Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake Prediction

Dick's Sporting Goods Park, Trade City·R. Mendoza 30/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
86%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.18
SignalSTRONGModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+1.6%
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.61
SignalGOODModel45%SurpriseMediumGap+12.0%
Colorado Rapids Rest
6 days
Real Salt Lake Rest
3 days

Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake: the result in context

Colorado Rapids beat Real Salt Lake 1-0 in the Major League Soccer on 30 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Colorado Rapids had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Real Salt Lake.

Real Salt Lake have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.0 goals a game. Referee R. Mendoza averages 4.81 cards a game, 0.53 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%1.94
X
26%3.75
2
27%3.61
Double Chance
1X
73%1.26
X2
53%1.84
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%1.55
No
36%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.83 + 1.18 = 3.01
Over 1.5
85%1.18
Over 2.5
69%1.61
Over 3.5
46%2.52
Under 1.5
15%4.50
Under 2.5
31%2.30
Under 3.5
54%1.52
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4 = 9.9
Over 8.5
66%1.36
Over 9.5
53%1.64
Over 10.5
39%2.03
Under 8.5
34%2.88
Under 9.5
47%2.10
Under 10.5
61%1.71
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.5 = 4.8
Over 3.5
69%1.29
Over 4.5
50%1.66
Under 3.5
31%3.08
Under 4.5
50%2.10

Match Events

14'H. Ojediran
49'R. Holding
53'A. Hezarkhani
58'R. CannonAssist: Y. Maziz
61'M. Guilavogui
63'D. Yedlin INJ. Sanabria out
63'A. Hezarkhani IND. Luna out
67'N. Caliskan
71'Y. Maziz IND. Phillip out
72'P. Ruiz INC. Guske out
78'W. Frederick INJ. Atencio out
79'C. Guske
81'A. Katranis INS. Lobjanidze out
89'J. J. Arias
90+1'Rafael Navarro IND. Yapi out
90+2'M. Navarro

Lineups

Colorado Rapids
4-2-3-1Coach: Matt Wells
Real Salt Lake
3-4-3Coach: Pablo Mastroeni
Avg rating7.30
Avg rating6.51
Adam Beaudry6.631A. Beaudry
Reggie Cannon8.24R. Cannon
Rob Holding7.76R. Holding
Loïc Williams7.95L. Williams
Miguel Navarro7.329M. Navarro
Hamzat Ojediran7.38H. Ojediran
Wayne Frederick7.213W. Frederick
Paxten Aaronson7.310P. Aaronson
Youssef Maziz7.288Y. Maziz
Georgi Minoungou7.593G. Minoungou
Rafael NavarroC6.99R. Navarro
Rafael CabralC7.21R. Cabral
Kobi Henry7.33K. Henry
Juan Jose Arias6.221J. Jose Arias
Sam Junqua6.629S. Junqua
DeAndre Yedlin6.22D. Yedlin
Pablo Ruíz6.57P. Ruíz
Noel Caliskan6.792N. Caliskan
Alexandros Katranis6.798A. Katranis
Aiden  Hezarkhani6.339A. Hezarkhani
Sergi Solans6.022S. Solans
Morgan Guilavogui6.39M. Guilavogui

Colorado Rapids Substitutes

32Donavan Phillip71'for Y. Maziz6.9
12Josh Atencio78'for W. Frederick6.9
77Darren Yapi90+1'for Rafael Navarro
61Bryan Dowd
33Kosi Thompson
2Keegan Rosenberry
24Noah Cobb
49Nathan Tchoumba
16Alex Harris

Real Salt Lake Substitutes

8Juan Sanabria63'for D. Yedlin6.2
10Diego Luna63'for A. Hezarkhani6.5
25Colin Guske72'for P. Ruiz79'6.7
12Saba Lobzhanidze81'for A. Katranis6.3
31Mason Stajduhar
4Lukas Engel
11Dominik Marczuk
34Luca Moisa
70Lineker Rodrigues

Match Stats

Colorado RapidsReal Salt Lake
64%Ball Possession36%
7Corner Kicks1
3Yellow Cards5
14Total Shots4
4Shots on Goal0
5Shots off Goal2
10Shots Inside Box1
4Shots Outside Box3
5Blocked Shots2
13Fouls21
1Offsides2
0Goalkeeper Saves3
584Total Passes333
505Passes Accurate244
86%Pass Accuracy73%

Team Comparison

Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids
Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
1556Elo Rating 1596
1.47Attack 1.95
1.18Defense 1.93
19%Hit Rate 59%
13.2Shots per Game 17.8
4.1Shots on Target 6.3
5.3Corners per Game 5.8
3.8Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.01 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3Wins · 30%
Draws00%
Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake7Wins · 70%
3.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer17/05/2026
Real Salt LakeColorado Rapids
21
Major League Soccer05/10/2025
Real Salt LakeColorado Rapids
10
Major League Soccer18/05/2025
Colorado RapidsReal Salt Lake
10
Major League Soccer21/07/2024
Colorado RapidsReal Salt Lake
32
Major League Soccer19/05/2024
Real Salt LakeColorado Rapids
53
Major League Soccer10/03/2024
Real Salt LakeColorado Rapids
12
Major League Soccer22/10/2023
Colorado RapidsReal Salt Lake
01
Major League Soccer03/09/2023
Real Salt LakeColorado Rapids
20
US Open Cup25/05/2023
Colorado RapidsReal Salt Lake
01
Major League Soccer21/05/2023
Colorado RapidsReal Salt Lake
23

Recent Form

Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids
5W1D4L
23/08/2026
San DiegoColorado Rapids
30
L
20/08/2026
Colorado RapidsLos Angeles FC
10
W
16/08/2026
Colorado RapidsSporting Kansas City
20
W
02/08/2026
Colorado RapidsAustin
10
W
26/07/2026
St. Louis CityColorado Rapids
10
L
23/07/2026
Colorado RapidsSan Diego
10
W
10/07/2026
Colorado RapidsFC Juarez
11
D
24/05/2026
Colorado RapidsFC Dallas
12
L
21/05/2026
Colorado RapidsSan Jose Earthquakes
20
W
17/05/2026
Real Salt LakeColorado Rapids
21
L
Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
2W2D6L

Referee Profile

R. Mendoza130 matches

4.81Cards per match
4.58Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
24.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

R. Mendoza4.81
Other referees4.28

4.81 cards a match, 0.53 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.28).

Cards come from 127 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps34197874:34+4064WWWLW
2FC DallasFC Dallas341610862:51+1158WDLWD
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City341591059:48+1154WLLLL
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3414101057:51+652LWDLD
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo341491143:43051LLWDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3412111152:40+1247LLDDW
7Portland TimbersPortland Timbers341371462:61+146WWWWD
8Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3412101244:46-246WLLDD
9Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake341361553:52+145WLWWW
10Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3411111256:58-244WWWDW
11Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3411111250:57-744LWDDW
12Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids341271547:50-343LLDWD
13San DiegoSan Diego349111457:63-638LWLDD
14AustinAustin348101642:65-2334LLLWL
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City34752240:81-4126WDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3474:3464
2FC DallasFC Dallas3462:5158
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3459:4854
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3457:5152
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3443:4351
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3452:4047
7Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3462:6146
8Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3444:4646
9Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3453:5245
10Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3456:5844
11Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3450:5744
12Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3447:5043
13San DiegoSan Diego3457:6338
14AustinAustin3442:6534
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3440:8126
Promotion

About the Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake forecast

The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Colorado Rapids and Real Salt Lake in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, Real Salt Lake are 9th and Colorado Rapids 12th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Colorado Rapids 47-50, Real Salt Lake 53-52. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.