Dundee Utd vs Motherwell Prediction

Dundee Utd
1-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Motherwell
CalForth Construction Arena, Dundee 07/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.13
SignalSTRONGModel51%SurpriseMediumGap-7.5%
Dundee Utd Rest
9 days
Motherwell Rest
7 days

Dundee Utd vs Motherwell: the result in context

Dundee Utd and Motherwell drew 1-1 in the Premiership on 7 Nov 2026. Dundee Utd had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Motherwell.

Motherwell have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.9 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%2.05
X
26%3.75
2
28%3.20
Double Chance
1X
72%1.32
X2
54%1.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%1.45
No
38%2.51
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.59 + 1.37 = 2.96
Over 1.5
81%1.13
Over 2.5
60%1.50
Over 3.5
38%2.30
Under 1.5
19%5.00
Under 2.5
40%2.38
Under 3.5
62%1.60
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 5.4 = 11.3
Over 8.5
77%1.28
Over 9.5
67%1.51
Over 10.5
56%1.83
Under 8.5
23%3.20
Under 9.5
33%2.40
Under 10.5
44%1.86
Cards
Projected Cards: + =
Over 3.5
-1.80
Over 4.5
-3.00
Under 3.5
-1.91
Under 4.5
-1.35

Match Events

6'Penalty confirmedTawanda Maswanhise
9'Dylan TaitDissent
9'Lukas Fadinger(Penalty)
11'Zachary Sapsford
34'Jim GoodwinDissent
41'Jesse RandallAssist: Lyall Cameron
56'Martin MoormannTime wasting
64'Jardell Kanga INRegan Charles-Cook out
64'Lukas Fadinger INOscar Priestman out
65'Daniel Bennie INabdoulaye yoro out
71'Dylan Tait INPanutche Camara out
71'Zachary Sapsford INIdjessi Metsoko out
73'Ibrahim Said INCallum Hendry out
83'Callum HendryDissent
83'Lyall Cameron INLachlan Rose out
86'Sebastian Palmer-Houlden INEythor Bjørgolfsson out

Lineups

Dundee Utd
4-3-3Coach: J. Goodwin
Motherwell
4-2-3-1Coach: Alfred Johansson
Avg rating6.91
Avg rating6.62
J. Walton7.81J. Walton
J. Rawlins7.123J. Rawlins
B. Esselink7.13B. Esselink
M. Forbes7.018M. Forbes
K. Ciubotaru6.119K. Ciubotaru
L. Cameron7.716L. Cameron
D. Tait7.010D. Tait
Zidane Iqbal7.214Z. Iqbal
J. Randall8.221J. Randall
Z. Sapsford6.39Z. Sapsford
D. Bennie6.277D. Bennie
A. Paulsen7.71A. Paulsen
T. Sparrow6.97T. Sparrow
J. Girdwood-Reich6.73J. Girdwood-Reich
M. Moormann6.65M. Moormann
M. Emmanuel6.345M. Emmanuel
J. Hodge7.071J. Hodge
L. Fadinger6.98L. Fadinger
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise6.418T. Jethro Maswanhise
I. Said6.319I. Said
J. Kanga6.813J. Kanga
S. Palmer-Houlden6.047S. Palmer-Houlden

Dundee Utd Substitutes

15L. Rose83'for Lyall Cameron6.5
26Abdoulaye Yoro65'for Daniel Bennie6.5
30J. Amissah
8Panutche Camará71'for Dylan Tait6.4
6R. Graham
4I. Iovu
7M. Merghem
93I. Metsoko71'for Zachary Sapsford6.7
22D. Naamo

Motherwell Substitutes

17R. Charles-Cook64'for Jardell Kanga6.4
14C. Hendry73'for Ibrahim Said83'6.6
4Jamie Knight-Lebel
63D. Levitt
21M. Connelly
6J. McGhee
16P. McGinn
12O. Priestman64'for Lukas Fadinger6.3
15E. Björgólfs­son86'for Sebastian Palmer-Houlden6.5

Match Stats

Dundee UtdMotherwell
47%Ball Possession53%
13Corner Kicks7
2Yellow Cards2
24Total Shots17
6Shots on Goal6
9Shots off Goal5
13Shots Inside Box13
11Shots Outside Box4
9Blocked Shots6
9Fouls17
5Goalkeeper Saves4
442Total Passes455
383Passes Accurate385
17Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

Dundee UtdDundee Utd
MotherwellMotherwell
1586Elo Rating 1552
2.01Attack 1.06
1.81Defense 1.37
54%Hit Rate 27%
13.5Shots per Game 13.9
6.7Shots on Target 5.0
5.7Corners per Game 5.4
2.3Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.97 goals
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Dundee UtdDundee Utd
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 0.4 in second half)
MotherwellMotherwell
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Dundee UtdDundee Utd2Wins · 20%
Draws110%
MotherwellMotherwell7Wins · 70%
2.9Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Premiership02/09/2026
MotherwellDundee Utd
30
Premiership28/02/2026
MotherwellDundee Utd
20
Premiership13/12/2025
Dundee UtdMotherwell
00
Premiership29/10/2025
MotherwellDundee Utd
20
Premiership22/02/2025
Dundee UtdMotherwell
10
Premiership14/12/2024
MotherwellDundee Utd
43
Premiership30/10/2024
Dundee UtdMotherwell
12
League Cup20/09/2024
MotherwellDundee Utd
21
Premiership28/05/2023
MotherwellDundee Utd
32
Premiership15/04/2023
MotherwellDundee Utd
12

League Table

Premiership 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CelticCeltic13101228:10+1831WLDWW
2RangersRangers1283121:9+1227WDWDW
3FalkirkFalkirk1363420:14+621WWWWW
4Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1262426:22+420LDWLW
5DundeeDundee1252518:15+317LWLDW
6Dundee UtdDundee Utd1245317:17017DDWDW
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1345417:20-317WDDLD
8ST MirrenST Mirren1342712:22-1014LLDWL
9MotherwellMotherwell1334615:21-613DWDLL
10HibernianHibernian1232715:17-211WDLLL
11AberdeenAberdeen1232712:18-611LLLWL
12KilmarnockKilmarnock1323813:29-169LDLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1CelticCeltic1328:1031
2RangersRangers1221:927
3FalkirkFalkirk1320:1421
4Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1226:2220
5DundeeDundee1218:1517
6Dundee UtdDundee Utd1217:1717
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1317:2017
8ST MirrenST Mirren1312:2214
9MotherwellMotherwell1315:2113
10HibernianHibernian1215:1711
11AberdeenAberdeen1212:1811
12KilmarnockKilmarnock1313:299
PromotionRelegation

About the Dundee Utd vs Motherwell forecast

The forecasts for this Premiership match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Dundee Utd and Motherwell in the Premiership table

In the Premiership table, Dundee Utd are 6th and Motherwell 9th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Dundee Utd 17-17, Motherwell 15-21. The full standings are on the Premiership Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Dundee Utd have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.