Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg Prediction

Estac Troyes
2-6
Finished
HT 1-2
Strasbourg
G. Paradis 06/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
58%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 4.5
1.98
SignalSOLIDModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+11.3%
Estac Troyes Rest
7 days
Strasbourg Rest
7 days

Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg: result, form and history

Strasbourg beat Estac Troyes 6-2 in the Ligue 1 on 6 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 4 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Estac Troyes tend to win more corners, 5.6 a game to 2.9 for Strasbourg.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
35%3.00
X
28%3.40
2
37%2.38
Double Chance
1X
63%1.59
X2
65%1.39
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.65
No
46%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.26 + 1.22 = 2.48
Over 1.5
72%1.26
Over 2.5
47%1.90
Over 3.5
18%3.15
Under 1.5
28%3.64
Under 2.5
53%1.93
Under 3.5
82%1.35
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 4 = 8.9
Over 8.5
51%1.91
Over 9.5
36%2.44
Over 10.5
25%3.35
Under 8.5
49%1.80
Under 9.5
64%1.48
Under 10.5
75%1.26
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 1.7 = 3.4
Over 3.5
44%1.74
Over 4.5
26%2.39
Under 3.5
56%1.98
Under 4.5
74%1.53

Match Events

9'Antoine MilleAssist: Anis Ouzenadji
37'Junior DiazFoul
40'Jacobo OrtegaAssist: Gessime Yassine
42'Diogo Sousa
45+2'Pape Demba DiopFoul
56'Merwan Ifnaoui INKandet Diawara out
56'Hugo Picard INJérémy Le Douaron out
57'Giovanni ReynaAssist: Jacobo Ortega
63'Giovanni Reyna INDario Essugo out
63'Sebastian Nanasi INSamuel Amo-Ameyaw out
70'Ismael Doukoure INAbdoul Karim Coulibaly out
70'Renaud Ripart INTimothee Nkada out
71'Jacobo Ortega INConrad Harder out
79'Gessime Yassine INLucas Høgsberg out
84'Lucas Maronnier INIron Gomis out
84'Dermane Karim INYacouba Koné out
85'Samuel Amo-AmeyawAssist: Dario Essugo
88'Samuel Amo-Ameyaw
90+2'Conrad HarderAssist: Diogo Sousa
90+5'Jérémy Le DouaronAssist: Kandet Diawara

Lineups

Estac Troyes
4-1-4-1Coach: S. Dumont
Strasbourg
4-3-3Coach: Hugo Oliveira
Avg rating6.40
Avg rating7.04
P. Beach6.633P. Beach
L. Maronnier5.92L. Maronnier
A. Monfray5.86A. Monfray
M. Diaz5.44M. Diaz
A. Ouzenadji6.63A. Ouzenadji
M. Diop6.28M. Diop
M. Ifnaoui5.710M. Ifnaoui
A. Mille8.217A. Mille
D. Karim6.429D. Karim
H. Picard6.322H. Picard
R. Ripart6.020R. Ripart
F. Jörgensen7.41F. Jörgensen
G. Antwi6.516G. Antwi
J. Mitchell6.94J. Mitchell
I. Doukouré6.76I. Doukouré
Oso6.536Oso
Diogo Sousa8.023D. Sousa
P. Diop6.421P. Diop
Gessime Yassine7.780G. Yassine
G. Reyna7.910G. Reyna
S. Nanasi6.411S. Nanasi
J. Ortega8.330J. Ortega

Estac Troyes Substitutes

7K. Diawara56'for Merwan Ifnaoui7.0
31Noah Donkor
11I. Gomis84'for Lucas Maronnier5.8
39Yacouba Koné84'replaced by Dermane Karim
9J. Le Douaron56'for Hugo Picard90+5'7.3
23T. Nkada70'for Renaud Ripart6.7
26A. Phliponeau
40H. Konaté
41Enisio Carneiro

Strasbourg Substitutes

7S. Amo-Ameyaw63'for Sebastian Nanasi85'88'8.5
45B. Brantlind
31Abdoul Karim Coulibaly70'for Ismael Doukoure6.1
14Dário Essugo63'for Giovanni Reyna6.1
40C. Harder71'for Jacobo Ortega90+2'7.5
24L. Høgsberg79'for Gessime Yassine6.1
26O. Kellyman
28Tyrese Noubissie
12M. Piekutowski

Match Stats

Estac TroyesStrasbourg
45%Ball Possession55%
11Corner Kicks0
1Yellow Cards1
27Total Shots19
6Shots on Goal12
10Shots off Goal3
18Shots Inside Box16
9Shots Outside Box3
11Blocked Shots4
6Fouls16
3Offsides1
6Goalkeeper Saves4
376Total Passes517
301Passes Accurate450
80%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

Estac TroyesEstac Troyes
StrasbourgStrasbourg
1634Elo Rating 1744
0.23Attack 0.73
1.31Defense 0.64
0%Hit Rate 0%
12.1Shots per Game 11.9
2.4Shots on Target 3.9
5.6Corners per Game 2.9
2.1Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Estac TroyesEstac Troyes
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
StrasbourgStrasbourg
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Estac TroyesEstac Troyes1Wins · 25%
Draws375%
StrasbourgStrasbourg0Wins · 0%
2.8Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored4 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4

Previous meetings

Ligue 121/05/2023
Estac TroyesStrasbourg
11
Ligue 102/01/2023
StrasbourgEstac Troyes
23
Ligue 117/04/2022
Estac TroyesStrasbourg
11
Ligue 122/08/2021
StrasbourgEstac Troyes
11

Recent Form

Estac TroyesEstac Troyes
5W4D1L
29/08/2026
LorientEstac Troyes
12
W
22/08/2026
Estac TroyesParis FC
00
D
14/08/2026
Estac TroyesPanetolikos
11
D
08/08/2026
AuxerreEstac Troyes
11
D
31/07/2026
Estac TroyesChasselay MDA
52
W
25/07/2026
GrenobleEstac Troyes
00
D
18/07/2026
Estac TroyesRED Star FC 93
10
W
11/07/2026
NancyEstac Troyes
13
W
09/05/2026
GrenobleEstac Troyes
10
L
02/05/2026
Estac TroyesLaval
40
W
StrasbourgStrasbourg
4W0D6L
29/08/2026
StrasbourgLens
21
W
21/08/2026
MarseilleStrasbourg
40
L
16/08/2026
NewcastleStrasbourg
2131
W
08/08/2026
SC FreiburgStrasbourg
20
L
04/08/2026
StrasbourgSV Elversberg
25
L
01/08/2026
BrightonStrasbourg
43
L
25/07/2026
StrasbourgBlackburn
02
L
20/07/2026
Sporting CPStrasbourg
70
L
17/05/2026
StrasbourgMonaco
54
W
13/05/2026
Stade Brestois 29Strasbourg
12
W

Referee Profile

G. Paradis143 matches

4.24Cards per match
3.96Yellow cards per match
0.27Red cards per match
27.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

G. Paradis4.24
Other referees3.91

4.24 cards a match, 0.33 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.91).

Cards come from 131 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ligue 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain962121:10+1120WWWWW
2LilleLille953112:6+618WDDWL
3LyonLyon952215:7+817WLWLW
4Paris FCParis FC952216:10+617WLWLW
5RennesRennes951320:19+116LWLWL
6MarseilleMarseille950420:13+715WWWWL
7MonacoMonaco943212:10+215LDLDW
8NiceNice942313:12+114WWLWW
9LensLens941416:13+313LWWWL
10Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29933316:12+412WLDWL
11LorientLorient93337:8-112LDWWL
12ToulouseToulouse924312:13-110LDWDW
13StrasbourgStrasbourg931517:19-210WLLLL
14AuxerreAuxerre931513:23-1010LDWLW
15AngersAngers92259:17-88LDLLW
16Estac TroyesEstac Troyes92257:16-98WDLLL
17Le MansLe Mans914411:18-77LDLLW
18Le HavreLe Havre90279:20-112LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain921:1020
2LilleLille912:618
3LyonLyon915:717
4Paris FCParis FC916:1017
5RennesRennes920:1916
6MarseilleMarseille920:1315
7MonacoMonaco912:1015
8NiceNice913:1214
9LensLens916:1313
10Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29916:1212
11LorientLorient97:812
12ToulouseToulouse912:1310
13StrasbourgStrasbourg917:1910
14AuxerreAuxerre913:2310
15AngersAngers99:178
16Estac TroyesEstac Troyes97:168
17Le MansLe Mans911:187
18Le HavreLe Havre99:202
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Estac Troyes and Strasbourg in the Ligue 1 table

In the Ligue 1 table, Strasbourg are 13th and Estac Troyes 16th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Estac Troyes 7-16, Strasbourg 17-19. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.