Corinthians vs Cruzeiro Prediction

Corinthians
1-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Cruzeiro
Neo Química Arena, Sao Paulo· Davi de Oliveira Lacerda, Brazil 17/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
75%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.50
SignalGOODModel42%RiskHighGap+10.6%
Corinthians Rest
2 days
Cruzeiro Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.26
X
27%2.98
2
32%3.40
Double Chance
1X
68%1.30
X2
59%1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%2.08
No
48%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.29 + 1.03 = 2.32
Over 1.5
73%1.50
Over 2.5
44%2.56
Over 3.5
22%5.00
Under 1.5
27%2.56
Under 2.5
56%1.50
Under 3.5
78%1.15
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.1 = 9.4
Over 8.5
57%1.47
Over 9.5
45%1.79
Over 10.5
33%2.27
Under 8.5
43%2.46
Under 9.5
55%1.94
Under 10.5
67%1.55
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 3.1 = 5.6
Over 3.5
78%1.13
Over 4.5
64%1.29
Under 3.5
22%5.30
Under 4.5
36%3.00

Match Events

36'Bruno Rodrigues
46'Breno Bidon INJ. Lingard out
52'Felipe MoraisHolding
54'Gabriel Paulista INJoao Pedro out
58'Ze Lucas INGerson out
58'Kaio Jorge INMatheus Pereira out
58'Felipe Morais INK. Arroyo out
58'Gustavo Henrique
67'Jonathan JesusTripping
70'Pedro Raul INGui Negao out
70'Bruno Rodrigues INL. Rodriguez out
71'Kaio Cesar INDieguinho out
79'J. Costa INWanderson out
80'A. Carrillo INM. Pereira out
82'WandersonAssist: L. Rodriguez
90'L. VillalbaHolding
90'L. RodriguezUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+1'R. Garro

Lineups

Corinthians
4-2-3-1Coach: Fernando Diniz
Cruzeiro
4-4-2Coach: Jorge Artur
Hugo Souza1H. SouzaHugo Souza
Matheuzinho2MatheuzinhoMatheuzinho
Gabriel Paulista3G. PaulistaGabriel Paulista
Gustavo Henrique13G. HenriqueGustavo Henrique
Matheus Bidu21M. BiduMatheus Bidu
André Carrillo19A. CarrilloAndré Carrillo
Allan29AllanAllan
Kaio César37K. CésarKaio César
Rodrigo Garro8R. GarroRodrigo Garro
Breno Bidon7B. BidonBreno Bidon
Pedro Raul18P. RaulPedro Raul
Otávio Costa81O. CostaOtávio Costa
Fagner23FagnerFagner
João Marcelo43J. MarceloJoão Marcelo
Jonathan Jesus34J. JesusJonathan Jesus
Lucas Villalba25L. VillalbaLucas Villalba
João Costa67J. CostaJoão Costa
Zé Lucas5Z. LucasZé Lucas
Lucas Romero29L. RomeroLucas Romero
Felipe Morais38F. MoraisFelipe Morais
Bruno Rodrigues9B. RodriguesBruno Rodrigues
Kaio Jorge19K. JorgeKaio Jorge

Corinthians Substitutes

51KauêG
20Pedro MilansD
4João Pedro TchocaD
26Fabrizio AngileriD
55Iago MachadoD
23Matheus PereiraM
14RanieleM
80Alex SantanaM
35CharlesM
61DieguinhoM
77Jesse LingardM
56Gui NegãoF

Cruzeiro Substitutes

51Vitor Lamounier RegoG
15Fabrício BrunoD
2Kauã MoraesD
27Gabriel RojasD
12William FurtadoD
8GersonM
99Keny ArroyoF
11MarquinhosF
10Matheus PereiraM
94WandersonF
16Lucas SilvaM
97Luciano RodríguezF

Match Stats

CorinthiansCruzeiro
53%Ball Possession47%
3Corner Kicks8
1Yellow Cards4
19Total Shots15
6Shots on Goal6
5Shots off Goal3
11Shots Inside Box10
8Shots Outside Box5
8Blocked Shots6
16Fouls13
0Offsides3
4Goalkeeper Saves5
457Total Passes410
393Passes Accurate337
86%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

CorinthiansCorinthians
CruzeiroCruzeiro
1672Elo Rating 1752
0.83Attack 1.46
1.39Defense 1.20
0%Hit Rate 23%
10.4Shots per Game 12.6
2.7Shots on Target 4.4
4.5Corners per Game 3.7
2.5Cards per Game 2.4

Game State Tendencies

CorinthiansCorinthians
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CruzeiroCruzeiro
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Corinthians 19%Draw 41%39% Cruzeiro
1.92Avg Goals
50%BTTS Rate
39%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

Davi de Oliveira Lacerda, Brazil · 34 matches analysed

4.6Avg Yellows
4.8Avg Cards
23.9Avg Fouls
Stricter than 69% of referees analysed

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo27176453:22+3157WWWWL
2PalmeirasPalmeiras27168347:21+2656WDDWL
3Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense27137741:31+1046DLDWD
4BahiaBahia271210542:33+946WWWWD
5FluminenseFluminense27129641:35+645LWDWW
6CruzeiroCruzeiro27126939:39042LWLWW
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG26116935:31+439WLWDW
8CoritibaCoritiba27108937:38-138DLWWD
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino261061032:29+336DLLWD
10SantosSantos2698939:39035WWWDW
11BotafogoBotafogo27981041:43-235WDDLL
12Sao PauloSao Paulo26961131:30+133LWWLD
13VitoriaVitoria27961227:39-1233DWLLW
14CorinthiansCorinthians27881128:29-132LLLLL
15MirassolMirassol27781231:42-1129DWLDD
16GremioGremio27771330:38-828LLLWL
17Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama26771229:41-1228WLWLL
18InternacionalInternacional276101130:35-528WLLDD
19RemoRemo27581431:45-1423LLLLD
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc26381528:52-2417LWLWD
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo2753:2257
2PalmeirasPalmeiras2747:2156
3Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense2741:3146
4BahiaBahia2742:3346
5FluminenseFluminense2741:3545
6CruzeiroCruzeiro2739:3942
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG2635:3139
8CoritibaCoritiba2737:3838
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino2632:2936
10SantosSantos2639:3935
11BotafogoBotafogo2741:4335
12Sao PauloSao Paulo2631:3033
13VitoriaVitoria2727:3933
14CorinthiansCorinthians2728:2932
15MirassolMirassol2731:4229
16GremioGremio2730:3828
17Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama2629:4128
18InternacionalInternacional2730:3528
19RemoRemo2731:4523
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc2628:5217
PromotionRelegation

Corinthians vs Cruzeiro Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Serie A fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Serie A

ScorePredicts covers Brazil football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Corinthians and Cruzeiro have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.92 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.