Como vs Manchester United Prediction
World · League Stage - 3
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.50
SignalNEUTRALModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-4.3%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.57
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+2.2%
Como Rest
3 days
Manchester United Rest
3 days
Como vs Manchester United: result, form and history
Como beat Manchester United 4-1 in the UEFA Champions League on 21 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Como had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Manchester United.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
140%2.38
X27%3.80
233%2.80
Double Chance
1X67%1.44
X260%1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes60%1.44
No40%2.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 1.14 = 2.56
Over 1.580%1.13
Over 2.560%1.50
Over 3.537%2.30
Under 1.520%5.05
Under 2.540%2.50
Under 3.563%1.64
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 5 = 10
Over 8.563%1.57
Over 9.552%1.96
Over 10.542%2.51
Under 8.537%2.22
Under 9.548%1.76
Under 10.558%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.4 = 4.7
Over 3.568%2.02
Over 4.550%3.22
Under 3.532%1.73
Under 4.550%1.32
Match Events
2'Nico PazAssist: Lucas Da Cunha
25'Andrey SantosFoul
45'Matheus Cunha INAmad Diallo out
45'Andrey Santos INCarlos Baleba out
49'Anastasios DouvikasAssist: Nico Paz
50'Carlos BalebaFoul
57'Nico Paz
64'Martin Baturina INMaxence Caqueret out
67'Bruno Fernandes INJoshua Zirkzee out
69'Lucas Da Cunha INKaiki Bruno out
76'Jacobo RamónAssist: Kaiki Bruno
79'Matthijs De Ligt INHarry Amass out
80'Maximo Perrone INAlberto Dossena out
80'Nico Paz INSamuele Ricci out
80'Yan Couto INIvan Smolcic out
84'Marc-Oliver KempfFoul
86'Bryan Mbeumo INShea Lacey out
86'Shea LaceyFoul
90+1'Joshua ZirkzeeAssist: Amad Diallo
Lineups
ComoManchester United
4-2-3-1Coach: M. CarrickAvg ratingAvg rating
1J. Butez
27Y. Couto
4J. Ramón Naveros
2M. Kempf
3Á. Valle
5M. Perrone
6L. Milla
7L. da Cunha
10N. Paz
20M. Baturina
9T. Douvikas
1S. Lammens
2D. Dalot
4M. de Ligt
5H. Maguire
3N. Mazraoui
7M. Mount
17A. Santos
19B. Mbeumo
18Y. Tielemans
10M. Cunha
8B. FernandesComo Substitutes
28I. Smolčić80'for Yan Couto
97Robert Sánchez
21S. Ricci80'for Nico Paz
30M. Liberali
16Kaiki69'for Lucas Da Cunha
12Lorenzo Luigi Ginelli
13A. Dossena80'for Maximo Perrone
8M. Caqueret64'for Martin Baturina
Manchester United Substitutes
16A. Diallo45'for Matheus Cunha
41H. Amass79'for Matthijs De Ligt
57Daniel Armer
20C. Baleba45'for Andrey Santos50'
12K. Darlow
38J. Fletcher
39T. Fletcher
22T. Heaton
56J. Kamason
31S. Lacey86'for Bryan Mbeumo86'
27T. Thompson
11J. Zirkzee67'for Bruno Fernandes90+1'
Match Stats
ComoManchester United 55%Ball Possession45%
1Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards3
11Total Shots13
8Shots on Goal4
3Shots off Goal6
8Shots Inside Box5
3Shots Outside Box8
0Blocked Shots3
10Fouls11
2Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves4
675Total Passes545
600Passes Accurate473
11Free Kicks9
Team Comparison
ComoManchester United1901Elo Rating 1832
2.16Attack 0.81
1.64Defense 1.00
50%Hit Rate 0%
15.7Shots per Game 14.3
6.8Shots on Target 4.1
3.7Corners per Game 5.2
2.2Cards per Game 2.3
AI Insights
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Como- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.9 in first half)
Manchester United- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Recent Form
Como5W3D2L
Manchester United2W4D4L
18/10/2026
LeedsManchester United
Atletico MadridManchester UnitedManchester United
Tottenham
FulhamManchester UnitedManchester United
BrightonManchester United
Manchester City
EvertonManchester UnitedManchester United
Ipswich
Hull CityManchester United
LeedsManchester United11
D13/10/2026Atletico MadridManchester United20
L10/10/2026Manchester UnitedTottenham11
D20/09/2026FulhamManchester United11
D16/09/2026Manchester UnitedBrighton23
L13/09/2026Manchester UnitedManchester City01
L10/09/2026Manchester United
Sabah FA
06/09/2026Manchester UnitedSabah FA40
WEvertonManchester United22
D30/08/2026Manchester UnitedIpswich52
W22/08/2026Hull CityManchester United20
LReferee Profile
3.80Cards per match
3.69Yellow cards per match
0.11Red cards per match
21.3Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
3.80 cards a match, 0.45 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.25).
Cards come from 180 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14:5 | +9 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | +9 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:7 | +5 | 9 | WWW |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:5 | +5 | 9 | WWW |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:4 | +3 | 9 | WWW |
| 6 |  VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 7 | DWW |
| 7 |  Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 7 | DWW |
| 8 |  Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:6 | +5 | 6 | LWW |
| 9 | Como | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | +5 | 6 | WLW |
| 10 | Manchester City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | +4 | 6 | WLW |
| 11 |  Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | +3 | 6 | WWL |
| 12 |  Sporting CP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | +3 | 6 | LWW |
| 13 |  Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | +1 | 6 | WLW |
| 14 |  Bayern München | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | +5 | 5 | DDW |
| 15 |  AS Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 4 | WLD |
| 16 | Atletico Madrid | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 4 | DWL |
| 17 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 4 | LWD |
| 18 |  PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 | WLD |
| 19 |  Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 3 | LWL |
| 20 | Manchester United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 21 |  Inter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 | WLL |
| 22 |  Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 | WLL |
| 23 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 3 | WLL |
| 24 |  Lask Linz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 3 | WLL |
| 25 |  Sabah FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 | LWL |
| 26 |  Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 | LWL |
| 27 |  Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 | LLW |
| 28 |  Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 | LWL |
| 29 |  AEK Athens FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 | LLW |
| 30 |  RB Leipzig | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 | LWL |
| 31 |  Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:9 | -6 | 2 | DLD |
| 32 |  Slavia Praha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 | DLL |
| 33 |  Viking | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 | LDL |
| 34 |  FC Porto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 | LLL |
| 35 |  Lille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:13 | -12 | 0 | LLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 14:5 | 9 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 3 | 12:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 3 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 3 | 10:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 3 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 7:2 | 7 |
| 7 | Arsenal | 3 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 8 | Barcelona | 3 | 11:6 | 6 |
| 9 | Como | 3 | 10:5 | 6 |
| 10 | Manchester City | 3 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 11 | Club Brugge KV | 3 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 12 | Sporting CP | 3 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 13 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 14 | Bayern München | 3 | 10:5 | 5 |
| 15 | AS Roma | 3 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 | Atletico Madrid | 3 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 17 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 18 | PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 19 | Villarreal | 3 | 8:8 | 3 |
| 20 | Manchester United | 3 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 21 | Inter | 3 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 22 | Napoli | 3 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 23 | Galatasaray | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 24 | Lask Linz | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 25 | Sabah FC | 3 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 26 | Feyenoord | 3 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 27 | Lens | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 28 | Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 29 | AEK Athens FC | 3 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 30 | RB Leipzig | 3 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 31 | Fenerbahçe | 3 | 3:9 | 2 |
| 32 | Slavia Praha | 3 | 4:7 | 1 |
| 33 | Viking | 3 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 34 | FC Porto | 3 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 | Lille | 3 | 4:10 | 0 |
| 36 | Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 1:13 | 0 |
Champions League
Bracket
Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
VikingAEK Athens FC
CelticLask Linz
Union St. GilloiseBodo/Glimt
Olympiakos Piraeus
NEC Nijmegen
Sparta Praha
LyonSlovan Bratislava
Mjallby AIF
Aarhus
Lech PoznanFenerbahçe
Gornik Zabrze
FC Thun
Dinamo Zagreb
Sturm Graz
Heart Of Midlothian
FK Crvena Zvezda
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Omonia Nicosia
CeljeVikingAEK Athens FCCelticLask LinzUnion St. GilloiseBodo/GlimtOlympiakos PiraeusNEC NijmegenSparta PrahaLyonVikingAEK Athens FCCelticLask LinzVikingAEK Athens FCCelticLask LinzUnion St. GilloiseBodo/GlimtOlympiakos PiraeusNEC NijmegenSparta PrahaLyonSlovan BratislavaMjallby AIFAarhusLech PoznanFenerbahçeGornik ZabrzeFC ThunDinamo ZagrebSturm GrazHeart Of MidlothianFK Crvena ZvezdaHapoel Beer ShevaOmonia NicosiaCeljeExplore more predictions
This match
About the Como vs Manchester United forecast
This is a UEFA Champions League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Como and Manchester United in the UEFA Champions League table
In the UEFA Champions League table, Como are 9th and Manchester United 20th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Como 10-5, Manchester United 5-6. The full standings are on the UEFA Champions League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Como and Manchester United have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.