Celtic vs Kilmarnock Prediction

Celtic
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Kilmarnock
Celtic Park, Glasgow·John Beaton 08/11/2026
CelticCeltic
1-0
Finished
KilmarnockKilmarnock

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.22
SignalHIGHModel81%SurpriseMediumGap-4.7%
Celtic Rest
2 days
Kilmarnock Rest
8 days

Celtic vs Kilmarnock: result, form and history

Celtic beat Kilmarnock 1-0 in the Premiership on 8 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Celtic have had the better of this fixture, winning 9 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 4.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
82%1.17
X
12%7.85
2
6%12.42
Double Chance
1X
94%1.03
X2
18%4.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.66
No
46%2.09
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.34 + 0.86 = 3.20
Over 1.5
88%1.05
Over 2.5
74%1.22
Over 3.5
55%1.65
Under 1.5
12%8.10
Under 2.5
26%3.90
Under 3.5
45%2.18
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.7 + 4.1 = 10.8
Over 8.5
73%1.09
Over 9.5
62%1.20
Over 10.5
51%1.40
Under 8.5
27%5.30
Under 9.5
38%3.80
Under 10.5
49%2.73
Cards
Projected Cards: + =
Over 3.5
-2.20
Over 4.5
-3.05
Under 3.5
-1.62
Under 4.5
-1.35

Match Events

9'Tom LoweryFoul
15'Goal cancelledMika Baur
26'Liam ScalesAssist: Camilo Duran
33'Joe HugillFoul
40'Cathal McCarthyFoul
45'Jota INYang Hyun-Jun out
50'Jamie BrandonFoul
61'Tyreece John-JulesFoul
64'Tyreece John-Jules INDjenairo Daniels out
64'Jamie Brandon INMichael-John Kamson-Kamara out
70'Greg Kiltie INNicky Clescenco out
71'Kasper Hogh INJames Forrest out
73'Penalty confirmedYang Hyun-Jun
76'Benjamin Nygren(Penalty missed)
82'Yang Hyun-JunFoul
82'Benjamin Nygren INLuke McCowan out
86'Mika Baur INAlex Oxlade-Chamberlain out
86'Kieran Tierney INDane Murray out
89'Cathal McCarthy INErik Ring out

Lineups

Celtic
4-2-3-1Coach: M. O'Neill
Kilmarnock
4-2-3-1Coach: N. McCann
Avg rating7.11
Avg rating6.41
S. Johnstone7.026S. Johnstone
Colby Donovan7.351C. Donovan
C. Carter-Vickers7.920C. Carter-Vickers
L. Scales8.45L. Scales
K. Tierney7.563K. Tierney
C. McGregor7.242C. McGregor
M. Baur7.122M. Baur
C. Durán7.711C. Durán
B. Nygren6.68B. Nygren
Jota7.07Jota
K. Høgh6.49K. Høgh
N. Mantl7.358N. Mantl
J. Brandon6.02J. Brandon
C. McCarthy6.64C. McCarthy
G. Stanger7.014G. Stanger
M. Schjønning-Larsen6.821M. Schjønning-Larsen
A. Tshibola6.836A. Tshibola
T. Lowery5.918T. Lowery
J. Hugill6.29J. Hugill
G. Kiltie6.511G. Kiltie
I. Owen6.127I. Owen
T. John-Jules6.010T. John-Jules

Celtic Substitutes

49J. Forrest71'for Kasper Hogh6.9
14L. McCowan82'for Benjamin Nygren6.8
47D. Murray86'for Kieran Tierney7.1
21A. Oxlade-Chamberlain86'for Mika Baur6.7
56A. Ralston
1V. Sinisalo
17S. Tounekti
13Yang Hyun-Jun45'for Jota82'6.4
19C. Osmand

Kilmarnock Substitutes

6R. Deas
3Michael-John Kamson-Kamara64'for Jamie Brandon6.3
7R. McKenzie
19J. Meier
49B. Rice
8E. Ring89'for Cathal McCarthy6.7
20N. Cleșcenco70'for Greg Kiltie6.2
29D. Daniels64'for Tyreece John-Jules5.8
12C. Ferrie

Match Stats

CelticKilmarnock
59%Ball Possession41%
8Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards5
20Total Shots7
5Shots on Goal3
11Shots off Goal1
11Shots Inside Box5
9Shots Outside Box2
4Blocked Shots3
7Fouls12
2Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves4
521Total Passes359
464Passes Accurate296
10Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

CelticCeltic
KilmarnockKilmarnock
1727Elo Rating 1488
1.67Attack 1.41
1.17Defense 0.44
44%Hit Rate 17%
17.5Shots per Game 15.8
6.5Shots on Target 4.0
8.4Corners per Game 6.5
2.4Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+239 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.2 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CelticCeltic
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.5 in first half)
KilmarnockKilmarnock
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

CelticCeltic9Wins · 90%
Draws110%
KilmarnockKilmarnock0Wins · 0%
4.0Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Premiership09/08/2026
KilmarnockCeltic
15
Premiership15/02/2026
KilmarnockCeltic
23
Premiership09/11/2025
CelticKilmarnock
40
Premiership14/09/2025
KilmarnockCeltic
12
Premiership12/04/2025
CelticKilmarnock
51
FA Cup18/01/2025
CelticKilmarnock
21
Premiership10/11/2024
KilmarnockCeltic
02
Premiership04/08/2024
CelticKilmarnock
40
Premiership15/05/2024
KilmarnockCeltic
05
Premiership17/02/2024
CelticKilmarnock
11

Referee Profile

John Beaton231 matches

4.33Cards per match
4.12Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
23.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

John Beaton4.33
Other referees4.06

4.33 cards a match, 0.27 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.06).

Cards come from 168 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premiership 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CelticCeltic1291227:10+1728LDWWW
2RangersRangers1283121:9+1227WDWDW
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1162324:17+720DWLWD
4FalkirkFalkirk1253415:12+318WWWWL
5DundeeDundee1252518:15+317LWLDW
6Dundee UtdDundee Utd1245317:17017DDWDW
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1345417:20-317WDDLD
8ST MirrenST Mirren1342712:22-1014LLDWL
9MotherwellMotherwell1334615:21-613DWDLL
10HibernianHibernian1232715:17-211WDLLL
11AberdeenAberdeen1232712:18-611LLLWL
12KilmarnockKilmarnock1223713:28-159DLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1CelticCeltic1227:1028
2RangersRangers1221:927
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1124:1720
4FalkirkFalkirk1215:1218
5DundeeDundee1218:1517
6Dundee UtdDundee Utd1217:1717
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1317:2017
8ST MirrenST Mirren1312:2214
9MotherwellMotherwell1315:2113
10HibernianHibernian1215:1711
11AberdeenAberdeen1212:1811
12KilmarnockKilmarnock1213:289
PromotionRelegation

About the Celtic vs Kilmarnock forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Celtic and Kilmarnock in the Premiership table

The table shows a wide gap: Celtic are 1st in the Premiership, while Kilmarnock sit 12th, 19 points behind. League goal record so far: Celtic 27-10, Kilmarnock 13-28. The full standings are on the Premiership Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.