sánchez6.3
32M. Burton
35M. Đorđević
4B. Hines-Ike
23Ž. Kolmanič58'for Jon Gallagher7.5
12D. Las
77P. Płacheta82'for Besard Sabovic5.9
21C. Ramirez58'for Brandon Vazquez6.8
5O. Svatok

Colorado Rapids Substitutes

99J. Travis86'for Miguel Navarro7.0
33K. Thompson
2K. Rosenberry
93G. Minoungou69'for Donavan Phillip6.6
16A. Harris86'for Darren Yapi6.4
61B. Dowd
24N. Cobb
31A. Beaudry
12J. Atencio27'for Youssef Maziz45+4'6.1

Match Stats

AustinColorado Rapids
51%Ball Possession49%
8Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards2
11Total Shots11
2Shots on Goal5
8Shots off Goal2
9Shots Inside Box5
2Shots Outside Box6
1Blocked Shots4
8Fouls18
7Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves1
487Total Passes477
429Passes Accurate422
88%Pass Accuracy88%

Team Comparison

AustinAustin
Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids
1520Elo Rating 1556
1.19Attack 1.47
0.51Defense 1.18
19%Hit Rate 19%
13.1Shots per Game 13.2
4.6Shots on Target 4.1
5.5Corners per Game 5.3
1.4Cards per Game 3.8

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.8 goals
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

AustinAustin
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

AustinAustin3Wins · 30%
Draws220%
Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids5Wins · 50%
2.4Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer02/08/2026
Colorado RapidsAustin
10
Major League Soccer08/06/2025
Colorado RapidsAustin
02
Major League Soccer09/03/2025
AustinColorado Rapids
01
Major League Soccer20/10/2024
AustinColorado Rapids
32
Major League Soccer16/06/2024
Colorado RapidsAustin
20
Major League Soccer01/10/2023
Colorado RapidsAustin
10
Major League Soccer26/03/2023
AustinColorado Rapids
11
Major League Soccer09/10/2022
AustinColorado Rapids
11
Major League Soccer05/07/2022
Colorado RapidsAustin
23
Major League Soccer30/09/2021
Colorado RapidsAustin
30

Referee Profile

Sergii Demianchuk117 matches

4.06Cards per match
4.00Yellow cards per match
0.06Red cards per match
24.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Sergii Demianchuk4.06
Other referees4.22

4.06 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.22).

Cards come from 31 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps34197874:34+4064WWWLW
2FC DallasFC Dallas341610862:51+1158WDLWD
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City341591059:48+1154WLLLL
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3414101057:51+652LWDLD
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo341491143:43051LLWDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3412111152:40+1247LLDDW
7Portland TimbersPortland Timbers341371462:61+146WWWWD
8Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3412101244:46-246WLLDD
9Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake341361553:52+145WLWWW
10Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3411111256:58-244WWWDW
11Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3411111250:57-744LWDDW
12Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids341271547:50-343LLDWD
13San DiegoSan Diego349111457:63-638LWLDD
14AustinAustin348101642:65-2334LLLWL
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City34752240:81-4126WDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3474:3464
2FC DallasFC Dallas3462:5158
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3459:4854
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3457:5152
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3443:4351
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3452:4047
7Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3462:6146
8Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3444:4646
9Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3453:5245
10Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3456:5844
11Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3450:5744
12Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3447:5043
13San DiegoSan Diego3457:6338
14AustinAustin3442:6534
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3440:8126
Promotion

About the Austin vs Colorado Rapids forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Austin and Colorado Rapids in the Major League Soccer table

Colorado Rapids and Austin are close in the Major League Soccer table, 12th and 14th, with 9 points between them. League goal record so far: Austin 42-65, Colorado Rapids 47-50. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.