NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior Prediction

NEC Nijmegen
2-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Excelsior
Stadion de Goffert, Nijmegen· E. Blank 08/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
78%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.35
SignalHIGHModel78%RiskMediumGap+7.7%
NEC Nijmegen Rest
3 days
Excelsior Rest
2 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
58%1.61
X
24%4.20
2
18%4.85
Double Chance
1X
82%1.18
X2
43%2.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.50
No
45%2.45
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.8 + 1.02 = 2.82
Over 1.5
83%1.13
Over 2.5
60%1.44
Over 3.5
35%2.15
Under 1.5
17%5.50
Under 2.5
40%2.63
Under 3.5
65%1.69
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.4 = 9.8
Over 8.5
65%1.30
Over 9.5
54%1.54
Over 10.5
43%1.91
Under 8.5
35%3.00
Under 9.5
46%2.27
Under 10.5
57%1.80
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 1.9 = 3.2
Over 3.5
40%2.30
Over 4.5
22%3.00
Under 3.5
60%1.50
Under 4.5
78%1.35

Match Events

4'Jamiro MonteiroFoul
10'Adam TahauiAssist: Willum Thor Willumsson
43'David GardenAssist: Irakli Yegoian
45'Jamiro Monteiro INPerr Schuurs out
45'Bram Nuytinck INPhilippe Sandler out
45'Simon Janssen INKasey Bos out
52'Lennard HartjesFoul
63'Dennis Geiger INNoe Lebreton out
63'Isak Hansen Aaröen INKevin Kers out
67'David Garden INNesto groen out
67'Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson INAymen sliti out
70'Rick MeissenFoul
71'Eric da Silva Moreira INValentin Sulzbacher out
73'Valentin SulzbacherAssist: Aymen sliti
81'Ilano Silva Timas INAlireza Jahanbakhsh out
87'Gabriel·Bras INClement Bischoff out
90+2'Noe LebretonAssist: Perr Schuurs
90+5'Valentin SulzbacherFoul

Lineups

NEC Nijmegen
3-4-2-1Coach: Dick Schreuder
Excelsior
3-4-3Coach: R. den Uil
N. Polster12N. PolsterN. Polster
Gabriel Brás73G. BrásGabriel Brás
B. Nuytinck17B. NuytinckB. Nuytinck
T. Storm21T. StormT. Storm
Adam Tahaui19A. TahauiAdam Tahaui
Jamiro Monteiro35J. MonteiroJamiro Monteiro
D. Geiger18D. GeigerD. Geiger
A. Thomas77A. ThomasA. Thomas
W. Willumsson11W. WillumssonW. Willumsson
I. Hansen-Aarøen8I. Hansen-AarøenI. Hansen-Aarøen
D. Tadić10D. TadićD. Tadić
S. van Gassel1S. van GasselS. van Gassel
R. Meissen3R. MeissenR. Meissen
C. Widell4C. WidellC. Widell
J. Plug14J. PlugJ. Plug
Eric Emanuel da Silva Moreira2E. Emanuel da Silva MoreiraEric Emanuel da Silva Moreira
I. Yegoian8I. YegoianI. Yegoian
L. Hartjes20L. HartjesL. Hartjes
S. Janssen15S. JanssenS. Janssen
I. Silva Timas21I. Silva TimasI. Silva Timas
D. Garden19D. GardenD. Garden
Á. Þorsteinsson30Á. ÞorsteinssonÁ. Þorsteinsson

NEC Nijmegen Substitutes

14K. SierhuisF
38Joep GenesteG
1G. CrettazG
9T. CheryM
66Almugera Raouf Mohammed KabarD
34Kevin KersF
20N. LebretonM
99Clement BischoffF
3P. SandlerD
4P. SchuursD

Excelsior Substitutes

12K. BosF
24Giulliano CairoM
9Mario DomínguezF
28N. GroenF
11A. JahanbakhshF
23Y. FineyM
7A. SlitiF
18V. SulzbacherM
22O. TurayD
6D. van VianenM
16Celton BiaiG

Match Stats

NEC NijmegenExcelsior
69%Ball Possession31%
2Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards3
11Total Shots14
3Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal5
8Shots Inside Box7
3Shots Outside Box7
3Blocked Shots4
5Fouls16
3Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves1
675Total Passes297
579Passes Accurate212
15Free Kicks5

Team Comparison

NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen
ExcelsiorExcelsior
1681Elo Rating 1693
1.15Attack 1.78
0.56Defense 1.56
17%Hit Rate 36%
9.5Shots per Game 11.5
2.3Shots on Target 4.3
3.4Corners per Game 4.6
2.4Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy2.82 goals
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
ExcelsiorExcelsior
  • No tendency data available

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

NEC Nijmegen 83%Draw 0%17% Excelsior
3.85Avg Goals
17%BTTS Rate
73%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

E. Blank · 49 matches analysed

3.8Avg Yellows
3.9Avg Cards
23.6Avg Fouls
Stricter than 14% of referees analysed

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven651022:7+1516WWWWW
2AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar651017:6+1116DWWWW
3FeyenoordFeyenoord642020:7+1314WWDWD
4AjaxAjax641119:7+1213WWLWD
5TwenteTwente641112:5+713WWDWW
6ExcelsiorExcelsior631213:7+610LDWWL
7Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard631212:14-210LWWLW
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles623115:13+29DDLWD
9GroningenGroningen622212:13-18DDLLW
10NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen621311:12-17LDLWW
11HeerenveenHeerenveen61327:9-26DLDLD
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam612310:13-35LDLDW
13TelstarTelstar61235:11-65DLDLL
14UtrechtUtrecht612311:19-85WDLDL
15CambuurCambuur61149:18-94WDLLL
16PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle61146:17-114LDLWL
17Willem IIWillem II60246:19-132LDLDL
18ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag60156:16-101LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven622:716
2AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar617:616
3FeyenoordFeyenoord620:714
4AjaxAjax619:713
5TwenteTwente612:513
6ExcelsiorExcelsior613:710
7Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard612:1410
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles615:139
9GroningenGroningen612:138
10NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen611:127
11HeerenveenHeerenveen67:96
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam610:135
13TelstarTelstar65:115
14UtrechtUtrecht611:195
15CambuurCambuur69:184
16PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle66:174
17Willem IIWillem II66:192
18ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag66:161
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NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Eredivisie fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Eredivisie

ScorePredicts covers Netherlands football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

NEC Nijmegen and Excelsior have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.85 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.