Como vs Parma Prediction

Como
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Parma
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como·Giuseppe Mucera, Italy 14/09/2026
ComoComo
2-1
Finished
ParmaParma

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 1.5
1.76
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+10.1%
Como Rest
3 days
Parma Rest
8 days

Como vs Parma: the result in context

Como beat Parma 2-1 in the Serie A on 14 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Como had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Parma.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Referee Giuseppe Mucera averages 3.15 cards a game, 1.11 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
67%1.22
X
24%6.25
2
9%13.69
Double Chance
1X
90%1.04
X2
33%4.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%2.19
No
51%1.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.88 + 0.91 = 2.79
Over 1.5
75%1.20
Over 2.5
56%1.61
Over 3.5
37%2.50
Under 1.5
25%4.55
Under 2.5
44%2.37
Under 3.5
63%1.53
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 2.7 = 8.6
Over 8.5
46%1.70
Over 9.5
35%2.15
Over 10.5
26%2.88
Under 8.5
54%2.06
Under 9.5
65%1.65
Under 10.5
74%1.35
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.2 + 1.7 = 3
Over 3.5
35%2.13
Over 4.5
18%3.29
Under 3.5
65%1.68
Under 4.5
82%1.31

Match Events

23'J. RamonAssist: N. Paz
55'M. Baturina INM. Caqueret out
55'A. Diao INJ. Rodriguez out
55'E. B. Toure INM. Frigan out
64'M. Kean INA. Douvikas out
64'N. Elphege IND. Romero out
64'V. Sierro INA. Bernabe out
76'M. CaqueretRoughing
80'S. Lontani ING. Fabbian out
80'S. Britschgi INP. Almqvist out
80'N. Paz INS. Ricci out
80'L. Da Cunha INL. Milla out
83'KaikiAssist: M. Perrone
90+2'D. RomeroAssist: P. Almqvist

Lineups

Como
4-2-3-1Coach: Cesc Fabregas
Parma
3-4-2-1Coach: Carlos Cuesta
Avg rating7.01
Avg rating6.66
Robert Sánchez6.997R. Sánchez
Yan Couto6.327Y. Couto
Jacobo Ramón7.34J. Ramón
Marc Kempf6.92M. Kempf
Kaiki8.216Kaiki
Máximo Perrone7.65M. Perrone
Lucas Da CunhaC7.27L. Da Cunha
Assane Diao7.011A. Diao
Nico Paz8.010N. Paz
Martin Baturina7.320M. Baturina
Moise Kean6.690M. Kean
Edoardo Corvi8.740E. Corvi
Diego Carlos6.634D. Carlos
Mariano Troilo7.237M. Troilo
Enrico DelpratoC6.215E. Delprato
Sascha Britschgi6.027S. Britschgi
Vincent Sierro6.94V. Sierro
Mandela Keita6.316M. Keita
Emanuele Valeri7.214E. Valeri
El Bilal Touré6.719E. Bilal Touré
Simone Lontani6.576S. Lontani
Nesta Elphege6.623N. Elphege

Como Substitutes

22Mauro Vigorito
1Jean Butez
28Ivan Smolčić
3Álex Valle
18Edoardo Goldaniga
53Willy Kambwala
13Alberto Dossena
99Trevoh Chalobah
15Adrian Lahdo
17Jesús Rodriguez55'for A. Diao7.3
6Luis Milla80'for L. Da Cunha6.3
21Samuele Ricci80'for N. Paz6.3
8Maxence Caqueret55'for M. Baturina76'6.3
30Mattia Liberali
9Anastasios Douvikas64'for M. Kean6.7

Parma Substitutes

22Simone Ghidotti
30Giovanni Daffara
5Lautaro Valenti
72Dominik Drobnic
3Abdoulaye Ndiaye
47Abdou-Salam Konate
8Benjamin Cremaschi
80Giovanni Fabbian80'for S. Lontani6.2
29Franco Carboni
10Adrián Bernabé64'for V. Sierro6.7
32Christian Ordoñez
25Thomas de Martis
11Pontus Almqvist80'for S. Britschgi6.2
20Matija Frigan55'for E. B. Toure6.3
9David Romero64'for N. Elphege90+2'6.2

Match Stats

ComoParma
64%Ball Possession36%
11Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards0
29Total Shots12
7Shots on Goal4
10Shots off Goal7
25Shots Inside Box7
4Shots Outside Box5
12Blocked Shots1
8Fouls4
4Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves5
656Total Passes362
589Passes Accurate295
90%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

ComoComo
ParmaParma
1911Elo Rating 1634
2.37Attack 0.74
2.08Defense 0.74
69%Hit Rate 17%
13.9Shots per Game 13.0
6.4Shots on Target 4.5
3.8Corners per Game 3.3
2.1Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+277 Elo
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

ComoComo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.8 in first half)
ParmaParma
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

ComoComo3Wins · 30%
Draws440%
ParmaParma3Wins · 30%
2.1Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

Serie A17/05/2026
ComoParma
10
Serie A25/10/2025
ParmaComo
00
Serie A03/05/2025
ParmaComo
01
Serie A19/10/2024
ComoParma
11
Serie B24/02/2024
ComoParma
11
Serie B20/10/2023
ParmaComo
21
Serie B18/03/2023
comoParma
20
Serie B29/10/2022
Parmacomo
10
Serie B06/04/2022
Parmacomo
43
Serie B28/11/2021
comoParma
11

Recent Form

ComoComo
6W3D1L
10/09/2026
ComoRB Leipzig
41
W
04/09/2026
GenoaComo
14
W
30/08/2026
NapoliComo
12
W
22/08/2026
UdineseComo
11
D
16/08/2026
LiverpoolComo
00
D
12/08/2026
ArsenalComo
4131
L
31/07/2026
FamalicaoComo
23
W
17/05/2026
ComoParma
10
W
10/05/2026
Hellas VeronaComo
01
W
02/05/2026
ComoNapoli
00
D
ParmaParma
2W3D5L
06/09/2026
ParmaMonza
11
D
01/09/2026
ParmaCremonese
02
L
29/08/2026
JuventusParma
20
L
22/08/2026
ParmaCagliari
01
L
14/08/2026
ParmaCatania
20
W
09/08/2026
ParmaSampdoria
02
L
02/08/2026
ParmaIraklis 1908
11
D
30/07/2026
ParmaArezzo
11
D
24/05/2026
ParmaSassuolo
10
W
17/05/2026
ComoParma
10
L

Referee Profile

Giuseppe Mucera80 matches

3.15Cards per match
2.88Yellow cards per match
0.27Red cards per match
24.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Giuseppe Mucera3.15
Other referees4.26

3.15 cards a match, 1.11 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.26).

Cards come from 26 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1InterInter871023:10+1322WWWDW
2LazioLazio871016:5+1122WWWWD
3AS RomaAS Roma853019:6+1318DWDDW
4ComoComo852114:7+717WWDLW
5AC MilanAC Milan743014:7+715WDWDD
6FrosinoneFrosinone842217:13+414DWLWD
7JuventusJuventus842211:8+314WLDWL
8TorinoTorino841313:11+213WWWDL
9CagliariCagliari84136:9-313LLDWW
10NapoliNapoli832313:10+311DLWDW
11AtalantaAtalanta831414:15-110DLWLL
12LecceLecce83059:14-59LWLLW
13BolognaBologna82248:10-28WLWDL
14SassuoloSassuolo822412:16-48LLDLW
15MonzaMonza821515:18-37LWLWL
16GenoaGenoa82156:13-77WLWLD
17UdineseUdinese71159:16-74LLLLL
18FiorentinaFiorentina81169:19-104LLLDW
19ParmaParma81165:15-104LLLWL
20VeneziaVenezia81076:17-113LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1InterInter823:1022
2LazioLazio816:522
3AS RomaAS Roma819:618
4ComoComo814:717
5AC MilanAC Milan714:715
6FrosinoneFrosinone817:1314
7JuventusJuventus811:814
8TorinoTorino813:1113
9CagliariCagliari86:913
10NapoliNapoli813:1011
11AtalantaAtalanta814:1510
12LecceLecce89:149
13BolognaBologna88:108
14SassuoloSassuolo812:168
15MonzaMonza815:187
16GenoaGenoa86:137
17UdineseUdinese79:164
18FiorentinaFiorentina89:194
19ParmaParma85:154
20VeneziaVenezia86:173
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Como vs Parma forecast

The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Como and Parma in the Serie A table

The table shows a wide gap: Como are 4th in the Serie A, while Parma sit 19th, 13 points behind. League goal record so far: Como 14-7, Parma 5-15. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.