Corinthians vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction

Serie ABrazil Brazil · Regular Season - 21
Corinthians
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Atletico Paranaense
Neo Química Arena, Sao Paulo· Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva, Brazil 31/07/2026
CorinthiansCorinthians
0-0
Finished
Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.20
SignalSOLIDModel58%RiskMediumGap-4.5%
Value Analysis
53%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
2.19
SignalGOODModel55%RiskMediumGap+9.6%
Corinthians Rest
4 days
Atletico Paranaense Rest
5 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%1.95
X
24%3.15
2
21%4.40
Double Chance
1X
79%1.20
X2
45%1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%2.19
No
47%1.59
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.44 + 0.96 = 2.40
Over 1.5
70%1.53
Over 2.5
47%2.56
Over 3.5
25%5.25
Under 1.5
30%2.52
Under 2.5
53%1.49
Under 3.5
75%1.15
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 4.1 = 9.9
Over 8.5
60%1.60
Over 9.5
48%1.97
Over 10.5
37%2.55
Under 8.5
40%2.18
Under 9.5
52%1.75
Under 10.5
63%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.9 = 5.3
Over 3.5
74%1.25
Over 4.5
57%1.52
Under 3.5
26%3.52
Under 4.5
43%2.35

Match Events

44'G. BenavidezRoughing
45+1'JadsonUnsportsmanlike conduct
46'Z. Labyad INKaio Cesar out
46'Dieguinho INYuri Alberto out
46'Claudinho INLeo Derik out
65'Leozinho INDudu Kogitzki out
65'S. Mendoza INJoao Cruz out
77'M. Pereira INBreno Bidon out
78'Yuri Alberto INR. Garro out
82'K. Viveros INJ. Rivaldo out
83'A. Carrillo INAndre out
86'Andre RamalhoUnsportsmanlike conduct
87'MatheuzinhoUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+2'R. GarroTripping
90+3'C. Teran INF. Aguirre out
90+5'Santos

Lineups

Corinthians
4-2-3-1Coach: Fernando Diniz
Atletico Paranaense
3-4-2-1Coach: Joao Correia
Hugo Souza1H. SouzaHugo Souza
Pedro Milans20P. MilansPedro Milans
André Ramalho5A. RamalhoAndré Ramalho
Raniele14RanieleRaniele
Matheuzinho2MatheuzinhoMatheuzinho
André Carrillo19A. CarrilloAndré Carrillo
Allan29AllanAllan
Dieguinho61DieguinhoDieguinho
Matheus Pereira23M. PereiraMatheus Pereira
Zakaria Labyad52Z. LabyadZakaria Labyad
Jesse Lingard77J. LingardJesse Lingard
Santos23SantosSantos
Gastón Benavídez29G. BenavídezGastón Benavídez
Carlos Terán22C. TeránCarlos Terán
Arthur Dias4A. DiasArthur Dias
Gilberto12GilbertoGilberto
Jádson16JádsonJádson
Juan Portilla27J. PortillaJuan Portilla
Claudinho26ClaudinhoClaudinho
Leozinho21LeozinhoLeozinho
Steven Mendoza7S. MendozaSteven Mendoza
Kevin Viveros9K. ViverosKevin Viveros

Corinthians Substitutes

51KauêG
3Gabriel PaulistaD
13Gustavo HenriqueD
55Iago MachadoD
4João Pedro TchocaD
49André LuizM
7Breno BidonM
8Rodrigo GarroM
35CharlesM
37Kaio CésarF
9Yuri AlbertoF
56Gui NegãoF

Atletico Paranaense Substitutes

42Matheus SoaresG
33Juan Felipe AguirreD
6Leonardo DerikD
3LéoD
2Gilberto JuniorD
53DuduM
11IsaacF
10Bruno ZapelliM
5FelipinhoD
8João CruzM
19Jorge RivaldoF
70Renan Peixoto NepomucenoF

Match Stats

CorinthiansAtletico Paranaense
51%Ball Possession49%
6Corner Kicks2
3Yellow Cards3
7Total Shots4
4Shots on Goal1
2Shots off Goal3
4Shots Inside Box3
3Shots Outside Box1
1Blocked Shots0
16Fouls15
1Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves4
409Total Passes400
355Passes Accurate329
87%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

CorinthiansCorinthians
Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
1672Elo Rating 1720
0.83Attack 2.26
1.39Defense 0.45
0%Hit Rate 17%
10.4Shots per Game 13.4
2.7Shots on Target 5.9
4.5Corners per Game 3.9
2.5Cards per Game 2.4

Game State Tendencies

CorinthiansCorinthians
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Corinthians 86%Draw 14%0% Atletico Paranaense
2.36Avg Goals
31%BTTS Rate
17%Over 2.5

Recent Form

CorinthiansCorinthians
2W2D1L
26/07/2026
BahiaCorinthians
11
D24/07/2026
CorinthiansRemo
30
W
12/07/2026
CascavelCorinthians
11
D
30/05/2026
GremioCorinthians
13
W
28/05/2026
CorinthiansPlatense
02
L
Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
3W0D2L
25/07/2026
Atletico ParanaenseInternacional
20
W23/07/2026
Sao PauloAtletico Paranaense
12
W
11/07/2026
RB BragantinoAtletico Paranaense
21
L
09/07/2026
Boca JuniorsAtletico Paranaense
10
L
30/05/2026
Atletico ParanaenseMirassol
10
W

Referee Profile

Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva, Brazil · 20 matches analysed

4.5Avg Yellows
4.6Avg Cards
27.8Avg Fouls
Stricter than 59% of referees analysed

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo27176453:22+3157WWWWL
2PalmeirasPalmeiras27168347:21+2656WDDWL
3Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense27137741:31+1046DLDWD
4BahiaBahia271210542:33+946WWWWD
5FluminenseFluminense27129641:35+645LWDWW
6CruzeiroCruzeiro27126939:39042LWLWW
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG26116935:31+439WLWDW
8CoritibaCoritiba27108937:38-138DLWWD
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino261061032:29+336DLLWD
10SantosSantos2698939:39035WWWDW
11BotafogoBotafogo27981041:43-235WDDLL
12Sao PauloSao Paulo26961131:30+133LWWLD
13VitoriaVitoria27961227:39-1233DWLLW
14CorinthiansCorinthians27881128:29-132LLLLL
15MirassolMirassol27781231:42-1129DWLDD
16GremioGremio27771330:38-828LLLWL
17Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama26771229:41-1228WLWLL
18InternacionalInternacional276101130:35-528WLLDD
19RemoRemo27581431:45-1423LLLLD
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc26381528:52-2417LWLWD
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo2753:2257
2PalmeirasPalmeiras2747:2156
3Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense2741:3146
4BahiaBahia2742:3346
5FluminenseFluminense2741:3545
6CruzeiroCruzeiro2739:3942
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG2635:3139
8CoritibaCoritiba2737:3838
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino2632:2936
10SantosSantos2639:3935
11BotafogoBotafogo2741:4335
12Sao PauloSao Paulo2631:3033
13VitoriaVitoria2727:3933
14CorinthiansCorinthians2728:2932
15MirassolMirassol2731:4229
16GremioGremio2730:3828
17Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama2629:4128
18InternacionalInternacional2730:3528
19RemoRemo2731:4523
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc2628:5217
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Corinthians vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Serie A fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Serie A

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Key Factors for This Match

Corinthians and Atletico Paranaense have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.36 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.