FC Cajamarca vs Atletico Grau Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 6
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
59%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.80
SignalSOLIDModel41%SurpriseMediumGap+8.2%
FC Cajamarca Rest
4 days
Atletico Grau Rest
6 days
FC Cajamarca vs Atletico Grau: result, form and history
Atletico Grau beat FC Cajamarca 3-1 in the Primera División on 21 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
143%2.06
X27%3.15
230%3.60
Double Chance
1X70%1.25
X257%1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes59%1.80
No41%1.88
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.45 + 1.13 = 2.58
Over 1.576%1.33
Over 2.554%2.05
Over 3.533%3.55
Under 1.524%3.10
Under 2.546%1.73
Under 3.567%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 4 = 8.9
Over 8.551%2.09
Over 9.544%2.79
Over 10.532%3.49
Under 8.549%1.67
Under 9.556%1.38
Under 10.568%1.25
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.7 + 2.6 = 5.3
Over 3.570%-
Over 4.557%-
Under 3.530%-
Under 4.543%-
Match Events
20'Brandon PalaciosAssist: Mauricio Arrasco
35'Penalty confirmedAdrián De la Cruz
37'Patricio Álvarez(Penalty)
46'Luis Benites INMauro Da Luz out
55'Hairo TimanáFoul
56'Lucas AcevedoAssist: Diego Barreto
57'Adrián Fernández INAldair Vasquez out
61'Edson Aubert INCarlos Correa out
62'Carlos Meza INMichel Rasmussen out
62'José Lugo INPedro Santiago Cejas out
67'Paulo de la Cruz INChristian Vásquez out
67'Diego Barreto INPablo Lavandeira out
68'Pablo LavandeiraFoul
82'Pablo Lavandeira(Penalty)
83'Brandon Palacios INValentino Sandoval out
84'Hairo Timaná INAlejandro Pósito out
88'Jefferson OrejuelaFoul
90'Rafael Guarderas INEslyn Correa out
Lineups
FC CajamarcaAtletico Grau
Coach: Gerardo AmeliFC Cajamarca Starting XI
3Jonathan Medina
25Paulo Goyoneche
26Hairo Timaná55'84'replaced by Alejandro Pósito
95Yordi Vílchez
31Sebastián Enciso
20Carlos Meza62'replaced by Michel Rasmussen
18Jefferson OrejuelaC88'
88Edson Aubert61'replaced by Carlos Correa
17Brandon Palacios20'83'replaced by Valentino Sandoval
77José Lugo62'for Pedro Santiago Cejas
11Mauricio Arrasco
Avg rating
Atletico Grau Starting XI
1Patricio ÁlvarezC37'
4Diego Rodriguez
27Rodrigo Tapia
2Lucas Acevedo56'
6Elsar Rodas
66Adrián De la Cruz
5Rafael Guarderas90'replaced by Eslyn Correa
10Paulo de la Cruz67'replaced by Christian Vásquez
7Diego Barreto67'replaced by Pablo Lavandeira
96Luis Benites46'replaced by Mauro Da Luz
99Adrián Fernández57'replaced by Aldair Vasquez
Avg rating
FC Cajamarca Substitutes
13Carlos Correa61'for Edson Aubert
6Michel Rasmussen62'for Carlos Meza
9Pedro Santiago Cejas62'replaced by José Lugo
8Valentino Sandoval83'for Brandon Palacios
2Alejandro Pósito84'for Hairo Timaná
12Samuel Aspajo
5Renato Suárez
14Arthur Gutiérrez
21John Vega
Atletico Grau Substitutes
77Mauro Da Luz46'for Luis Benites
20Aldair Vasquez57'for Adrián Fernández
8Christian Vásquez67'for Paulo de la Cruz
15Pablo Lavandeira67'for Diego Barreto68'82'
21Eslyn Correa90'for Rafael Guarderas
33Aamet Calderón
3Ignacio Tapia
25Gabriel Alfaro
24Yamir Ruidiaz
Match Stats
FC CajamarcaAtletico Grau 58%Ball Possession42%
4Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards1
20Total Shots15
5Shots on Goal5
9Shots off Goal7
9Shots Inside Box9
11Shots Outside Box6
6Blocked Shots3
8Fouls10
1Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves4
453Total Passes323
391Passes Accurate254
86%Pass Accuracy79%
Team Comparison
FC CajamarcaAtletico Grau1417Elo Rating 1544
0.62Attack 1.34
0.02Defense 1.14
0%Hit Rate 27%
10.9Shots per Game 8.5
4.4Shots on Target 3.0
2.9Corners per Game 3.1
2.0Cards per Game 1.7
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
FC Cajamarca- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Atletico Grau- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.5 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
1 previous meeting, all competitions
FC Cajamarca0Wins · 0%Draws00%
Atletico Grau1Wins · 100%
1Wins · 100%1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1
Previous meetings
06/03/2026Atletico GrauFC Cajamarca10
Recent Form
FC Cajamarca2W4D4L
16/08/2026FC Cajamarca
Universitario
FBC MelgarFC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca
Sport Huancayo
Deportivo GarcilasoFC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca
Juan Pablo II CollegeFC Cajamarca
Deportivo Llacuabamba
FC CajamarcaUniversitario23
L09/08/2026FBC MelgarFC Cajamarca24
W01/08/2026FC CajamarcaSport Huancayo02
L27/07/2026Deportivo GarcilasoFC Cajamarca21
L17/07/2026FC CajamarcaJuan Pablo II College22
D26/06/2026
UTC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca
20/06/2026UTC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca31
LFC CajamarcaDeportivo Llacuabamba11
D31/05/2026FC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
FC CajamarcaAlianza Lima11
D24/05/2026
Alianza AtleticoFC Cajamarca
Alianza AtleticoFC Cajamarca11
D15/05/2026FC Cajamarca
Sporting Cristal
FC CajamarcaSporting Cristal31
WAtletico Grau5W2D3L
14/08/2026Atletico Grau
Comerciantes UnidosJuan Pablo II CollegeAtletico GrauAtletico Grau
Sport BoysSport HuancayoAtletico GrauAtletico GrauUTC CajamarcaAtletico Grau
Carlos A. MannucciAtletico Grau
Molinos El Pirata
Atletico GrauComerciantes Unidos10
W08/08/2026Juan Pablo II CollegeAtletico Grau00
D01/08/2026Atletico GrauSport Boys01
L25/07/2026Sport HuancayoAtletico Grau20
L18/07/2026Atletico GrauUTC Cajamarca31
W09/07/2026Atletico GrauCarlos A. Mannucci8171
W27/06/2026UniversitarioAtletico Grau
22/06/2026UniversitarioAtletico Grau11
DAtletico GrauMolinos El Pirata32
W29/05/2026Atletico Grau
UCV Moquegua
Atletico GrauUCV Moquegua10
W24/05/2026
CuscoAtletico Grau
CuscoAtletico Grau10
LReferee Profile
5.42Cards per match
5.04Yellow cards per match
0.38Red cards per match
26.3Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.42 cards a match, 0.29 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.13).
Cards come from 55 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 54:24 | +30 | 69 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Universitario | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 59:39 | +20 | 61 | DLDWL |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 56:38 | +18 | 57 | DWDWL |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 50:35 | +15 | 55 | DWWWW |
| 5 | Sporting Cristal | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 63:48 | +15 | 51 | WLDDL |
| 6 | Cusco | 33 | 16 | 3 | 14 | 46:47 | -1 | 51 | WLDDW |
| 7 |  Cienciano | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 54:46 | +8 | 50 | DLWWD |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 48:49 | -1 | 50 | DLWLL |
| 9 | Alianza Atletico | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 49:48 | +1 | 49 | DWLWW |
| 10 |  Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 40:52 | -12 | 48 | LWDLL |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 37:35 | +2 | 46 | DWDLD |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 48:59 | -11 | 41 | DLLLD |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 33 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 44:47 | -3 | 37 | DLDLW |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 32:41 | -9 | 37 | LWLLL |
| 15 |  ADT | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36:48 | -12 | 32 | LWDWW |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 46:65 | -19 | 31 | DWWWL |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 27:48 | -21 | 30 | DLDLW |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 33 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 38:58 | -20 | 19 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 33 | 54:24 | 69 |
| 2 | Universitario | 33 | 59:39 | 61 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 33 | 56:38 | 57 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 33 | 50:35 | 55 |
| 5 | Sporting Cristal | 33 | 63:48 | 51 |
| 6 | Cusco | 33 | 46:47 | 51 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 33 | 54:46 | 50 |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 33 | 48:49 | 50 |
| 9 | Alianza Atletico | 33 | 49:48 | 49 |
| 10 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 33 | 40:52 | 48 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 33 | 37:35 | 46 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 33 | 48:59 | 41 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 33 | 44:47 | 37 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 33 | 32:41 | 37 |
| 15 | ADT | 33 | 36:48 | 32 |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 33 | 46:65 | 31 |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 33 | 27:48 | 30 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 33 | 38:58 | 19 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | LWDLL |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | DLWWD |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | DLDWL |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | DWDWL |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | WLDDW |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | DWWWW |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | DWLWW |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | DLDLW |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | LWDWW |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | DWDLD |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | WLDDL |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | DLLLD |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | DLDLW |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | DWWWL |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | DLWLL |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Huancayo | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 27:18 | +9 | 34 | DLWLL |
| 2 | Sporting Cristal | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 35:18 | +17 | 32 | WLDDL |
| 3 | Universitario | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 35:24 | +11 | 32 | DLDWL |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 29:17 | +12 | 29 | DWWWW |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 27:18 | +9 | 29 | DWDWL |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24:16 | +8 | 29 | WWDWW |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 29:30 | -1 | 28 | DWLWW |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | +6 | 26 | DWDLD |
| 9 | Juan Pablo II College | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 26:19 | +7 | 25 | DLLLD |
| 10 | Cusco | 16 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 25:23 | +2 | 24 | WLDDW |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 | LWLLL |
| 12 | Cienciano | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 20:24 | -4 | 17 | DLWWD |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 26:27 | -1 | 16 | DLDLW |
| 14 | FC Cajamarca | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 23:37 | -14 | 14 | DWWWL |
| 15 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:31 | -16 | 14 | LWDLL |
| 16 | ADT | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14:27 | -13 | 12 | LWDWW |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 10:24 | -14 | 12 | DLDLW |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17:32 | -15 | 6 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Huancayo | 16 | 27:18 | 34 |
| 2 | Sporting Cristal | 16 | 35:18 | 32 |
| 3 | Universitario | 16 | 35:24 | 32 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 16 | 29:17 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 16 | 27:18 | 29 |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 16 | 24:16 | 29 |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 16 | 29:30 | 28 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 16 | 22:16 | 26 |
| 9 | Juan Pablo II College | 16 | 26:19 | 25 |
| 10 | Cusco | 16 | 25:23 | 24 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 16 | 20:23 | 21 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 16 | 20:24 | 17 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 16 | 26:27 | 16 |
| 14 | FC Cajamarca | 16 | 23:37 | 14 |
| 15 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 16 | 15:31 | 14 |
| 16 | ADT | 16 | 14:27 | 12 |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 16 | 10:24 | 12 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 16 | 17:32 | 6 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera División matches
- ADT vs Alianza Atletico 15/08/26
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs FBC Melgar 15/08/26
- UCV Moquegua vs Sport Boys 16/08/26
- FC Cajamarca vs Universitario 16/08/26
- Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal 21/08/26
- Sport Huancayo vs UCV Moquegua 22/08/26
- UTC Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos 22/08/26
- Juan Pablo II College vs ADT 22/08/26
About the FC Cajamarca vs Atletico Grau forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
FC Cajamarca and Atletico Grau in the Primera División table
Atletico Grau and FC Cajamarca are close in the Primera División table, 14th and 16th, with 6 points between them. League goal record so far: FC Cajamarca 46-65, Atletico Grau 32-41. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
FC Cajamarca and Atletico Grau have met only 1 time recently, with 1.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.