Coritiba vs Cruzeiro Prediction

Coritiba
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Cruzeiro
Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira, Curitiba· Wagner do Nascimento Magalhaes, Brazil 31/07/2026
CoritibaCoritiba
0-1
Finished
CruzeiroCruzeiro

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
1.49
SignalGOODModel44%RiskMediumGap+9.8%
Coritiba Rest
4 days
Cruzeiro Rest
4 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%3.30
X
26%3.20
2
36%2.25
Double Chance
1X
64%1.62
X2
62%1.32
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.90
No
47%1.82
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.21 + 1.17 = 2.38
Over 1.5
71%1.38
Over 2.5
48%2.20
Over 3.5
26%4.15
Under 1.5
29%2.96
Under 2.5
52%1.65
Under 3.5
74%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.6 + 4.5 = 9.1
Over 8.5
53%1.36
Over 9.5
39%1.65
Over 10.5
29%2.03
Under 8.5
47%2.79
Under 9.5
61%2.10
Under 10.5
71%1.70
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.9 + 2.4 = 5.3
Over 3.5
74%1.28
Over 4.5
57%1.62
Under 3.5
26%3.25
Under 4.5
43%2.20

Match Events

37'Thiago SantosHolding
54'Thiago Santos INTissi out
60'Felipe Morais INKenji out
65'Pedro Rocha INRodrigo Rodrigues out
65'Bruno Melo INFelipe Jonatan out
66'Matheus PereiraAssist: Gerson
69'Gerson INMatheus Henrique out
70'K. Arroyo INMarquinhos out
79'Breno Lopes INKeno out
79'S. Gomez INB. Ocampo out
85'Kaio Jorge INBruno Rodrigues out
86'G. Rojas INL. Villalba out
90+2'Matheus Henrique

Lineups

Coritiba
4-2-3-1Coach: Seabra Fernando
Cruzeiro
4-2-3-1Coach: Jorge Artur
Pedro Morisco1P. MoriscoPedro Morisco
Tinga2TingaTinga
Jacy Maranhão55J. MaranhãoJacy Maranhão
Tiago Cóser23T. CóserTiago Cóser
Bruno Melo26B. MeloBruno Melo
Thiago Santos21T. SantosThiago Santos
Sebastian Gomez19S. GomezSebastian Gomez
Lucas Ronier11L. RonierLucas Ronier
Josué10JosuéJosué
Breno Lopes77B. LopesBreno Lopes
Pedro Rocha32P. RochaPedro Rocha
Otávio Costa81O. CostaOtávio Costa
William Furtado12W. FurtadoWilliam Furtado
Fabrício Bruno15F. BrunoFabrício Bruno
Jonathan Jesus34J. JesusJonathan Jesus
Gabriel Rojas27G. RojasGabriel Rojas
Lucas Romero29L. RomeroLucas Romero
Gerson8GersonGerson
Keny Arroyo99K. ArroyoKeny Arroyo
Matheus Pereira10M. PereiraMatheus Pereira
Felipe Morais38F. MoraisFelipe Morais
Kaio Jorge19K. JorgeKaio Jorge

Coritiba Substitutes

50Vitor Gonçalves TissiM
6Felipe JonatanD
99Rodrigo RodriguesF
17Brian OcampoF
20KenoF
22Pedro RangelG
4Rodrigo MoledoD
3MaiconD
44João Pedro ChermontD
7Joaquín LavegaF
88Fernando SobralM
18Paulo RobertoM

Cruzeiro Substitutes

70Kaique KenjiF
7Matheus HenriqueM
11MarquinhosF
9Bruno RodriguesF
25Lucas VillalbaD
51Vitor LamounierG
2Kauã MoraesD
43João MarceloD
57Rayan LelisF
5Zé LucasM
16Lucas SilvaM
40Rhuan GabrielM

Match Stats

CoritibaCruzeiro
50%Ball Possession50%
4Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards1
19Total Shots20
2Shots on Goal4
9Shots off Goal8
7Shots Inside Box11
12Shots Outside Box9
8Blocked Shots8
13Fouls18
1Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves2
409Total Passes419
336Passes Accurate347
82%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

CoritibaCoritiba
CruzeiroCruzeiro
1652Elo Rating 1752
2.09Attack 1.46
1.04Defense 1.20
36%Hit Rate 23%
16.2Shots per Game 12.6
5.5Shots on Target 4.4
5.5Corners per Game 3.7
2.7Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend27% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

CoritibaCoritiba
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CruzeiroCruzeiro
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Coritiba 50%Draw 34%17% Cruzeiro
1.53Avg Goals
27%BTTS Rate
44%Over 2.5

Recent Form

CoritibaCoritiba
2W1D2L
26/07/2026
RB BragantinoCoritiba
00
D
23/07/2026
CoritibaPalmeiras
13
L
30/05/2026
FlamengoCoritiba
30
L
26/05/2026
CoritibaBahia
32
W
17/05/2026
SantosCoritiba
03
W
CruzeiroCruzeiro
3W1D1L
26/07/2026
CruzeiroBotafogo
01
L
23/07/2026
InternacionalCruzeiro
12
W
12/07/2026
GremioCruzeiro
13
W
04/07/2026
CruzeiroDefensor Sporting
20
W
01/06/2026
CruzeiroFluminense
11
D

Referee Profile

Wagner do Nascimento Magalhaes, Brazil · 6 matches analysed

4.4Avg Yellows
4.6Avg Cards
26.6Avg Fouls
Stricter than 58% of referees analysed

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo27176453:22+3157WWWWL
2PalmeirasPalmeiras27168347:21+2656WDDWL
3Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense27137741:31+1046DLDWD
4BahiaBahia271210542:33+946WWWWD
5FluminenseFluminense27129641:35+645LWDWW
6CruzeiroCruzeiro27126939:39042LWLWW
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG26116935:31+439WLWDW
8CoritibaCoritiba27108937:38-138DLWWD
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino261061032:29+336DLLWD
10SantosSantos2698939:39035WWWDW
11Sao PauloSao Paulo26961131:30+133LWWLD
12VitoriaVitoria27961227:39-1233DWLLW
13CorinthiansCorinthians27881128:29-132LLLLL
14BotafogoBotafogo26881038:41-332DDLLL
15MirassolMirassol27781231:42-1129DWLDD
16GremioGremio26771228:35-728LLWLL
17Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama26771229:41-1228WLWLL
18InternacionalInternacional276101130:35-528WLLDD
19RemoRemo27581431:45-1423LLLLD
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc26381528:52-2417LWLWD
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo2753:2257
2PalmeirasPalmeiras2747:2156
3Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense2741:3146
4BahiaBahia2742:3346
5FluminenseFluminense2741:3545
6CruzeiroCruzeiro2739:3942
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG2635:3139
8CoritibaCoritiba2737:3838
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino2632:2936
10SantosSantos2639:3935
11Sao PauloSao Paulo2631:3033
12VitoriaVitoria2727:3933
13CorinthiansCorinthians2728:2932
14BotafogoBotafogo2638:4132
15MirassolMirassol2731:4229
16GremioGremio2628:3528
17Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama2629:4128
18InternacionalInternacional2730:3528
19RemoRemo2731:4523
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc2628:5217
PromotionRelegation

Coritiba vs Cruzeiro Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Serie A fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Serie A

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Key Factors for This Match

Coritiba and Cruzeiro have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.53 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.