Austin vs Colorado Rapids Prediction

Austin
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Colorado Rapids
Q2 Stadium, Austin· Sergii Demianchuk, USA 10/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
63%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.62
SignalNEUTRALModel42%RiskMediumGap+1.0%
Value Analysis
57%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.91
SignalHIGHModel57%RiskMediumGap+7.5%
Austin Rest
4 days
Colorado Rapids Rest
4 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.46
X
28%3.40
2
33%2.70
Double Chance
1X
67%1.44
X2
61%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
70%1.62
No
30%2.19
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.53 + 1.27 = 2.80
Over 1.5
78%1.25
Over 2.5
55%1.81
Over 3.5
34%3.00
Under 1.5
22%3.80
Under 2.5
45%2.00
Under 3.5
66%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.7 = 9.5
Over 8.5
55%1.46
Over 9.5
43%1.75
Over 10.5
33%2.15
Under 8.5
45%2.55
Under 9.5
57%2.00
Under 10.5
67%1.66
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.2 = 4.3
Over 3.5
62%1.36
Over 4.5
43%1.79
Under 3.5
38%2.83
Under 4.5
57%1.91

Match Events

22'Paxten Aaronson
27'Youssef Maziz INJoshua Atencio out
45+4'Joshua AtencioFoul
45'Ilie Sánchez INJorge Alastuey out
58'Brandon Vazquez INChristian Ramirez out
58'Jon Gallagher INŽan Kolmanič out
62'Reggie CannonFoul
69'Donavan Phillip INGeorgi Minoungou out
79'Facundo Daniel Torres PerezAssist: Žan Kolmanič
82'Besard Sabovic INPrzemyslaw Płacheta out
86'Darren Yapi INAlexander Dean Harris out
86'Miguel Navarro INJackson Travis out

Lineups

Austin
3-4-3Coach: D. Arnaud
Colorado Rapids
4-3-3Coach: Matt Wells
B. Stuver1B. StuverB. Stuver
M. Desler3M. DeslerM. Desler
J. Bell15J. BellJ. Bell
Guilherme Biro29G. BiroGuilherme Biro
J. Rosales30J. RosalesJ. Rosales
Ilie Sánchez6I. SánchezIlie Sánchez
B. Šabović14B. ŠabovićB. Šabović
J. Gallagher17J. GallagherJ. Gallagher
F. Torres11F. TorresF. Torres
B. Vázquez9B. VázquezB. Vázquez
Ervin Torres38E. TorresErvin Torres
N. Defreitas41N. DefreitasN. Defreitas
R. Cannon4R. CannonR. Cannon
R. Holding6R. HoldingR. Holding
Loïc Williams5L. WilliamsLoïc Williams
M. Navarro29M. NavarroM. Navarro
H. Ojediran8H. OjediranH. Ojediran
Y. Maziz88Y. MazizY. Maziz
W. Frederick II13W. Frederick IIW. Frederick II
D. Phillip32D. PhillipD. Phillip
D. Yapi77D. YapiD. Yapi
P. Aaronson10P. AaronsonP. Aaronson

Austin Substitutes

24Jorge AlastueyM
32M. BurtonM
35M. ĐorđevićD
4B. Hines-IkeD
23Ž. KolmaničD
12D. LasG
77P. PłachetaM
21C. RamirezF
5O. SvatokD

Colorado Rapids Substitutes

99J. TravisD
33K. ThompsonD
2K. RosenberryD
93G. MinoungouF
16A. HarrisF
61B. DowdG
24N. CobbD
31A. BeaudryG
12J. AtencioM

Match Stats

AustinColorado Rapids
51%Ball Possession49%
8Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards2
11Total Shots11
2Shots on Goal5
8Shots off Goal2
9Shots Inside Box5
2Shots Outside Box6
1Blocked Shots4
8Fouls18
7Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves1
487Total Passes477
429Passes Accurate422
88%Pass Accuracy88%

Team Comparison

AustinAustin
Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids
1584Elo Rating 1574
1.29Attack 0.56
1.86Defense 1.50
44%Hit Rate 37%
9.6Shots per Game 13.5
2.2Shots on Target 4.8
4.8Corners per Game 4.7
2.6Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy2.8 goals
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

AustinAustin
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.4 vs 0.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Austin 39%Draw 0%61% Colorado Rapids
2.03Avg Goals
17%BTTS Rate
17%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

Sergii Demianchuk, USA · 13 matches analysed

4.5Avg Yellows
4.7Avg Cards
25.9Avg Fouls
Stricter than 63% of referees analysed

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps25154656:23+3349WLWLW
2Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo26135834:30+444DLWDD
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City26128645:36+944WWDWD
4FC DallasFC Dallas26128649:42+744DWWWD
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes26126846:38+842DWWDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC27118843:29+1441DLWDD
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids261131236:35+136DWDLW
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy27891034:42-833WDLWL
9Portland TimbersPortland Timbers26951247:48-132LLDWL
10San DiegoSan Diego26871144:44031DLLLW
11AustinAustin26791032:44-1230DWDDW
12Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake25851237:42-529LLLDL
13Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders2478928:33-529DDDDD
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC26781139:46-729LLLLD
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City25531729:63-3418LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps2556:2349
2Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo2634:3044
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City2645:3644
4FC DallasFC Dallas2649:4244
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes2646:3842
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC2743:2941
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids2636:3536
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy2734:4233
9Portland TimbersPortland Timbers2647:4832
10San DiegoSan Diego2644:4431
11AustinAustin2632:4430
12Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake2537:4229
13Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders2428:3329
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC2639:4629
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City2529:6318
Promotion

Austin vs Colorado Rapids Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Austin and Colorado Rapids have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.03 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.