Waterford vs Derry City Prediction

Waterford
2-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Derry City
Regional Sports Centre, Waterford 14/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.53
SignalHIGHModel67%RiskMediumGap+5.0%
Waterford Rest
3 days
Derry City Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.65
X
28%3.50
2
34%2.40
Double Chance
1X
66%1.53
X2
62%1.42
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.57
No
50%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.24 + 0.97 = 2.21
Over 1.5
63%1.20
Over 2.5
39%1.72
Over 3.5
24%2.75
Under 1.5
37%4.00
Under 2.5
61%2.08
Under 3.5
76%1.40
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

9'Adam O'ReillyAssist: James Clarke
11'Adam O'ReillyFoul
45'James ClarkeFoul
45'Evan McLaughlin
51'Michael DuffyAssist: Brandon·Fleming
57'Padraig AmondAssist: Bernardo Piexoto Couto
64'Liam BoyceFoul
64'Evan McLaughlin INSam Glenfield out
64'Noah Mawene INLuke Heeney out
64'C.Noonan INDean Mcmenamy out
73'Sam GlenfieldFoul
73'James Clarke INEllis Chapman out
74'Darragh BurnsFoul
76'Darragh Burns INKévin Santos out
88'Mark Gerard ConnollyDissent
88'Ciaran GroganNot retreating

Lineups

Waterford
4-4-2Coach: G. Coughlan
Derry City
3-4-3Coach: Mark Connolly
S. McMullan1S. McMullanS. McMullan
H. Cann16H. CannH. Cann
J. Mahon5J. MahonJ. Mahon
K. Long13K. LongK. Long
Benny Couto3B. CoutoBenny Couto
J. Voilås20J. VoilåsJ. Voilås
E. McLaughlin8E. McLaughlinE. McLaughlin
N. Mawene7N. MaweneN. Mawene
C. Noonan10C. NoonanC. Noonan
T. Lonergan18T. LonerganT. Lonergan
P. Amond9P. AmondP. Amond
Tom Norcott13T. NorcottTom Norcott
C. Dummigan23C. DummiganC. Dummigan
J. Stott4J. StottJ. Stott
Patrick McClean3P. McCleanPatrick McClean
D. Burns12D. BurnsD. Burns
N. Twisk17N. TwiskN. Twisk
A. O'Reilly8A. O'ReillyA. O'Reilly
B. Fleming19B. FlemingB. Fleming
L. Boyce27L. BoyceL. Boyce
M. Duffy7M. DuffyM. Duffy
J. Clarke15J. ClarkeJ. Clarke

Waterford Substitutes

27D. McMenamyM
56A. BrennanD
6J. AshtonD
32G. AmeduD
21Arlo Ricky Hugh DohertyG
19S. GlenfieldM
15L. HeeneyM
17J. FariaM
12B. McKenzieD

Derry City Substitutes

22C. BarrD
14E. ChapmanM
25Christy GroganD
24Brooklyn Lyons-FosterD
1B. MaherG
21Kévin SantosM
29T. SmithF
28J. OlayinkaM
11G. WhyteM

Match Stats

WaterfordDerry City
39%Ball Possession61%
7Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards5
16Total Shots14
6Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal3
9Shots Inside Box7
6Shots Outside Box7
4Blocked Shots9
17Fouls12
0Offsides2
0Goalkeeper Saves4
238Total Passes382
130Passes Accurate293
12Free Kicks16

Team Comparison

WaterfordWaterford
Derry CityDerry City
1576Elo Rating 1603
1.97Attack 2.01
1.54Defense 1.79
31%Hit Rate 63%
15.0Shots per Game 13.8
5.2Shots on Target 4.1
8.0Corners per Game 4.3
2.2Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

WaterfordWaterford
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Derry CityDerry City
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.8 in second half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Waterford 27%Draw 23%50% Derry City
5.47Avg Goals
100%BTTS Rate
100%Over 2.5

Recent Form

WaterfordWaterford
3W2D0L
Derry CityDerry City
3W1D1L
11/09/2026
ShelbourneDerry City
01
W
06/09/2026
Derry CityDundalk
42
W
30/08/2026
Derry CityShamrock Rovers
33
D
21/08/2026
BohemiansDerry City
53
L
14/08/2026
UCDDerry City
12
W

League Table

Premier Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers31178649:31+1859WLDDW
2St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.31168751:25+2656WWLWW
3BohemiansBohemians31168755:37+1856WWWWL
4Derry CityDerry City32914945:42+341WDWDL
5DundalkDundalk3210111149:53-441LLDWL
6ShelbourneShelbourne319121041:44-339WLLDD
7Galway UnitedGalway United319101241:47-637LWLDW
8WaterfordWaterford327131244:54-1034LDDWD
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United328101438:51-1334LWWLL
10Sligo RoversSligo Rovers31581824:53-2923LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers3149:3159
2St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.3151:2556
3BohemiansBohemians3155:3756
4Derry CityDerry City3245:4241
5DundalkDundalk3249:5341
6ShelbourneShelbourne3141:4439
7Galway UnitedGalway United3141:4737
8WaterfordWaterford3244:5434
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United3238:5134
10Sligo RoversSligo Rovers3124:5323
Relegation

Waterford vs Derry City Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Premier Division fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Premier Division

ScorePredicts covers Ireland football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Derry City have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Waterford and Derry City have met 5 times recently, averaging 5.47 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.