Coritiba vs Cruzeiro Prediction
Brazil · Regular Season - 21
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
1.49
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap+9.8%
Coritiba Rest
4 days
Cruzeiro Rest
4 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
138%3.30
X26%3.20
236%2.25
Double Chance
1X64%1.62
X262%1.32
Both Teams to Score
Yes53%1.90
No47%1.81
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.21 + 1.17 = 2.38
Over 1.571%1.38
Over 2.548%2.21
Over 3.526%4.10
Under 1.529%2.92
Under 2.552%1.66
Under 3.574%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.6 + 4.5 = 9.1
Over 8.553%1.37
Over 9.539%1.65
Over 10.529%2.03
Under 8.547%2.78
Under 9.561%2.10
Under 10.571%1.70
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.9 + 2.4 = 5.3
Over 3.574%1.28
Over 4.557%1.62
Under 3.526%3.25
Under 4.543%2.20
Match Events
37'Thiago SantosHolding
54'Thiago Santos INTissi out
60'Felipe Morais INKenji out
65'Pedro Rocha INRodrigo Rodrigues out
65'Bruno Melo INFelipe Jonatan out
66'Matheus PereiraAssist: Gerson
69'Gerson INMatheus Henrique out
70'K. Arroyo INMarquinhos out
79'Breno Lopes INKeno out
79'S. Gomez INB. Ocampo out
85'Kaio Jorge INBruno Rodrigues out
86'G. Rojas INL. Villalba out
90+2'Matheus Henrique
Lineups
CoritibaCruzeiro
4-2-3-1Coach: Jorge ArturAvg ratingAvg rating
1P. Morisco
2Tinga
55J. Maranhão
23T. Cóser
26B. Melo
21T. Santos
C19S. Gomez
11L. Ronier
10Josué
77B. Lopes
32P. Rocha
81O. Costa
12W. Furtado
15F. Bruno
34J. Jesus
27G. Rojas
C29L. Romero
8Gerson
99K. Arroyo
10M. Pereira
38F. Morais
19K. JorgeCoritiba Substitutes
50Vitor Gonçalves Tissi
6Felipe Jonatan65'for Bruno Melo
99Rodrigo Rodrigues65'for Pedro Rocha
17Brian Ocampo79'for S. Gomez
20Keno79'for Breno Lopes
22Pedro Rangel
4Rodrigo Moledo
3Maicon
44João Pedro Chermont
7Joaquín Lavega
88Fernando Sobral
18Paulo Roberto
Cruzeiro Substitutes
70Kaique Kenji60'for Felipe Morais
7Matheus Henrique69'for Gerson90+2'
11Marquinhos70'for K. Arroyo
9Bruno Rodrigues85'for Kaio Jorge
25Lucas Villalba86'for G. Rojas
51Vitor Lamounier
2Kauã Moraes
43João Marcelo
57Rayan Lelis
5Zé Lucas
16Lucas Silva
40Rhuan Gabriel
Match Stats
CoritibaCruzeiro 50%Ball Possession50%
4Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards1
19Total Shots20
2Shots on Goal4
9Shots off Goal8
7Shots Inside Box11
12Shots Outside Box9
8Blocked Shots8
13Fouls18
1Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves2
408Total Passes413
338Passes Accurate341
83%Pass Accuracy83%
Team Comparison
CoritibaCruzeiro1599Elo Rating 1809
0.60Attack 2.18
2.23Defense 1.57
23%Hit Rate 86%
12.5Shots per Game 17.0
3.6Shots on Target 7.3
5.1Corners per Game 5.5
2.4Cards per Game 2.5
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Coritiba- Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.1 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Cruzeiro- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 5 meetings, all competitions
Coritiba2Wins · 40%Draws240%
Cruzeiro1Wins · 20%
1Wins · 20%1.4Avg Goals
20%Both teams scored1 of 5
40%3+ goals2 of 5
Previous meetings
06/02/2026CruzeiroCoritiba12
11/11/2023CoritibaCruzeiro10
16/07/2023CruzeiroCoritiba00
09/10/2021CoritibaCruzeiro03
07/07/2021CruzeiroCoritiba00
Recent Form
Coritiba2W3D5L
26/07/2026
RB BragantinoCoritibaCoritiba
Palmeiras
RB BragantinoCoritiba00
D23/07/2026CoritibaPalmeiras13
L30/05/2026
FlamengoCoritiba
FlamengoCoritiba30
L26/05/2026Coritiba
Bahia
CoritibaBahia32
W17/05/2026
SantosCoritiba
SantosCoritiba03
W14/05/2026CoritibaSantos
CoritibaSantos02
L09/05/2026Coritiba
Internacional
CoritibaInternacional22
D02/05/2026
VitoriaCoritiba
VitoriaCoritiba41
L26/04/2026
GremioCoritiba
GremioCoritiba10
L23/04/2026SantosCoritiba
SantosCoritiba00
DCruzeiro6W3D1L
26/07/2026Cruzeiro
BotafogoInternacionalCruzeiro
CruzeiroBotafogo01
L23/07/2026InternacionalCruzeiro12
W12/07/2026GremioCruzeiro
GremioCruzeiro13
W04/07/2026Cruzeiro
Defensor Sporting
CruzeiroDefensor Sporting20
W01/06/2026Cruzeiro
Fluminense
CruzeiroFluminense11
D29/05/2026Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
CruzeiroBarcelona SC40
W20/05/2026
Boca JuniorsCruzeiro
Boca JuniorsCruzeiro11
D17/05/2026PalmeirasCruzeiro
PalmeirasCruzeiro11
D13/05/2026Cruzeiro
Goias
CruzeiroGoias10
W10/05/2026BahiaCruzeiro
BahiaCruzeiro12
WReferee Profile
5.55Cards per match
5.35Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
28.6Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.55 cards a match, 0.33 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.22).
Cards come from 179 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 71:29 | +42 | 76 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 62:23 | +39 | 73 | WDWWW |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 55:48 | +7 | 60 | WWWWL |
| 4 | Fluminense | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 55:42 | +13 | 57 | WWLLL |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 51:43 | +8 | 54 | LLDLW |
| 6 | Bahia | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 50:45 | +5 | 53 | LWDLW |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 44:40 | +4 | 50 | LLLWW |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44:39 | +5 | 47 | WWLDW |
| 9 | Santos | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 50:49 | +1 | 47 | LDDWL |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 39:39 | 0 | 44 | DLDWW |
| 11 | Botafogo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46:53 | -7 | 42 | WLLWD |
| 12 | Coritiba | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:51 | -11 | 42 | LWLLD |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 41 | WLWLD |
| 14 |  Mirassol | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 39:48 | -9 | 40 | WLDWL |
| 15 | Vitoria | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 35:51 | -16 | 38 | LLDDL |
| 16 | Internacional | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38:42 | -4 | 38 | WLWLD |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:42 | -6 | 37 | DWLDL |
| 18 | Gremio | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38:47 | -9 | 37 | LWWLD |
| 19 |  Remo | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 37:57 | -20 | 29 | LWLDD |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 33:68 | -35 | 21 | LLWLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 34 | 71:29 | 76 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 34 | 62:23 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 34 | 55:48 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 34 | 55:42 | 57 |
| 5 | Atletico Paranaense | 34 | 51:43 | 54 |
| 6 | Bahia | 34 | 50:45 | 53 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 34 | 44:40 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 44:39 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos | 34 | 50:49 | 47 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 34 | 39:39 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 34 | 46:53 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 34 | 40:51 | 42 |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 33 | 43:50 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 34 | 39:48 | 40 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 34 | 35:51 | 38 |
| 16 | Internacional | 34 | 38:42 | 38 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 34 | 36:42 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio | 34 | 38:47 | 37 |
| 19 | Remo | 34 | 37:57 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 33 | 33:68 | 21 |
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About the Coritiba vs Cruzeiro forecast
The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Coritiba and Cruzeiro in the Serie A table
In the Serie A table, Cruzeiro are 3rd and Coritiba 12th, 18 points apart. League goal record so far: Coritiba 40-51, Cruzeiro 55-48. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.