Derry City vs Waterford Prediction

Derry City
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Waterford
Aviva Stadium, Dublin 08/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.29
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-2.4%
Derry City Rest
8 days
Waterford Rest
8 days

Derry City vs Waterford: the result in context

Derry City beat Waterford 1-0 in the FAI Cup on 8 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 4.2 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 8.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%2.00
X
25%3.42
2
26%3.25
Double Chance
1X
74%1.29
X2
51%1.70
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

50'K. Long
69'D. Burns
75'J. Voilas IND. McMenamy out
77'D. Burns INK. Santos out
80'
85'J. Clarke INL. Boyce out
86'C. Dummigan
89'E. McLaughlin INL. Heeney out
90+2'N. Mawene

Team Comparison

Derry CityDerry City
WaterfordWaterford
1609Elo Rating 1631
1.47Attack 2.53
1.90Defense 1.51
56%Hit Rate 83%
17.3Shots per Game 16.0
5.3Shots on Target 6.1
4.9Corners per Game 4.6
2.3Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Derry CityDerry City
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
WaterfordWaterford
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 1.1 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Derry CityDerry City5Wins · 50%
Draws220%
WaterfordWaterford3Wins · 30%
4.2Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
90%3+ goals9 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier Division14/09/2026
WaterfordDerry City
22
Premier Division03/07/2026
Derry CityWaterford
24
Premier Division15/05/2026
WaterfordDerry City
22
Premier Division27/02/2026
Derry CityWaterford
42
Premier Division17/10/2025
WaterfordDerry City
12
Premier Division04/07/2025
Derry CityWaterford
72
Premier Division25/04/2025
WaterfordDerry City
21
Premier Division28/02/2025
Derry CityWaterford
12
Premier Division23/08/2024
WaterfordDerry City
01
Premier Division03/06/2024
Derry CityWaterford
30

Recent Form

Derry CityDerry City
6W3D1L
30/10/2026
Sligo RoversDerry City
22
D
23/10/2026
Derry CityDundalk
21
W
19/10/2026
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
10
W
16/10/2026
Drogheda UnitedDerry City
20
L
10/10/2026
Galway UnitedDerry City
02
W
18/09/2026
Derry CityGalway United
10
W
14/09/2026
WaterfordDerry City
22
D
11/09/2026
ShelbourneDerry City
01
W
06/09/2026
Derry CityDundalk
42
W
30/08/2026
Derry CityShamrock Rovers
33
D

Bracket

Round of 64
Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Wayside Celtic3
St Mochta's4
Liffeys Wanderers1
Ringmahon Rangers1
Awarded
St. Michaels10
Janesboro12
After extra time
Fairview Rangers0
Tolka Rovers3
Castlebar Celtic3
North End United0
Douglas Hall1
Fanad United0
Lucan United23
UCC20
After extra time
Baldoyle United2
Leicester Celtic0
College Corinthians2
Killester Donnycarney1
Crumlin United4
Salthill Devon0
Athlone Town
Seeded
Midleton
Seeded
Drogheda United
Seeded
Finn Harps
Seeded
Bray Wanderers
Seeded
Galway United
Seeded
Kerry
Seeded
Shelbourne
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
Cork City
Seeded
Dundalk
Seeded
St Patrick's Athl.
Seeded
Wexford
Seeded
Treaty United
Seeded
UCD
Seeded
Waterford
Seeded
Cobh Ramblers
Seeded
Bangor Celtic
Seeded
Sligo Rovers
Seeded
Longford Town
Seeded
Bohemians
Seeded
Derry City
Seeded
Athlone Town3
Midleton0
Drogheda United4
Lucan United0
Finn Harps0
Bray Wanderers1
Galway United4
Crumlin United0
Kerry26
Shelbourne25
On penalties
Shamrock Rovers13
Cork City10
After extra time
St Mochta's1
Dundalk3
St Patrick's Athl.2
Wexford1
Treaty United1
UCD2
Waterford2
Cobh Ramblers1
Bangor Celtic4
College Corinthians5
Douglas Hall0
Castlebar Celtic1
Janesboro0
Sligo Rovers4
Baldoyle United0
Longford Town8
Ringmahon Rangers0
Bohemians0
Awarded
Derry City3
Tolka Rovers0
Galway United15
Bray Wanderers13
On penalties
UCD1
Derry City2
Waterford2
Athlone Town1
College Corinthians0
Drogheda United3
Dundalk8
Castlebar Celtic0
Sligo Rovers4
Kerry0
St Patrick's Athl.21
Shamrock Rovers20
After extra time
Bohemians4
Longford Town0
Waterford3
Sligo Rovers0
Drogheda United1
Galway United2
St Patrick's Athl.07
Bohemians08
On penalties
Derry City4
Dundalk2
Bohemians0
Waterford2
Galway United0
Derry City2

About the Derry City vs Waterford forecast

As a knockout tie in the FAI Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

About FAI Cup

More FAI Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the FAI Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.2 out of 10 by our context model. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.