FC Cajamarca vs Atletico Grau Prediction

FC Cajamarca
1-3
Finished
HT 1-1
Atletico Grau
Estadio Heroes de San Ramon, Cajamarca· Sebastian Lozano, Peru 21/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
59%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.80
SignalGOODModel41%RiskMediumGap+8.2%
FC Cajamarca Rest
4 days
Atletico Grau Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.06
X
27%3.15
2
30%3.60
Double Chance
1X
70%1.25
X2
57%1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.80
No
41%1.88
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.45 + 1.13 = 2.58
Over 1.5
76%1.33
Over 2.5
54%2.05
Over 3.5
33%3.55
Under 1.5
24%3.10
Under 2.5
46%1.73
Under 3.5
67%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 4 = 8.9
Over 8.5
51%2.09
Over 9.5
44%2.79
Over 10.5
32%3.49
Under 8.5
49%1.67
Under 9.5
56%1.38
Under 10.5
68%1.25
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.7 + 2.6 = 5.3
Over 3.5
70%-
Over 4.5
57%-
Under 3.5
30%-
Under 4.5
43%-

Match Events

20'Brandon PalaciosAssist: Mauricio Arrasco
35'Penalty confirmedAdrián De la Cruz
37'Patricio Álvarez(Penalty)
46'Luis Benites INMauro Da Luz out
55'Hairo TimanáFoul
56'Lucas AcevedoAssist: Diego Barreto
57'Adrián Fernández INAldair Vasquez out
61'Edson Aubert INCarlos Correa out
62'Carlos Meza INMichel Rasmussen out
62'José Lugo INPedro Santiago Cejas out
67'Paulo de la Cruz INChristian Vásquez out
67'Diego Barreto INPablo Lavandeira out
68'Pablo LavandeiraFoul
82'Pablo Lavandeira(Penalty)
83'Brandon Palacios INValentino Sandoval out
84'Hairo Timaná INAlejandro Pósito out
88'Jefferson OrejuelaFoul
90'Rafael Guarderas INEslyn Correa out

Lineups

FC Cajamarca
Coach: Rafael Ayala Gavilan Celso
Atletico Grau
Coach: Gerardo Ameli

FC Cajamarca Starting XI

3Jonathan MedinaG
25Paulo GoyonecheD
26Hairo TimanáD
95Yordi VílchezD
31Sebastián EncisoD
20Carlos MezaM
18Jefferson OrejuelaM
88Edson AubertM
17Brandon PalaciosM
77José LugoF
11Mauricio ArrascoF

Atletico Grau Starting XI

1Patricio ÁlvarezG
4Diego RodriguezD
27Rodrigo TapiaD
2Lucas AcevedoD
6Elsar RodasD
66Adrián De la CruzM
5Rafael GuarderasM
10Paulo de la CruzM
7Diego BarretoM
96Luis BenitesM
99Adrián FernándezF

FC Cajamarca Substitutes

13Carlos CorreaM
6Michel RasmussenF
9Pedro Santiago CejasF
8Valentino SandovalF
2Alejandro PósitoD
12Samuel AspajoG
5Renato SuárezD
14Arthur GutiérrezD
21John VegaM

Atletico Grau Substitutes

77Mauro Da LuzF
20Aldair VasquezM
8Christian VásquezD
15Pablo LavandeiraM
21Eslyn CorreaM
33Aamet CalderónG
3Ignacio TapiaD
25Gabriel AlfaroD
24Yamir RuidiazF

Match Stats

FC CajamarcaAtletico Grau
58%Ball Possession42%
4Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards1
20Total Shots15
5Shots on Goal5
9Shots off Goal7
9Shots Inside Box9
11Shots Outside Box6
6Blocked Shots3
8Fouls10
1Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves4
453Total Passes323
391Passes Accurate254
86%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca
Atletico GrauAtletico Grau
1503Elo Rating 1587
2.03Attack 2.22
0.28Defense 1.34
46%Hit Rate 61%
15.4Shots per Game 8.9
4.3Shots on Target 4.1
3.5Corners per Game 3.4
2.6Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.7 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Atletico GrauAtletico Grau
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 1 historical meeting

FC Cajamarca 0%Draw 0%100% Atletico Grau
1Avg Goals
0%BTTS Rate
0%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

Sebastian Lozano, Peru · 20 matches analysed

4.5Avg Yellows
4.9Avg Cards
23.6Avg Fouls
Stricter than 62% of referees analysed

League Table

Primera División 2026

Primera Division: Tabla Anual

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima26158342:18+2453LWDWW
2UniversitarioUniversitario26147543:27+1649WDWLW
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar26136744:28+1645LDDLL
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso26136735:24+1145WDDLL
5CuscoCusco261331038:37+142WWLWL
6Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas26125935:44-941WWWWW
7CiencianoCienciano25124944:37+740WWWWD
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico26107938:34+437DDWLD
9Sport BoysSport Boys26107928:25+337LWLLD
10Sporting CristalSporting Cristal261051145:39+635LLWWL
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau26951225:28-332DDDWL
12Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo26951234:42-832DLLLW
13Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College26871138:52-1431WLLWW
14Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos26791034:36-230DDWLW
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca26761340:50-1027LLLLL
16UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua26671324:37-1325WLLWD
17ADTADT25571327:39-1222DWLDD
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca26481430:47-1715LDLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima2642:1853
2UniversitarioUniversitario2643:2749
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar2644:2845
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso2635:2445
5CuscoCusco2638:3742
6Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas2635:4441
7CiencianoCienciano2544:3740
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico2638:3437
9Sport BoysSport Boys2628:2537
10Sporting CristalSporting Cristal2645:3935
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau2625:2832
12Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo2634:4232
13Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College2638:5231
14Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos2634:3630
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca2640:5027
16UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua2624:3725
17ADTADT2527:3922
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca2630:4715

Primera Division: Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima17124130:8+2240LWDWW
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas17104325:21+434WWWWW
3CiencianoCienciano17103434:22+1233WWWWD
4UniversitarioUniversitario1785424:15+929WDWLW
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1784529:20+928LDDLL
6CuscoCusco1783621:24-327WWLWL
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1775521:18+326WDDLL
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1756620:18+221DDWLD
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1756618:20-221DDWLW
10ADTADT1755722:21+120DWLDD
11Sport BoysSport Boys1755715:19-420LWLLD
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1754828:30-219LLWWL
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1746721:26-518LDLWL
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1753917:24-718WLLWD
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1745823:28-517LLLLL
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1744912:18-616DDDWL
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1744921:31-1016DLLLW
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1744922:40-1816WLLWW
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1730:840
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1725:2134
3CiencianoCienciano1734:2233
4UniversitarioUniversitario1724:1529
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1729:2028
6CuscoCusco1721:2427
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1721:1826
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1720:1821
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1718:2021
10ADTADT1722:2120
11Sport BoysSport Boys1715:1920
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1728:3019
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1721:2618
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1717:2418
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1723:2817
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1712:1816
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1721:3116
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1722:4016

Primera Division: Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1UniversitarioUniversitario962119:12+720WDWLW
2Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso961214:6+819WDDLL
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar952215:8+717LDDLL
4Sport BoysSport Boys952213:6+717LWLLD
5Sporting CristalSporting Cristal951317:9+816LLWWL
6Atletico GrauAtletico Grau951313:10+316DDDWL
7Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico951318:16+216DDWLD
8Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo951313:11+216DLLLW
9CuscoCusco950417:13+415WWLWL
10Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College943216:12+415WLLWW
11Alianza LimaAlianza Lima934212:10+213LWDWW
12FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca931517:22-510LLLLL
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos923416:1609DDWLW
14CiencianoCienciano821510:15-57WWWWD
15UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua91447:13-67WLLWD
16Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas921610:23-137WWWWW
17UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca90279:21-122LDLWL
18ADTADT80265:18-132DWLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1UniversitarioUniversitario919:1220
2Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso914:619
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar915:817
4Sport BoysSport Boys913:617
5Sporting CristalSporting Cristal917:916
6Atletico GrauAtletico Grau913:1016
7Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico918:1616
8Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo913:1116
9CuscoCusco917:1315
10Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College916:1215
11Alianza LimaAlianza Lima912:1013
12FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca917:2210
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos916:169
14CiencianoCienciano810:157
15UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua97:137
16Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas910:237
17UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca99:212
18ADTADT85:182
PromotionRelegation

FC Cajamarca vs Atletico Grau Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Primera División fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Primera División

ScorePredicts covers Peru football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

FC Cajamarca and Atletico Grau have met 1 times recently, averaging 1 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.