NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord Prediction
Netherlands · Regular Season - 5
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 5.5
1.58
SignalGOODModel41%SurpriseMediumGap+12.3%
NEC Nijmegen Rest
6 days
Feyenoord Rest
6 days
NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord: the result in context
Feyenoord beat NEC Nijmegen 3-1 in the Eredivisie on 5 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 7 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
146%2.77
X23%4.00
231%2.22
Double Chance
1X69%1.67
X254%1.42
Both Teams to Score
Yes59%1.32
No41%3.17
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.46 + 1.45 = 2.91
Over 1.584%1.08
Over 2.560%1.33
Over 3.536%1.87
Under 1.516%7.00
Under 2.540%3.19
Under 3.564%1.93
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4.4 = 9.5
Over 8.553%1.34
Over 9.540%1.60
Over 10.531%2.01
Under 8.547%2.84
Under 9.560%2.16
Under 10.569%1.70
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 1.7 = 3.6
Over 3.549%2.20
Over 4.529%3.23
Under 3.551%1.60
Under 4.571%1.26
Match Events
45+3'Noé LebretonArgument
45+3'Gjivai ZechiëlArgument
50'Oussama TarghallineFoul
52'G. ZechielAssist: Nacho
55'D. Nejasmic
59'Nacho INS. van Persie out
59'G. Diarra INJ. Schaken out
61'L. ValenteAssist: G. Zechiel
64'J. SchakenAssist: G. Zechiel
72'A. Kabar ING. Bras out
72'K. Sierhuis IND. Geiger out
72'C. Bischoff INA. Thomas out
80'B. Nuytinck INP. Schuurs out
80'D. Tadic INA. Tahaui out
80'G. Read INM. Deijl out
80'G. Zechiel INT. van den Elshout out
85'O. Targhalline INT. Kraaijeveld out
Lineups
NEC NijmegenFeyenoord
4-3-3Coach: Giovanni van BronckhorstAvg ratingAvg rating
1G. Crettaz
21T. Storm
17B. Nuytinck
66A. Kabar
10D. Tadic
6D. Nejasmic
20N. Lebreton
99C. Bischoff
C9T. Chery
14K. Sierhuis
30B. Linssen
1T. Ernst
26G. Read
4T. Watanabe
6J. St. Juste
35M. Marmol
28O. Targhalline
8G. Zechiel
34C. Vanhoutte
27G. Diarra
19Nacho
C10L. ValenteNEC Nijmegen Substitutes
12N. Polster
38J. Geneste
73G. Bras72'for A. Kabar
4P. Schuurs80'for B. Nuytinck
35J. Monteiro
8I. Hansen-Aaroen
18D. Geiger72'for K. Sierhuis
11W. T. Willumsson
19A. Tahaui80'for D. Tadic
77A. Thomas72'for C. Bischoff
34K. Kers
Feyenoord Substitutes
39L. Bossin
33F. Kastenmeier
20M. Deijl80'for G. Read
16J. Lopez
32T. Wessels
24T. Kraaijeveld85'for O. Targhalline
14S. Steijn
22T. van den Elshout80'for G. Zechiel
11G. Borges
36J. Zinhagel
49S. van Persie59'for Nacho
57J. Schaken59'for G. Diarra64'
Match Stats
NEC NijmegenFeyenoord 63%Ball Possession37%
1Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards2
12Total Shots11
2Shots on Goal6
7Shots off Goal3
5Shots Inside Box7
7Shots Outside Box4
3Blocked Shots2
9Fouls15
2Offsides4
2Goalkeeper Saves1
534Total Passes323
439Passes Accurate246
82%Pass Accuracy76%
Team Comparison
NEC NijmegenFeyenoord1718Elo Rating 1823
2.14Attack 0.99
1.50Defense 1.18
44%Hit Rate 14%
19.9Shots per Game 13.9
6.2Shots on Target 5.5
7.3Corners per Game 5.5
1.3Cards per Game 1.7
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.91 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
NEC Nijmegen- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Feyenoord- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
NEC Nijmegen1Wins · 10%Draws660%
Feyenoord3Wins · 30%
3Wins · 30%2.8Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10
Previous meetings
12/04/2026NEC NijmegenFeyenoord11
23/11/2025FeyenoordNEC Nijmegen24
01/03/2025FeyenoordNEC Nijmegen00
28/09/2024NEC NijmegenFeyenoord11
12/05/2024NEC NijmegenFeyenoord23
21/04/2024FeyenoordNEC Nijmegen10
14/01/2024FeyenoordNEC Nijmegen22
08/02/2023FeyenoordNEC Nijmegen5232
25/01/2023FeyenoordNEC Nijmegen20
02/10/2022NEC NijmegenFeyenoord11
Recent Form
NEC Nijmegen4W1D5L
29/08/2026
PEC ZwolleNEC Nijmegen
Bodo/GlimtNEC Nijmegen
Willem IINEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen
Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos PiraeusNEC Nijmegen
PEC ZwolleNEC Nijmegen13
W25/08/2026Bodo/GlimtNEC Nijmegen30
L19/08/2026NEC NijmegenBodo/Glimt
15/08/2026NEC NijmegenBodo/Glimt13
LWillem IINEC Nijmegen14
W11/08/2026NEC NijmegenOlympiakos Piraeus2111
W08/08/2026NEC Nijmegen
Telstar
04/08/2026NEC NijmegenTelstar12
LOlympiakos PiraeusNEC Nijmegen00
D31/07/2026NEC Nijmegen
Sevilla
NEC NijmegenSevilla12
L25/07/2026NEC Nijmegen
SV Elversberg
NEC NijmegenSV Elversberg01
L18/07/2026NEC Nijmegen
Al-Fayha
NEC NijmegenAl-Fayha70
WFeyenoord8W2D0L
30/08/2026Feyenoord
ADO Den Haag
Sparta RotterdamFeyenoord
FeyenoordADO Den Haag22
D23/08/2026
CambuurFeyenoord
CambuurFeyenoord25
W16/08/2026Feyenoord
GO Ahead Eagles
09/08/2026FeyenoordGO Ahead Eagles22
DSparta RotterdamFeyenoord01
W02/08/2026Feyenoord
Atalanta
FeyenoordAtalanta21
W26/07/2026Feyenoord
Rayo Vallecano
FeyenoordRayo Vallecano21
W17/07/2026Feyenoord
Charleroi
FeyenoordCharleroi31
W11/07/2026Feyenoord
Club Brugge KV
FeyenoordClub Brugge KV31
W04/07/2026
DordrechtFeyenoord
DordrechtFeyenoord06
W17/05/2026PEC ZwolleFeyenoord
PEC ZwolleFeyenoord02
WReferee Profile
3.24Cards per match
3.08Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
21.4Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
3.24 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.38).
Cards come from 211 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 40:15 | +25 | 26 | WWDLW |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 36:17 | +19 | 25 | LDDWW |
| 3 |  Ajax | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 32:15 | +17 | 25 | DWWWD |
| 4 |  Twente | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 30:12 | +18 | 24 | DWWLD |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 24:16 | +8 | 23 | WLLDL |
| 6 |  Heerenveen | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 24:16 | +8 | 21 | WWWWL |
| 7 |  Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:20 | 0 | 20 | DDWDD |
| 8 | GO Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 24:27 | -3 | 17 | WLWLD |
| 9 |  Groningen | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 29:28 | +1 | 15 | LLDLW |
| 10 | Cambuur | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 25:27 | -2 | 15 | LWWDW |
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 14 | WLDDD |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 21:29 | -8 | 12 | LWLWD |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:24 | -11 | 12 | DWDWL |
| 14 |  Utrecht | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 21:34 | -13 | 12 | LLDWW |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16:29 | -13 | 11 | LLLLL |
| 16 | Telstar | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 18:25 | -7 | 10 | DWLLD |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16:25 | -9 | 9 | WLLWD |
| 18 | Willem II | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11:40 | -29 | 3 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV Eindhoven | 12 | 40:15 | 26 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 12 | 36:17 | 25 |
| 3 | Ajax | 12 | 32:15 | 25 |
| 4 | Twente | 12 | 30:12 | 24 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 12 | 24:16 | 23 |
| 6 | Heerenveen | 12 | 24:16 | 21 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 20:20 | 20 |
| 8 | GO Ahead Eagles | 12 | 24:27 | 17 |
| 9 | Groningen | 12 | 29:28 | 15 |
| 10 | Cambuur | 12 | 25:27 | 15 |
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 12 | 20:21 | 14 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 21:29 | 12 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 13:24 | 12 |
| 14 | Utrecht | 12 | 21:34 | 12 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 12 | 16:29 | 11 |
| 16 | Telstar | 12 | 18:25 | 10 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | 16:25 | 9 |
| 18 | Willem II | 12 | 11:40 | 3 |
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About the NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord forecast
The forecasts for this Eredivisie match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
NEC Nijmegen and Feyenoord in the Eredivisie table
In the Eredivisie table, Feyenoord are 2nd and NEC Nijmegen 11th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: NEC Nijmegen 20-21, Feyenoord 36-17. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.