Lorient vs Estac Troyes Prediction

Lorient
1-2
Finished
HT 0-2
Estac Troyes
Stade Yves Allainmat-Le Moustoir, Lorient· Azzedine Souifi, France 29/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.67
SignalGOODModel46%RiskMediumGap+13.8%
Lorient Rest
7 days
Estac Troyes Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%1.86
X
29%3.55
2
26%4.30
Double Chance
1X
74%1.22
X2
55%1.94
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%1.86
No
58%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.6 + 0.89 = 2.49
Over 1.5
73%1.33
Over 2.5
43%2.06
Over 3.5
17%3.58
Under 1.5
27%3.25
Under 2.5
57%1.78
Under 3.5
83%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.2 + 4 = 8.1
Over 8.5
36%1.73
Over 9.5
23%2.19
Over 10.5
7%2.85
Under 8.5
64%2.01
Under 9.5
77%1.60
Under 10.5
93%1.35
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.1 = 3.9
Over 3.5
56%1.55
Over 4.5
30%2.10
Under 3.5
44%2.32
Under 4.5
70%1.67

Match Events

29'R. Ripart(Penalty)
38'L. MaronnierAssist: A. Mille
51'J. Makengo
66'G. Bernardeau INI. Jensen out
66'M. Kone INA. Tosin out
67'H. Picard INK. Diawara out
73'J. Makengo INP. Katseris out
73'T. Le Bris INS. Faye out
78'A. Mille IND. Karim out
84'N. Cadiou INN. Mbamba out
85'I. Gomis INA. Phliponeau out
85'R. Ripart INY. Kone out
86'L. Maronnier INN. Donkor out

Lineups

Lorient
3-4-2-1Coach: Alexandre Dujeux
Estac Troyes
4-2-3-1Coach: S. Dumont
Y. Mvogo38Y. MvogoY. Mvogo
D. Sylla20D. SyllaD. Sylla
M. Talbi3M. TalbiM. Talbi
N. Adjei32N. AdjeiN. Adjei
T. Le Bris11T. Le BrisT. Le Bris
A. Avom62A. AvomA. Avom
N. Cadiou8N. CadiouN. Cadiou
K. Kouassi43K. KouassiK. Kouassi
G. Bernardeau33G. BernardeauG. Bernardeau
J. Makengo17J. MakengoJ. Makengo
P. Beach33P. BeachP. Beach
L. Maronnier2L. MaronnierL. Maronnier
A. Monfray6A. MonfrayA. Monfray
M. Diaz4M. DiazM. Diaz
A. Ouzenadji3A. OuzenadjiA. Ouzenadji
A. Mille17A. MilleA. Mille
M. Diop8M. DiopM. Diop
M. Ifnaoui10M. IfnaouiM. Ifnaoui
H. Picard22H. PicardH. Picard
I. Gomis11I. GomisI. Gomis
R. Ripart20R. RipartR. Ripart

Lorient Substitutes

95S. TouréD
15A. TosinF
55N. ObaretinD
72N. MbambaM
77P. KatserisD
21B. KamaraG
10I. JensenF
2A. GeorgenD
19S. FayeF

Estac Troyes Substitutes

7K. DiawaraF
5P. GozziD
29D. KarimM
40H. KonatéG
26A. PhliponeauM
36I. SoukounaM

Match Stats

LorientEstac Troyes
67%Ball Possession33%
2Corner Kicks5
14Total Shots11
5Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal5
8Shots Inside Box10
6Shots Outside Box1
3Blocked Shots4
9Fouls11
0Offsides3
0Goalkeeper Saves3
674Total Passes320
591Passes Accurate238
11Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

LorientLorient
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes
1756Elo Rating 1685
0.96Attack 0.85
1.79Defense 0.75
23%Hit Rate 19%
10.1Shots per Game 13.2
3.1Shots on Target 2.8
2.4Corners per Game 7.1
0.8Cards per Game 0.4

Game State Tendencies

LorientLorient
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Lorient 69%Draw 31%0% Estac Troyes
2.06Avg Goals
31%BTTS Rate
17%Over 2.5

Recent Form

LorientLorient
2W1D2L
22/08/2026
NiceLorient
00
D
15/08/2026
SV ElversbergLorient
41
L
08/08/2026
AngersLorient
21
L
04/08/2026
LorientUNFP
51
W
25/07/2026
GuingampLorient
02
W
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes
1W4D0L
22/08/2026
Estac TroyesParis FC
00
D
14/08/2026
Estac TroyesPanetolikos
11
D
08/08/2026
AuxerreEstac Troyes
11
D
31/07/2026
Estac TroyesChasselay MDA
52
W
25/07/2026
GrenobleEstac Troyes
00
D

League Table

Ligue 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MonacoMonaco54108:3+513WDWWW
2Paris FCParis FC53208:3+511WDWWD
3LilleLille43107:2+510WWDW
4RennesRennes43108:5+310WWWD
5LyonLyon42206:2+48DWDW
6StrasbourgStrasbourg521210:1007LDWWL
7Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 2941216:605LWDD
8Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain41216:605WLDD
9LorientLorient41214:405DWLD
10LensLens51139:904LDLLW
11AngersAngers41124:5-14DLWL
12Estac TroyesEstac Troyes41124:9-54LLWD
13MarseilleMarseille41036:603LLLW
14Le MansLe Mans40317:8-13DDLD
15AuxerreAuxerre41035:11-63WLLL
16Le HavreLe Havre40222:4-22DLDL
17ToulouseToulouse40224:7-32DLDL
18NiceNice40221:5-42LDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1MonacoMonaco58:313
2Paris FCParis FC58:311
3LilleLille47:210
4RennesRennes48:510
5LyonLyon46:28
6StrasbourgStrasbourg510:107
7Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 2946:65
8Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain46:65
9LorientLorient44:45
10LensLens59:94
11AngersAngers44:54
12Estac TroyesEstac Troyes44:94
13MarseilleMarseille46:63
14Le MansLe Mans47:83
15AuxerreAuxerre45:113
16Le HavreLe Havre42:42
17ToulouseToulouse44:72
18NiceNice41:52
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Lorient vs Estac Troyes Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Ligue 1 fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Ligue 1

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Key Factors for This Match

Lorient and Estac Troyes have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.06 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.