Waterford vs Drogheda United Prediction

Waterford
3-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Drogheda United
Waterford Regional Sports Centre, Waterford 23/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.18
SignalHIGHModel52%SurpriseMediumGap-8.5%
Waterford Rest
4 days
Drogheda United Rest
7 days

Waterford vs Drogheda United: result, form and history

Waterford beat Drogheda United 3-1 in the Premier Division on 23 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Waterford tend to win more corners, 6.2 a game to 3.1 for Drogheda United.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
54%1.70
X
26%3.75
2
20%4.50
Double Chance
1X
80%1.18
X2
46%2.06
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.70
No
46%2.04
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.59 + 0.98 = 2.57
Over 1.5
75%1.22
Over 2.5
52%1.75
Over 3.5
31%2.88
Under 1.5
25%3.90
Under 2.5
48%2.01
Under 3.5
69%1.36
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

24'Leo BurneyAssist: Conor Kane
42'Warren Davis INMark Doyle out
43'H. CannAssist: Bernardo Piexoto Couto
67'C.NoonanAssist: Tom Lonergan
71'ethan brien o INAlfie Bates out
71'Shane Farrell INKeegan Ancelin out
79'Leo Burney INRyan Markey out
83'Padraig AmondAssist: Evan McLaughlin
86'C.Noonan INDean Mcmenamy out
86'Evan McLaughlin INLuke Heeney out
88'Luke HeeneyArgument
90+2'Conor KeeleyDissent

Lineups

Waterford
4-4-2Coach: G. Coughlan
Drogheda United
3-5-2Coach: K. Doherty
Avg rating6.79
Avg rating6.13
S. McMullan5.91S. McMullan
H. Cann6.716H. Cann
J. Mahon6.55J. Mahon
K. Long6.513K. Long
Benny Couto6.63B. Couto
J. Houston2J. Houston
N. Mawene6.67N. Mawene
E. McLaughlin7.18E. McLaughlin
C. Noonan8.210C. Noonan
P. Amond8.29P. Amond
T. Lonergan7.718T. Lonergan
Fynn Michael Cordell Talley5.844F. Michael Cordell Talley
A. Quinn6.44A. Quinn
C. Keeley5.322C. Keeley
Leo Burney6.85L. Burney
E. Agbaje6.02E. Agbaje
Ethan O'Brien5.38E. O'Brien
B. Kavanagh6.310B. Kavanagh
S. Farrell5.917S. Farrell
C. Kane6.33C. Kane
W. Davis6.124W. Davis
T. Oluwa6.511T. Oluwa

Waterford Substitutes

32G. Amedu
6J. Ashton
11T. Coyle
21Arlo Ricky Hugh Doherty
17J. Faria
15L. Heeney86'for Evan McLaughlin88'6.1
27D. McMenamy86'for C.Noonan6.2
20J. Voilås6.1
12B. McKenzie
50Noah O'Brien

Drogheda United Substitutes

14M. Doyle42'for Warren Davis6.1
36theo hennessy
31K. Cruise
18J. Bolger
15A. Bates71'for ethan brien o5.8
25R. Markey79'for Leo Burney6.7
9K. Ancelin71'for Shane Farrell6.6
6J. Godden
32D. Mare

Match Stats

WaterfordDrogheda United
59%Ball Possession41%
7Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards1
18Total Shots11
7Shots on Goal2
7Shots off Goal6
14Shots Inside Box7
4Shots Outside Box4
4Blocked Shots3
8Fouls5
4Offsides4
1Goalkeeper Saves3
369Total Passes261
246Passes Accurate150
5Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

WaterfordWaterford
Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United
1614Elo Rating 1509
2.30Attack 1.37
1.46Defense 1.13
66%Hit Rate 37%
15.1Shots per Game 8.9
5.8Shots on Target 2.6
6.2Corners per Game 3.1
1.5Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+106 Elo
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

WaterfordWaterford
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

WaterfordWaterford3Wins · 30%
Draws440%
Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United3Wins · 30%
2.7Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier Division29/05/2026
Drogheda UnitedWaterford
33
Premier Division18/05/2026
WaterfordDrogheda United
21
Premier Division13/02/2026
Drogheda UnitedWaterford
20
Premier Division05/10/2025
WaterfordDrogheda United
20
Premier Division08/08/2025
Drogheda UnitedWaterford
00
Premier Division30/05/2025
WaterfordDrogheda United
22
Premier Division04/04/2025
Drogheda UnitedWaterford
20
Premier Division11/10/2024
WaterfordDrogheda United
00
Premier Division26/07/2024
Drogheda UnitedWaterford
20
Premier Division23/05/2024
WaterfordDrogheda United
42

Recent Form

WaterfordWaterford
5W3D2L
19/10/2026
WaterfordGalway United
32
W
16/10/2026
BohemiansWaterford
21
L
09/10/2026
BohemiansWaterford
02
W
18/09/2026
Shamrock RoversWaterford
32
L
14/09/2026
WaterfordDerry City
22
D
11/09/2026
WaterfordDundalk
11
D
04/09/2026
WaterfordSligo Rovers
30
W
28/08/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
02
W
21/08/2026
Sligo RoversWaterford
00
D
14/08/2026
WaterfordAthlone Town
21
W
Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United
5W0D5L
16/10/2026
Drogheda UnitedDerry City
20
W
08/10/2026
Shamrock RoversDrogheda United
31
L
01/10/2026
TrabzonsporDrogheda United
01
W
18/09/2026
BohemiansDrogheda United
21
L
14/09/2026
ShelbourneDrogheda United
12
W
11/09/2026
Drogheda UnitedSligo Rovers
20
W
04/09/2026
Drogheda UnitedGalway United
12
L
28/08/2026
Drogheda UnitedDundalk
23
L
21/08/2026
Drogheda UnitedSt Patrick's Athl.
02
L
15/08/2026
College CorinthiansDrogheda United
03
W

League Table

Premier Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers35208758:35+2368WLWWW
2BohemiansBohemians35188960:42+1862LWLWW
3St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.35179953:28+2560DLLWW
4ShelbourneShelbourne3512131050:47+349WWWDW
5Derry CityDerry City3511141048:45+347WWLWD
6Galway UnitedGalway United3510121346:51-542DLWDL
7DundalkDundalk3510121352:58-642LDLLL
8WaterfordWaterford359131351:59-840WWLLD
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United359101642:57-1537LWLLW
10Sligo RoversSligo Rovers35592126:64-3824LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers3558:3568
2BohemiansBohemians3560:4262
3St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.3553:2860
4ShelbourneShelbourne3550:4749
5Derry CityDerry City3548:4547
6Galway UnitedGalway United3546:5142
7DundalkDundalk3552:5842
8WaterfordWaterford3551:5940
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United3542:5737
10Sligo RoversSligo Rovers3526:6424
Relegation

About the Waterford vs Drogheda United forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Waterford and Drogheda United in the Premier Division table

Waterford and Drogheda United are close in the Premier Division table, 8th and 9th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Waterford 51-59, Drogheda United 42-57. The full standings are on the Premier Division Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.