Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction
World · League Stage - 3
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.49
SignalGOODModel74%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Value Analysis
70%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.49
SignalGOODModel70%SurpriseMediumGap+5.0%
Dinamo Zagreb Rest
4 days
NEC Nijmegen Rest
3 days
Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen: the result in context
NEC Nijmegen beat Dinamo Zagreb 4-2 in the UEFA Europa League on 22 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Dinamo Zagreb had won 4 of their previous five, compared with none for NEC Nijmegen.
NEC Nijmegen tend to win more corners, 6.6 a game to 4.4 for Dinamo Zagreb.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
170%1.49
X16%4.76
214%6.28
Double Chance
1X86%1.14
X230%2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes56%1.63
No44%2.17
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.91 + 1.11 = 3.02
Over 1.581%1.15
Over 2.562%1.52
Over 3.541%2.30
Under 1.519%5.00
Under 2.538%2.50
Under 3.559%1.62
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 3.4 = 8.7
Over 8.549%1.50
Over 9.538%1.89
Over 10.528%2.41
Under 8.551%2.38
Under 9.562%1.86
Under 10.572%1.51
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.1 = 3.9
Over 3.554%1.80
Over 4.535%2.63
Under 3.546%1.91
Under 4.565%1.45
Match Events
23'Dion Drena BeljoFoul
25'Clement BischoffAssist: Noe Lebreton
33'Dion Drena BeljoAssist: Matteo Perez Vinlöf
36'Goal cancelledLuka Ivanušec
37'Dion Drena Beljo
44'Noe LebretonFoul
45'Bryan LinssenAssist: Clement Bischoff
54'Bryan LinssenAssist: Darko Nejašmić
59'Iker Almena Horcajo INDani Rodríguez out
67'Arber Hoxha INMislav Oršić out
67'Niko Galesic INMoris Valincic out
76'Dennis Geiger INJamiro Monteiro out
76'Matteo Perez Vinlöf INBruno Goda out
76'Luka Ivanušec INLukas Kacavenda out
80'Tjaronn Chery
81'Deveron Fonville INKevin Kers out
81'Perr Schuurs INGabriel·Bras out
90'Tjaronn Chery INWillum Thor Willumsson out
90'Bryan Linssen INKaj Sierhuis out
90+2'Clement BischoffFoul
Lineups
Dinamo ZagrebNEC Nijmegen
3-4-2-1Coach: Dick SchreuderAvg ratingAvg rating
24D. Kotarski
15N. Galešić
36S. Domínguez
26S. McKenna
22O. Matteo Perez Vinlöf
27J. Mišić
23I. Almena
10L. Stojković
17L. Ivanušec
11A. Hoxha
9D. Beljo
1G. Crettaz
4P. Schuurs
22A. Kaplan
24D. Fonville
21T. Storm
6D. Nejašmić
18D. Geiger
99C. Bischoff
9T. Chery
20N. Lebreton
30B. LinssenDinamo Zagreb Substitutes
6S. Radeljić
3B. Goda76'for Matteo Perez Vinlöf
7Dani Rodríguez59'for Iker Almena Horcajo
25M. Valinčić67'for Niko Galesic
80L. Kačavenda76'for Luka Ivanušec
14S. Prevljak
99M. Oršić67'for Arber Hoxha
1D. Zagorac
21M. Lisica
8M. Zajc
5K. Kravtsov
44I. Filipović
NEC Nijmegen Substitutes
11W. Willumsson90'for Tjaronn Chery
14K. Sierhuis90'for Bryan Linssen
12N. Polster
34Kevin Kers81'for Deveron Fonville
66Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar
38Joep Geneste
73Gabriel Brás81'for Perr Schuurs
35Jamiro Monteiro76'for Dennis Geiger
Match Stats
Dinamo ZagrebNEC Nijmegen 58%Ball Possession42%
5Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards2
16Total Shots15
10Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal5
11Shots Inside Box11
5Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots5
11Fouls18
1Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves7
516Total Passes361
436Passes Accurate285
17Free Kicks11
Team Comparison
Dinamo ZagrebNEC Nijmegen1791Elo Rating 1671
2.86Attack 1.13
2.06Defense 1.17
81%Hit Rate 0%
16.5Shots per Game 16.5
5.4Shots on Target 5.6
4.4Corners per Game 6.6
1.4Cards per Game 0.8
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+120 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.01 goals
📈BTTS Trend
💎Value Analysis Identified
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Dinamo Zagreb- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 1.2 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
NEC Nijmegen- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Recent Form
Dinamo Zagreb6W2D2L
18/10/2026
NK Slaven BelupoDinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb
AnderlechtDinamo Zagreb
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Hapoel Beer ShevaDinamo Zagreb
NK OsijekDinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb
HNK Gorica
NK Slaven BelupoDinamo Zagreb15
W15/10/2026Dinamo ZagrebAnderlecht10
W10/10/2026
HNK Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb
HNK Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb21
L04/10/2026
VukovarDinamo Zagreb
20/09/2026VukovarDinamo Zagreb04
WDinamo ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb32
W16/09/2026Hapoel Beer ShevaDinamo Zagreb00
D12/09/2026NK OsijekDinamo Zagreb42
L09/09/2026
Bedem IvankovoDinamo Zagreb
05/09/2026Bedem IvankovoDinamo Zagreb04
WDinamo ZagrebHNK Gorica10
W29/08/2026
Istra 1961Dinamo Zagreb
Istra 1961Dinamo Zagreb22
DNEC Nijmegen1W5D4L
18/10/2026NEC Nijmegen
Fortuna SittardNEC Nijmegen
Levski Sofia
AjaxNEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen
GO Ahead Eagles
JuventusNEC Nijmegen
CambuurNEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen
ExcelsiorNEC Nijmegen
Feyenoord
PEC ZwolleNEC Nijmegen
Bodo/GlimtNEC Nijmegen
NEC NijmegenFortuna Sittard22
D15/10/2026NEC NijmegenLevski Sofia11
D10/10/2026AjaxNEC Nijmegen11
D20/09/2026NEC NijmegenGO Ahead Eagles11
D17/09/2026JuventusNEC Nijmegen50
L12/09/2026CambuurNEC Nijmegen30
L08/09/2026NEC NijmegenExcelsior22
D05/09/2026NEC NijmegenFeyenoord13
L29/08/2026PEC ZwolleNEC Nijmegen13
W25/08/2026Bodo/GlimtNEC Nijmegen30
LReferee Profile
4.19Cards per match
3.97Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
23.5Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.19 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.37).
Cards come from 31 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | +8 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | +8 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | +7 | 9 | WWW |
| 4 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | +6 | 9 | WWW |
| 5 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | +3 | 9 | WWW |
| 6 |  Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:1 | +7 | 7 | WDW |
| 7 | Juventus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | +6 | 7 | DWW |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:5 | +4 | 7 | DWW |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 7 | DWW |
| 10 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 | WWL |
| 11 |  Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | +1 | 6 | LWW |
| 12 |  Lyon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 | LWW |
| 13 |  Rennes | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | +1 | 5 | DWD |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | +5 | 4 | WDL |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 4 | DLW |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | +2 | 4 | LDW |
| 17 | Levski Sofia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 | WDL |
| 18 | Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 | LWD |
| 19 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 4 | WLD |
| 20 | NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 | WDL |
| 21 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 | DLW |
| 22 | Anderlecht | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | +1 | 3 | WLL |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 | WLL |
| 24 |  AC Milan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 | LWL |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 | WLL |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 27 |  Jagiellonia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 | LWL |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 | LLW |
| 29 |  Celje | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 | DLL |
| 30 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 | LLD |
| 31 |  Lillestrom | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:9 | -7 | 1 | LDL |
| 32 |  Lech Poznan | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:9 | -8 | 1 | DLL |
| 33 |  Plzen | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| 34 |  Marseille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:11 | -9 | 0 | LLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica | 3 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 3 | Bournemouth | 3 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 4 | Ferencvarosi TC | 3 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 5 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 4:1 | 9 |
| 6 | Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 7 | Juventus | 3 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 8 | Beşiktaş | 3 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 | Sunderland | 3 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 10 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 11 | Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 12 | Lyon | 3 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 13 | Rennes | 3 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 14 | Real Sociedad | 3 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 3 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 | Sparta Praha | 3 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 17 | Levski Sofia | 3 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 18 | Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 19 | Sturm Graz | 3 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 20 | NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 21 | Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 22 | Anderlecht | 3 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 23 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 24 | AC Milan | 3 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 25 | Celta Vigo | 3 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 26 | OFI | 3 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 27 | Jagiellonia | 3 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 | Torreense | 3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 | Celje | 3 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 30 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 31 | Lillestrom | 3 | 2:9 | 1 |
| 32 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 1:9 | 1 |
| 33 | Plzen | 3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 34 | Marseille | 3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 35 | Celtic | 3 | 3:9 | 0 |
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 2:11 | 0 |
Europa League
Bracket
Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Kairat Almaty
Mjallby AIF
TrabzonsporLillestromArarat-Armenia
Kauno Žalgiris
St. Truiden
FK Crvena ZvezdaPlzenOFI
Aarhus
Larne
Saburtalo
Shamrock Rovers
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Gornik Zabrze
KuPS
Universitatea CraiovaJagiellonia
RangersLech Poznan
KI Klaksvik
Lincoln Red Imps FCOmonia NicosiaRed Bull Salzburg
FC Thun
Vikingur Reykjavik
Heart Of Midlothian
Tromso
Hradec Králové
PAOK
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Hammarby FFAnderlecht
FC ST. GallenBenfica
TwenteBeşiktaş
FC Midtjylland
PafosKairat AlmatyMjallby AIFTrabzonsporLillestromArarat-ArmeniaKauno ŽalgirisSt. TruidenFK Crvena ZvezdaPlzenOFIAarhusLarneSaburtaloShamrock RoversEgnatia RrogozhinëGornik ZabrzeKuPSUniversitatea CraiovaJagielloniaRangersLech PoznanKI KlaksvikLincoln Red Imps FCOmonia NicosiaRed Bull SalzburgFC ThunVikingur ReykjavikHeart Of MidlothianKairat AlmatyMjallby AIFTrabzonsporLillestromArarat-ArmeniaKauno ŽalgirisSt. TruidenFK Crvena ZvezdaPlzenOFIAarhusKairat AlmatyMjallby AIFTrabzonsporLillestromArarat-ArmeniaKauno ŽalgirisSt. TruidenFK Crvena ZvezdaPlzenOFIAarhusLarneSaburtaloShamrock RoversEgnatia RrogozhinëGornik ZabrzeKuPSUniversitatea CraiovaJagielloniaRangersLech PoznanKI KlaksvikLincoln Red Imps FCOmonia NicosiaRed Bull SalzburgFC ThunVikingur ReykjavikHeart Of MidlothianTromsoHradec KrálovéPAOKMaccabi Tel AvivHammarby FFAnderlechtFC ST. GallenBenficaTwenteBeşiktaşFC MidtjyllandPafosExplore more predictions
This match
About the Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen forecast
This is a UEFA Europa League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Dinamo Zagreb and NEC Nijmegen in the UEFA Europa League table
In the UEFA Europa League table, Dinamo Zagreb (18th) and NEC Nijmegen (20th) are level on 4 points. League goal record so far: Dinamo Zagreb 3-4, NEC Nijmegen 5-8. The full standings are on the UEFA Europa League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Dinamo Zagreb have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Dinamo Zagreb and NEC Nijmegen have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.